Central Michigan-Purdue Betting Preview

Central Michigan takes on Purdue in
the Motor City
bowl. The Boilermakers are an eight-point favorite with a total of 71.5-72, so
shop around at our vetted sportsbooks.

Taken from our sports betting
previews
from articles around the Internet, Purdue players have expressed
how they want to go out on a high note after losing their final three regular
season games including to rival Indiana (a GodsTips.com
Wise Guy winner for sports bettors.

This is a rare bowl rematch as Purdue crushed the
Chippewas 45-22 back on Sept. 23.

The Bowl
previews
told you that offensively, this is one of the more evenly matched
statistical battles. Purdue gets just .4 more first downs per game but CMU gets
27.4 more yards per game on .4 more yards per play. The Boilermakers get 22.2
more yards per game in the air. The biggest edge is on rushing yards per
attempt where the Chippewas get .9 more. While Central accumulates .2 more
passing yards per attempt, it’s Purdue earning .3 more passing yards per
reception.

Purdue’s defensive superiority is across the board, but
not by dominating margins. They allow 3.4 fewer first downs per game on 64.7
fewer total yards. They also allow .8 less yards per play. The biggest upper
hand is with pass defense, allowing 1.7 less passing yards per attempt and 1.3 less
passing yards per reception and a passing percentage against of 7.9 better than
CMU allows. In turnovers and rushing yards per attempt the teams are nearly
even.

CMU went 7-2 straight up down the stretch and 5-3-1 against the spread during that
span. They also exceeded the total in seven of their last eight. Purdue went
3-6 against the spread to close out the regular season, including three
straight losses outright.

 


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Bowl Breakdowns, Part 5

This is Part-5 where the Center of the Handicapping
Universe Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com breaks down the statistical comparisons of
the bowl games. This report entails games of Jan. 1.

Wisconsin-Tennessee

The offensive stats are close. Tennessee
gets 2.0 more first downs per game on 25.1 more total yards. However, Wisconsin
has the most modest of edges, getting .1 more yards per play. Yet the Vols get 62.6 more passing yards per game. Talk about
conflicting stats, the Badgers get 1.1 more passing yards per attempt and 2.7
more passing yards per reception.

The numbers give Wisconsin
the check marks on defense. They allow 5.3 fewer first downs per game on 83.9
less yards. The Volunteers permit .2 fewer rushing yards per attempt. Every
other comparison gives a small edge to the Badgers. But Tennessee
has a turnover ratio of nine better than Wisky.

Arkansas-Missouri

While Missouri gets 6.1 more first downs per game on 35.4
more yards, Arkansas has the upper hand in the most important category
(according to sports
betting expert
Joe Duffy), getting .3 more yards per play. But it’s a
battle of differing styles as much as any bowl game. Arkansas
picks up 131.7 more rushing yards per game; Mizzou
167.1 more passing yards per game. The Razorbacks get a significantly more 1.8
more rushing yards per attempt but Missouri
.8 more passing yards per attempt. The Razorbacks have a more efficient passing
game, accumulating .9 more passing yards per reception, yet the Tigers complete
11.9 more percent of their pass attempts.

It’s see-saw on defense as well. Missouri
allows 29.1 less rushing yards per game, but Arkanas
50.3 fewer passing yards per game. The two most significant differences on defense
are the Tigers permitting 1.8 less passing yards per reception, but the
Razorbacks with a humungous passing percentage against superiority of 16.6.

Michigan-Florida

Florida has
the huge upper hand on offense getting 4.7 more first downs per game, 110.8 yards per game, 1.8 more
yards per play including 2.8 more passing yards per attempt. The Gators also
complete 13.1 more percent of their passes.

On defense, it’s the Wolverines who are superior. They
allow 4.7 less first downs per game on .5 fewer yards per play. However, Florida
allows 27.4 fewer rushing yards per game on .6 less rushing yards per attempt. Michigan’s
advantage is 98.2 fewer passing yards per game on 1.2 less passing yards per
attempt and 1.6 less passing yards per reception. Michigan
has a turnover ratio upper hand of seven.

Texas Tech-Virginia

High powered Tech gets 6.1 more first downs per game,
210.8 total yards per game on 2.4 more yards per play. However, the Cavs have
the advantage in rushing yards per game by 61.8. The Red Raiders accumulate 2.1
more passing yards per attempt. They also have a commanding superiority in
completion percentage by 13.8.

It’s pretty close on defense. The Cavs allow 62.7 less
rushing yards per game, and 1.0 less rushing yards per attempt. But the Red
Raiders permit 14.2 fewer passing yards per game. They have minimal edges as well in passing
yards per attempt, passing yards per reception and passing percentage against. Virginia
has the upper hand in turnover ratio by nine.

Illinois-USC

Contrary to what many may believe, Illinois
actually averages a slight 4.9 more total yards per game on offense led by a
superiority of 80.3 yards
rushing. They also get 1.0 more rushing yards per attempt and 1.0 more passing
yards per reception. The Trojans though complete 5.8 more percent of their
passes.

USC allows 3.3 fewer first downs per game on 96.6 fewer
total yards per game and 1.1 less yards per play. It’s a clean sweep of
superiority on defense for Southern Cal giving up 1.3 less passing yards per
attempt, 1.4 less passing yards per reception, and a completion percentage
against of 4.8 less.

Hawaii-Georgia

Hawaii gets
7.3 more first downs per game on 143.6 more yards offensively. However, the
Bulldogs run the ball much better getting 97.6 more yards per game on .8 more
rushing yards per attempt. The Rainbow Warriors have a completion percentage of
16.8 better than the Dawgs.

The defensive comparison shows the teams closer than many
may think. UGA allows 24.7 fewer yards per game, but Hawaii
actually concedes .2 fewer yards per play. Hawaii
allows .6 fewer passing yards per attempt on .7 less passing yards per
reception. Turnover ratio comparison goes to the Bulldogs by five.

 

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Bowl Breakdowns, Part 4

This is Part-4 where the Center of the Handicapping
Universe Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com breaks down the statistical comparisons of
the bowl games. This report entails games of Dec. 30-Dec. 31.

Colorado-Alabama

Offensively, the pure numbers could not be closer as Colorado
gets 6.0 more yards per game on .1 more yards per play.

Defensively, the Crimson Tide permits 48.7 less yards per
game on .7 fewer yards per play. While the Buffs allow .2 less rushing yards
per play, Alabama allows .5 less
rushing yards per attempt and .5 less passing yards per attempt. They have the
turnover ratio edge by eight.

Air
Force-California

Air Force gets 148.8 more rushing yards per game and California
more 97.2 passing yards per game. The Falcons accumulate .5 more rushing yards
per attempt and .5 more passing yards per attempt as well as completing 4.3
percent more of their passes.

On defense, Air Force allows 16.8 less rushing yards per
game but the Golden Bears have the upper hand in passing yards allowed by 28.8
per game. The Falcons allow .7 less rushing yards per attempt but the Bears
permit .5 less passing yards per attempt.

Air Force allows a completion percentage of 5.8 less and
they have a turnover margin of seven better than Cal.

Oregon-South Florida

Oregon gets
3.7 more first downs per game and 39.6 more yards. South Florida
though gets 11.2 more passing yards per game. While the Ducks gets .8 more
rushing yards per attempt, South Florida gets .4 more
passing yards per attempt and .6 more per catch.

USF leads in every major
category on defense, but not overwhelmingly. They allow 57.8 less total yards
per game and .7 less per play. The biggest edge is the Bulls allowing 1.4 less
passing yards per reception. USF also has a turnover
ratio of eight better.

Fresno State-Georgia
Tech

Fresno has
slight edges on offense. They get 21 more total yards per game on .3 more yards
per play. Tech gets .1 more rushing yards per attempt while Fresno
accrues 1.1 more passing yards per attempt, yet the Yellow Jackets .9 more
passing yards per reception. The Bulldogs have a huge edge completing 12.6 more
percent of their pass attempts.

On the other side of the ball, Tech allows 99.5 less total
yards per game on .9 less yards per play. The Yellow Jackets have a humungous
edge allowing 2.2 less rushing yards per attempt, but the Bulldogs allow .7
less passing yards per attempt and 1.9 less passing yards per reception.

Florida
State-Kentucky

On offense it’s Kentucky
in most major categories except passing yards per reception where the Noles get .9 more. But it’s the Wildcats in total yards by
78.6 per game, .5 more yards per play, and .7 in passing yards per attempt. They
get a phenomenal 7.8 more first downs per game.

FSU allows 39.8 less total yards per game, though Kentucky
permits 35.8 less passing yards per game. FSU has a considerable edge of 1.2 on
rushing yards per attempt, but Kentucky
is superior by 1.0 passing yards per reception

Indiana-Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State
gets 89.9 more total yards per game on .9 more yards per play. The biggest
edges are on rushing yards per attempt, where OSU
gets the checkmark by 1.2 and passing yards per reception by 2.3. The Hoosiers
though complete 2.5 more percent of their pass attempts.

On defense, the Cowboys allow 2.2 less first downs per game
but the Hoosiers 49.1 less total yards per game. Indiana
permits .9 less yards per play. The Hoosiers pass defense is much better,
allowing 1.4 less passing yards per attempt and per catch as well as permitting
a completion percentage of 4.8 less.

Auburn-Clemson

Clemson gets 2.7 more first downs per game, 50.3 more
total yards per game on .7 more yards per play. The SEC Tigers though gets .8
more passing yards per reception. Clemson completes a considerable 8.9 more
percent of their passes.

Clemson also leads in most defensive classifications but
modestly. They allow 25.1 less total yards per game, but are dead even in yards
per play. Clemson has a turnover margin of 10 better.

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Bowl Breakdowns, Part 3

This is Part-3 where the Center of the Handicapping
Universe Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com breaks down the statistical comparisons of
the bowl games. This report entails games of Dec. 28-Dec. 29.

Michigan State-Boston College

To say the least, these two teams are closely matched
statistically on both sides of the ball. BC does get 3.3 more first downs per
game but they are dead even in yards per play. Michigan
State
gets 93.5 more rushing yards
per game but Boston College
accrues 103.8 more passing yards. It’s a net edge of 10.3 for the Eagles.

However, the Spartans do get .9 more rushing yards per
attempt and .8 more passing yards per reception.

Boston College allows19.9 fewer total yards per game on .7
less yards per play and 66 fewer rushing yards per game. However, MSU allows 46.1 fewer passing yards per game. In the key
areas of yards per play, BC has the upper hand in rushing yards per attempt
allowed of 1.6, passing yards per attempt of .6 and passing yards per reception
of .9. Even the turnover ratio is close with Mich State
having a net edge of two.

TCU-Houston

It’s Houston
as the mathematically superior team on the offensive side of the ball, but TCU on defense. Houston
gets 3.7 more first downs per game, 124.8 more yards, 1.4
more yards per play. This is on 1.3 more rushing yards per attempt, 1.8 more
passing yards per attempt and 1.2 more passing yards per reception. The Cougars
also complete 9.5 more percent of the passes.

The only exception to Houston
winning every offensive and TCU every defensive matchup
is Houston allowing 2.6 less
percent pass completions on defense. Other than that, the Horned Frogs are
allowing 46.6 fewer total yards per game, on 1.1 less yards per play. The
biggest edge is in yards per catch allowed at 3.6.

Maryland-Oregon State

Oregon State
has slight total yards advantages on both sides of the ball, but not so much in
all the yards per rush/pass/play categories. OSU has a 20.3 yards per game upper hand on
offense. However the Terps get a slight .2 yards per play edge. Maryland
gets 1.8 more passing yards per attempt and 1.3 more passing yards per
reception. The Terrapins also complete 8.8 more percent of the passes.

Oregon State
allows 42.9 less yards per game and .8 less yards per play. Maryland
though does allow 18.8 fewer passing yards. The Beavers allow 1.8 fewer rushing
yards per attempt, but Maryland
allows .2 less passing yards per attempt and 1.9 less passing yards per
reception. Oregon State
allows 7.4 less percent of their opponents passes to
be completed. Maryland has a
turnover ratio advantage of six.

Central Florida-Mississippi State

Central Florida has accrued 121.3
more total yards per game on 1.4 more yards per play. UCF
gets 1.6 more rushing yards per attempt and 1.6 more passing yards per attempt
as well as 1.3 more passing yards per reception. The Golden Eagles complete 7.2
more percent of their passes.

Mississippi State
has the advantage in more defensive categories though. They allow 66.1 less
passing yards, though Central Florida allows 27.9 less
rushing yards. The biggest edge is in turnover ratio where UCF
is 10 better.

Penn
State-Texas A&M

The teams could not be closer offensively with A&M
getting a measly 3.8 more yards per game but they are dead even in yards per
play and close in ever other category.

Penn State
sweeps the defense, allowing 109.4 less yards per game on 1.3 less yards per
play. The Nittany Lions allow 1.5 less rushing yards per attempt and 1.3
passing yards per attempt.

The Aggies have a turnover ratio
of seven better.

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is offering complete bowl packages for Joe Duffy’s GodsTips for $149, Stevie
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Bowl Breakdowns, Part 2

This is Part-2 where the Center of the Handicapping
Universe Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com breaks down the statistical comparisons of
the bowl games. This report entails games of Dec. 23-Dec. 27.

East Carolina-Boise State

Boise is much
better on both sides of the ball. They get 4.9 more first downs per game on
98.6 total yards per game and .7 more yards per play. East Carolina
holds their own in ball control though as the teams are dead even in rushing
yards per attempt. Boise gets 1.5 more passing yards per attempt but their
passing yards per reception is actually less than many may think, getting a
minimal .5 more than the Pirates.

The Broncos actually have slightly better margins of
advantage on the defensive side of the ball. The Boise
boys allow 5.7 fewer first downs per game, 107.7 fewer yards on .8 less yards
per play allowed. The superiority is pretty consistent though as they allow .4
less rushing yards per attempt and 1.1 less passing yards per attempt. However,
ECU allows .2 fewer passing yards per reception. Boise
has a commanding advantage in pass completion percentage allowing 10.2 less.
Before you conclude the stats say Boise
should be an even bigger chalk, note ECU protects the ball much better with a
turnover ratio 10 better than BSU.

Central Michigan-Purdue

Offensively, this is one of the more evenly matched
statistical battles. Purdue gets just .4 more first downs per game but CMU gets
27.4 more yards per game on .4 more yards per play. The Boilermakers get 22.2
more yards per game in the air. The biggest edge is on rushing yards per
attempt where the Chippewas get .9 more. While Central accumulates .2 more
passing yards per attempt, it’s Purdue earning .3 more passing yards per
reception.

Purdue’s defensive superiority is across the board, but
not by dominating margins. They allow 3.4 fewer first downs per game on 64.7
fewer total yards. They also allow .8 less yards per play. The biggest upper
hand is with pass defense, allowing 1.7 less passing yards per attempt and 1.3
less passing yards per reception and a passing percentage against of 7.9 better
than CMU allows. In turnovers and rushing yards per attempt the teams are
nearly even.

Texas-Arizona State

Texas is
slightly better overall offensively, but Arizona
State
is better in the air. The Longhorns
amass 52 more yards per game on .8 more yards per play. Texas
has the smash mouth upper hand by a significant 1.5 more yards per rush.
However it’s ASU that accrues .4 more passing yards
per attempt and .7 more passing yards per reception.

Contrary to the stereotype of the Pac-10, the Sun Devils
allow 3.3 fewer first downs per game, 35.9 fewer yards and .2 less yards per
play. Texas though allows 7.8
fewer yards per rush. The Longhorns get the edge in rushing yards per attempt
allowed by .6, but ASU allows 1.0 passing yards per
attempt but Texas .4 less passing
yards per reception allowed.

ASU has significant superiority
on passing percentage allowed by 10.1 and turnover ratio by 10.

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2007 College Bowl Previews, Part 1

This is Part-1 where the Center of the Handicapping
Universe Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com breaks down the statistical comparisons of
the bowl games. This report entails games of Dec. 20-22.

Navy-Utah

The big underdogs Midshipmen have the numbers on the
offensive side of the ball. They get 4.8 more first downs per game, 81.8 total
yards and 1.1 more yards per play. However while Navy gets 187.8 more rushing
yards per game, Utah passes for
106.1 more.

Navy gets 1.7 more rushing yards per attempt and 2.8 more
passing yards per attempt. Surprising to many, the Naval
Academy
also gets 6.1 more passing
yards per reception.

The Utes come back and have the edge in most defensive
stats. They allow 6.2 fewer first downs per game, 118.4 fewer yards on 1.6 less
yards per play. They allow 3.1 less passing yards per attempt and they have a
monster advantage in passing percentage allowing 18.7 less. The Utes have the
upper hand in turnover ratio by 11.

Florida Atlantic-Memphis

Memphis has
slight edges on the offensive side of the ball, but by only 34.3 yards per game and .2 yards per play. However, showing
how close they are mathematically on offense, FAU
gets .5 more passing yards per reception.

Likewise Florida Atlantic gets the nod defensively, but
not by much. They allow 22.4 less total yards per game and .6 less yards per
play. The biggest edge by either team is on turnover ratio where Florida
Atlantic has a superiority of 13.

Southern
Miss-Cincinnati

The Bearcats have the numbers on offense getting 64.2 more
yards on .7 more yards per play. However, the Eagles get 18.4 more rushing
yards per game. Cincy gets 1.9 more passing yards per
reception.

Defensively it’s very close. They are 1.4 yards per game allowed apart
with Southern Mississippi getting the nominal win. But
the Bearcats actually give up .3 fewer yards per play. While Cincinnati is
better against the run by 42.8
yards
per game and a full yard per carry, Southern Miss
is superior by 44.2 passing yards per game, though it’s Cincy
allowing .1 less passing yards per attempt and .6 less per catch. As is the
case with many statistically evenly matched squads, where the big advantage
lies is in the turnover margin category. Give that to Cincinnati
by a significant margin of 21.

Nevada Reno-New Mexico

Nevada has a
substantial lead in every significant offensive category except completion
percentage in which New Mexico
gets the edge by 4.8. Nevada gets
130.8 more total yards per game, 1.6 more yards per play. The edge is across
the board 1.5 rushing yards per attempt, 2.2 passing yards per attempt and a
very efficient 5.2 more passing yards per reception. Nevada
also gets 6.2 more first downs per game.

New Mexico
has the better statistical defense, but by slightly smaller margins. They allow
72.3 fewer total yards on 1.0 less yards per play. Talk about consistent, New
Mexico allows 1.0 less rushing yards per attempt and 1.0 less passing yards per
attempt.

UCLA-BYU

The Cougars are a cut above on each side of the ball,
especially on offense. BYU gets 125 more total yards
per game, led by 8.0 more first downs and 1.1 more yards per play. They also
get 1.6 more passing yards per attempt and complete a commanding 11.3 more
percent of their pass attempts.

The teams are dead even defensively on the ever important
yards per play category, though BYU allows 39.5 less
total yards per game. All in all, the teams are extremely close in the major
handicapping defensive comparisons.

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NCAA Condemns Betting While Fixing Their Bets

The NCAA has long taken a harsh anti-gambling stance. They
have a well-orchestrated “Don’t Bet on It” campaign including a website
(DontBetOnIt.org).

Yet, the phony organization has a $100 million gamble and
has fixed the outcome to ensure they will not lose the money they anted. The NCAA, in conjunction with their
mega-million dollar betting syndicate of six BCS conferences, college
presidents and the television networks, created the BCS 11 years ago. Topping
the list of goals of the sweepstakes is to come up with a true national
championship game.

The quandary is, ala ice skating, that the participants
are determined by a very subjective equation that consists of judges in two
polls and the computer average of six ranking systems. The compilation results
in a point system that ranks each team, with the top two meeting to determine a
champion.

However, the many imperfections of the method allows for
the possibility that the NCAA could lose their bet. The winner of that alleged
championship game may not wind up with the most BCS points when the point
system was applied after the bowl games.

The new calculations could produce a top ranked team that did
not even participate in the BCS Championship game. We saw an example of that
when LSU earned a spot in this year’s game, leapfrogging a Virginia Tech team
that won and a Georgia squad that did not play because they already finished
their season.

There are endless scenarios in which the victor of Ohio
State-LSU could also be leapfrogged. For example, LSU supporters point out that
both of the Tigers losses were in overtime, hence their setbacks should be
weighted less.

Okay, so what if the BCS Championship game also goes into
overtime, should that victory be weighted less, allowing impressive bowl wins
by Virginia Tech, Oklahoma, Georgia,
USC or Kansas to bypass them?

What if Hawaii
stuns Georgia
in impressive fashion? All of a sudden that sheds new light on their record and
validates them as the only undefeated team in the country.

Well aware of the nightmare scenario, the NCAA has fixed
the outcome. Coaches have as much right to vote their conscience as constituents
do in Cuban elections. Regardless of who a coach believes should be No. 1
following the postseason results, they are mandated to declare the winner of
the BCS’ gamble as champion. Is this not blatant shaving of the BCS’s own point
system?

In fact, the Bowl Championship Series Rankings are not
even recalculated following the bowls. A true final poll could reveal the BCS
lost their wager. No problem, the NCAA comes up with a point system then
manipulates the ultimate outcome to guarantee there will be no undesired
results. If a player does that, it’s called point shaving. When the NCAA does
the same thing, they call it the Bowl Championship Series.

College athletes, visit the DontBetOnIt.org site.
Remember, when the NCAA informs you about all the evils of gambling and point
shaving, do as they say, not as they do.

The author, Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com.
Make sure you are happy with the outcome of the college football bowls by
getting his GodsTips winning selections at OffshoreInsiders.com


Are Any Radio Touts Real Football Handicappers?

Joe Wiz is joining Jonathan Stone, Freeplays,
Jeff Allen, Bobby Ventura, Sebastian, Duke Wins, Mike
Wynn as screaming on my radio that he never loses. Does anybody beat Joe Whiz?
He is ranked No. 461 in
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handicappers visit MasterLockLine.com

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their highest ranked sports. Yes we monitor the touts with huge marketing
budgets or high profile such as Jonathan Stone, Jeff Allen, Wayne Root, Jim
Feist, Bobby Ventura, Brandon Lang, Steve Budin and the
current tout de jour Adam Zinn. But we also get the quality
picks from Doctor Bob, Norm Hitzges, Sean Michaels, Bo Eason, Docs
Sports, Matt Fargo, Luther Wade, Scott Sprietzer, Phil Steele Northcoast
Sports and others. It’s all daily at MasterLockLine.com
part of the OffshoreInsiders.com Network