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December 30, 2019

Sportsbook Sets Lines For NFL Job Openings, Favorites for Each Job

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 6:22 PM

As NFL head coach positions become available this week, the media and oddsmakers will prognosticate who will fill those vacancies.  

According to SportsBetting, Kevin Stefanski, Matt Rhule and Mike McCarthy are the favorites to be named the next coaches of Browns, Giants and Panthers, respectively. 

Josh McDaniels is the second favorite for every team. Numbers are subject to quickly change, and here are the current odds:

Browns head coach in Week 1 of 2020 season

Kevin Stefanski 5-2

Josh McDaniels 4-1

Mike McCarthy 6-1

Greg Roman 6-1

Urban Meyer 7-1

Dan Campbell 8-1

Lincoln Riley 10-1

Marvin Lewis 10-1

Matt Rhule 10-1

David Shaw 12-1

Jim Caldwell 12-1

Eric Bienemy 12-1

Giants head coach in Week 1 of 2020 season

Matt Rhule 2-1

Josh McDaniels 5-1

Dan Campbell 7-1

Robert Saleh 7-1

Kevin Stefanski 15-2

Don Martindale 9-1

Urban Meyer 10-1

Greg Roman 12-1

Mike McCarthy 12-1

Jay Gruden 14-1

Brian Daboll 14-1

Jim Harbaugh 16-1

Jason Garrett 20-1

Panthers head coach in Week 1 of 2020 season

Mike McCarthy 5-2

Josh McDaniels 4-1

Greg Roman 6-1

Matt Rhule 6-1

Kevin Stefanski 7-1

Perry Fewell 7-1

Brian Daboll 8-1

Jay Gruden 9-1

Mike LaFleur 9-1

Marvin Lewis 9-1

Jim Harbaugh 16-1

Seahawks-Eagles, Vikings-Saints Injury Report, Public Betting Consensus, Picks

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 5:48 PM

Joe Duffy and OffshoreInsiders.com have NFC wildcard intel, injury reports, and critical betting information. 

Seahawks (-2, 46) vs. Eagles 

  • Better defense based on yards allowed as underdog in playoffs is 56-39 (Eagles) 
  • Playoff teams with more losses 90-64 (Eagles)
  • Russell Wilson 30 TDs and 4,000 yards 
  • Eagles DeSean Jackson doubtful for wildcard but could play after that
  • Eagles lost backup DE and key special teams player Daeshon Hall 
  • Eagles OG Brandon Brooks in out
    • Matt Pryor likely starts 
  • Eagles TE Zach Ertz is questionable 
    • 88 catches for 916 yards and 6 TDs
  • Eagles RB Jordan Howard expected to have bigger role after returning from a six-game absence last week
  • Eagles RB Myles Sanders day-to-day
    • 179 carries for 818 yards rushing, 509 yards receiving 
  • Seahawks starting FS Quandre Diggs is probable 
    • Just 5 games, 3 interceptions, forced fumble and 21 tackles 
  • Seahawks TE Luke Wilson expected to return
    • Good run blocker 
  • Seahawks LB Mychal Kendricks doubtful 
    • 79 tackles and three sacks 
  • 87 percent of bets and 74 percent of money on Seattle 

Pick: UNDER 7.5 first quarter 

Vikings vs. Saints (-8, 48)

  • Playoff dogs of 6.5 or more 46-32
  • Playoff teams with more losses 90-64 (Vikings) 
  • Teams with at least three more SU wins are 21-14 ats 
  • Saints 11-5 ats by 3.1 points per game, but Vikings 9-7 +2.8
  • 99 percent of bets and 97 percent of money on OVER 

The pick: New Orleans -2.5 first quarter 

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Wild Card NFL Odds 2019 Posted

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 12:10 AM

Betonline, home of the opening line has odds for wildcard week. The most intriguing odds has Philadelphia, at .500 a one-point favorite to Seattle. OffshoreInsiders.com will have previews and picks.

Saturday, Jan 04
Buffalo Bills 3 -105 38½ -110
Houston Texans -3 -115 38½ -110
Tennessee Titans 4 -105 40 -110
New England Patriots -4 -115 40 -110
Sunday, Jan 05
Minnesota Vikings 7 -110 44½ -110
New Orleans Saints -7 -110 44½ -110
Seattle Seahawks 1 -110 45½ -110
Philadelphia Eagles -1 -110 45½ -110

December 29, 2019

Black Monday Coaching Firing Odds Posted; Goodbye Jason Garrett

Filed under: Uncategorized — Tags: , — Joe Duffy @ 7:35 PM

The holiday season will unceremoniously end for a few head men around the National Football League.

Black Monday firing papers will be handed out early next week, and SportsBetting has set odds on the probabilities of a handful of NFL head coaches being shown the door.

All five coaches listed on the board have odds pointing toward a termination. However, the over/under for total head coaches fired between Sunday and Wild Card Weekend is 3.5.

Current head coach odds and Week 17 prop bets at SportsBetting

Will Jason Garrett be fired by Week 1 of 2020 season?

Yes -500

No +300

(83.3% implied probability Garrett will be fired)

Will Pat Shurmur be fired by Week 1 of 2020 season?

Yes -175

No +135

(63.6% implied probability Shurmur will be fired)

Will Freddie Kitchens be fired by Week 1 of 2020 season?

Yes -150

No +110

(60.0% implied probability Kitchens will be fired)

Will Anthony Lynn be fired by Week 1 of 2020 season?

Yes -150

No +110

(60.0% implied probability Lynn will be fired)

Will Doug Marrone be fired by Week 1 of 2020 season?

Yes -200

No +150

(66.7% implied probability Marrone will be fired)

Total head coaches fired between end of Week 17 and first playoff game

Over 3.5 (-160)

Under 3.5 (+120)

Best sports picks at OffshoreInsiders.com  

Public Hammering LSU, Line Up to -6

Filed under: Uncategorized — Tags: — Joe Duffy @ 7:33 PM

The national championship is set, and oddsmakers have made LSU a slight favorite against Clemson. 

The initial line posted Saturday night at SportsBetting.ag showed LSU listed as a 3.5-point favorite over Clemson. However, early wagering forced a move to LSU -4, then -4.5 and then finally the current spread of -6.

The game’s over/under is set at 68.5 points, which is by far the highest total in CFP title game history (see complete list below). 

The moneylines, or the odds for each team to just win the game, are LSU -210 and Clemson +180. 

Current odds SportsBetting  

LSU started the season with 30/1 odds to win the CFP National Championship. Clemson’s odds were 13/2, or +650.

LSU’s dominant victory against Oklahoma, as well as the close contest between Clemson and Ohio State, impacted the calculation of the championship odds. On Thursday, SportsBetting.ag posted look-ahead lines for each of the four matchup scenarios and at that time an LSU-Clemson game was listed as a pick ’em or tossup.

CFP National Championship Spreads

2018-19: Alabama (-5) vs. Clemson

2017-18: Alabama (-3.5) vs. Georgia

2016-17: Alabama (-6.5) vs. Clemson

2015-16: Alabama (-6) vs. Clemson

2014-15: Oregon (-6) vs. Ohio State

CFP National Championship Over/Unders

2018-19: Alabama vs. Clemson (57.5)

2017-18: Alabama vs. Georgia (45.5)

2016-17: Alabama vs. Clemson (51)

2015-16: Alabama vs. Clemson (50.5)

2014-15: Oregon vs. Ohio State (72.5)

Clemson is 4-0 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) when listed as an underdog when playing in the CFP. 

All-Time CFP Records

LSU: 1-0 SU / 1-0 ATS

Clemson: 6-2 SU / 7-1 ATS

Best sports picks and vetted bookies at OffshoreInsiders.com  

Early betting has 81 percent of bets and 82 percent of money on LSU. Also 63 percent of bets and 82 percent of money on OVER. 

December 25, 2019

Free Bowl Winning Picks From #1 NCAA Football Sports Service

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 7:16 PM

Free bowl winners from Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com

USC vs Iowa

  • USC only traveling 112 miles to San Diego, Iowa 1532
  • Go against bowl teams with much better turnover rate is 63-46-3 (USC) but 4-8-1 last 3 years
  • Countless angles that say to go with colder spread team as USC covered two straight but Iowa lost two straight (Iowa)
  • USC with only four senior starters makes sense they peaked late
  • USC and coach Clay Helton overcome a ton of injuries but Kedon Slovis is probable at QB
    • 3,242 passing yards with 28 touchdown passes

The pick: USC +2

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Notre Dame vs Iowa State

  • Countless angles that say to go with colder spread team as ND covered four straight while Iowa State lost three straight ats (Iowa State)
  • Irish 949 miles, Iowa State 1158
  • QB Ian Bock and WRs Chase Claypool and two-headed TDs, Irish with weapons
  • Irish more likely to treat like consolation game 
  • Irish expected to run more with evolving RB Jafar Armstrong 
  • Brock Purdy is one of the top ISU QBs ever with 18 school records 

The pick: Iowa State +3.5

Oklahoma vs LSU

  • Oklahoma travels 750 miles to Atlanta, LSU 457
  • Big favorites in expected high scoring games are 87-47-2 (LSU)
  • Fading teams off of great defensive games is 135-95-5 (Oklahoma)
  • Faves of 9 or more in playoffs are 3-1
  • Burrow throwing to Ja’Marr Chase and Justin Jefferson and handing off to Clyde Edwards-Helaire (E-laire) is unstoppable but Helaire is questionable 
  • Oklahoma starting DB Ronnie Perkins and RB Rhamondre Stevenson suspended
    • Stevenson 515 rushing yards, 6 TDs, averaging 8 yards per carry 
    • Perkins leads team in sacks with six and second on tackles for loss with 13.5

The pick: LSU -13

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. Football for the final week of 2019! Thursday, Wise Guy side and total plus Major. Friday, five Wise Guys including Minor Bowl Total of Year plus Major as we already hit Pre-Christmas Bowl Total of Year on Boise State-Washington UNDER. Saturday, Wise Guy totals on both CFB semi-final games, plus Major play side on Ohio State-Clemson, plus Notre Dame-Iowa State total.  Get the picks now

December 22, 2019

NFL Sharp Report, 2 Free Sports Picks, Critical Injuries

Filed under: Uncategorized — Tags: , , — Joe Duffy @ 9:44 AM

Today’s super sharp report from MYBookie. Of course, road favorites dominate the public domain. Bad weather is expected in Atlanta, but the roof is retractable.

NFL

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Kansas City, Baltimore, New Orleans

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Baltimore, Kansas City

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: New York Jets, LA Chargers

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Big Red is a major figure and pioneer in offshore betting. He has unique access to professional oddsmakers and gamblers. All his bets are based on consulting with elite handicappers, pro bettors and linesmakers and tops the list of sources for LateInfo. NFL winning streaks rolls on with 1 ET NFL side.   Get the picks now

Injuries

  • Nelson Agholor is out for Eagles. The WR has 39 catches in 11 games
  • Steelers WR JuJu Smith-Schuster is game-time decision 
  • Vikings RB Mike Boone is probable 

Free pick: 

NBA

LAKERS -7.5 Denver

We have several systems, many overlap somewhat, but the themes are similar. Going with the colder team in a battle of two streaking SU teams is 495-361-13. Fading red-hot underdogs is 342-246-15. Going with much colder fave is 267-134-6. Fair big faves, good team, in losing streak is 242-166-9. 

NFL

OAKLAND +7.5 LA Chargers 

Bad road teams off loss that was not a blowout are 251-150-5. 

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December 20, 2019

NBA Injuries, Free Sports Picks, College Basketball and NBA Sharp Bets

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 5:22 PM

Joe Duffy is on fire. I am 70-40 with all football picks including Wise Guy Buffalo UNDER to start out the bowls! Night Major in college football and three NBA winners for Friday. The biggest betting myths are disproportionately bowl related. That’s why you have lost on your own for years, while my clients win. Don’t be on the outside looking in! Get the picks now

CBB

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: UC Irvine

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: South Dakota, IUPUI

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Norfolk State, IUPUI

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Marquette opened -15 down to -12.5

NBA

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Memphis, Boston, New Orleans 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Memphis, Portland, Indiana, New Orleans

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Indiana 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Boston opened -7 up to -9

GTBets with up to 150% in sign-up bonuses. See free trends and write-ups at high roller sportsbook  5 Dimes

Critical injuries: 

Karl-Anthony Towns MIN at DEN     Doubtful

Fred VanVleet TOR vs WAS    Questionable

Devin Booker PHX at OKC     Questionable

Gordon Hayward BOS vs DET      Out

Julius Randle NY at MIA        Probable

Jeremy Lamb IND vs SAC      Out

Blake Griffin DET at BOS      Out

Bogdan Bogdanovic SAC at IND       Questionable

Luke Kennard DET at BOS      Out

Goran Dragic MIA vs NY        Questionable

Saturday, what a windfall for Joe Duffy! Pre-Christmas Game and Total of the Year both go among six bowl winners. Three NFL Saturday led by two Wise Guys. Sunday, a stunning five Wise Guys and five Majors as another added Wednesday night. Monday, another bowl Major. As long as you have a package that includes Monday you can access all week’s picks.  Get the picks now

Free pick:

NBA

MINNESOTA +10 Denver

Angle that says to bet on struggling away dog under specific circumstances that apply today is 74-48. 

College Basketball Pick, 2 Bowl Saturday Football Locks

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 3:11 PM

Joe Duffy has night Major in college football and three NBA winners for Friday. The biggest betting myths are disproportionately bowl related. That’s why you have lost on your own for years, while my clients win. Don’t be on the outside looking in! Get the picks now

FIU-Arkansas State in Camelia Bowl

  • FIU travels 586 miles to Montgomery 
  • Arkansas State just 348
  • FIU balanced with James Morgan has led the Panthers’ offense with 2,248 passing yards and 13 touchdown passes and RB Anthony Jones 802 rushing yards and 9 TDs
  • FIU lost 3-of-5 to end season, while ASU won 4-of-5 to end season
  • Last 5 Camelia Bowls decided by five or less
  • Butch Davis 6-2 SU bowls including 2-2 FIU
  • ASU 1-4 SU in bowls
  • ASU could be extra motivated for coach Blake Anderson, who left the team for three weeks after death of his wife and turned down overtures from Missouri 
  • When high-powered team plays ball-control team, starts out slowing before warming up

UNDER 13.5 first quarter

Washington-Boise State Las Vegas Bowl

  • Bowl teams with at least two fewer wins yet laying -3 or more are 37-27 for 57.8, 34-21 since 1992 (Washington)
  • Boise State only loss by 3 to BYU
    • Washington crushed BYU on road 45-19
  • Washington should be fired up for Chris Peterson’s final game
  • But Washington been to majors bowls previous three seasons
  • Boise could have chip on their shoulder passed over by Memphis as top non-Power 5 team
  • Boise beat six bowl-bound teams
  • Yes Washington terrible on third down, but time off benefits them 

The pick: Washington -3.5

College Basketball

SMU at Georgia (-4.5, 148)

  • KenPom has it 5 and 145
  • UGA frosh Anthony Edwards 19.8 points per game, 5.2 boards, 2.2 steals 
  • SMU Isiah Mike 48.6 percent of the 37 3-pointers he’s attempted and has made 9 of 18 over the last five games. He’s also converted 90.3 percent of his foul shots this season
  • Georgia has won its last five home games, scoring an average of 92.6 points while giving up 72.2.

The pick: Georgia -4.5

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December 19, 2019

Free Picks, NBA Injury Report and Notes

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 10:08 AM

Joe Duffy with a big day and some free picks. JDP with four winning NBA including a Wise Guy side. Still like those coin flips on three and four-letter network websites from aspiring writers who know nada about handicapping? Welcome back to winners from a 31-year professional. It’s all I’ve done my adult life. Your degenerate handicapper wins.  Get the picks now

Jazz at Hawks 

  • Teams that have lost at least 16-of-18 SU and getting 6 or more points decent 411-363-17 (Atlanta) 
  • Teams that lost 16-of-18 versus an opponent won at least three straight are 100-75-4 (Atlanta)
  • John Collins serving suspension for Hawks
    • 17 points per game, 8.8 rebounds per game
  • Jazz G Mike Conley it out after re-injuring hamstring 
    • 13.6 points per game, 3.3 rebounds, 4.6 assists 

The pick: It’s a Wise Guy at OffshoreInsiders.com    

Lakers at Bucks

  • Anthony Davis missed Tuesday, but should play tonight
    • 27.4 points per game, 9.3 rebounds per game
  • Two teams with winning percentages .850 or over goes UNDER 74-59
  • Kyle Kuzma out for Lake Show
    • 11.1 points per game, 3.4 rebounds 
  • Thursday’s game between the Lakers and Bucks is the second-ever in a full NBA season to pit two teams with four or fewer losses on Dec. 19 or later.

No pick

Nets at Spurs

  • Nets Nwaba is probable with sprained right ankle 
    • This month averaging 8.9 points per game, 2.6 rebounds in 16.6 minutes
  • Jarrett Allen on fire for Nets. Over the last 17 games, Allen is averaging 14.5 points on 68.8 percent shooting, plus 11.7 rebounds per game. He’s risen to second in the NBA with a 65.5 percent field goal percentage
  • Nets 11-5 record dating back to Nov. 15, the Nets are second in the NBA over that stretch in opponent field goal percentage (41.9) and opponent effective field goal percentage (48.5). They’re also ninth in defensive rating (105.1) over the same span
  • LeBron admits 17 years in and 239 playoff games, not overly excited 

The pick: Brooklyn Nets +2.5

Rockets at Clippers

  • Houston’s Eric Gordon remains out
    • 10.9 points per game, 1.9 rebounds 
  • JaMychal Green is out for Clippers 
    • 7.4 points per game, 6.6 rebounds 
  • Clippers much better home than on road, but no real edge
  • Early money on dog, which is rare, but public does love quality dogs 

The pick: LA Clippers -5

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