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NFL

Wise Guy…

MINNESOTA +2 Green Bay

Minnesota
has the league’s best run defense and a great one-two punch at running back
with Chester Taylor and Adrian Peterson. Yes Taylor
is expected to play and start. Who starts at QB for Minnesota,
really isn’t as important because there is no edge in the raw quarterback of
the future versus the journey of Kelly Holcomb.

We are sold on Green Bay
being a good team, but not on the verge of being 4-0 squad. Going with any team
on the moneyline after a loss of 6 or less against foe after scoring 25 or more
points in two straight games is +81.6 on the moneyline.

NY GIANTS +3 Philadelphia

The Eagles personify both ends of one of our gambling
Golden Rules: each week there are 3-5 teams that are not nearly as good as they
looked and 3-5 teams that are not nearly as bad as they’ve looked.

Remember, Philly put it all together after looking abysmal
in Weeks one and two. Philly’s Brian Westbrook is a gametime
decision, but we don’t expect him to be 100 percent even if he plays. He is
huge for Philly. He did not practice this week. Meanwhile, our sources tell us
key Giants weapons Plaxico Burress will start.

Major…

SEATTLE -2 San Francisco

Shaun Alexander will wear down the league’s No. 25 run
defense. Though we are actually sold on
the 49ers being a team on the verge of breaking out, they are without key chain
mover tight end Vernon Davis.

Seattle can
also move the ball in the air as they average 7.4 passing yards per attempt
against teams normally allowing 6.4. Seattle’s
domination of San Francisco
suffered a setback last year when they were swept.

To be sure, the formula for beating Seattle
will be more complicated than it was last season. In both games, the 49ers kept
pounding running back Frank Gore into the line and when he broke into the
secondary, the Seahawks safeties tackled – or rather, didn’t tackle – like Chickenhawks. Holmgren didn’t
mess around. He dumped both of the old safeties last winter and signed two new
ones, Deon Grant (from Jacksonville)
and Brian Russell (from Cleveland).

Grant and Russell can tackle. With Alexander and Hasselbeck both in the
line-up, which was not the case last year, they are one of the top teams in the
NFC. They get the win today.

INDIANAPOLIS -9.5 -115 Denver

The last two times Denver
has come to Indianapolis, the Colts
scored 90 points. This is a competitor consensus. If we do not have a lean towards one side but
it does not rise to the level of premium play, but get a strong play or
consensus from the few other handicappers we respect, we pass it as a
“competitor consensus”.

ARIZONA +230 (Moneyline) Pittsburgh

Arizona’s
head coach Ken Whisenhunt and assistant head coach Russ Grimm know the Steelers
as well as their current coaching staff. Going with any team on the moneyline
after a loss of 6 or less against foe after scoring 25 or more points in two
straight games is +81.6 on the moneyline.

ATLANTA +3 Houston

Houston’s best
weapons Ahman Green is likely out and Andre Johnson
is out. Houston may be without
three of their top five receivers. Atlanta
has a very winnable game. While we
singled out Houston as a dark horse
team before the year, it was because of several weapons they will be without
today.

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Inside the Lines on Fan590

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Fantasy Football and Sports Betting News and Notes

Here are real-time fantasy football and
football betting news and notes for today’s NFL directly from the staff of OffshoreInsiders.com

 

In an ugly battle, the Raiders take on the Dolphins. Dante
Culpepper gets the start for Oakland
at quarterback. Miami is a
four-point favorite (NFL betting odds). For the
Fins, middle linebacker Zach Thomas is a game time decision.

 

Speaking of game time decisions, Houston
running back Ahman Green is just that, with Ron Dayne his replacement. They will be sans big weapon, wide
receiver Andre Johnson. Playing at Atlanta,
the Texans are 2.5 point road favorites according to BetUs
Sportsbook

The Ravens are laying four-points on the road to the
Browns. Cleveland
tight end Kellen Winslow says he will play. The
headline on this game for NFL bettors is that it’s a Level 5 play from Stevie
Vincent, Senior Handicapper at OffshoreInsiders.com

 

Vincent is a sensational 11-4 the last two weeks in
football, a smooth 73.3 percent.

 

The Rams are without running back Steven Jackson, who led
the NFL in total yards from scrimmage last year. St. Louis
is getting 13 points from Dallas
according to NewBodog

 

The Bears are laying three-points at the Detroit Lions, but Chicago
has several injuries on defense. They will be without starting cornerbacks
Charles Tillman and Nate Vasher.
Meanwhile defensive tackle Tommie Harris and linebacker Lance Briggs are
questionable.

 

Detroit’s star
weapon, wideout Calvin Johnson is also a game time
decision.

 

Tampa is getting three-points at Carolina according to BetUs
Sportsbook
, but the home favorites are without quarterback Jake Delhomme
and instead have journeyman David Carr starting. The Panthers are also without
linebacker Dan Morgan.

 

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Fantasy Football and Sports Betting News and Notes For Week 4

Here are sports betting and fantasy football
news and notes for Sunday’s action.

Houston-Atlanta

So-called “intangibles” handicappers, note that Houston
starting quarterback Matt Schaub returns to Atlanta
where he backed up disgraced signal caller Michael Vick. Houston
running back Ahman Green is questionable and wide receiver Andre Johnson is
likely out.

Green Bay-Minnesota

Green Bay,
with Dallas, is one of two NFC
undefeated teams. The Packers have a seven-game winning streak dating back to
last year, the longest in the NFL. Minnesota,
much like last year, has a dominant run defense. They allow a conference best 67.3 yards per
game. Though Pack QB Brett Favre lost nine of his first 11 starts at the
Metrodome, he has turned it around winning 3-of-4 in the Twin Cities.

Who will start at quarterback for Minnesota,
Tarvaris Jackson or Kelly Holcomb, still remains to be seen. NFL guru, Mike Godsey of GodsTips, echoes a
common theme among sharpies, “It’s not that consequential from a handicapping
standpoint. Jackson will have
growing pains and the jury is still out. Holcomb is what he is—a journeyman
emergency starter.”

Oakland-Miami

Dante Culpepper gets the start at QB for Oakland.
Culpepper is another quarterback returning to play the team he played for last
year. Fresh off a knee injury, he had a career worst season in his brief four-game
stint with the Fins. Miami
is 6-0 straight up in the series.

Bears-Lions

As the world knows, the Bears have finally benched
incompetent quarterback Rex Grossman in favor of Brian Griese. Chicago
has some injuries on defense. Defensive tackle Tommy Harris is doubtful. Starting linebacker Lance Briggs is
questionable to probable and starting cornerbacks Charles Tillman and Nate
Vasher are questionable.

Rams-Cowboys

Admitting he has not fully handicapped this game in
particular, OffshoreInsiders.com expert Cy
McCormick of the MasterLockLine, warns “beware the oddsmakers know the public
will love an undefeated home team against a winless road team,” while
emphasizing it’s a rule of thumb, he continued, “the betting value is almost
always with the road team.”

Neutralizing that fact is that the Rams will be without
Steven Jackson, who led the NFL in yards from scrimmage last year. Dallas
defense is improving each week allowing just 10 points and 239 yards to Chicago
last week. But then again, it was the
Bears and Rex Grossman.

Note that a major conglomerate owns several radio tout
services, Jonathan Stone’s Stone Cold Locks, Adam Myer, and “Handicapping
legend” Tony Smith. They know if they
are going to spend tens of thousands of dollars advertising their services,
they better have winning picks. They are
purchasing forensic
handicapping
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5-20 times the cost. Why not get them
from the same source they do—Stevie Vincent at OffshoreInsiders.com

Ravens-Browns

Baltimore was
6-2 outright on the road last year. They
are 5-3 at Cleveland. Starting
quarterback Steve McNair is hurting and head coach Brian Billick promised to be
“cautious”. Former starter Kyle Boller has shown some spark in relief.

Browns running back Jamal Lewis will have extra incentive
going against his former team which cut him despite being the franchise leader
in total yards and touchdowns. In the last nine series matchups, Cleveland
has been held to 256 yards or less.

Jets-Bills

A healthy Jets quarterback Chad Pennington goes against a
ravaged Bills defense. Also, Buffalo
starting quarterback J.P. Losman is likely out with a knee injury which means
rookie Trent Edwards gets the call.

Seahawks-49ers

Seattle’s
Shaun Alexander will play with a broken wrist. San
Francisco
will be without Vernon Davis, their reliable
target at tight end. Second half bettors note that Seattle
has given up only 17 combined second half points. The Niners swept the series last year
following a six game Hawk winning streak.

Buccaneers-Panthers

David Carr appears the likely starter at QB for Carolina
as Jake Delhomme has an elbow injury. Carolina
is 7-1 straight up to Tampa, but
with Delhomme as the starter. Tampa,
led by new quarterback Jeff Garcia, has averaged 27.5 points per game in their
last two. Oft injured Panther middle linebacker Dan Morgan is questionable with
an ankle injury.

Chiefs-Chargers

KC ranks 31st of 32 teams in scoring at 8.7.

Denver-Indianapolis

“Indy has all the makings of a top dichotomous ATS and SU
team,” says OffshoreInsiders.com NFL Guru Mike Godsey of GodsTips. Often used
in the NBA, he explains, “We discount 98 percent of trends, but this has proven
to be the exception to the rule. Explained in our articles around the Net,
basically if a team has a great SU record but horrid ATS record or visa versa,
you ride for that to continue as it is the sign of which teams are most under
or overvalued.” The Colts are 3-0 SU,
yet just 1-2 in the back pocket.

The Colts are 19-2 straight up in September under Tony
Dungy including 11 straight wins. Denver
is the No. 1 pass defense in the NFL. However, their last two trips to Indianapolis,
they’ve allowed a combined 90 points.

Steelers-Cardinals

Arizona’s
head coach Ken Whisenhunt and assistant head coach Russ Grimm know the Steelers
players and many think one of them should have gotten the job that went to Mike
Tomlin. Pittsburgh has outscored
their first three teams by 97-26. Pittsburgh
is 13-1 straight up to the AFC, but will likely be without top wide receiver
Hines Ward.

Arizona is
1-2 with all three games being decided by a field goal in the closing seconds.

Eagles-Giants

Eagle’s running back Brian Westbrook is questionable.
Giants are without their top running back Brandon Jacobs. Their top weapon
Plaxico Burress is seeing a specialist because his injured ankle is not
improving.

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Even More Radio Touts

Now I can winwithtony says my radio. Mark D’Angelo does not have the winning percentage of Las Vegas handicapper Tony Smith or Jonathan Stone’s stone cold locks. Tony is only hitting 89 percent or something like that.

Bet on Dancing With the Stars

Tonight I’m watching my winning
bet
on the MNF game between the New Orleans Saints and Tennessee Titans.
For years, Monday Night Football was on ABC, but now it’s on ESPN.

My wife will be watching the over-the-air Disney Channel
ABC. “Dancing with the Stars” is on tonight. Boring, unless one can wager on it. Luckily one can!

Thanks to the top sportsbook you can do more
than just bet on sports.

Who will be the Dancing with the Stars winner? The top sportsbook betting odds say Melanie Brown is the favorite
at 4-1 followed by Helio Castroneves at 5-1. More
concerned about winning NFL bets, I must confess that I have no idea who Helio Castroneves is, but with a name like Helio, he has to be able to
dance.

The person who will get American sports bettors and sports
punters interested is Dallas Mavericks owner Mark Cuban. I picture him as being
Al Gore’s twin on the dance floor. Cuban is 21-2. Boxer Floyd Mayweather Jr. is 9-2 to knockout the competition,
while Josie Maran is 6-1.

I suppose Las
Vegas
bettors would prefer
Wayne Newtown at 19-2, though one can’t bet in Las
Vegas
on events that are voted
on. So even Vegas sports bettors will have to invent with top sportsbook

 


MNF Winner

Are you ready for some football betting winners? The
Tennessee Titans travel to New Orleans
to take on the Saints. New Orleans
is a 4.5 point favorite, though it’s five at some sportsbooks. The posted total is 45.5.

I did hear on WPEN Sports Radio
950, some radio tout Tony Smith from Las Vegas
is 14-1 and he owns tonight’s game. It’s said there are some crooks feeding on
the suckers, but for every Tony Smith and Jonathan Stone there are legitimate
handicappers like Dr. Bob, Couch Potato and honest ones like Mark Lawrence,
Jeff Benton and Oscar Dooley

The top NFL handicapper, Mike Godsey, has GodsTips 10-4
the last 14 in pro football betting. GodsTips has a Wise Guy on the side at OffshoreInsiders.com

They also, as their free sports betting pick say go with
the over tonight. Here is the rationale.

Despite the high posted total, we have to like the over. Simply
put, the Saints defense is almost as bad as they’ve looked this year, but their
offense is much better.

The Saints are giving up 36 points per game on 7.3 yards
per play and a stunning 11.5 yards per pass. While no defense is that bad,
Tennessee QB Vince Young always finds a way, so he will have a lot of success
tonight.

But playing at home on the fast turf, it is breakout time
for their high powered offense. Remember, we had the Colts and Buccaneers in
their respective games to New Orleans because the Saints offense would face a
fired up team and crowd in the Colts first game since winning the Super Bowl
and the Tampa defense and ball control offense, perfectly designed to slow a
high powered offense. This game goes over early in the fourth quarter.

Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy’s GodsTips are widely
accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as
the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact. OffshoreInsiders.com

 


Best Sportsbooks

All sportsbooks listed
on JoeDuffy.net or OffshoreInsiders.com is
vetted through the independent sportsbook reviews and sportsbook ratings
services such as SportsbookReview, OSGA, TheOnlineWire and others. Plus you give us your sportsbook reviews and
comments and of course we use our own personal experience.


Jonathon Stone Cold Locks Nothing On Doctor Green

So far on my radio, I have heard Dr. Green is the newest
radio tout. I also heard Wayne Root’s
Winning Edge has a bigger play than even TheSportsAdvisors
or SportsAdvisors and Tony Smith.

All those radio 800 number touts have those generic
names. I need to call Doctor Green for
my winning coin flip NFL pick. There’s always Proline
TV with Jimmy Feist and the Cat in the Hat Dave Cokin


More Steaming Audio Fun

Yikes, I guess Jim Feist has run out of money. For the
last several years, one of his top handicappers, Scott Spreitzer
had about 15 minutes of infomercial time with my main man Jody Mac on WPEN in Philadelphia.
It appears instead a boiler room service known as “world class handicapper”
Bobby Ventura is on.

It’s a shame because Spreitzer
was not bad. The (LOL) world class handicapper Bobby Ventura sounded way too
scripted. Where’s Adam Myer or Linebusters when you
need them? Oh well, I guess Spreitzer is still on
that Proline TV or Pigskin Prophet thing.

For elite sports service plays, the only place is OffshoreInsiders.com