Friday, March 30, 2007

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NBA

·        Charlotte 20-8 revenging a same season loss this year

·        New York 20-8 revenging double digit loss

·        Houston 28-11 road opponent scores 99 or more points per game

·        Minnesota over 14-2 home total in 180s

·        Boston 7-1 at Philadelphia

·        Detroit 7-16 last 23

·        Dallas 8-2 to New York

Address for site: www.offshoreinsiders.com

E-mail: SVincent@JoeDuffy.net

Websites: Joe Duffy GodsTips.com, Stevie Vincent BetOnSports360.com, and MasterLockLine.com

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: Wednesday, March 28, 2007

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Joe Duffy (www.OffshoreInsiders.com)

Here is an edited look at one of the internal crib sheets compiled on a daily basis by the staff of GodsTips.com. It’s a proactive view of what tendencies sharpies should look for in upcoming days.

Update: Knicks injuries and turmoil both on rise. It is possible Quentin Richardson and David Lee are out for the year.

Insight: We do not subscribe to any conspiracy theories about teams tanking it. As a general rule of thumb, the best value for teams this time of the year is with bad teams. The quality teams are overvalued, but Knicks are a bad team we look to fade.

Owner Jeff Dolan foolishly extended overwhelmed coach Isaiah Thomas’ contract and coach is using injuries as an excuse for failure rather than a rallying cry for success. Plus they have the injuries that sharp players exploit—that is to key players, but non-superstars, injuries that sneak under the radar: Jamal Crawford, David Lee and Quentin Richardson.

Update: The Detroit Pistons will use the final month to fine tune.

Insight: Pistons’ fanatic Brian Gould of CasinoBettingNews.com said that the Pistons offense is out of synch lately because of nagging injuries. “Chauncey Billups is hurting, Rasheed Wallace missed five games and Rip Hamilton is showing signs he needs rest,” said Gould.

With seven of their last 12 games at home, Detroit will be laying some generous numbers, while they work out some kinks and get ready for the playoffs. There should be some good opportunities to take the points going against the Pistons.

Update: Cleveland went 8-0 when rookie guard Daniel Gibson was hurt, but are 1-3 SU since his return.

Insight: This is another example of the importance of chemistry. Coach Mike Brown’s rotation is going haywire trying to find the right combination. Gibson for his part has been a shell of himself shooting just nine percent from the field since his return.

Obviously sharp players will keep a close eye in his progress. Yet again, it’s not LeBron James that the wise guy focuses on, but a key player whose slumps and contributions will be overlooked.

Update: The four teams battling for the last two playoff spots in the Eastern Conference are a combined 15-33 this month.

Insight: Yet again, like we say, one of the biggest myths in gambling is betting on the team that “needs it more”. Any team that is fighting for a playoff spot in the inferior East clearly has not performed during the year when it counts. True spoilers meaning teams that are out of the playoff picture but can rain of some other team’s parade will be a bettor’s goldmine when they play Orlando, New York, New Jersey and Indiana.

Winding up another winning college postseason, Center of the Handicapping Universe GodsTips.com will be researching pro basketball and baseball from every conceivable proactive angle to ensure you year-round winning.

Tuesday, March 27, 2007

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All records ATS

CBB

·        Mississippi State 10-4 their last 14

·        Air Force is 2-6 this last eight

NBA

·        Cleveland 16-5 run

·        Dallas 17-6 versus New Orleans

·        Minnesota 1-7 skid

·        Lakers 1-8 slump

·        Memphis 9-2 to Lakers

·        Miami 10-4 last 14

Monday, March 26, 2007

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NBA

Memphis-Phoenix OVER 224.5

As much as we admittedly have to overcome a bias against betting high totals over (though the bias is based on facts), this game should have about 250 points scored. Memphis has had three straight games in which they both shot and allowed 50 percent or more shooting. In fact, Memphis has shot 50 percent or better in 5-of-8 and 46.2 percent or higher in seven of those eight.

Then there is the Suns. All they do is scored 110.1 points per game while giving up 103.1, but it’s rare they face a team in this much of a run and gun mode as Memphis has been in.

As bad as Memphis is, it’s so much easier to motivate them on offense than on defense. Considering Phoenix has lost 3-of-5 SU, we look for them to go nuts on the scoreboard.

Wednesday, March 21, 2007

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CBB

·        Syracuse covered 7-of-9

·        Clemson 1-5 last six at home

·        DePaul 4-1 last five

NBA

·        Toronto 5-0 versus Orlando

·        Cleveland 7-2 home versus Dallas

·        Minnesota 7-3 road to Sacramento

·        Washington 7-1 to Seattle

·        Seattle 3-6 skid

Joe Duffy (www.OffshoreInsiders.com)

The latest breaking sports betting industry news at CasinoBettingNews.com

Pittsburgh-UCLA

Pitt guard Mike Cook missed practice time this week after playing just seven minutes in the second half Sunday because of a bruised knee. However, he said he will play against the Bruins. UCLA will be performing in their home state, while the Panthers traveled 2,600 miles. Teams playing in their home state in the NCAA Tournament are 70-15 SU.

Pittsburgh has the size advantage led by 7-footer Aaron Gray. UCLA’s tallest starter is 6-8 Alfred Aboye, who is playing out of position.

Texas A&M-Memphis

A&M is playing a virtual home game against a Memphis team that will travel 726 miles. The game is in San Antonio where the Aggie football team drew 64,583 fans against Army. What we just informed you about UCLA also apply to the Aggies: teams playing in their home state in the NCAA Tournament are 70-15 SU.

Memphis has played just three games versus quality opponents in front of hostile crowds. They lost at Tennessee 76-58, at Arizona 79-71, but edged Gonzaga at Spokane Arena 78-77.

Vanderbilt-Georgetown

Vanderbilt has done well in revenge this year, beating both Georgia and Florida in second meetings after losing the initial clash. Such applies in this game as in their season opener, the Commodores lost to Georgetown 86-70.

Ohio State-Tennessee

On Jan. 13 these two teams met. Leading with 26.5 seconds remaining, Tennessee missed a pair of front ends of one-and-one situations allowing Ohio State to escape with a narrow win 68-66.

Perhaps that’s good news for Tennessee, which is 3-0 in rematches this year if they lost the initial meeting. The revenge victories were to Florida, Kentucky and Vanderbilt. Tennessee is tested, having played six of the Sweet 16 teams.

Butler-Florida

Florida has a huge height mismatch led by top NBA prospects and likely lottery picks 6-11 Joakim Noah and 6-10 Al Horford. The Bulldogs have no starters bigger than 6-7. Butler’s best player A.J Graves is in a 9-for-34 shooting slump.

Kansas-Southern Illinois

Kansas won their first two games by an average of 26 points per game. Averaging 79.5 points per game entering the tournament, the Jayhawks have averaged 97.5 in the Big Dance thus far.

However, SIU entered having allowed just 56.5 points per game and have surrendered a measly 49.5 in the first two games.

Matt Shaw, Southern Illinois’ third-leading scorer and No. 2 rebounder missed Sunday’s game with an ankle injury, breaking a string of 82 straight starts. He is questionable Thursday.

UNLV-Oregon

The Running Rebels are 22-1 this year when not playing on their opponent’s home court.

Joe Duffy of GodsTips.com continues to be Mr. March, entering the Sweet 16 on 6-1 Big Dance run. Check out his premium picks on OffshoreInsiders.com

Please check out the sports gambling ticker now updated at CasinoBettingNews.com

Joe Duffy (www.OffshoreInsiders.com)

Major League Baseball announced that for the first time ever, baseballs must be stored at a uniform temperature. Some clubs will be using humidors, while all will have some kind of temperature controlled facility.

Thanks to the thin air of Denver, the Colorado Rockies Coors field was easily the source of the most runs of any ballpark in the Majors for their first eight years of existence. In three of the last four years, they fell to second. The perception is that the significant drop in runs traces back to the fact that Colorado installed a humidor in 2002 to store the baseballs.

The numbers support this assessment. Coors Field averages dropped to an all-time low of 10.7 last year, as opposed to 15 runs at its peak in 1996.

But what are the consequences for gamblers? “The intention and likely result is uniformity,” states Cy McCormick of MasterLockLine.com. “The early consensus is the variances from stadium to stadium will be much less than ever.”

Speaking of uniformity, it is also the first time teams are mandated to use baseballs manufactured in the current year.

Stevie Vincent of BetOnSports360.com thinks scoring will be down. “The sample in Colorado is statistically significant enough to believe the trend will repeat itself across the board”. But he adds gamblers may not want to forget that the ramifications of the long-overdue crackdown on steroids will be felt gradually, not overnight as many baseball fans foolishly assumed.

“If, as widely believed, power totals were greatly bloated because of the use of steroids, the concentrated effort to eliminate steroids will not un-ring a bell.” Vincent notes that players who bulked up because of years of being on the juice “were not going to become 90 pound weaklings just because they stopped.”

Vincent believes with each offseason in which players do not use steroids, the power totals will slowly move back to rates of 15-25 years ago.

McCormick cautions that the sharp player will have a limited window to exploit. “If run production is down, posted totals will quickly drop accordingly.”

“The oddsmakers know what they are doing,” he reminds us.

Going back to his “JD of the ACC” scorephone days, Joe Duffy has been considered the undisputed king of the underdogs and small favorites. Now CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, his plays are exclusively part of GodsTips.com.

Friday, March 16, 2007

MOST TOURNAMENT RELEASES IN ONE DAY EVER, 14 MAJORS AND 4 WG FRIDAY

Check out OffshoreInsiders.com for the latest records as many plays pending as we send this out. Our respected 18 hour days have uncovered 18 winners already for Friday, all in the NCAA (NIT and NBA updated late morning). Four Wise Guy plays are among them from the single greatest sports service of all time, GodsTips.com, led by the Lord of the Dance Joe Duffy. We continue to win more than anyone else because we work harder than everyone else.

Including our Cadillac Club scorephone days, these are the most Big Dance plays we have ever released in one day. Find out why. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips $17 at the new home: OffshoreInsiders.com.

CBB

Georgia Tech-UNLV over 140.5

Both teams play up-tempo and neither team has shown any reason to believe they won’t continue.

Tech coach Paul Hewitt says he does not need to make any adjustments for the three guard offense of UNLV. Not making huge adjustments will help them on offense but hurt them on defense, where they will see a look they are not accustomed to.

The Runnin’ Rebels, led by former Atlanta Hawks coach Lon Kruger, aren’t afraid to shoot. UNLV has won 14 of its 18 games when taking more 3-pointers than opponents, including a 3-0 run last week in which the team combined for 29 to win the Mountain West Conference tournament. They will live and die by the three.

Wednesday, March 14, 2007

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CBB

·        Fresno 4-1 road run

·        Syracuse 6-1 last seven

·        Appalachian State 11-3 last 14 games

·        Kansas State 6-1 their last seven at home

·        Austin Peay 14-7 last 21

NBA

·        Toronto 6-1 versus New York

·        Sacramento over 11-of-15 games

·        Orlando 3-9 their last 12

·        Memphis 7-2 at Cleveland

·        Cleveland 7-0 run

·        Detroit is 8-4 at Portland

Joe Duffy (www.OffshoreInsiders.com)

Here are some sharp player highlights from our clipboard.

UCLA-Weber State

UCLA has emphasized defense in their practices since their first-round elimination in the Pac 10 tournament. In their first 22 games, the Bruins allowed 41.9 percent shooting, but in their last nine, opponents made 46.9 percent of their shots.

Gonzaga-Indiana

Remember, Gonzaga is without big time player Josh Heytvelt because of a drug arrest. He is their second leading scorer. They lost their first home game in their last 50 without him and the absence of the 6-11 center has forced the Bulldogs to go with a four-guard offense.

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi-Wisconsin

For those looking for a 15 seed over second seed upset, according to Cy McCormick of MasterLockLine.com, “Most experts I talk to believe Wisconsin is as vulnerable of a second seed in a long time” pointing to the fact they are only 3-3 SU in their last six.

Jackson State-Florida

Despite their No. 1 seed, Florida players are singing the “no respect” tune, so they may be looking to make a statement Friday. Center Al Horford says his left ankle is still bothering him but it’s nothing serious and he will play.

Duke-Virginia Commonwealth

VCU has top notch guards and Duke has struggled against such teams as of late. In their current three-game losing streak the Blue Devils have allowed 57 assists, not to mention 85 points or more each game.

Wright State-Pittsburgh

Few teams were more drastically improved from the first part of the year than Wright State. They started out 5-6 including losses to Coastal Carolina and Chicago State, not to mention getting trounced 71-45 by LSU. They are 18-3 since, including 11-1 their last 12. A major part of the turnaround is the emergence of freshmen Vaughn Duggins and Todd Brown, two of their four leading scorers.

Vanderbilt-George Washington

In great part due to an injury to Alan Metcalfe, the Commodores started out 1-3 which included a loss to lowly Furman at home. They have since beaten six ranked teams en rout to their third 20-win season in four years.

Old Dominion-Butler

Old Dom has won 12-of-13 entering the tournament. They defeated Georgetown 75-62. Their slow start to the year at 12-7 was in no small part due to adjusting to the graduation of two All-Conference players from last season.

Villanova-Kentucky

Oft injured Villanova point guard Mike Nardi has a bone scan on his injured ankle. It revealed nothing but a sprain and he expects to be close to full strength. Kentucky is tested, having played 14 games versus 11 foes that are in the Field of 65.

UNLV-Georgia Tech

UNLV has a three-guard offense, a look Tech has not seen, but head coach Paul Hewitt says his team needs not to make adjustments.

Oral Roberts-Washington State

For those who love senior led team, Oral Roberts is for you. Caleb Green and Ken Tutt have a combined 4,490 career points. They also knocked off No. 1 seed Kansas 78-71 in Lawrence earlier this season.

For the best pointspread picks and the highest percentage of winners, visit Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com

Wednesday, March 13, 2007

IT’S HERE, OUR BEST TIME OF THE YEAR, WINNING NIGHT TUES, NIT WISE GUY + PLAY IN SIDE & TOTAL

GodsTips.com has hit every play in game in the NCAA Tournament. Our perfection continues tonight. We have the Florida A&M and Niagara side and total. We also have our first NIT Wise Guy of many Wise Guy winners on the horizon. Eight winners in all also includes an NBA Wise Guy.

Please note, the Bit It Trinity debuts their four day pass, but today and today only get ALL of the nation’s top service plays five days instead of four. Remember five days takes you through the first two rounds of the Dance. Folks, the plays have a retail value of $360, but you get it for $169! Click now to purchase

CBB

MISSISSIPPI STATE -23 Mississippi Valley State

Miss Valley really does not deserve to be here, but the new NIT rules stipulate a regular season champ that does not make the Big Dance gets an NIT birth. State is playing well. The Bulldogs seemed to be gathering steam toward an NCAA Tournament berth with a late-season charge that saw them win six of their last nine regular-season games and an overtime game against Kentucky Friday in the SEC Tournament in Atlanta.

The big chalks have reason why they are peaking now and motivation to do well. Three of the team’s five starters are underclassmen and the first players off the bench are freshmen.

Head coach Rich Stansbury said the NIT should help them get ready for more expected runs at postseason play in the coming years.

A bad rule created this mismatch. We’ll take it to the bank.

Monday, March 12, 2007

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NBA

·        Orlando 3-8 run

·        New Jersey 0-5 skid

·        Toronto 8-4 road

·        Orlando under 22-10 as a favorite

·        Dallas under 10-1 this year back to back situations

·        Memphis over 20-8 if they lost at least 15 of 20 SU

·        Orlando 5-20 if they lost 2-of-3 SU

Joe Duffy (www.OffshoreInsiders.com)

While so much focus is on the Big Dance, the true sharpies focus just as much if not more on the NIT Tournament. Often there are more opportunities because much like in the minor football bowls, elite sports betting experts take advantage of certain teams playing in a huge game for them against foes that are playing in a consolation tournament.

Of course we will take a look at the personnel match-ups, wait until the private and public databases, strengths of schedule and power ratings are updated through the Sunday finals, latest odds and match-ups.

But here are some major bullet points of great interest to pointspread players for NIT match-ups.

South Alabama-Syracuse

Syracuse has made no bones about it: they won’t exactly be fired up as they believe they should be in the NCAAs. Even head coach Jim Boeheim said, “It will be difficult for (the players) to get geared up” for the NIT.

The Orangemen made first round exits of the NCAA Tournament each of the last two appearances.

San Diego State-Missouri State

Often a team misses an at large bid to the big prize because they struggled down the stretch. Such is not the case for the Aztecs who enter this game winning 8-of-11. Missouri State played their worst against the best, going 1-7 against the top competition on their schedule.

Air Force-Austin Peay

Air Force enters ice cold, having lost four straight. No team went from likely in to out quicker than the Falcons and will face a challenge of regrouping.

Utah State-Michigan

Playing against a bigger conference foe won’t intimidate the Aggies. They went 6-4 against teams that made NCAA tournament, though none from BCS conferences. It’s Utah State’s eight straight tournament appearance, so the bright lights will not be a factor.

Toledo-Florida State

Florida State is 27-5 home SU the last two years. Toledo was just 5-12 SU outside the MAC. All 12 of FSU’s losses were to teams in the RPI Top 50 so they have feasted on non-elite teams.

NC State-Drexel

Though Drexel is widely considered the top snub, mid-major teams rarely look at the NIT as something as kissing their sister. Instead, they could be the proverbial team with a chip on their shoulder. They get an NC State team that should be tired after their near miraculous run in the ACC Finals fell short. State does not have a lot of depth and their players logged significant minutes.

Vermont-Kansas State

Sharp players will keep a close eye on any signs over the next couple of days as to whether the Wildcats disappointment will be a rallying cry or deflating heartbreak. If it’s an “us against the world,” look out. They are the first team in the modern era from a major conference to win at least 20 games, including 10 in their conference, but have to settle for the NIT.

Joe Duffy’s sports betting selections are at www.GodsTips.com. During his days as legendary handicapper “JD of the ACC”, he developed the moniker of Mr. March for his 18 hour work days that have resulted in unprecedented college basketball postseason winning.

Saturday, March 10, 2007

All trends are ATS and from private and commercial databases used by the OffshoreInsiders.com elite handicappers: Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com, Stevie Vincent’s BetOnSports360.com and MasterLockLine.com

NBA

·        Minnesota 8-4 road to Atlanta

·        Minnesota-Atlanta series under 8-4 in Atlanta

·        Indiana 0-4 run

·        Indiana-Philadelphia series under 6-of-8 in Indiana

CBB

·        Cal Poly 6-1 last seven

·        Boston College 23-10 revenging a home loss

·        Purdue 17-9 in all games

Friday, March 09, 2007

GodsTips.com goes 6-2 last night, including nailing the only Wise Guy on Colorado State. Get the three-day pass now. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips $17 at the new home: OffshoreInsiders.com.

CBB

·        Michigan 4-8 his last 12