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May 28, 2020

Odds on Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson Partners for The Match III

Filed under: Sports Betting News — Joe Duffy @ 6:34 PM

We wanted to let you know that an online sportsbook we represent is offering odds on which current and former NBA players might be partnered with Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson in “The Match III.”

Odds are courtesy of SportsBetting

Who will partner with Tiger Woods?
Michael Jordan -150
Tony Romo +275
Peyton Manning +300
Jerry Rice +850
Charles Barkley +1200
Larry Fitzgerald +2500
Kid Rock +4000
Donald Trump +25000

Who will partner with Phil Mickelson?
Steph Curry -150
Tom Brady +300
Steve Young +400
Aaron Rodgers +500
Drew Brees +700
Aaron Judge +800
Reggie Bush +1200
Barack Obama +8000

The Match III odds
Team Tiger -150
Team Phil +110

The Match III average viewers
Over 5 million
Under 5 million

 

May 26, 2020

German Bundesliga Updated Odds

Filed under: Sports Betting News — Joe Duffy @ 3:59 PM

German Bundesliga odds. Bet at Bovada When American sports return, OffshoreInsiders.com remains the place to go.

  Wednesday SP/RL TOTAL ML
12:30 PM
20249 Hertha BSC +1½ (-103) 3½ (EV) 807
20249 RB Leipzig -1½ (-112) 3½ (-115) -301
20249 Hertha BSC/RB Leipzig Draw 479
2:30 PM
20247 FSV Mainz 05 +½ (-139) 2½ (-116) 227
20247 Union Berlin -½ (+124) 2½ (+101) 127
20247 FSV Mainz 05/Union Berlin Draw 250
2:30 PM
20247 Paderborn +½ (-109) 2½ (-130) 283
20247 FC Augsburg -½ (-106) 2½ (+115) -102
20247 Paderborn/FC Augsburg Draw 279
2:30 PM
20248 FC Koln PK (+102) 3 (-123) 177
20249 Hoffenheim PK (-117) 3 (+108) 151
20249 FC Koln/Hoffenheim Draw 265
2:30 PM
20249 Schalke 04 PK (-106) 2½ (+103) 174
20249 Fortuna Dusseldorf PK (-109) 2½ (-118) 170
20249 Schalke 04/Fortuna Dusseldorf Draw 237
  Friday, 29th May 2020 SP/RL TOTAL ML
2:30 PM
20253 Bayer Leverkusen
20253 SC Freiburg
20253 Bayer Leverkusen/SC Freiburg Draw
  Saturday, 30th May 2020 SP/RL TOTAL ML
9:30 AM
20250 Hoffenheim
20251 FSV Mainz 05
20251 Hoffenheim/FSV Mainz 05 Draw
9:30 AM
20251 FC Augsburg
20251 Hertha BSC
20251 FC Augsburg/Hertha BSC Draw
9:30 AM
20252 Werder Bremen
20252 Schalke 04
20252 Werder Bremen/Schalke 04 Draw
9:30 AM
20254 Eintracht Frankfurt
20254 Wolfsburg
20254 Eintracht Frankfurt/Wolfsburg Draw
12:30 PM
20253 Fortuna Dusseldorf
20253 Bayern Munich
20253 Fortuna Dusseldorf/Bayern Munich Draw
  Sunday, 31st May 2020 SP/RL TOTAL ML
9:30 AM
20252 Union Berlin
20252 Monchengladbach
20252 Union Berlin/Monchengladbach Draw
12:00 PM
20252 Borussia Dortmund
20253 Paderborn
20253 Borussia Dortmund/Paderborn Draw
  Monday, 1st June 2020 SP/RL TOTAL ML
2:30 PM
20251 RB Leipzig
20251 FC Koln
20251 RB Leipzig/FC Koln Draw

 

May 18, 2020

Francis Ngannou vs. Jon Jones and Other UFC Odds Posted

Filed under: Sports Betting News — Joe Duffy @ 2:11 PM

According to the odds, Jon Jones will find himself in unfamiliar territory if he ever faces off with Francis Ngannou. 

SportsBetting made Ngannou a -150 favorite over Jones in a heavyweight bout. Bones is listed as a +130 underdog at SportsBetting  

Ngannou vs. Jones
Francis Ngannou -150
Jon Jones +130

Ngannou is also listed as a favorite, even a smaller favorite, in a hypothetical match against the retired Daniel Cormier. 

Ngannou vs. Cormier
Francis Ngannou -140
Daniel Cormier +120

Additionally, the sportsbook put up a few Conor McGregor related prop bets, including his next opponent and odds for a Floyd Mayweather rematch.

Conor McGregor next opponent
Nate Diaz +250
Khabib Nurmagomedov +300
Justin Gaethje +450
Tony Ferguson +500
Dustin Poirier +650
Jorge Masvidal +600

McGregor vs. Mayweather II (Must be boxing match. Fight must occur before Jan. 1, 2021)
Conor McGregor +800
Floyd Mayweather -2000

Gaethje vs. McGregor
Justin Gaethje +125
Conor McGregor -145

Gaethje vs. Nurmagomedov
Justin Gaethje +200
Khabib Nurmagomedov -235

Finally, these are the location odds for UFC 250.

UFC 250 location
Nevada -125
Florida +150
Arizona +800
Georgia +1200
Fight Island +2000

May 16, 2020

When Will We See Team Sports Again? With Winners and Whiners, We Opine

Filed under: Sports Betting News — Joe Duffy @ 9:32 AM

With Scott Reichel and Scott Steehn of WinnersAndWhiners, Joe Duffy and OffshoreInsiders.com solves all of the world’s problems. When will sports return? Let’s just say there are specific reasons given why none of the three are optimistic.

May 15, 2020

UFC Odds Saturday Night; Joe Duffy With Picks

Filed under: Sports Betting News — Joe Duffy @ 5:22 PM

UFC Saturday night odds. Bet at Bovada

Joe Duffy has three winners led by a large underdog. It’s only $11 at OffshoreInsiders.com

UFC on ESPN+
6:05 PM  
24087 Rodrigo Nascimento 1½ (-130) -110
24088 Don Tale Mayes 1½ (+110) -110
UFC on ESPN+
6:35 PM  
24079 Cortney Casey 2½ (-460) -152
24080 Mara Romero Borella 2½ (+365) 132
UFC on ESPN+
7:05 PM  
24083 Darren Elkins 2½ (-185) -127
24084 Nate Landwehr 2½ (+160) 107
UFC on ESPN+
8:05 PM  
24071 Anthony Hernandez 2½ (-200) -110
24072 Kevin Holland 2½ (+170) -110
UFC on ESPN+
8:35 PM  
24091 Matt Brown 1½ (-135) 132
24092 Miguel Baeza 1½ (+115) -152
UFC on ESPN+
9:10 PM  
24067 Song Yadong 2½ (-135) -185
24068 Marlon Vera 2½ (+115) 160
UFC on ESPN+
9:40 PM  
24063 Eryk Anders 2½ (-200) 127
24064 Krzysztof Jotko 2½ (+170) -147
UFC on ESPN+
10:10 PM  
24059 Edson Barboza 2½ (-175) -135
24060 Dan Ige 2½ (+155) 115
UFC on ESPN+
10:40 PM  
24055 Claudia Gadelha 2½ (-355) -220
24056 Angela Hill 2½ (+295) 180
UFC on ESPN+
11:10 PM  
24051 Alistair Overeem 1½ (-150) 125
24052 Walt Harris 1½ (+130) -145
UFC Fight Night (Time to be announced)
3:00 AM  
24201 Gilbert Burns 135
24202 Tyron Woodley -155
UFC Fight Night (Time to be announced)
3:00 AM  
24205 Hannah Cifers 260
24206 Mackenzie Dern -320
UFC Fight Night (Time to be announced)
3:00 AM  
24209 Augusto Sakai 105
24210 Blagoy Ivanov -125
UFC Fight Night (Time to be announced)
3:00 AM  
24213 Klidson Abreu 155
24214 Jamahal Hill -175

 

May 12, 2020

Delta Points Scored/Allowed a Major Part of Handicapping’s Holy Grail

Breaking news: delta point margins are a handicapper’s lesser-known weapon, particularly when it comes to forecasting totals. And now the self-evident question, what are delta points? It’s the implied number of points a team will score and allow based on the point spread. Using rounded numbers for streamlining, let’s state a team is favorite by 10 points and the posted total is 30. This means the implied projected points scored by the favorite is 20 and implied points allowed would be 10.

If they scored 27 points, they’d have a plus-7 delta points scored. When applied as season-to-date averages, we can measure overachieving and underachieving offenses and defenses and yet again, use the oddsmakers wisdom against them.

Not shockingly—here we go again—teams regress to the mean. Heavily overachieving offenses are usually good wagers for an under, underachieving offenses a good antes for the over.

Of course, this is especially true when corroborated by both units on both teams or at least when equally compelling numbers aren’t conflicting.

Let’s talk college football for instance. Teams that have a delta points scored of seven or better go under 1083-913-48, a nice 54.3 percent. When their opponent also has a DPS of +6, it goes under nearly 60 percent at 192-131-9.

Sure enough, disappointing offenses incline to be good over plays. A team with a delta points scored of -14 or less goes over 161-135-5-5 for 54.4.

Underachieving defenses? Teams that allow an average of at least 9.5 points per game more than the oddsmakers expected go under 544-460-15. Great defenses…of course go over. Defenses allowing at least 12 fewer points per game than expected go over 243-205-8 for 54.2 percent.

This is another hypothesis that crosses sports. It should as it’s based on a primordial, but ingenious truth. Oddsmakers are not wrong often. That’s bad news for the square player. But delta points scored/allowed essentially disarms them. What the oddsmakers tell us can and will be used against them.

Want delta points and every other sharp edge to be on your side every sports season? Joe Duffy’s premium bets have been winning publicly since June 1, 1988 on the scorephones. Get them now at OffshoreInsiders.com, which is also home to vetted sportsbooks.

 

May 9, 2020

UFC 249 Odds Updated Morning Line

Filed under: Sports Betting News — Joe Duffy @ 9:40 AM

UFC 249 odds are posted and updated for tonight. The first column is the over-under on how many rounds the fight will go. Column two is the moneyline on the winners. We recommend MyBookie  and Bovada for betting these bouts. The horrible coronavirus has given Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com some time to update podcasts and videos with sports betting secrets with tips on sports gambling strategy.

Saturday, 9th May 2020 TOTAL ML
UFC 249
6:10 PM  
24653 Sam Alvey 1½ (-130) 350
24654 Ryan Spann 1½ (+110) -440
UFC 249
6:40 PM  
24649 Charles Rosa 2½ (-220) 145
24650 Bryce Mitchell 2½ (+180) -165
UFC 249
7:10 PM  
24645 Niko Price 1½ (EV) 230
24646 Vicente Luque 1½ (-120) -270
UFC 249
8:10 PM  
24637 Michelle Waterson 2½ (-515) 125
24638 Carla Esparza 2½ (+410) -145
UFC 249
8:40 PM  
24633 Alexey Oleinik 1½ (-115) 260
24634 Fabricio Werdum 1½ (-105) -320
UFC 249
9:10 PM  
24625 Donald Cerrone 2½ (+135) 130
24626 Anthony Pettis 2½ (-155) -150
UFC 249
10:05 PM  
24629 Yorgan De Castro 1½ (-130) 175
24630 Greg Hardy 1½ (+110) -210
UFC 249
10:30 PM  
24621 Jeremy Stephens 2½ (-155) 220
24622 Calvin Kattar 2½ (+135) -260
UFC 249
10:55 PM  
24617 Jair Rozenstruik 1½ (+120) 225
24618 Francis Ngannou 1½ (-140) -265
UFC 249
11:20 PM  
24609 Dominick Cruz 4½ (-210) 180
24610 Henry Cejudo 4½ (+175) -220
UFC 249
11:45 PM  
24613 Justin Gaethje 2½ (+140) 170
24614 Tony Ferguson 2½ (-160) -200
Wednesday, 13th May 2020 TOTAL ML
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24001 Anthony Smith -155
24002 Glover Teixeira 135
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24005 Ben Rothwell 130
24006 Ovince Saint Preux -150
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24009 Alexander Hernandez 115
24010 Drew Dober -135
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24013 Ray Borg 145
24014 Ricky Simon -165
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24017 Karl Roberson 140
24018 Marvin Vettori -160
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24021 Andrei Arlovski 135
24022 Philipe Lins -155
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24025 Michael Johnson -115
24026 Thiago Moises -105
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24029 Sijara Eubanks -365
24030 Sarah Moras 305
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24033 Hunter Azure -165
24034 Brian Kelleher 145
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24037 Ike Villanueva 115
24038 Chase Sherman -135
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24041 Gabriel Benitez 125
24042 Omar Morales -155
Saturday, 16th May 2020 TOTAL ML
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24051 Alistair Overeem 140
24052 Walt Harris -160
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24055 Claudia Gadelha -185
24056 Angela Hill 160
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24059 Edson Barboza -125
24060 Dan Ige 105
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24063 Eryk Anders 115
24064 Krzysztof Jotko -135
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24067 Song Yadong -175
24068 Marlon Vera 155
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24071 Anthony Hernandez -105
24072 Kevin Holland -115
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24075 Mike Davis -225
24076 Giga Chikadze 185
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24079 Cortney Casey -150
24080 Mara Romero Borella 130
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24083 Darren Elkins -120
24084 Nate Landwehr EV
UFC on ESPN+
2:00 PM  
24087 Rodrigo Nascimento 105
24088 Don Tale Mayes -125

 

May 5, 2020

Updated Version of The Ultimate Guide to Being a Wise Guy for Not-so-Dummies

Filed under: Sports Betting News — Tags: , — PiotrAbelo @ 10:16 AM

This is a modernized edition of a story scribed a decade or so ago, “The Ultimate Guide to Being a Wise Guy for Not-so-Dummies.” But as technology and resources for intelligence evolve, it warrants refreshing and modernizing. And here we are.

One of the most customary questions that I get is where do Wise Guys and sharp players get so much intel? Just as the only way to Carnegie Hall is practice, practice, practice, the only way to win in sports handicapping is “information, information, information.”

All you need to get that data is to merely live, sleep, and breathe sports handicapping. Perhaps neglect the slumber advice. Siestas are not much of an option in sports soothsaying. An interminable supply of coffee is essential apparatus as well.

Are you still with me? If so, you are ready to be a Wise Guy.

Do handicappers and high rollers really hold inside information? In reality it depends on how strict your definition of “inside information” is. Didn’t Bill Clinton utter that same line or something to that effect?

Wise Guys and the few authentic handicappers out there do have the time, wherewithal and knowledge of where and how to bring to light useful information. To put it mildly, to win consistently which few do, takes a lot of time. We are the one-percenters.

The Internet is bar none the largest apparatus on the planet for obtaining peerless particulars. Funny, in first edition of this thesis, it was the early days of the information superhighway. Now that decloration qualifies are beyond obvious.

Hometown newspapers and in college so often the teams own SID sites are unbeatable for not-so-inside, but certainly little known to the public facts.

Sites that are catered toward the gambler as well as those accommodating just to the general sports fan can be of infinite value as well. In fact, as we will specify, fantasy sports sites are among the best sites for the speculator as injury facts are indispensable to both.

What is a person to do though for reports on the more obscure colleges? It started with Google News, now infused into the main search engine, almost every newspaper is online and a bonanza of locally generated info.  If Fairfield is playing Iona, a sports bettor need just go to news.google.com and enter “Fairfield Iona” and Google can find any news stories from that day searching even the small-town scandal sheets.

Furthermore, this is true with high profile colleges and professional sports. Of course one need experiment when it comes to more generic terms like “Arizona” or “Cincinnati” but by adding one of the teams nicknames or a term like basketball can narrow the information to exactly what one wants.

Between news.google.com and ESPN Insider, it can be a Godsend when it comes to info. Since the article was first written, just simply going to Google is at times just as effective. Action Network is decent, but truthfully, I’ve been disappointed in real meat and potatoes daily betting info. It’s mostly as lead generation for the computer database BetLabs and their odds service, which is good, but still inferior to SportsDatabase. SDQL truly if for next generation handicappers.

Oh my word, those who believe the poppycock that preseason football games are a mere crapshoot are truly missing out on the mother lode. Reading the teams stomping ground ledgers are goldmines for learning which teams are taking the exhibitions most seriously at least from a standpoint of a final score.

It is very commonplace for coaches to flat out state that they want to instill a winning habit in the preseason. This is of course truer with fledgling coaches and young and/or traditionally losing franchises. Quarterback and key player rotations can be found with educated research.

In other cases, a little reading will manifest that there are several teams just concerned with looking at certain young players. It is not uncommon for one team to play its starters much longer than the other squad. Best of all, coaches announce it before the game.

Those with limited time can get decent Cliff Notes just by reading the Associated Press stories found on about oh about a million sports sites. The AP stories are at their best in the NFL preseason, though quality information can be had in other sports as well particularly college football. Fantasy football sites continue to escalate the quality of NFLX coverage.

Every now and then I have even uncovered a treasure from the online student newspapers. While there is a select group of beat writers who I feel comfortable accepting what they say at face value, any potential gem that I get from the student papers must be verified, but one would be surprised at the information that can come from the college media itself.

Considering there is a lot of overlapping information with handicapping and fantasy sports, the fantasy sites are also great foundations of sports gambling information. To put it mildly, the fantasy sites like RotoWire, RotoWorld, etc. are no-brainer for the gambler in the NFL. Nobody comes close to not only giving football injuries but also giving a fantastic analysis of how such will affect teams who the replacements are for key injured players, key match-ups and the like.

Don Best’s expensive Premium Service does the best job of real-time late-breaking information.

Orginally the problem with all of the above sites is that all the reader got was a player name and a status. But unless one knows the accurate scoop on every player on every team and their backups, often those injury sites are at best starting points. What good is Squid State, guard Pika Winner; questionable knee when that is the sole information provided?

Is Pika Winner the conference’s best player on a team that has no depth or is he a part-time starter playing for a team whose strength is at his position? Rotowire does a very good job, originally in MLB, but now all pro sports at analyzing how that injury will specifically affect a team. In college sports, they are very imperfect.

But Wise Guys must research, research, and research. More times than not, the teams SID site will give very good information on the particulars of the player: games started, important stats and ditto on his replacement. The home ground fish wraps must be cross-referenced as well.

What are the particulars that I seek out? I cherish when I hear a player or a coach or better yet players (plural) admitting that they suffered a disheartening loss and have to follow it up with another tough game. Such teams make great go-against plays.

This is most true with college basketball and NBA teams that are not true top shelf teams. For the latter this is especially true if a team is playing back-to-back and/or in the midst of a five-games-in-four-nights trip. Fortunately, since those words were initially penned about two decades ago, the aforesaid software programs enable me to store proven situations and tell me when they apply.

Few situations leap at me more than is hoops when a team is on the wrong side of an 11-2 run to lose outright of course) by a point or two then has to play either the next night or the night after. This is most frequent in the NBA but also occur in the Ivy Leagues and West Coast Conference, which play back to back. Generally the remaining conferences on the left coast including the Pac-10 play Thursday and Saturday; so distressing losses are very important factors to track. Keep an eye on teams that play Saturday and Monday as well.

Luckily out software in some sports includes biggest lead or others margin at the end of a quarter. So yes, we can monitor teams that blew 17-points leads in the NFL.

For the NBA keep in mind that NBA.com in conjunction with CBS Sports will give one a play-by-play rundown of the entire pro hoop game. There are some glitches in their system to be honest, but one can for the most part get a 100% accurate breakdown of how a game ended. Of course, since this article was first written, almost all major sites have such, in fact for all sports.

This also applies but with different criterion in baseball–how much the bullpen was used etc, but that is for a future article. Many sites give pitch-by-pitch breakdowns as provided by Stats Inc.

In the NBA especially and this occurs more often than one thinks, I just get giddy when I read that a few players thought their upcoming opponent ran the score up or was shown up by a gratuitous windmill slam dunk or something to that effect. This is especially true if the team that feels they were shown up was on the road in the referenced game and is playing home in the upcoming game. Yes, software can measure revenge situations.

Also certain beat writers especially in the NFL and college football can be outstanding giving accurate unit versus unit breakdowns. But Wise Guys have the experience to distinguish as to who the heck knows what they are talking about and who is blowing smoke

I regret that Sportingnews.com for several years was a must-visit for college football as they broke down literally every Division I game. However they have reduced that feature. Sadly I guess the budget limited the quantity down to the marquee games and quite frankly the quality seemed to go with it.

As mentioned in previous articles, one of the big keys to handicapping games is spotting deceptive final scores in handicapping or how and why teams really lost. That is why any true handicapper must own a satellite dish or a great cable TV sports package. I won’t leave home without it. Well I guess that’s why I don’t leave home. It is also invaluable as far as scouting mismatches in personnel match-ups.

Sophisticated software now enables me to see how a team does after winning a game in which they had 100 fewer total yards. Sports gaming posting boards are good vehicles for gamblers to share information, if one can sift through the garbage. Some of the top SDQL systems I use came from such.

In a perfect world the best sites would be not be moderated but in places like the sports gambling newsgroup and other sites flaming takes precedence over content and forces valuable contributors to go to the refereed sites.

Much like distinguishing from amongst the good beat writers and the unqualified scribes, one must differentiate between the posting board participants who provide quality and accurate insight and those who cannot.

Utilizing the best databases is essential to triumphant prognostication. There are many out there, both free and pay sites.

Covers.com has tremendous databases for all sports. With 10-16 game schedules for college football and the NFL one must as we have stated have the ability to look beyond the mere data. Not ignore it mind you, but an aberrational game here and there can dilute the statistical significance of football raw numbers.

There, you now know the trade secrets. All you need to do is invest 35 hours a day, 10 days a week, 60 weeks a year. Americas greatest sports service, Joe Duffy’s Picks, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com has done it successfully for years and so can you. Check out his famed sports betting podcast.

 

 

September 18, 2019

@JeffNadu and Joe Duffy Break Down Oregon vs. Stanford

Oregon-Stanford preview from Jeff Nadu, the Big Man on Campus and legendary handicapper Joe Duffy. Oregon is laying 10.5 with a total of 58.5 at Bovada with a total of 58.5. The contest opened the Ducks laying 8 with a total of 60.5.

A stunning 88 percent of bettors and 89 percent of wagers are on the OVER. Even more earth-shattering is that 75 percent of bets and 99 percent of cash is on the under.

Saturday, SEC West Total of the Year among four college football Wise Guys and seven Majors. Sunday, 10 NFL plus Monday Night Football. Get the picks now

Friday Night Betting Pick Air Force vs. Boise State

Filed under: Sports Betting News — Tags: , , — Joe Duffy @ 1:08 PM

Air Force takes on Boise State Friday night and the top football handicapper Joe Duffy has the spread winner. Boise State is down to -8 with a total of 55. They opened up at -9.5 and 54. Underdog Air Force is getting 52 percent of bets and 76 percent of money on them. Though 55 percent of bets are on the over, the same 55 percentile of money is on the under.

Joe Duffy has Friday night college football total at sports betting picks headquarters.

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