Tag Archives: free pick

College Football free Winner for week 6

It ain’t bragging if it’s true! I am 32-15 in football off another complete sweep of named plays. I am simply so far and away the top football handicapper in the world, almost no pro bettors will bet without my wisdom. NFL and college football winners for Thursday. Friday, get a college football total. Saturday, AAC Total of the Year and Big 10 Cross-Divisional Total of the Year among three Wise Guy among 11 football winners. Sunday, the Mr. NFL responds with five NFL Wise Guys and three Majors. Get the picks now 

AKRON +14.5 Bowling Green

College football handicapping is arguably the sport slightly different than some of the other US ATS sports. Most of my best systems would fall under the umbrella of counterintuitive, but this is one of several in college football that are more intuitive. Basically it says to take big points in games the oddsmakers tell us points will be tough to come by. 

Big road underdogs in games expected to be low-scoring are 479-352. Power ratings have this a 9.8 point game, thus at 3.8 percent edge. My top simulator has Akron covering 62 percent of the time. 

Free NCAAB Pick: San Diego State vs. UCLA

After months of research, we spent a lot of money getting the best computer simulations, power ratings, and models. Six winners, three Wise Guys, the first two at 1:30 and 2 ET! We have two games covering at least 2/3 of our top simulator. The Wise Guy has other strong models backing it up. The other bet is also a very good contrarian and other models have them as slight leans, but none contradicting these bets. Get the picks now 

SAN DIEGO STATE +3 UCLA

  • Malachi Flynn gone, but CS Northridge transfer Terrell Gomez will open court
  • Big chance to beat a Power 5 team
  • One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found SD State covering 67 percent
    • Winning 72-66
  • Another top model has our side covering 55.8 percent almost dead even with State slightly better 
  • Yes UCLA has 5 starters back, but theory those teams get out of gate quicker is false 
  • MasseyRatings has San Diego State by 5
  • KenPom Aztecs winning by one

Monday NBA Injuries, Added Rotation College Basketball Pick, More

Added rotation college basketball winner. 5 Dimes is our preferred bookie for added games. 

Key NBA injuries:

Jimmy Butler, MIA vs ORL, questionable

Bam Adebayo, MIA vs ORL, probable

Tony Snell, DET vs CLE , questionable

Derrick Rose, DET vs CLE, probable

Contrarian and consensus intel: 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Miami Heat, Dallas

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Minnesota Timberwolves 

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Detroit Pistons

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none in NBA or college basketball 

Free pick from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy.  

ARKANSAS PINE-BLUFF +15 Texas Southern 

Horrible road teams on the road is 1727-1514-67. Underdogs in a stretch of low-scoring games are 555-438-18. When both apply, it is 195-131-7. 

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has a named play, a 64 percent proposition in the history of betting since JD made his debut on the free scorephones in 1988 as lead handicapper for the Amazing Cadillac Club. Western Conference Game of the Month among two NBA. Plus that “high volume” super system in college basketball is on a roll, producing a college basketball side.  Get the picks now

Free College Basketball Pick ATS From Big 19

Free winning pick from Joe Duffy in college basketball. 

MINNESOTA +6 Iowa at Bovada  

High volume based on advanced metrics from last game including rebounds, field goal percentage is 1788-1450-80. 

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. I am 63-36 in football and 34-17 NFL, 83-50 in all sports. Simply put, I am the best handicapper in the world and it’s not close, nor has it been for many years. Three NBA winners led by Wise Guy. What are you buying with all the money we’ve won you? Keep winning at OffshoreInsiders.com     

NFL Week 3 Picks Free, Including Sunday Night Football

Joe Duffy is off to a 2-0 start this week with all picks. Saturday, SEC West Total of the Year among four college football Wise Guys and seven Majors. I am 17-9 in NFL including our only moneyline, a 160 winner! Sunday, 10 NFL plus Monday Night Football.  Get the picks now

Your Grandmaster Joe Duffy has these free winning picks.

NFL

Steelers at 49ers

  • Pittsburgh is 0-2 and off loss as a favorite, which sets up an early season overreaction angle that is 107-74-7 (Pittsburgh)
  • Undefeated versus winless angle says go with undefeated Niners at 57-38-3 but 5-10 since Oct 13, 2013
  • Mason Rudolph gets first start of NFL career
  • San Francisco DE Nick Bosa still slowed by ankle injury but should play
  • Niners QB Jimmy Garoppolo playing very well after missing 13 games last season
  • Steelers big trade got Minkah Fitzpatrick from Fins
    • Expected to start
  • Niners with second largest margin of cover so far, covering by an average of 20 points per game
  • Teams covering by an average of at least 18.5 points per game are a go-against of 70-51-4 for 57.9 percent
  • Pittsburgh second worst at -15.2 points per game
  • Road teams with -12 or worse ats margin are 113-78 (Steelers)
  • San Francisco 1-13-2 home favorites

Pick: Pittsburgh +6.5 at Bovada live NFL lines

Saints at Seahawks

  • Teddy Bridgewater gets start for Saints, though expect a ton of Taysom Hill
  • Road teams off road loss versus an opponent also off road game under specific circumstances that apply today is 86-25
  • Anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is 209-164-6
    • Yes still applies in week 3 because early-season overreaction is huge
  • Saints under 7-1 road
  • Seattle third strongest public consensus in terms of percentage of bets
    • Saints would be contrarian
  • Saints second biggest sharp bet of week

The pick: New Orleans +4 MyBookie NFL live lines, latest odds

Rams at Browns

  • Fading non-elite prime-time underdogs or small favorites is 115-74-13 (Rams)
  • Fading Super Bowl loser first four weeks is 48-25 but 0-2 this year (Browns)
  • Rams Todd Gurley looks like he is not his old self
  • Teams off MNF blowout wins are 46-15 under specific circumstances that apply today (Browns)
  • Rams biggest public consensus by far in percentage of bets and by small margin in money
    • Contrarian bettors would say Browns

The pick: Cleveland +3.5 at NFL live lines, latest odds

Friday Night Betting Pick Air Force vs. Boise State

Air Force takes on Boise State Friday night and the top football handicapper Joe Duffy has the spread winner. Boise State is down to -8 with a total of 55. They opened up at -9.5 and 54. Underdog Air Force is getting 52 percent of bets and 76 percent of money on them. Though 55 percent of bets are on the over, the same 55 percentile of money is on the under.

Joe Duffy has Friday night college football total at sports betting picks headquarters.

UGA vs. Vanderbilt, Missouri vs. Wyoming Free Sports Picks

Join the biggest and best NFL Super Contest with $150,000 in prizes! Free picks and inside info from Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com

7:30PM ET–Georgia at Vanderbilt

Georgia -22 with o/u 57.5

  • Unranked teams to Top 5 on bowl era 121-90 (Vanderbilt)
  • Vandy run-heavy with Ke’Shawn Vaughn
    • 1244 yards on 7.9 yards per carry
  • Vandy WR Kalija Lipscomb was second-team All-SEC
  • UGA RB De’Andre Swift
  • UGA loaded on defense and huge two-deep front seven
  • UGA is the fifth most lopsided bet based on percentage of tickets at 91 percent and most lopsided on money at 87 percent
  • 63 percent of bets on over, yet 82 percent of money on under
    • General belief is go with money if there is a large discrepancy with total number of bets hence UNDER would be sharp

The pick: Vanderbilt +22

7:30PM ET–Missouri at Wyoming

Missouri -17.5 with o/u 55.5

  • Stadium is 7220 feet above sea level
  • Missouri QB Kelly Bryant Clemson transfer and TE Albert Okwuegbunam (O-cooey-boon-um) both returing after a lot of time off

The pick: Wyoming +17.5

Free Sports Pick North Carolina vs. South Carolina

Bovada has a massive selection of bets already and will continue to turn ‘em out. Also upcoming, UFC 242 will see Khabib defend his Lightweight reign on September 7th. Furthermore, The FIBA Basketball World Cup goes global from China starting August 31st. And on the felt we have a Monster Stack Poker Tournament starting September 4th from Bovada

Now a free pick from Joe Duffy at OffshoreInsiders.com

North Carolina vs. South Carolina

  • Line moved from South Carolina -7.5 to -11.5
  • 65 percent of bets and 84 percent of money on South Carolina
  • Sam Howell, new North Carolina QB is a 4-star recruit
    • Heavily recruited including by USC
    • Jace Ruder may get some PT
  • UNC deep RB
  • Mac Brown returns but sounds like a bit easy in training camp to pay off late in season
  • UNC new defense as DC Jay Batemen
  • Two Power 5 schools, high total, one experienced QB, early season goes under 37-12

Free pick: NORTH CAROLINA +11.5

Wednesday Day Baseball Winning Picks, Preview

Only Wise Guy on Juicy Lucy Oakland wins last night. Big day portolio led by Wise Guy. First bet at 2:10, then three at 3:40. Six winners in all.  Get the picks now  See night only heavily discounted option 

You get 150% in bonuses from GTBets, which also is one of the great online casinos off all-time. A big day in MLB betting starts out with the free pick breakdown on Reds vs. Brewers

The Cubs play a day game in a windy ballpark, but it’s not Wrigley. Cubs-Giants free play.


Free MLB Betting Pick

Joe Duffy’s Picks: I went 3-1 in MLB led by NL Day Dog of the Month on Phillies en route to another winning day. Thre winning picks at night led by Wise Guy. Get the picks now

MLB 

NY METS (SYNDERGAARD -1.5 -135) Detroit (Soto)

Large favorites on the runline under specific circumstances that apply today are +72.11 units for a 7 ROI. Big favorites have been a very good bet since 2015, even better on moneyline. However, we have corroborating data that says the runline is the best bet. 

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