2011 Odds to Win World Series, AL and NL Pennants, and Game 1 DCS Odds

The betting odds are set at the sportsbooks for three of the four DCS Game 1 odds 2011, plus series prices.

MLB BASEBALL – FRI 9/30
GAME HANDICAP MONEY LINE TOTAL RUNS MORE
Fri 9/30 951 Tampa Bay Rays

J. Niemann

+150 Over 8 -110
02:05 PM 952 Texas Rangers

C. Wilson

-160 Under 8 +100
Fri 9/30 953 Detroit Tigers

J. Verlander

+1.5 -180 +119 Over 7 -109
05:35 PM 954 New York Yankees

C. Sabathia

-1.5 +165 -126 Under 7 -101
MLB BASEBALL – SAT 10/1
GAME HANDICAP MONEY LINE TOTAL RUNS MORE
Sat 10/1 955 Arizona Diamondbacks

I. Kennedy

+121 Over 7.5 +112
12:00 PM 956 Milwaukee Brewers

Y. Gallardo

-128 Under 7.5 -124

Now for some series prices:

MLB Divisional Series Prices – Best Of Five
FRI 9/30 TAMPA BAY RAYS VS TEXAS RANGERS
02:05 PM 801 Tampa Bay Rays +141
802 Texas Rangers -156
FRI 9/30 DETROIT TIGERS VS NEW YORK YANKEES
05:35 PM 803 Detroit Tigers +133
804 New York Yankees -147
SAT 10/1 ST LOUIS CARDINALS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
12:00 PM 807 St Louis Cardinals +248
808 Philadelphia Phillies -280

Updated prices for series and each game will be posted at ScoresOddsPicks.com

To win the World Series, as expected, the Phillies are the heavy favorites:

Fri, Sep 30, 2011 EST

Rot To Win Moneyline
101 Philadelphia Phillies +175
102 New York Yankees +400
103 Detroit Tigers +750
104 Texas Rangers +800
105 Milwaukee Brewers +800
106 Tampa Bay Rays +800
107 Arizona Diamondbacks +1200
108 St Louis Cardinals +1200

To win the AL pennant, it’s the Bronx Bombers:

Rot To Win Moneyline
151 New York Yankees +130
152 Texas Rangers +350
153 Detroit Tigers +350
154 Tampa Bay Rays +350

In the NL, “prohibitive” is the operative word for the Phillies:

Sat, Oct 01, 2011 EST

Rot To Win Moneyline
155 Philadelphia Phillies -175
156 Milwaukee Brewers +450
157 Arizona Diamondbacks +650
158 St Louis Cardinals +650

Whether it’s winning at poker, tearing up the oddsmaker in college football wagering or the NFL betting links, all the info is on the OffshoreInsiders.com Network.

NFL Fantasy Football And Proposition Odds

Both fantasy football players and the top NFL picks experts have had a sensational 2011 season. The Dallas Cowboys-Washington Redskins live line has:

GAME HANDICAP MONEY LINE TOTAL POINTS
Mon 9/26 425 Washington Redskins +3.5 -114 +153 Over 44.5 -101
05:35 PM 426 Dallas Cowboys -3.5 +105 -170 Under 44.5 -109

Here are tonight’s proposition odds for ESPN Monday Night Football.

FIRST SCORE OF THE GAME WILL BE?
851 Touchdown -169
852 Field Goal or Safety +144
LONGEST TD WILL BE HOW MANY YARDS?
853 Over 43.5 Yards  -108
854 Under 43.5 Yards  -108
TEAM TO SCORE FIRST POINTS OF GAME?
855 Washington Redskins +117
856 Dallas Cowboys -137
TOTAL FIELD GOALS MADE IN THE GAME?
857 Over 3.5 Field goals  +158
858 Under 3.5 Field goals  -187
TOTAL QB SACKS IN THE GAME?
859 Over 4.5 Sacks  -150
860 Under 4.5 Sacks  +128
WILL EITHER TEAM SCORE 3 UNANSWERED TIMES IN GAME?
861 Yes -195
862 No +165
WILL THERE BE A DEFENSIVE OR SPECIAL TEAMS TD?
863 Yes +157
864 No -185
WILL THERE BE A SCORE IN 1ST 7:30 OF 1ST QUARTER?
865 Yes -145
866 No +124
REDSKIN QBS VS COWBOY QBS MOST GROSS PASSING YDS?
867 Redskin QBs +20.5 Passing yards  -106
868 Cowboy QBs -20.5 Passing yards  -110
TOTAL PASS COMPLETIONS BY REDSKIN QBS
869 Over 21.5 Pass completions  -101
870 Under 21.5 Pass completions  -116
TOTAL PASS COMPLETIONS BY COWBOY QBS
871 Over 21.5 Pass completions  -129
872 Under 21.5 Pass completions  +110
TOTAL TD PASSES BY REDSKIN QBS
873 Over 1.5 TD passes  -112
874 Under 1.5 TD passes  -104
TOTAL TD PASSES BY COWBOY QBS
875 Over 1.5 TD passes  -166
876 Under 1.5 TD passes  +141
WHAT WILL HAPPEN FIRST FOR REDSKIN QBS?
877 Throw a TD pass -147
878 Throw an Interception +126
WHAT WILL HAPPEN FIRST FOR COWBOY QBS?
879 Throw a TD pass -195
880 Throw an Interception +165
WHO WILL THROW A TD PASS FIRST?
881 Redskin QBs +131
882 Cowboy QBs -153

College Football Morning Line And Vegas Picks September 24 Point Spreads

It’s a big day for NCAA football picks and predictions against the spread for week 4 2011.

Here is the morning line for NCAAF spreads for Saturday, September 24, 2011 from the offshore sportsbooks.

NCAA FOOTBALL –
GAME HANDICAP MONEY LINE TOTAL POINTS MORE
305 Colorado +16.5 -103 +569 Over 47.5 -105
12:30 PM 306 Ohio State -16.5 -107 -700 Under 47.5 -105
307 Tulane +10 -105 +305 Over 56 -105
12:30 PM 308 Duke -10 -105 -350 Under 56 -105
309 Toledo +2 -102 +115 Over 56.5 -105
09:00 AM 310 Syracuse -2 -108 -127 Under 56.5 -105
311 UAB +14.5 -108 +423 Over 62.5 -105
12:30 PM 312 East Carolina -14.5 -102 -500 Under 62.5 -105
313 UTEP +29.5 -108 +2250 Over 48 -104
04:00 PM 314 South Florida -29.5 -102 -4500 Under 48 -106
315 Western Michigan +14 -105 +442 Over 52 -105 Bill Tanner top rated Platinum Play on OffshoreInsiders.com
12:30 PM 316 Illinois -14 -105 -525 Under 52 -105
317 Ohio +4 -101 +166 Over 51 -105
11:00 AM 318 Rutgers -4 -109 -185 Under 51 -105
319 Eastern Michigan +28.5 -108 +2250 Over 46.5 -105
09:00 AM 320 Penn State -28.5 -102 -4500 Under 46.5 -105
321 Kansas State +12.5 -104 +393 Over 47.5 -105
12:30 PM 322 Miami Florida -12.5 -106 -460 Under 47.5 -105
323 SMU -24 -102 -1900 Over 54 -107
09:00 AM 324 Memphis +24 -108 +1200 Under 54 -103
325 Temple +8 -105 +273 Over 52.5 -101
09:30 AM 326 Maryland -8 -105 -310 Under 52.5 -109
327 Central Michigan +21.5 -105 +890 Over 49.5 -104
09:00 AM 328 Michigan State -21.5 -105 -1225 Under 49.5 -106
329 Georgia -10 -103 -355 Over 53.5 -105
09:20 AM 330 Mississippi +10 -107 +310 Under 53.5 -105
331 Bowling Green +4 -105 +166 Over 52.5 -102
10:00 AM 332 Miami Ohio -4 -105 -185 Under 52.5 -108
333 Army -4 -105 -180 Over 50.5 -105
11:00 AM 334 Ball State +4 -105 +162 Under 50.5 -105
335 Virginia Tech -20.5 -101 -1100 Over 46.5 -105 Historic bet from Matt Rivers on this game at OffshoreInsiders.com
12:30 PM 336 Marshall +20.5 -109 +816 Under 46.5 -105
337 Arkansas +11 -104 +330 Over 49.5 -104
12:30 PM 338 Alabama -11 -106 -380 Under 49.5 -106
339 California +1 -110 +100 Over 58.5 -101
12:30 PM 340 Washington U -1 +100 -110 Under 58.5 -109
341 LSU -5.5 -106 -210 Over 48.5 -106
05:00 PM 342 West Virginia +5.5 -104 +188 Under 48.5 -104
343 San Diego State +10 -107 +326 Over 56.5 -104
09:00 AM 344 Michigan -10 -103 -375 Under 56.5 -106
345 North Carolina +6.5 +100 +231 Over 57.5 -106
09:00 AM 346 Georgia Tech -6.5 -110 -260 Under 57.5 -104
347 Florida -19.5 -109 -1000 Over 44 -105
04:00 PM 348 Kentucky +19.5 -101 +760 Under 44 -105
349 Notre Dame -7 -103 -255 Over 56 -108
09:00 AM 350 Pittsburgh U +7 -107 +227 Under 56 -102
351 Florida State +2.5 +100 +118 Over 48 -105 Wise Guy winner 7 straight in football from GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com
12:30 PM 352 Clemson -2.5 -110 -130 Under 48 -105
353 New Mexico State +10.5 -110 +334 Over 46.5 -105
01:00 PM 354 San Jose State -10.5 +100 -385 Under 46.5 -105
355 Fresno State -3 +105 -138 Over 51.5 -108
02:00 PM 356 Idaho +3 -116 +125 Under 51.5 -102
357 Connecticut -9.5 -103 -360 Over 45.5 -105 Vegas Strip Game of the Year from The Great One Stevie Vincent at OffshoreInsiders.com
03:00 PM 358 Buffalo U +9.5 -107 +314 Under 45.5 -105
359 UCLA +4.5 -110 +162 Over 52.5 -105
12:30 PM 360 Oregon State -4.5 +100 -180 Under 52.5 -105
361 Nevada +15.5 -105 +562 Over 61.5 -104
04:00 PM 362 Texas Tech -15.5 -105 -690 Under 61.5 -106
363 Vanderbilt +15.5 -105 +509 Over 48.5 -105
04:00 PM 364 South Carolina -15.5 -105 -615 Under 48.5 -105
365 Louisiana Tech +19.5 -105 +704 Over 58 -105
04:00 PM 366 Mississippi St -19.5 -105 -900 Under 58 -105
367 Rice +20 -105 +785 Over 67.5 -105
04:00 PM 368 Baylor -20 -105 -1040 Under 67.5 -105
369 Southern Mississippi +3 -108 +131 Over 52 -107
12:30 PM 370 Virginia -3 -102 -145 Under 52 -103
371 Oklahoma State +4.5 -107 +171 Over 67 -107
12:30 PM 372 Texas A&M -4.5 -103 -190 Under 67 -103
373 Nebraska -21 -105 -1250 Over 58 -104
04:30 PM 374 Wyoming +21 -105 +915 Under 58 -106
375 Missouri +19 -105 +736 Over 56.5 -107
05:00 PM 376 Oklahoma -19 -105 -950 Under 56.5 -103
377 Colorado State +10.5 -103 +346 Over 55.5 -105
05:00 PM 378 Utah State -10.5 -107 -400 Under 55.5 -105
379 Tulsa +28 -105 +2500 Over 62.5 -107
05:00 PM 380 Boise State -28 -105 -5000 Under 62.5 -103
381 Oregon -14.5 -105 -575 Over 66 -101
07:15 PM 382 Arizona U +14.5 -105 +480 Under 66 -109
383 USC +2.5 -103 +120 Over 53.5 -105
07:15 PM 384 Arizona State -2.5 -107 -133 Under 53.5 -105
385 Florida Atlantic +31.5 -109 +4500 Over 58 -105
04:00 PM 386 Auburn -31.5 -101 -9000 Under 58 -105
387 Ul Monroe +17 -110 +534 Over 49.5 -105
09:00 AM 388 Iowa -17 +100 -650 Under 49.5 -105
389 Middle Tenn St +12 -108 +385 Over 64 -105
01:30 PM 390 Troy -12 -102 -450 Under 64 -105
391 Indiana -6 -108 -245 Over 55 -108
04:00 PM 392 North Texas +6 -102 +218 Under 55 -102
393 UL Lafayette +16.5 -102 +580 Over 50 -102
03:00 PM 394 Florida Intl -16.5 -108 -715 Under 50 -108

Fantasy Football NFL Odds Monday Night Football: Rams vs. Giants

NFL Monday Night Football picks from the top sports handicappers are up. Here are the latest odds.

NFL FOOTBALL – MON 9/19
GAME HANDICAP MONEY LINE TOTAL POINTS
Mon 9/19 227 St. Louis Rams +7 +101 +280 Over 44 -102
05:35 PM 228 New York Giants -7 -109 -319 Under 44 -108

Now for fantasy football players, here are tonight’s proposition odds:

September 19, 2011: St. Louis Rams vs New York Giants
MON 9/19 FIRST SCORE OF THE GAME WILL BE?
05:35 PM 851 Touchdown -165
852 Field Goal or Safety +140
MON 9/19 LONGEST TD WILL BE HOW MANY YARDS?
05:35 PM 853 Over 43.5 Yards  -116
854 Under 43.5 Yards  -101
MON 9/19 TEAM TO SCORE FIRST POINTS OF GAME?
05:35 PM 855 St. Louis Rams +136
856 New York Giants -159
MON 9/19 TOTAL FIELD GOALS MADE IN THE GAME?
05:35 PM 857 Over 3.5 Field Goals  +157
858 Under 3.5 Field Goals  -185
MON 9/19 TOTAL QB SACKS IN THE GAME?
05:35 PM 859 Over 4.5 Sacks  -120
860 Under 4.5 Sacks  +103
MON 9/19 WILL EITHER TEAM SCORE 3 UNANSWERED TIMES IN GAME?
05:35 PM 861 Yes -200
862 No +169
MON 9/19 WILL THERE BE A DEFENSIVE OR SPECIAL TEAMS TD?
05:35 PM 863 Yes +165
864 No -195
MON 9/19 WILL THERE BE A SCORE IN 1ST 7:30 OF 1ST QUARTER?
05:35 PM 865 Yes -143
866 No +122
MON 9/19 RAMS QBS VS MANNING MOST GROSS PASSING YARDS?
05:35 PM 867 Rams QBs +20.5 Passing Yards  -125
868 Eli Manning -20.5 Passing Yards  +107
MON 9/19 TOTAL PASS COMPLETIONS BY RAMS QBS
05:35 PM 869 Over 19.5 Pass Completions  -111
870 Under 19.5 Pass Completions  -105
MON 9/19 TOTAL PASS COMPLETIONS BY ELI MANNING
05:35 PM 871 Over 20.5 Pass Completions  -103
872 Under 20.5 Pass Completions  -113
MON 9/19 TOTAL TD PASSES BY RAMS QBS
05:35 PM 873 Over 1.5 TD Passes  -120
874 Under 1.5 TD Passes  +103
MON 9/19 TOTAL TD PASSES BY ELI MANNING
05:35 PM 875 Over 1.5 TD Passes  -156
876 Under 1.5 TD Passes  +133
MON 9/19 WHAT WILL HAPPEN FIRST FOR RAMS QBS?
05:35 PM 877 Throw a TD pass -150
878 Throw an Interception +128
MON 9/19 WHAT WILL HAPPEN FIRST FOR ELI MANNING?
05:35 PM 879 Throw a TD pass -185
880 Throw an Interception +157
MON 9/19 WHO WILL THROW A TD PASS FIRST?
05:35 PM 881 Rams QBs +124
882 Eli Manning -145

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NFL Scores and Odds: Week 2 Pro Football Picks Against the Spread

The top sports picks for Week 2 NFL picks 2011 are out, now here are some free picks and free NFL premium picks.

Free picks NFL start out with the top football handicapper off all-time GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com the premier football handicapping site in the world:

ARIZONA +3.5 Washington

Arizona vastly upgraded the QB position. We’ve seen what this squad did then they had a good QB in Kurt Warner. Kevin Kolb is a definite starting signal caller. Washington defeated a beat-up Giants team. Their win was not as impressive as many believe.

Do you really think Rex Grossman will have back-to-back big games? We don’t either.  Washington TE Fred Davis has had plenty of inconsistencies during his short career. Coming off a great game, history says he disappears here.

The Cardinals feature a very formidable three-man front. Darnell Dockett is the big name in that group, but Calais Campbell is a very difficult guy to block, and Dan Williams is a promising youngster who looks to be the prototypical 3-4 nose tackle.

Again, GodsTips goes with Arizona.

Now to The Canadian Crew Week 1 showed us that the defenses, not the offenses, were slowed by the lockout. Will they bounce back during this week’s games? Let’s keep the fun going after we ran the table with four perfect spread picks last week.

Baltimore Ravens @ Tennessee Titans

Sunday, September 18, 1:00 p.m. ET

NFL betting line: Ravens -5.5

Nothing is for certain in the NFL but this feels like the Candy From a Baby Pick of the Week. The Ravens humiliated the Pittsburgh Steelers of all teams last week. In a 35-7 shellacking, they forced seven turnovers – three Ben Roethlisberger interceptions and four lost fumbles.

If Baltimore could decimate a strong Pittsburgh offense that badly, it should in theory obliterate Tennessee. Matt Hasselbeck’s aging legs won’t carry him away from Baltimore’s pass rush fast enough to get many throws away. If Jacksonville’s weak line could still sack him twice, the Ravens will feast.

Baltimore should also move the ball on Tennessee nicely – especially through the air. Joe Flacco picked Pittsburgh apart and should have an easier time against a so-so Titans secondary.

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a sports betting pick winner for Sunday is on the Pittsburgh Steelers (-14) to Seattle.

Reasoning: I am laying a ton of lumber here with Pittsburgh and I’m not sure if I have ever done such a thing. Two touchdowns to a bunch of professionals is borderline absurd but let’s stop with the talk that Mike Tomlin’s Steelers have all of a sudden lost it and have gotten old and blah, blah, blah. Pittsburgh was in the Super Bowl a season ago and may get there once again this season. These guys are going to be as angry as can be after the embarrassment in Baltimore and we are going to see a team come out with conviction today against a well undermanned Seattle squad.

Pete Carroll may be in for an extremely long season. I don’t even mind Tarvaris Jackson, Sidney Rice and some of the parts on this Seahawk squad but are they really going to travel across the country, play an early game and compete with what is still a great team and a team that is beyond upset after the blowout loss? I just do not see it.

The Seahawks may be in this thing early and people will say what is going on with the Steelers? But then Big Ben and Mendenhall and Ward and Harrison and Polamalu and all of the rest of the high quality Steelers will get things going and take care of business.

If there is ever a 34-10 type of a final this is it and that is exactly what I believe we are going to see.

Top expert pick on today’s card: It’s the Key Play of the Day. Our private database gives one team today an 82.98 percent chance to cover. A lot of sharp money is on this pick for specific reasons we give. Some strong public databases have angles and computer simulations all pointing to one side. We must best it and you should too. Stay undefeated in the NFL. Get the Key Play of the Day now.

2011 NFL Odds Week 2 Picks, Predictions, Morning Line, Pointspreads

NFL week 2 football handicapping service picks are up led by GodsTips, the LateInfo and more. But here are the latest odds for week 2 2011 NFL spreads.

GAME HANDICAP MONEY LINE TOTAL POINTS
197 Chicago Bears +6.5 -103 +252 Over 47.5 +100
10:00 AM 198 New Orleans Saints -6.5 -105 -285 Under 47.5 -110
199 Kansas City Chiefs +9 -120 +322 Over 45 -103
10:00 AM 200 Detroit Lions -9 +111 -370 Under 45 -107
201 Jacksonville Jaguars +9.5 -113 +346 Over 38.5 -103
10:00 AM 202 New York Jets -9.5 +104 -400 Under 38.5 -107
203 Oakland Raiders +4 -106 +184 Over 41.5 -105
10:00 AM 204 Buffalo Bills -4 -102 -205 Under 41.5 -105
205 Arizona Cardinals +3.5 -106 +166 Over 44 -105
10:00 AM 206 Washington Redskins -3.5 -102 -185 Under 44 -105
207 Baltimore Ravens -5.5 -108 -255 Over 38 -108
10:00 AM 208 Tennessee Titans +5.5 +100 +227 Under 38 -102
209 Seattle Seahawks +14 -108 +638 Over 39.5 -105
10:00 AM 210 Pittsburgh Steelers -14 +100 -800 Under 39.5 -105
211 Green Bay Packers -10 -107 -550 Over 44.5 -107
10:00 AM 212 Carolina Panthers +10 -101 +461 Under 44.5 -103
213 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2.5 -105 +118 Over 41.5 +100
10:00 AM 214 Minnesota Vikings -2.5 -103 -130 Under 41.5 -110
215 Cleveland Browns -1 -121 -128 Over 38.5 -105
10:00 AM 216 Indianapolis Colts +1 +112 +116 Under 38.5 -105
217 Dallas Cowboys -3 -101 -155 Over 41.5 -105
01:05 PM 218 San Francisco 49ers +3 -107 +140 Under 41.5 -105
219 Houston Texans -3 +103 -149 Over 47.5 -105
01:15 PM 220 Miami Dolphins +3 -111 +135 Under 47.5 -105
221 San Diego Chargers +7 -113 +264 Over 53.5 +100
01:15 PM 222 New England Patriots -7 +104 -300 Under 53.5 -110
223 Cincinnati Bengals +3.5 -113 +162 Over 40 -103
01:15 PM 224 Denver Broncos -3.5 +104 -180 Under 40 -107
225 Philadelphia Eagles -1.5 -116 -129 Over 49.5 -101
05:25 PM 226 Atlanta Falcons +1.5 +107 +117 Under 49.5 -109

Late breaking NFL injury news is also up.

Thursday Night Football Picks: LSU vs. Miss State Point Spread Lines, Prop Odds, Predictions

Thursday night college football odds and picks are up for Mississippi State-LSU. Topping the list of best sports picks for that game is the Canadian Crew.

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Now the latest odds:

Thu 9/15 101 LSU -3.5 +103 -160 Over 48.5 -109
05:00 PM 102 Mississippi St +3.5 -114 +144 Under 48.5 -101

Now to some prop bets:

September 15, 2011: LSU vs Mississippi St
THU 9/15 TEAM TO SCORE FIRST IN THE GAME WILL BE?
05:00 PM 101 LSU -123
102 Mississippi St +105
THU 9/15 WILL THERE BE A SCORE IN 1ST 6 MINUTES OF 1ST QTR?
05:00 PM 103 Yes -108
104 No -108
THU 9/15 THE FIRST SCORE OF THE GAME WILL BE?
05:00 PM 105 Touchdown -225
106 Field Goal or Safety +189
THU 9/15 WILL THERE BE A DEFENSIVE OR SPECIAL TEAMS TD?
05:00 PM 107 Yes +157
108 No -185
THU 9/15 LONGEST TD WILL BE HOW MANY YARDS?
05:00 PM 109 Over 50.5 Yards  -111
110 Under 50.5 Yards  -105

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What Did Ron Jaworski Say On MNF?

Ah I never use my TiVo option, but we thought here at OffshoreInsiders.com that Ron Jaworski say the “shoot” word, give or take a letter. But now that I’ve heard his apology, I did hear right.

Sharp Players Eye Week 2 NFL Odds Off NFL Week 1 Final Scores

Sharps made a fortune with early scores on NFL Week 1. Here are the highlights:

The Canadian Crew is done for the day. Late play pending off 3-0 NFL sweep: Already in are Baltimore, Chicago, and Philadelphia. Key Play of the Day improves to 80 percent with the Bills outright.

GodsTips sweep the final week of preseason going 2-0. After Green Bay Thursday, it was a perfect 3-0 sweep early with Wise Guy Chicago, Majors on Tampa over and a rout on Houston. Get the Sunday night side for just $12. You MUST choose the Second Chance option to get that price. Sunday Night side just $12 on the Second Chance option.

Here is what GodsTips clients got early:

Wise Guy plays are your maximum play.  Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. We always urge line shopping to compliment the sharpest plays in the world and release plays as early as possible to ensure more success. Often our plays are released before most sportsbooks have lines up.  If we released plays later in the day, it would allow us to shop for better lines than we are able to post.  But we are more concerned about YOU being able to shop for better lines.  Be aware that in many cases better lines will be available than the ones we post.   Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above.  While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections.  Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.

All baseball picks now specify pitchers unless otherwise noted.  Team record is what that team did with the pitcher starting, regardless if he was involved in the decision.

NFL

Wise Guy…

CHICAGO +2.5 Atlanta

Matt Ryan has more weapons than ever, but won’t have time to find them. Julius Peppers is one of the best defensive ends in the NFL right now. And he is a nightmare to get blocked against the run, but especially in the passing game.

Chicago will line Peppers up on either the right or left side, but more often than not, he will do battle with Sam Baker, a very average left tackle. Atlanta will have to give Baker help with Peppers, which could limit its options at receiver.

In Lovie Smith’s seven seasons as coach, the Bears’ defense has allowed an average of 12 points in openers. And that includes games against the Packers’ Brett Favre (170 yards, 40.9 rating), the Chargers’ Philip Rivers (190 yards, 73.3), the Colts’ Peyton Manning (257 yards, 81.8) and the Packers’ Aaron Rodgers (184 yards, 92.0).

Atlanta has weaknesses on defense and are not the type to exploit Jay Cutler. Chemistry is there—important with the shortened offseason. The Bears benefit from a group of veteran leaders on defense — Urlacher (33), end Julius Peppers (31), tackle Anthony Adams (31), Tillman (30), linebacker Lance Briggs (30) and end Israel Idonije (30) have eight years or more in the NFL

The home dog wins here.

Major…

HOUSTON -8.5 Indianapolis

In all my years of handicapping, I am trying to think of one team every having more motivation to blow out the other in week 1. Houston has always been everyone’s breakout team—now they can make their statement against a Colts team without Peyton Manning and with 104-year-old Kerry Collins.

Indianapolis has managed to get bigger up front, especially on the interior, but it still is struggling when it comes to stopping a power running game.

There is some uncertainty about the health of running back Arian Foster. But we will be surprised if he does not play.  He gave the Texans their second 1,000 yard rusher in the past seven years and definitely takes some of the pressure off of QB Matt Schaub and the passing game.

That will keep the defense very honest and create big matchup problems. Andre Johnson has arguably become one of the top two or three receivers in the NFL and is even more effective when isolated against cornerbacks that are looking at a three- to four-inch height disadvantage. Both of Indianapolis’ starting corners are in the 5-foot-10 range and can be exposed when trying to match up with a big receiver like Johnson.

Detroit-Tampa OVER 41.5

Both teams have somewhat erratic, but potentially very good offenses. With a low total, it’s too high of a percentage play to not expect at least one to explode. Both teams will have more success with the big play then slowly marching down the field.

Josh Freeman a fine threesome to throw to in Arrelious Benn, Kellen Winslow and Mike Williams. He also has LeGarrette Blount at RB to keep everyone on Detroit’s defense honest.

Detroit has weapons with Calvin Johnson and Jahvid Best. Detroit has a defense that’s more anointed than proven. Tampa’s offense improved when Josh Freeman started. Look for 47 points to be scored.

The Key Play of the Day was too easy. Alabama Saturday, the Bills today:

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City (-5.5, 39.5)

10p

Selection: Buffalo

I.          Vegas sharps very concerned about KC OC Weiss heading to UF. His absence was clear in preseason. Chiefs defense will struggle early in season

II.         Private database gives Buffalo 84.33 % chance to cover

III.       StatFox Outplay Factor gives Buffalo the spread edge by 2.5 points

IV.        MasseyRatings has KC winning but failing to cover 19.8-22.5

V.         Buffalo much better than last year’s record after losing three games in OT and improving throughout year

VI.        Good handicapper Phil Steele has Buffalo on his Power Sweep

VII.      Good service Wunderdog has Buffalo

VIII.     KANSAS CITY is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.

IX.        BUFFALO is 9-3 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY since 1992

X.         Chiefs are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite

XI.        Bills are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0

XII.      Solid service Nelly’s Greensheet has Buffalo

XIII.     Buffalo has added 340-pound rookie Marcell Dareus plus inside linebacker Nick Barnett to go along with one of the league’s top nose tackles, Kyle Williams. The Chiefs generally don’t match up well with bigger, more physical opponents.

Here is Saturday’s Key Pod:

Alabama at Penn State

12:30p

Alabama (-9.5)

I.          All teams as Road team as a Favorite – Playing on Saturday – With 6 days off – vs. opponent with a 80% or more winning % – Allowed 7 points or less AGAINST in their last game is 12-2

II.         Road team – Playing on Saturday – Total is between 41.5 to 44 – vs. opponent with a 80% or more winning % – Coming off a 1 ATS win is 8-2.

III.       Alabama  Road team – During the month of September – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite is 9-2

IV.        Alabama team playing as a Road team – After a non conference game – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite is 11-4

V.         Penn State as a Home team – Last 5 years – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite is 3-7

VI.        AccuScore has Alabama winning 30.4-16.6

VII.      ALA is 14-7-1 ATS (+5.5 ppg) since October 16, 1999 as a road favorite after a win.

VIII.     ALA is 14-6 ATS (+5.7 ppg) since September 13, 2008 after a win at home.

IX.        ALA is 21-11 ATS (+3.7 ppg) since October 06, 1990 as a road favorite after a win at home.

X.         ALA is 30-12 ATS (+4.4 ppg) since September 17, 1994 on the road after a win at home.

XI.        Private database gives Alabama a 85.88 chance of covering

XII.      Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (ALABAMA) – after allowing 9 points or less last game against opponent after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game is 64-25

XIII.     GreyMatterStats has Alabama covering

XIV.     Masseyratings has Alabama winning 29.9-17.4

XV.       Alabama returns 10 defensive starters

XVI.     Penn State replacing all-time leading rusher Evan Royster

XVII.    Since the start of 2010, the Nittany Lions complete 43.0 percent of passes against the SEC, compared to 58.7 against other conferences. Against the SEC, Penn State has a 1-8 TD-INT ratio compared to 18-9 against others.

XVIII.   With mediocre quarterbacks Rob Bolden and Matt McCloin, the 23rd-ranked Nittany Lions don’t have enough offense to attack what should be one of Alabama’s best defensive teams.

XIX.     Top play from PredictionMachine on Alabama

Now to the wunderkinds of the Canadian Crew

Atlanta Falcons @ Chicago Bears

Sunday, September 11, 1:00 p.m. ET

NFL betting line: Falcons -3

We see this every year. A team gets hyped like crazy in the offseason, so much that it winds up a road favorite against a reigning division champion. Yes, the Falcons’ offense looks like it will be very exciting in 2011, as Matt Ryan airs it out to Roddy White, Julio Jones and company. Flying under the radar, however, is the fact that this team’s so-so defense isn’t improved entering this season. We can’t underestimate the power of a home crowd in Week 1, either. The Bears may regress this season but they still have a great defense and some playmakers on offense.

People are acting like Atlanta already has this game locked up. It doesn’t. Look for the Bears to surprise, with Matt Forte leading the charge in the backfield.

The pick: Bears +3

Philadelphia Eagles @ St. Louis Rams

Sunday, September 11, 1:00 p.m. ET

NFL betting line: Eagles -4.5

Is Sam Bradford a star quarterback in the making? Yes. Is Josh McDaniels a DREAM marriage for him as an offensive co-ordinator? Yes. But I still don’t think St. Louis wins in Week 1.

A Josh McDaniels playbook isn’t easy to master – especially during a lockout-shortened offseason in which study time is short. Bradford’s preseason was pretty uneven, suggesting he and McDaniels are still working out the kinks. Facing an aggressive Eagles “D” with a solid pass rush and unbelievable secondary isn’t a recipe for aerial success.

And look at the speed the Eagles will throw at the Rams on offense. Michael Vick, DeSean Jackson, Jeremy Maclin and LeSean McCoy on turf? Fuggedaboutit.

The pick: Eagles -4.5 NFC 2 Team Best Bet of the Year

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens

Sunday, September 11, 1:00 p.m. ET

NFL betting line: Ravens -2.5

We don’t know that the Steelers have fixed their trouble with defending the deep pass. It plagued them last year. With Lee Evans joining the fray in Baltimore, look for Joe Flacco to really test Pittsburgh’s secondary – and look for him to succeed.

The pick: Ravens -2.5

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NFL Injuries Week 1: Adrian Foster Out

NFL week 1 injuries for NFL picks. Texans Adrian Foster out. Eagles WR Steve Smith will play.