Conference Championship Bettors Preview

By Mike Godsey

From the standpoint of the sports better, the staff of OffshoreInsiders.com
breaks down some key statistical comparisons for the conference championship
games.

MAC

Central Michigan-Miami Ohio

The Chippewas have the upper hand in most offensive
categories, but the RedHawks have the statistical
advantage defensively.

CMU amasses 78.9 more total yards per game on .7 more
yards per play. One of the more prominent areas is in rushing yards per attempt
where Central has the edge by 1.1. Miami Ohio
though relies much more on the big play. Despite completing 11.2 percent less
of their passes, the RedHawks get 1.7 more passing
yards per reception.

On defense, it’s Miami
with a superiority of 94.3 fewer yards allowed per game on .8 less yards per
play. They also allow a completion percentage of 7.2 less.

Conference USA

Tulsa-Central Florida

It’s yet another contest where one team has a fairly
significant edge on offense, while the other gets the numbers their way on defense.
Offensively, Tulsa has a yards per game pre-eminence if 124.9 total yards per game.
But it’s because of 181.4 yards
per game passing difference as UCF rushes for 56.5
more yards per game. The Golden Hurricanes do average 1.2 more yards per play,
a telling statistic say most top gamblers.

However, likewise UCF accrues .5
more yards per rush, but Tulsa 2.3
more yards per pass and 3.6 more yards per catch.

The Golden Knights allow 102.1 fewer yards on .9 less
yards per play allowed. Perhaps the biggest numerical disparity is in turnover
ratio. Tulsa is -7, but UCF +5, a
net advantage of 12 for Central.

ACC

Virginia Tech-Boston College

Although BC has an edge of 105.5 more total yards per
game, Tech rushes for 27.8 extra yards. The Eagles get 7.6 more first downs per
game. In the ever important yards per play category, it’s Boston
College
getting .7 more. Tech
though has a pretty significant numerical dominance of 1.1 more yards per
catch.

On defense, the check marks favor V Tech by 48.7 total
yards per game and .4 yards
per play. BC though allows 20.6 fewer rushing yards on a few half-yard less per
attempt. The Hokies have a huge turnover margin upper hand by 10.

SEC

Tennessee-LSU

Numerically, the Tigers are better on both sides of the
ball. LSU gets 44.8 more yards per game, though the Vols accumulate 27.8 more passing yards. The biggest
discrepancy is in passing yards per reception where LSU
gets 2.0 more. With Tennessee
completing 7.3 higher percent of the passes, the overall offensive upper hand
for LSU is fairly nominal.

Defensively LSU permits 121.8
fewer yards on 1.2 less yards per play. Tennessee
is less vulnerable to the big play, allowing 1.3 fewer passing yards per
attempt. LSU has a turnover ratio better by 12.

Big 12

Oklahoma-Missouri

These two teams are fairly close on paper. In fact, while Mizzou gets 49.8 more yards per game, Oklahoma
accumulates .3 more yards per play. Oklahoma
has the edge in both rushing yards per attempt and passing yards per attempt by
.2 and 1.4 respectively and they also get 2.4 more passing yards per reception.

Also the Sooners have slight edges in most defensive
categories including yards per game of 56.2 and .4 fewer yards per play
allowed. Yet the Tigers allow .1 less passing yards per attempt and .4 less
passing yards per reception.

By popular request, OffshoreInsiders.com
brought back the college and NFL football-only packages through the Super Bowl
for both Joe Duffy’s GodsTips and Stevie Vincent. Get the rest of the season
beginning now just in time for Green Bay-Dallas and the conference championship
games. Get it at OffshoreInsiders.com


categoriaSports Betting News | commentoNo Comments dataNovember 27th, 2007
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NFL Injuries For November 25

By Mike Godsey

The top handicapping experts of OffshoreInsiders.com
give you NFL injuries for fantasy football
players and sports bettors.

Titans-Bengals

Tennessee
starting defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth is a game
time decision.

Raiders-Chiefs

Chiefs running back Larry Johnson
is out. Of course his back-up Priest Holmes retired.

Seahawks-Rams

The Seahawks wide receiver D.J.
Hackett is very probable. Running back Shaun Alexander is out again. Quarterback
Matt Hasselbeck missed practice early in the week, but will likely play with
bruised ribs.

Vikings-Giants

Will superstar Adrian Peterson make his return for Minnesota?
Not likely tells Cy McCormick of the online betting
syndicate MasterLockLine.com. Peterson is very doubtful.

Reports say the Giants wide receiver Plaxico Burress’
ankle has gotten worse and will be limited. The huge story is long-time scorephone
sports handicapping expert Sean Michaels is the No. 1 football handicapper this
year. The NFL Game of the Year goes from him on the Vikings-Giants game. He’s
selling it for $50, but the MasterLockLine has it for just $16 part of a
package of top sports service plays. Click now to purchase

Bills-Jaguars

Buffalo star
running back Marshawn Lynch is out.

Saints-Panthers

The Saints running back Reggie Bush most likely gets the
start but a final decision will be made during warm-ups. Panthers quarterback
Vinny Testaverde was added to the injury list after his back tightened up. His
status will also be determined after warm-ups. Stiff David Carr is available.

Ravens-Chargers

The Ravens are without starting quarterback Steve McNair
and tight end Todd Heap. Cornerback Chris McAlister is a game time decision.

Browns-Texans

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Broncos-Bears

Denver has
some serious issues at running back. Running back Travis Henry is out and Selvin Young is a game time decision.

Patriots-Eagles

Eagles signal caller Donovan McNabb it out. A.J. Feeley
gets the start. The top sports service on the planet, GodsTips has a rare total
on this game. They are also the hottest sports service going a shocking 50-24
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Redskins-Buccaneers

Wide receiver James Thrash it out for the Skins.


categoriaSports Betting News | commentoNo Comments dataNovember 25th, 2007
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VegasInsider Betting Info

By Mike Godsey

We will update NFL injuries in the morning for fantasy football and
pointspread handicappers. For anyone who is ready to beat the sportsbooks
and who handicaps the NFL on their own we preesnet
the NFL betting information compiled by sports betting expert Joe Duffy
and Mike Godsey, the top NFL handicapper, each of GodsTips.com

Cardinals-Bengals

The Cardinals win last week not only was another easy
winner as GodsTips NFL Game of the Year, but it snapped their three-game
straight up losing streak. Arizona
has lost 8-of-9 to the AFC, but their only win was in Week 4 to Pittsburgh.
That game was one of the few moneyline releases GodsTips has had this year, a
huge +270 winner.

Cincinnati is
10-3 outright in their last 13 to the NFC. Though they are 1-4 on the road this
season, the Bengals are 2-2 at home. For those who bet fourth quarter sides and
totals, note that surprisingly, the Cardinals lead the conference and are
second overall to New England with 85 fourth quarter
points.

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Browns-Ravens

Baltimore has
won four straight at home in the series by a combined 103-46. The Ravens though
enter with a three-game losing streak, putting up just seven points each of the last two weeks. Kyle
Boller gets the start for Baltimore
at QB as Steve McNair is out.

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Panthers-Packers

In one of the strangest stats in the NFL, the road team is
9-1 straight up and against the spread in the Panthers games. Green
Bay
has won 12-of-13 going back to the end of last
season.

Saints-Texans

The Saints had their four-game winning streak snapped last
week losing at home to the St. Louis Rams. They are 1-5 their last six to the
AFC.

Houston is off
a bye, but is 1-4 straight up following the week off. Houston
is 1-5 at home to the AFC. This is a Houston
defense that allowed just 80 yards
per game on the ground in their first four games, but 159.6 in their last five.

Chiefs-Colts

Kansas City
has won two straight road games and in fact the road team is 5-1 straight up in
their last six. The Colts have gone from thinking 16-0 to trying to stop a
two-game losing streak. However, the Colts are probably much better than their
record as their six wins are by an average of 17.4 and their two losses by 3.0.

Brody Croyle will likely get the
start at QB for the Chiefs this season. We will double check key injuries in
the morning at OffshoreInsiders.com

Chargers-Jaguars

After a 1-3 start, the Chargers have squeezed out four
wins in their last five. Jacksonville
is expected to get back quarterback David Garrard. GodsTips, the premier NFL
service of all time, has the AFC Game of the Year on this game. Last week, the NFL Game of the Year won when Arizona
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Raiders-Vikings

Oakland is
17-56 straight up since going to the Super Bowl, the worst record in that span.
All-everything running back Adrian Peterson is out for Minnesota.
Minnesota is 1-7 their last eight
to the AFC. The only win though was this year to San Diego,
which just so happened to be GodsTips NFL Upset of the Year. GodsTips is the
anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com and
widely accepted as the top NFL sports service of all time.

In starting out 2-2, the Raiders averaged scoring 25.5
points per game. Since then, they’ve lost five straight averaging 11.2 points
per game.

Giants-Lions

The Giants must bounce back after their six-game winning
streak has snapped when Dallas beat
them by double digits at home. There is a clear-cut reason the Giants are
playing better. In five games since returning from an injury, Giants running
back Brandon Jacobs is averaging 103.8
yards
, three times passing the century mark.

Detroit has
had a three-game winning streak at Arizona
snapped. Sharp players knew that was coming and cleaned the sportsbooks as it was the NFL Game of
the Year on the Cardinals from the top sports betting service in the world, GodsTips.com

Detroit has
won both meetings this century by a combined 25 points. Detroit
is 4-0 at home.

Buccaneers-Falcons

Tampa is off a
bye week, but they are only 6-12 straight up following a week off. Atlanta
won both games last year in the series by a combined 31-9. Tampa
still holds a 5-2 straight up edge in Hotlanta. Atlanta
enters with a two-game winning streak.

Dolphins-Eagles

Miami is
winless in nine games, but five losses are by three points. The Fins though are
6-3 outright on the road to the other conference since 2003.

Steelers-Jets

The 7-2 Steelers are on a three-game winning streak. Pittsburgh
is 17-2 all-time to the Jets. This includes postseason play. They’ve held the
Jets to an average of 5.6 points in the last seven meetings.

Redskins-Cowboys

Washington
has alternated wins and losses in their last seven games, meaning they are
“due” for a win. For those who bet quarter lines, note that Dallas
far and away leads the NFL with 104 points in the third quarter, 34 more than
the No. 2 team Indianapolis.

Rams-49ers

St. Louis is
off their first win of the year. After averaging 11.3 points per game in their
fist seven games, they’ve averaged 28.5 the last two.

After a 2-0 start, the Niners
have lost seven in a row. The 49ers are 15-42 straight up going back to 2004.

Bears-Seahawks

Chicago has
won three straight road games. The road team is 5-0 in their last five games. Chicago
won both games last year (including postseason). Running back Shaun Alexander
is out for Seattle.

Patriots-Bills

The undefeated Patriots are off a bye week. They have won
12 straight regular season games since last year. Guess who has the second
longest winning streak in the conference at four? It’s the Bills.

Don’t look for Buffalo
to win this one though. New England is on an 8-0 tear in
the series by a combined 232-76.


categoriaSports Betting News | commentoNo Comments dataNovember 17th, 2007
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Controversies and Scandals Have Lessons in Handicapping

By Mike Godsey

Recently sports have seen minor controversies to major
scandals that all have direct or indirect handicapping lessons. In short, they
can be summed up in what we preach time and time again. The key to successful sports betting is
getting an edge as often as possible.

This is exactly why coaches are notoriously secretive
about the injury status of key players and also why we sports bettors exercise
every source to get the accurate lowdown.

Coaches believe the more he knows about the injury status
of his and his opponent’s key players, the more of an edge his team will get.
It’s the same way with gamblers against their sportsbook opponent.

It’s precisely the reason the now infamous scandals of
disgraced NBA referee Tim Donaghy and likely soon-to-be former Texas A&M football coach Dennis Franchione are so significant.
Investing is sports scores is much like Wall Street betting. “Inside
information” that coaches and refs have access to is the sports broker’s
version of insider trading.

So is the lesson for the sports gambler that if we don’t
get the state’s evidence directly from a coach or referee that we are out of
luck? The answer is absolutely not. “Inside” information is far from the only
way to get the upper hand on betting the odds.

A lot of valuable insight is out there. Just because
information is public does not mean it’s widely circulated.

So often the keenest intelligence comes to light after the
odds have been posted, often somewhat limiting how sportsbooks can act in
response. We’ve long touted Google News as our favorite aggregator of sports
betting information such as injuries, expert analysis on how teams match up,
motivation recognition and other very useful bullet points.

However, Topix and ESPN have also teamed up to try to
compete with Google News. Replacing their “Sitelines” section, ESPN has
partnered with Topix to create “ESPN local”. This new feature aggregates
articles of interest to the sports fan and gambler. That being said, Google
News still reigns supreme, but the ESPN/Topix synergy has potential for the
handicapper.

We move on to a minor controversy, but certainly an
example of a coach pulling out all the stops to get the leg up on the
competition or more accurately to counter the eminence of their foe.

Georgia
finally ended Florida’s series
domination in college football. In said game, the Bulldogs had a choreographed
excessive celebration penalty after their first touchdown. Head coach Mark
Richt admitted he told the team, “I expect you guys to celebrate to the point
where the official will throw a flag for excessive celebration.”

Richt said his instructions were intended to fire up his
team because he felt they needed to play with more passion. He did not
specifically verify, but we strongly suspect that the fact that Florida
had won 15 of the previous 17 meetings was motivational factor No. 1.

The handicapping ramifications are to never underestimate
the importance of emotion and the psychology of sports. Of course most players
on both Florida and Georgia
were being potty trained when the domination started. Each team has gone
through several coaching changes during the era. Despite all that, clearly
Richt knew that a well publicized one-sided rivalry leads to swagger from one
team and a “culture of losing” from the other.

Sports bettors should not completely disregard historical
data even if the period precedes every player and coach who will affect that
outcome of the game being handicapped. I honestly believe if Georgia
had the 15-2 series edge, Richt would never have felt the need to manufacture boastfulness
and confidence.

Then there was the short-lived, though periodic
speculation about the Indianapolis Colts piping in crowd noise during home
games. For our purposes, the veracity of these accusations is not as relevant
as the fact that there is a reason why opponents care if the Colts are bending
rules.

Again, crowd noise can give a home team—we will say it
again—“the edge”. Few coaches or players will dispute the affect of the “12th
man” in football or the “6th man” in basketball.

This is why we love it when we read that a team has for
example “only the third sellout in two years” or that the small town mayor held
a noon pep rally the day of a big
game.

Not that a game or pointspread is necessarily going to be
affected by a pep rally, but such seemingly innocuous events are symptoms of
how significant a specific game is and how passionate the hometown crowd is going
to be.

In college, we always keep an eye out for when the
non-elite college basketball teams are playing home games while the student
body is on winter break. The level of home court and home field advantage is
fluid and will vary game-to-game, especially with lower profile schools where
sellouts are far from a given.

What the average gambler takes for granted, the sharp
player yearns for. No edge is too banal for smart money players. Best of all, one
need not always have access to a private booster newsletter or collude with a
rogue official. So often the most indispensable information to the gambler can
be in the fourth paragraph of a squad’s hometown newspaper or within the official
team press release.

Joe Duffy’s sports betting selections are at www.GodsTips.com He is former General Manager of the
Freescoreboard scorephone network and CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com,
the premier hub of world-class handicappers and free sports betting
information.


categoriaSports Gambling Strategy Articles | commentoNo Comments dataNovember 14th, 2007
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