Category Archives: Uncategorized

6-0 Early Sweep Led by the Industry’s NFL Game of the Year; SNF and NLCS

Never, ever, ever doubt the greatest handicapper to ever live. It’s been a 2020 hindsight start to the year you could say. But a complete 6-0 sweep of the early card, only the Bengals were a sweat! The entire industry’s NFL Game of the Year on the Lions wins! Were you on the outside looking in? Still time to win! SNF total, plus NLCS Game 7, heavily discounted. See night only option! Get the picks now

Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.

NFL

Wise Guy

DETROIT -3 Jacksonville 1 ET

NFL Game of the Year

We have an angle that deals with fading struggling home underdogs that is a stunning 33-0 ats since 2012. Go with bad road teams off a loss that was not a blowout is 252-151-5. Road favorites off bye under specific circumstances that apply today are 69-33 for 67.6 percent.

CINCINNATI +7.5 Indianapolis 1 ET

Going with road underdogs off a road game is a very good play. There are many systems that apply to that, but the best one is 89-25-5 for 78.1 percent in the history of our database. However, another that has to do with coming off a rout loss is 57-19-1. One of our simulators has the Bengals covering 57.9 percent, which for NFL sides is a high percentage and in fact the strongest side this week.

Major

ATLANTA +4 Minnesota 1 ET

Many angles about going with bad teams, especially on the road apply. Historically, the NFL is the top regression to the mean sport. One about going with winless underdogs is 114-65. We also preach how it is tough to manufacture emotion. The firing of Dan Quinn will light a fire under this underachieving team.

Cincinnati-Indianapolis OVER 46 1 ET

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The over version goes over at a rate of 750-530-26 including 102-53-6 since 2018. It has never had a losing season. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found nearly 60 percent of simulations going over.

Houston-Tennessee OVER 53.5 1 ET

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The over version goes over at a rate of 750-530-26 including 102-53-6 since 2018. It has never had a losing season.

Official Monday Night Football Betting Preview of Saints vs. Raiders

The New Orleans Saints take on the Las Vegas Raiders to finish off week 2 of NFL live lines. Las Vegas opens their billion-dollar stadium. Both teams are 1-0 SU and ATS, going over their only game. Home underdogs of two or more are 41-17-3 since 1991, including 19-9 in week 2. That would favor the Raiders.

Odds: Saints are -5.5 on the road with a total of 48.5 or 49. It opened -4.5 and 50.5.

Public betting percentages: The public as usual loves the road favorite, but at a reasonable rate with 64 percent of bets and 53 percent of money on the Saints. The over is being bet at 62 and 54 percent respectively.

Power ratings: The power line is New Orleans -4.5 and 51.5 with a projected Saints win of 27-23.

Computer simulations ATS: One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found New Orleans covering 52 percent at -5.5 with 52 percent going over 48.5. The other has Raiders overing 56.3 percent at +5.5 and 61.4 percent going over 48.5.

Against the spread trends: New Orleans 20-6 versus an opponent winning home record, but 1-7 overall in week 2. Vegas is 6-2 home underdogs,

Over-under trends: New Orleans over 20-8 after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Vegas under 4-0 MNF.

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. Going back to last Monday night, Joe Duffy is 13-6 in football and early indications are that some mega-systems click in this week. Monday Night Football total, plus NHL side and total, and MLB. Our top two computer simulation models agree on the side and total. Get the picks now