Free Baseball Pick, NBA Betting Super Sharp Intel Breakdown

The hits keep coming! Six MLB Wise Guys off another winning day in MLB going 3-2 led by +168 on Texas.I’m not bullshitting when I tell you the database audit is the best thing that has ever happened to us professional gamblers. So juiced for tonight. Six NBA led by Wise Guy. Joe Duffy’s Wise Guy plays the strongest bet in the gambling cosmos. Ask any pro gambler! Get the picks now 

MLB free pick:

CLEVELAND (ALLEN +107) Cincinnati (Hoffman)

Cleveland just 3-4 road, while Reds 5-1 at home. Yet pretty much a pick. Anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is +155.64 units and a 15.3 ROI. If teams are small away underdogs despite a big net run disadvantage, listen to what the oddsmakers tell you and go with the seemingly inferior small road underdog at 91.26 units and 11.8 ROI. Logan Allen has pitched well in two starts with a 2.70 ER, solid 1.2 WHIP. Both are better than Jeff Hoffman’s numbers. 

MLB Trends:

Twins under 35-11-3 to AL

San Francisco 33-23 with total 7.5-9.5 for +16.65 units

Cubs under 23-5-2 to NL

Colorado 18-41 last 49 for -18.4 units

NBA

Oklahoma City 35-14 road

Philadelphia over 27-10 as favorites

Rockets 45-74-1

Timberwolves 44-71-2

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: San Antonio (72), LA Clippers (65), Washington (64), Minnesota (59) all underdogs 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Portland (93), Toronto (87)

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Portland, Toronto, Philadelphia 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Detroit -7 to -3, New Orleans P to  -2.5

Free Pick NBA and critical Inside Info

JDP continues to take handicapping to a brand-new level at 36-22 all. This includes Tigers has huge dogs each of the previous two nights cashing in. NBA sweep means 16-6 lately there. Three days winners in MLB, five night, all Wise Guys. 

Two NBA Wise Guys, but includes rare day game 4:30 ET among three NBA.

Free NBA pick

DALLAS -2.5 Memphis

You would look at each team’s record and see that Dallas is 29-24 SU, Memphis is 27-25. Those records are close enough that with home court advantage, seeing the road team laying 2.5. But we have an angle that compares advanced metrics to the line and record and isolates undervalued to overvalued teams and that is the case here with Mavs having and angle 414-212-11 favoring them. Road favorites that shoot substantially more three-pointers than league average are 1265-1027-49. 

Dallas has lost two straight and 3-of-4 but nice bounceback angle that is 883-699-25. Fade home underdogs off win under specific situations is 78-33-1. With Memphis hotter team at 5-2 last seven, many more angles using the oddsmakers knowledge against them going with better but colder team. 

NBA Trends

  • Milwaukee 30-10 against the spread in its last 40 games when the spread is between -11.5 and -7.5
  • Kings over 60-38-2 last 100
  • San Antonio under 16-1 as a road favorite off a win as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than five blocks per game
  • Detroit 17-1 when the spread is between 6 and 10 following a loss
  • Milwaukee under 21-2 off a 10+ win in a road game in which they never trailed
  • Memphis under 28-11 at home
  • Timberwolves 44-70-2 last 116

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Miami Heat (62) which is high for an underdog, Toronto (59) significant because the public again backing underdogs 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Milwaukee (85), Chicago (85)

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: San Antonio, Chicago 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds:

Jamal Murry Odds Rock the NBA Championship Boat

Jamal Murray is done for the season, and Denver’s chances of bringing home a title or conference championship took a hit on and off the court.

SportsBetting made changes to its NBA Finals and Western Conference odds following the Nuggets’ official announcement that Murray has a torn ACL.

While Denver’s odds decreased, five other teams from the West saw their odds improve. 

Here are the changes in odds:

Nuggets
Championship – 16/1 to 22/1 
West – 8/1 to 12/1 

Lakers
Championship – 7/2 to 13/4 (+325)
West – 19/10 to 7/4 (+175)

Clippers
Championship – 6/1 to 11/2
West – 14/5 to 5/2

Jazz
Championship – no change
West – 7/2 to 13/4 (+325)

Suns 
Championship – no change
West – 12/1 to 10/1

Mavericks
Championship – 35/1 to 33/1
West – 16/1 to 14/1

Spread Betting trends, Free Bet Pick, Line Moves

Since streamlining database, elimination underperforming overly backfitted systems, our audit has produced a 25-14 spurt and I have flat out never been more optimistic about the future. 14-8 MLB. Four NBA led by two Wise Guys. Six MLB led by three Wise Guys. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are the single strongest bet in gambling. The future is so bright, I got to wear shades. Get the picks now 

MLB free pick

Tampa-Texas UNDER 7.5 (Glasnow-Dunning) 7:10

Total compared to season average goes under 2539-2031-240.

Top ATS trends

MLB

  • Twins under 32-10-3 to AL
  • Tampa 49-26 last 75 for +16.47 units
  • Cubs under 22-4-1 to NL

NBA

  • Phoenix 44-19 ATS last 63
  • Houston under 79-52-2 last 133
  • Utah is 20-3-1 home
  • Houston 44-73-1 last 118

Bet Now lowest moneyline juice of any vetted sportsbook

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: LA Lakers (66 percent). With the public generally preferring favorites, this is significant. 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: New Orleans (92), Memphis (89)

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: New Orleans, Denver 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Utah opened -13.5 now -11, New York -3.5 to -2

NBA Sharp Report, Free Pick

So it begins for Joe Duffy clients! A new wave of super systems, streamlining of old ones, and the Grandmaster goes 4-1 in MLB. Six MLB winners, three each of mid-to-late afternoon and three night led by NL Runline Game of the Week and a system that is +683.16 units on the plus side. 

Four NBA tonight including a super system that is 2301-1914-81. This includes 52-18-1 this year and 481-302-26 since 2015. It applies to both Wise Guys. Get the picks now 

Free NBA pick from Joe Duffy is 

SAN ANTONIO +8.5 Denver 

It is no secret that the public loves better on the better and hotter teams. This creates an overlay. Spurs are 2-9 SU last 11. Denver is sizzling including winning seven straight and 16-of-19. However, we have an angle that says to bet on a much colder team is 519-377-13 ATS, despite being 356-553 outright, crushing the inductive myth about betting on the team you think will win outright. 

Sportsline gives San Antonio a 59 percent chance of covering. Action Network power ratings have this at 7.2 difference, so like TeamRankings, slight edge to our side. MasseyRatings has the spread at -7.5. 

Jamal Murray, who averages 21.8 points per game for Nuggets likely limited. 

NBA trends:

  • Rockets under 79-50-1 last 131
  • Pelicans over 31-12 at home 
  • Timberwolves 43-68-2 ATS last 113

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets NBA: Chicago (63), this is significant as the public generally likes favorites. The popular adage is public dogs die. 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Philadelphia (82)

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: LA Clippers, Golden State, Orlando 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Denver opened -6.5, now -8.5. 

Bet Now has the lowest moneyline juice of any approved and vetted sportsbook. This is massive as cutting one’s risk per each losing bet maximizes profits. 

Bellator MMA 256 Updated Odds

Bellator debuts on Showtime this Friday, and there are a lot of people betting on the hype.

Bellator MMA 256 will feature just one of the Light Heavyweight World Grand Prix Quarterfinal matchups, but the odds for all four bouts have shifted significantly over the last few months.

Tournament odds are from SportsBetting

Light Heavyweight World Grand Prix

Vadim Nemkov                       +190    

Yoel Romero               +425    

Ryan Bader                  +500    

Anthony Johnson                    +700    

Corey Anderson                      +1000  

Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov              +1000  

Phil Davis                    +1400  

Lyoto Machida                        +3300  

Fight odds for Bellator MMA 256 can be found at SportsBetting

Ryan Bader -290

Lyoto Machida +230

(Bader opened as -500 favorite)

Vadim Nemkov -205

Phil Davis +165

(Nemkov opened as -350 favorite)

Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov +150

Corey Anderson -175

(Yagshimuradov opened as -150 favorite)

Liz Carmouchie -180

Vanessa Porto +155

Jeremy Kennedy -130

Adam Borics +110

Olivia Parker +500

Cat Zingano -700

Best sports betting picks are found at OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picks and information.

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Sharp Betting Report With Free Sports Pick

Free pick from Joe Duffy in the NBA is:

LA CLIPPERS -6 Phoenix

Phoenix is piping hot having won seven straight outright and 10-of-11, yet they are getting a big number. Ah and we have a system that says to fade red-hot underdogs to the tune of 463-333-22. Fading unrested teams off an OT under specific situations that apply in this game is 243-173-7. 

MLB

Marlins 17-10 road with a total of 7.5-9.5. 

Twins under 31-8-3 to American League

Cubs under 16-1-1 to National League

To those who have not already locked in to a long-term Joe Duffy’s Picks package, now is the time. Tons of systems triggered for day winners. Five day games, though first at 3:05 ET. This includes an angle that is a breathtaking 414.96 units on the plus side.

Wise Guy and Major NBA! Get the picks now 

NBA

Andre Drummond expected to play for Lakers. 

Phoenix 43-18 ATS last 61 games

Sacramento over 59-36-2 overall 

Kings over 19-3-1 rested with a total between 223-227

Raptors 13-0 at home off loss in which field goal percentage was less than .400

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NBA intel…

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Chicago (70), also note the Bucks have 62 percent which is high for an underdog. Blazers have 57 percent, unusual for significant underdogs. 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Sacramento (88), 

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Dallas, Sacramento 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Dallas opened at +1.5, now laying -2. Sacramento opened -4.5 now -7.5. 

Masters Odds 2021: Favorites to Win Green Jacket

Latest odds to win the Masters from Bovada. There is no clear-cut favorite with five golfers between 9-1 and 12-1. All odds based on $100 per bet. Hence +1000 would be the same as 10-1. Superstar Joe Duffy will have outsourced picks very soon at OffshoreInsiders.com

Dustin Johnson+900 

Bryson DeChambeau+1100 

Justin Thomas+1100 

Jon Rahm+1200 

Jordan Spieth+1200 

Rory McIlroy+1800 

Brooks Koepka+2200 

Patrick Cantlay+2200 

Xander Schauffele+2200 

Collin Morikawa+2800 

Patrick Reed+3300 

Tony Finau+3300 

Viktor Hovland+3300 

Cameron Smith+4000 

Daniel Berger+4000 

Lee Westwood+4000 

Paul Casey+4000 

Sung-Jae Im+4000 

Webb Simpson+4000 

Hideki Matsuyama+5000 

Matthew Fitzpatrick+5000 

Scottie Scheffler+5000 

Sergio Garcia+5000 

Tommy Fleetwood+5000 

Tyrrell Hatton+5000 

Adam Scott+6600 

Bubba Watson+6600 

Jason Day+6600 

Joaquin Niemann+6600 

Corey Conners+8000 

Louis Oosthuizen+8000 

Abraham Ancer+10000 

Billy Horschel+10000 

Brian Harman+10000 

Harris English+10000 

Jason Kokrak+10000 

Justin Rose+10000 

Marc Leishman+10000 

Matt Kuchar+10000 

Matt Wallace+10000 

Matthew Wolff+10000 

Max Homa+10000 

Shane Lowry+10000 

Will Zalatoris+10000 

Christiaan Bezuidenhout+12500 

Francesco Molinari+12500 

Gary Woodland+12500 

Ian Poulter+12500 

Kevin Kisner+12500 

Phil Mickelson+12500 

Si Woo Kim+12500 

Cameron Champ+15000 

Carlos Ortiz+15000 

Dylan Frittelli+15000 

Matt Jones+15000 

Robert MacIntyre+15000 

Ryan Palmer+15000 

Victor Perez+15000 

Danny Willett+20000 

Kevin Na+20000 

Sebastian Munoz+20000 

Zach Johnson+20000 

Bernd Wiesberger+25000 

Brendon Todd+25000 

Lanto Griffin+25000 

Mackenzie Hughes+25000 

C T Pan+30000 

Charl Schwartzel+30000 

Henrik Stenson+30000 

Michael Thompson+30000 

Brian Gay+50000 

Hudson Swafford+50000 

Jimmy Walker+50000 

Martin Laird+50000 

Stewart Cink+50000 

Bernhard Langer+75000 

Fred Couples+75000 

Jim Herman+75000 

Robert Streb+75000 

Tyler Strafaci+75000 

Charles Osborne+100000 

Joe Long+100000 

Mike Weir+100000 

Vijay Singh+100000 

Ian Woosnam+250000 

Jose Maria Olazabal+250000 

Larry Mize+250000 

Sandy Lyle+250000 

Free Pick, Betting Intel, Inside Info, more

NBA 

Phoenix 42-18 last 60. 

Nets Kevin Durant expected to return to line-up, but James Harden out. 

Grizzlies 19-4 as an underdog of 4 or less 

Suns 24-9 (all records ATS) to Western Conference 

Rockets John Wall is probable. 

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MLB

Twins under 30-8-3 to AL. 

Cubs under 16-1-1 as a favorite to NL

NBA intel: 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Brooklyn (71), Charlotte (62)

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Denver (86)

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Utah opened -3.5, now -1.5. Indiana -3.5 to -2, Brooklyn -10.5 to -9. 

NBA free pick from Joe Duffy is a premium pick today! 

ATLANTA -2.5 Memphis 

Memphis is in a big 29-4 letdown situation that says to fade them. Memphis is four games over .500 road ATS and two games under at home. But that creates a situation that says to fade road teams that have been better on the road at 143-90-7.

Duffy sweeps the NBA on Tuesday. Wednesday’s sweep is 8-0 led by ESPN NBA Total of the Month. Get the strongest bet in MLB as well.  Humbled, grateful, and overwhelmed by how many have locked in long-term and giddy to see names of loyal clients who we hadn’t seen since before the shutdown, now returning. We continue to acquire and refine new formulas. Get the picks now   Yes we expect to get outsourced Masters winners coming up.

Sensational Masters odds on Props Posted

These days, there are so many ways to wager on the Masters outside of picking the champion.

SportsBetting has rolled out 56 fun prop bets surrounding tournament storylines. Blowup holes, Bryson DeChambeau, Amen Corner and more are covered in the odds. 

Highest Round 1 score

Over 84.5 Strokes 

Under 84.5 Strokes 

Highest 18-hole score in any round

Over 85.5 Strokes 

Under 85.5 Strokes 

Round 1 leading score

Over 65.5 strokes 

Under 65.5 strokes 

Largest front 9 to back 9 differential for any player

Over 7.5 strokes

Under 7.5 strokes

Highest back 9 score

Over 42.5 Strokes 

Under 42.5 Strokes 

Lowest 18-hole score in any round

Over 65.5 Strokes 

Under 65.5 Strokes 

Lowest back 9 score

Over 31.5 Strokes 

Under 31.5 Strokes

Will there be a hole-in-one?

Yes -170

No +140

Will there be a hole-in-one in Round 1?

Yes +600

No -1200

Will there be a hole-in-one in Round 2?

Yes +350

No -600

Will there be a hole-in-one in Round 3?

Yes +1000

No -5000

Will the 54-hole leader go on to win the Masters?

Yes -130

No +100

Will an albatross be registered during the Masters?

Yes +1000

No -2500

Will any player shoot all 4 rounds in the 60s?

Yes +600

No -1200

Cut line

Over 147.5 strokes 

Under 147.5 strokes 

Will a debutant win the Masters?

Yes +2500

No -5000

Will there be a first-time winner?

Yes -550

No +330

Will the flagstick be left in for winner’s final putt?

Yes +500

No -900

Length of winner’s final shot

Over 3.5 feet 

Under 3.5 feet 

What type of putter will be used by winner?

Blade -400

Mallet +250

Most strokes recorded on any hole

Over 9 strokes 

Under 9 strokes 

Will any player break course record and shoot 62 or lower?

Yes +1400

No -6600

Total number of players finishing under par

Over 20.5

Under 20.5

Will there be a playoff?

Yes +300

No -500

Will there be a playoff featuring 3 or more players?

Yes +1200

No -3300

Will a player be disqualified?

Yes +800

No -1600

Will a left-handed player win the Masters?

Yes +3000

No -50000

Winner’s score on 72nd hole

Par -185

Bogey or worse +300

Birdie or better +450

Winning 72-hole score

Over 276.5 strokes 

Under 276.5 strokes 

Will winning score be 269 or lower?

Yes +1200

No -5000

Winning Margin

Exactly 1 Shot +250

Exactly 2 Shots +300

Exactly 3 Shots +600

4 Shots or more +350

Playoff +300

Will there be a wire-to-wire winner?

Yes +1000

No -2500

Winning nationality

USA -165

Europe +235

Rest of the world +520

Will Bryson DeChambeau be put on clock for slow play?

Yes +2000

Will Bryson DeChambeau record the longest drive?

Yes +100

No -130

Bryson DeChambeau longest drive

Over 405.5 yards

Under 405.5 yards

Bryson DeChambeau total birdies or better

Over 17.5

Under 17.5

Bryson DeChambeau total bogeys or worse

Over 10.5

Under 10.5

Bryson DeChambeau highest score on any hole

Over 5.5

Under 5.5

Will Bryson DeChambeau make a 10 or higher on any hole?

Yes +10000

Will Bryson DeChambeau birdie all par 5s in Round 1?

Yes +475

No -650

Will Bryson DeChambeau drive in the No. 3 green in any round?

Yes +145

No -175

Will Bryson DeChambeau drive in the No. 3 green in Round 1?

Yes +375

No -500

Will Bryson DeChambeau make an eagle?

Yes -260

No +200

Will Bryson DeChambeau make an eagle in all four rounds?

Yes +1000

No -1600

Will Bryson DeChambeau make an albatross?

Yes +6600

Will Bryson DeChambeau win the Masters by two or more strokes?

Yes +1600

No -3800

Total balls to hit water on No. 12 in Round 4

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

Will leader hit the water on No. 12 in Round 4?

Yes +700

No -1200

Will Jordan Spieth hit the water on Hole 12?

Yes +300

No -375

Will Bryson DeChambeau hit the water on Hole 12?

Yes +300

No -375

Will Dustin Johnson hit the water on Hole 12?

Yes +300

No -375

Will Jon Rahm hit the water on Hole 12?

Yes +300

No -375

Will Justin Thomas hit the water on Hole 12?

Yes +300

No -375

Will Phil Mickelson hit the water on Hole 12?

Yes +300

No -375

Will Rory McIlroy hit the water on Hole 12?

Yes +300

No -375

Best sports betting picks are found at OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picks and information.

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Great scented wax, scents for you home, car, office, and warmers at DuffyScents.com. These great smelling scents are ideal for pet owners. You can order from anywhere in the world, but for local parties in Johns Creek, Alpharetta, Roswell, she is the Scentsy consultant! The best Scentsy Facebook group and find out about online Facebook Scentsy parties. 

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