Friday Computer Trends

Friday, March 30, 2007

UNIVERSAL PASS:
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NBA

·       
Charlotte
20-8 revenging a same season loss this year

·       
New York
20-8 revenging double digit loss

·       
Houston
28-11 road opponent scores 99 or more points per game

·       
Minnesota
over 14-2 home total in 180s

·       
Boston
7-1 at Philadelphia

·       
Detroit
7-16 last 23

·       
Dallas
8-2 to New York

 

 


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E-mail: SVincent@JoeDuffy.net

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: Wednesday, March 28, 2007

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#

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Sports Gambling Watch List 3-27

Joe Duffy (www.OffshoreInsiders.com)

Here is an edited look at one of the internal crib sheets
compiled on a daily basis by the staff of GodsTips.com.
It’s a proactive view of what tendencies sharpies should look for in upcoming
days.

Update: Knicks
injuries and turmoil both on rise. It is possible Quentin Richardson and David
Lee are out for the year.

Insight: We do
not subscribe to any conspiracy theories about teams tanking it. As a general
rule of thumb, the best value for teams this time of the year is with bad teams.
The quality teams are overvalued, but
Knicks are a bad team we look to fade.

Owner Jeff Dolan foolishly extended overwhelmed coach
Isaiah Thomas’ contract and coach is using injuries as an excuse for failure
rather than a rallying cry for success. Plus they have the injuries that sharp
players exploit—that is to key players, but non-superstars, injuries that sneak
under the radar: Jamal Crawford, David Lee and Quentin Richardson.

Update: The
Detroit Pistons will use the final month to fine tune.

Insight: Pistons’
fanatic Brian Gould of CasinoBettingNews.com
said that the Pistons offense is out of synch lately because of nagging
injuries. “Chauncey Billups is hurting, Rasheed
Wallace missed five games and Rip Hamilton is showing signs he needs rest,”
said Gould.

With seven of their last 12 games at home, Detroit
will be laying some generous numbers, while they work out some kinks and get
ready for the playoffs. There should be
some good opportunities to take the points going against the Pistons.

Update: Cleveland
went 8-0 when rookie guard Daniel Gibson was hurt, but are
1-3 SU since his return.

Insight: This
is another example of the importance of chemistry. Coach Mike Brown’s rotation
is going haywire trying to find the right combination. Gibson for his part has
been a shell of himself shooting just nine percent from the field since his
return.

Obviously sharp players will keep a close eye in his
progress. Yet again, it’s not LeBron
James that the wise guy focuses on, but a key player whose slumps and
contributions will be overlooked.

Update: The
four teams battling for the last two playoff spots in the Eastern Conference
are a combined 15-33 this month.

Insight: Yet
again, like we say, one of the biggest myths in gambling is betting on the team
that “needs it more”. Any team that is fighting for a playoff spot in the
inferior East clearly has not performed during the year when it counts. True spoilers meaning teams that are out of
the playoff picture but can rain of some other team’s parade will be a bettor’s
goldmine when they play Orlando, New
York
, New Jersey
and Indiana.

Winding up another winning college postseason, Center of
the Handicapping Universe GodsTips.com
will be researching pro basketball and baseball from every conceivable
proactive angle to ensure you year-round winning.


Tuesday Computer Trends

Tuesday, March 27,
2007

Each of the nation’s elite handicappers has a full season
MLB package at a huge discount now at OffshoreInsiders.com

All records ATS

CBB

·       
Mississippi
State
10-4 their last 14

·       
Air Force is 2-6 this last eight

NBA

·       
Cleveland
16-5 run

·       
Dallas
17-6 versus New Orleans

·       
Minnesota
1-7 skid

·       
Lakers 1-8 slump

·       
Memphis
9-2 to Lakers

·       
Miami
10-4 last 14


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Monday, March 26,
2007

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NBA

Memphis-Phoenix OVER 224.5

As much as we admittedly have to overcome a bias against
betting high totals over (though the bias is based on facts), this game should
have about 250 points scored. Memphis
has had three straight games in which they both shot and allowed 50 percent or
more shooting. In fact, Memphis
has shot 50 percent or better in 5-of-8 and 46.2 percent or higher in seven of
those eight.

Then there is the Suns. All they
do is scored 110.1 points per game while giving up 103.1, but it’s rare they
face a team in this much of a run and gun mode as Memphis
has been in.

As bad as Memphis
is, it’s so much easier to motivate them on offense than on defense. Considering
Phoenix has lost 3-of-5 SU, we look
for them to go nuts on the scoreboard.


Wednesday Computer Trends

Wednesday, March 21, 2007

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CBB

·       
Syracuse
covered 7-of-9

·       
Clemson 1-5 last six at home

·       
DePaul 4-1 last five

 

NBA

·       
Toronto
5-0 versus Orlando

·       
Cleveland
7-2 home versus Dallas

·       
Minnesota
7-3 road to Sacramento

·       
Washington
7-1 to Seattle

·       
Seattle
3-6 skid


Sweet 16 Bettors Notebook

Joe Duffy (www.OffshoreInsiders.com)

 

The latest breaking sports betting industry news at CasinoBettingNews.com

Pittsburgh-UCLA

Pitt guard Mike Cook missed practice time this week after
playing just seven minutes in the second half Sunday because of a bruised
knee. However, he said he will play
against the Bruins. UCLA will be performing in their home state, while the
Panthers traveled 2,600 miles. Teams playing in their home state in the NCAA
Tournament are 70-15 SU.

Pittsburgh has
the size advantage led by 7-footer Aaron Gray. UCLA’s tallest starter is 6-8
Alfred Aboye, who is playing out of position.

Texas A&M-Memphis

A&M is playing a virtual home game against a Memphis
team that will travel 726 miles. The game is in San
Antonio
where the Aggie football team drew 64,583 fans
against Army. What we just informed you about UCLA also apply to the Aggies:
teams playing in their home state in the NCAA Tournament are 70-15 SU.

Memphis has
played just three games versus quality opponents in front of hostile
crowds. They lost at Tennessee
76-58, at Arizona 79-71, but
edged Gonzaga at Spokane Arena 78-77.

Vanderbilt-Georgetown

Vanderbilt has done well in revenge this year, beating
both Georgia and
Florida in second meetings after
losing the initial clash. Such applies in this game as in their season opener,
the Commodores lost to Georgetown
86-70.

Ohio State-Tennessee

On Jan. 13 these two teams met. Leading with 26.5 seconds
remaining, Tennessee missed a
pair of front ends of one-and-one situations allowing Ohio
State
to escape with a narrow win
68-66.

Perhaps that’s good news for Tennessee,
which is 3-0 in rematches this year if they lost the initial meeting. The revenge victories were to Florida,
Kentucky and Vanderbilt. Tennessee
is tested, having played six of the Sweet 16 teams.

Butler-Florida

Florida has
a huge height mismatch led by top NBA prospects and likely lottery picks 6-11
Joakim Noah and 6-10 Al Horford. The
Bulldogs have no starters bigger than 6-7. Butler’s
best player A.J Graves is in a 9-for-34 shooting slump.

Kansas-Southern Illinois

Kansas won
their first two games by an average of 26 points per game. Averaging 79.5
points per game entering the tournament, the Jayhawks have averaged 97.5 in the
Big Dance thus far.

However, SIU entered having allowed just 56.5 points per
game and have surrendered a measly 49.5 in the first two games.

Matt Shaw, Southern Illinois
third-leading scorer and No. 2 rebounder missed Sunday’s game with an ankle
injury, breaking a string of 82 straight starts. He is questionable Thursday.

UNLV-Oregon

The Running Rebels are 22-1 this year when not playing on
their opponent’s home court.

Joe Duffy of GodsTips.com
continues to be Mr. March, entering the
Sweet 16 on 6-1 Big Dance run. Check out
his premium picks on OffshoreInsiders.com


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Sharpies Weigh in on Baseball Humidors

Joe Duffy (www.OffshoreInsiders.com)

Major League Baseball announced that for the first time
ever, baseballs must be stored at a uniform temperature. Some clubs will be
using humidors, while all will have some kind of temperature controlled
facility.

Thanks to the thin air of Denver,
the Colorado Rockies Coors field was easily the source of the most runs of any
ballpark in the Majors for their first eight years of existence. In three of
the last four years, they fell to second. The perception is that the
significant drop in runs traces back to the fact that Colorado
installed a humidor in 2002 to store the baseballs.

The numbers support this assessment. Coors Field averages
dropped to an all-time low of 10.7 last year, as opposed to 15 runs at its peak
in 1996.

But what are the consequences for gamblers? “The intention
and likely result is uniformity,” states Cy McCormick
of MasterLockLine.com.
“The early consensus is the variances from stadium to stadium will be much less
than ever.”

Speaking of uniformity, it is also the first time teams
are mandated to use baseballs manufactured in the current year.

Stevie Vincent of BetOnSports360.com thinks scoring will be down.
“The sample in Colorado is
statistically significant enough to believe the trend will repeat itself across
the board”. But he adds gamblers may not
want to forget that the ramifications of the long-overdue crackdown on steroids
will be felt gradually, not overnight as many baseball fans foolishly assumed.

“If, as widely believed, power totals were greatly bloated
because of the use of steroids, the concentrated effort to eliminate steroids
will not un-ring a bell.” Vincent notes that players who bulked up because of
years of being on the juice “were not going to become 90 pound weaklings just
because they stopped.”

Vincent believes with each offseason in which players do
not use steroids, the power totals will slowly move back to rates of 15-25
years ago.

McCormick cautions that the sharp player will have a
limited window to exploit. “If run
production is down, posted totals will quickly drop accordingly.”

“The oddsmakers know what they are doing,” he reminds us.

Going back to his “JD of the ACC” scorephone days, Joe
Duffy has been considered the undisputed king of the underdogs and small
favorites. Now CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, his
plays are exclusively part of GodsTips.com.





Friday GodsTips

Friday, March 16,
2007

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CBB

Georgia Tech-UNLV
over 140.5

Both teams play up-tempo and neither team has shown any
reason to believe they won’t continue.

Tech coach Paul Hewitt says he does not need to make any
adjustments for the three guard offense of UNLV. Not making huge adjustments will help them on
offense but hurt them on defense, where they will see a look they are not
accustomed to.

The Runnin’ Rebels, led by
former Atlanta Hawks coach Lon Kruger, aren’t afraid to shoot. UNLV has won 14 of its 18 games when taking more 3-pointers
than opponents, including a 3-0 run last week in which the team combined for 29
to win the Mountain West Conference tournament. They will live and die by the three.