All posts by Joe Duffy

Week 2 NFL Betting Browns vs. Bengals Official Betting Preview

Two teams that are winless ATS, SU, and have gone under their only contest clash as week 2 NFL odds commence with the Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns. The Browns are off a 32-point rout at the hands of Baltimore. Teams off a 32 point or more loss are 139-114-11, including 13-6 if laying six or more. However, of mild surprise considering week 2 overreaction is common in NFL betting, teams off a week 1 loss of 32 or more are 1-7 since 1999. This record is both SU and ATS by a 31.2-12.4 margin.

Odds: Cleveland is laying -6 with a total of 43.5. Both are down from the opening odds of -7.5 and 46.

Public betting percentages: The public is more willing to bet on underdogs this season, presumably with the uncertainty as 56 percent of bets and 64 percent of cash on the Bengals. A slight majority of 51 percent of both tickets and cash are on the over.

Power ratings: Cleveland is projected to win 23-21 with math lines at Browns -1.5 and 43.5.

Computer simulations ATS: One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found Cleveland covering -6 at 53 percent of the time. Another says Cleveland should be laying eight points and has them covering 56.6 percent to 40.8, the rest pushes.

Computer simulations OU: Of 10,000 simulations from one of the industry’s elite simulations, 59 percent went over the 43.5. The other elite one says the total should be 47 and has 59.7 percent of simulations going over, 40.3 under.

Against the spread trends: Cincinnati is 33-16-2 in September and 0-4 after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Cleveland is 16-38 off loss. The favorite has covered 8-of-10 meetings.

Over-under trends: The series has gone over 4-0-1 lately. Cincinnati has gone under 8-1-1 away dogs. Cleveland has gone under the total five straight Thursday night contests.

Top expert pick on today’s card is from NFL specialist Joe Duffy, the best ever. JDP is back on fire in the NBA plays since adding top three computer simulation/power ratings programs to our arsenal. We are 8-4 in NBA. Thursday night NFL side and total led by Wise Guy. We often skip sides and totals on primetime games. In fact, last week SNF, TNF, two MNF, we had just won pick and hit it. Tonight, Wise Guy side, Major total on TNF. MLB side added for night action. 3-1 NHL playoffs, get NHL total to complete a three-sport sweep! Get the picks now

Three regular rotation college football winners, plus Added Rotation Total of the Month! 13 NFL Sunday!  

NFL Prop Bets: Covid PPD, Brady, Newtown, Tua Bets Among Sportsbook Options

Cam Newton and the running Pats, Tom Brady and the Tampa turnovers, missed field goals, masks, sacks and more.

Week 1 produced an abundance of storylines for the remainder of the NFL season. SportsBetting has created some interesting prop bets surrounding the trending news, which you can find below, along with some additional context.

Additionally, there are updated Super Bowl, conference and division numbers.

Odds are subject to change and your readers can view real-time odds via the links below.

Will any last place team from 2019 win its division?

Yes +150

No -200

The Cardinals, Jaguars, Chargers and Redskins all finished last in 2019, and they all won in Week 1.

Will an NFL coach be fined for not wearing mask?

Yes +110

No -150

After more than a few coaches were shown on the sidelines with masks down or half on, the NFL sent out a memo warning teams/coaches to not let it happen again. 

Will an NFL game be postponed due to COVID?

Yes +500

No -900

Total interceptions by Tom Brady in Week 2

Over .5

Under .5

Bruce Arians had some choice words about Brady’s two picks in Week 1.

Will Tom Brady throw a pick-six in Week 2?

Yes +600

No -1500

Brady has throw a pick-six in three consecutive games going back to last year. Matt Schaub holds the record with four straight.

Total interceptions by Tom Brady during 2020 reg. season

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

Terrific Tom has never thrown more than 15 in a season, but he’s on pace for 32.

Team with most wins during 2020 reg. season

Patriots +110

Bucs -150

Will Cam Newton lead Patriots in rushing yards?

Yes +300

No -500

Cam ran for 75 yards in Week 1, and Ryan Fitzpatrick led the Dolphins in rushing last year so we know anything is possible.

Will Cam Newton lead Patriots in rushing TDs?

Yes +250

No -350

Total missed field goals in Week 2

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

There were 19 missed field goals in Week 1, the most of any week since 2011.

Total missed field goals by Stephen Gostkowski in Week 2

Over .5

Under .5

The future Hall of Famer may suffer the same fate as Adam Vinatieri if he keeps kicking like he did in Week 1.

Total sacks allowed by Eagles in Week 2

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

Philadelphia allowed eight sacks by the Redskins last week, and we all know how injury-prone the man under center has been.

Will Seahawks attempt pass from opponent 1-yard line in Week 2?

Yes +350

No -600

Homage to Super Bowl XLIX and Malcolm Butler.

Tua Tagovailoa total starts during 2020 reg. season

Over 6.5

Under 6.5

Fitzmagic didn’t look so magical in Week 1. When will we see the rookie?

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Updated NBA Championship and NCAA Basketball Championship Odds

With the NCAA men’s basketball oversight committee expected to vote on a proposed start date to the 2020-21 season today, we thought it would be a good time to provide the latest championship odds.

Numbers are provided by SportsBetting.ag, and you can find the list of 50+ teams and their respective odds below.

In other basketball news, with the Western Conference Finals set and one game of the East Finals completed, there are updated NBA title odds.

With the top two seeds from the East and the Clippers gone, unsurprisingly, the Lakers are odds-on favorites.

NBA Championship Odds

Los Angeles Lakers  1-2  (-200)

Miami Heat  9-2  (+450)

Boston Celtics  11-2  (+550)

Denver Nuggets  9-1  (+900)

The Lakers are listed as 6.5-point favorites in Game 1 against Denver.

Finally, one-sided action on Wes Unseld Jr. has forced the sportsbook to take down odds for the Bulls next head coach. Whether the team and Unseld Jr. have reached an agreement is not public knowledge, but perhaps “Vegas knows something.”

Odds are subject to change and your readers can view real-time odds via the links below.

NCAA Championship Odds
Villanova 7-1
Iowa 8-1
Baylor 9-1
Gonzaga 9-1
Kansas 12-1
Kentucky 12-1
Virginia 12-1
Duke 14-1
Illinois 14-1
Michigan State 16-1
West Virginia 16-1
Wisconsin 16-1
Creighton 18-1
Florida State 18-1
North Carolina 18-1
San Diego State 20-1
Tennessee 22-1
Michigan 25-1
Oregon 28-1
Texas Tech 28-1
Florida 30-1
Ohio State 30-1
UCLA 30-1
Louisville 33-1
Seton Hall 33-1
Houston 35-1
Arizona State 40-1
Auburn 40-1
Indiana 40-1
LSU 40-1
Arizona 50-1
Maryland 50-1
Stanford 50-1
Rutgers 60-1
Texas 60-1
USC 60-1
Memphis 75-1
Arkansas 80-1
BYU 80-1
Connecticut 80-1
Dayton 80-1
Miami FL 80-1
Purdue 80-1
Richmond 80-1
Butler 100-1
Colorado 100-1
Marquette 100-1
Minnesota 100-1
Oklahoma 100-1
Penn State 100-1
Syracuse 125-1
Iona 250-1
Ole Miss 250-1

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Steelers-Giants Official Preview From Pro Betting Standpoint

The Pittsburgh Steelers take on the New York Giants at 7:10 ET in the opening game of the Monday Night Football doubleheader.  The big story is the return of QB Ben Roethlisberger for Pittsburgh. Reports say he has been looking sharp in practice rebounding from another series injury. Also RB James Conner is back after missing six games with an injury last season.

Odds: Pittsburgh is -6 with a total of 45 at NFL live lines. It opened at -3.5 and 47 -115 at Betonline

Public betting percentages: The public loves their road favorites and no exception here as 74% of bets and 78% of cash is on Pittsburgh. Though 53% of tickets are on the over, 79% of money is on the under, implying a sharp bet for the under say many who study betting patterns.

Power ratings: The top power ratings have Pittsburgh winning by just a 23-20 score.

Computer simulations ATS: One simulation model has the Giants covering 50 percent of the time, but with pushes, makes them a slight lean. Likewise the other elite simulator gives a slight edge, but to Pittsburgh at 50.3-46.6, the remaining projected pushes.

Computer simulations OU: 57 percent of simulations go under according to one-program. The other agrees by a 51.3-47.3 ratio, with the remaining expected to land right on the number.

Against the spread trends: Pittsburgh is 2-7 in week 1, but so are the Giants. New York is also 3-12-1 at home,

Over-under trends: Pittsburgh has gone under 22-5 road favorites.

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College Football Week 2 Odds Posted

Week 2 college football odds at Bovada and other books are up. Follow us on social media: YouTubeFacebookPeriscopeVKOKTwitterInstagram (new and hot), Pinterest.

  Saturday, 19th SP/RL TOTAL
12:00 PM
123 Liberty +13 (-110) 59½ (-110)
124 Western Kentucky -13 (-110) 59½ (-110)
 
12:05 PM
103 UL Lafayette -17 (-110) 61 (-110)
104 Georgia State +17 (-110) 61 (-110)
12:05 PM
113 Boston College +6 (-110) 50½ (-110)
114 Duke -6 (-110) 50½ (-110)
12:05 PM
119 Syracuse +20½ (-110) 51½ (-110)
120 Pittsburgh U -20½ (-110) 51½ (-110)
12:05 PM
133 Navy +8 (-110) 49 (-110)
134 Tulane -8 (-110) 49 (-110)
12:05 PM
141 Tulsa +22 (-110) 65½ (-110)
142 Oklahoma State -22 (-110) 65½ (-110)
12:05 PM
143 Houston U +8 (-110) 59 (-110)
144 Baylor -8 (-110) 59 (-110)
1:35 PM
121 Appalachian St -3½ (-110) 57 (-110)
122 Marshall +3½ (-110) 57 (-110)
WRITE-IN GAMES
2:35 PM
139 South Florida +25½ (-110) 52½ (-110)
140 Notre Dame -25½ (-110) 52½ (-110)
3:35 PM
109 Central Florida -7½ (-105) 62 (-110)
110 Georgia Tech +7½ (-115) 62 (-110)
3:35 PM
111 Charlotte +26½ (-110) 62½ (-110)
112 North Carolina -26½ (-110) 62½ (-110)
3:35 PM
115 Miami Florida +1½ (-110) 59½ (-110)
116 Louisville -1½ (-110) 59½ (-110)
4:05 PM
105 Florida Atlantic -6 (-110) 50½ (-110)
106 Georgia Southern +6 (-110) 50½ (-110)
4:05 PM
135 Troy -3½ (-110) 64 (-110)
136 Middle Tenn St +3½ (-110) 64 (-110)
6:05 PM
129 SMU -14½ (-110) 66½ (-110)
130 North Texas +14½ (-110) 66½ (-110)
7:35 PM
125 Louisiana Tech +3½ (-110) 54½ (-110)
126 Southern Miss -3½ (-110) 54½ (-110)
7:35 PM
127 Texas State -2 (-110) 60 (-110)
128 UL Monroe +2 (-110) 60 (-110)
8:05 PM
107 Wake Forest +2½ (-110) 56½ (-110)
108 NC State -2½ (-110) 56½ (-110)

 

NFL Week 2 Odds

Week 2 NFL odds are up at top sportsbooks such as Bet Now Winning picks at OffshoreInsiders.com  Follow us on social media: YouTubeFacebookPeriscopeVKOKTwitterInstagram (new and hot), Pinterest.

  Thurs SP/RL TOTAL
 
8:25 PM
101 Bengals +7½ (-118) 46 (-110)
102 Browns -7½ (-102) 46 (-110)
  Sunday SP/RL TOTAL
1:05 PM
273 Vikings +2½ (-101) 46 (-110)
274 Colts -2½ (-119) 46 (-110)
1:05 PM
275 Lions +6 (-120) 46 (-110)
276 Packers -6 (EV) 46 (-110)
1:05 PM
277 Giants +5½ (-109) 43 (-105)
278 Bears -5½ (-111) 43 (-115)
1:05 PM
279 Jaguars +11 (-111) 43 (-109)
280 Titans -11 (-109) 43 (-111)
 
1:05 PM
261 Rams +3½ (-115) 48 (-103)
262 Eagles -3½ (-105) 48 (-117)
 
1:05 PM
263 Panthers +8 (-105) 48½ (-110)
264 Buccaneers -8 (-115) 48½ (-110)
1:05 PM
265 Broncos +5½ (-103) 43 (-114)
266 Steelers -5½ (-118) 43 (-106)
1:05 PM
267 Falcons +6½ (-115) 50 (-110)
268 Cowboys -6½ (-105) 50 (-110)
1:05 PM
269 49ers -6 (-110) 43½ (-115)
270 Jets +6 (-110) 43½ (-105)
1:05 PM
271 Bills -3½ (-111) 43 (-105)
272 Dolphins +3½ (-109) 43 (-115)
4:10 PM
281 WA Football Team +6 (-108) 46½ (-110)
282 Cardinals -6 (-112) 46½ (-110)
4:30 PM
283 Ravens -5½ (-110) 53 (-110)
284 Texans +5½ (-110) 53 (-110)
4:30 PM
285 Chiefs -6½ (-130) 50½ (-110)
286 Chargers +6½ (+110) 50½ (-110)
8:25 PM
287 Patriots +3½ (-110) 44 (-110)
288 Seahawks -3½ (-110) 44 (-110)
  Monday SP/RL TOTAL
 
8:20 PM
289 Saints -4½ (-115) 50½ (-110)
290 Raiders +4½ (-105) 50½ (-110)

 

SEC Opening Week Odds Unleased

Betonline, home of the opening line has released opening lines for SEC week 1, September 26. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picks and information.

Saturday, Sep 26, 2020 – NCAA Football Game
08:00 PM 2001 Alabama -21½ -125
2002 Missouri +21½ 105
08:00 PM 2003 Florida -10½ -120
2004 Mississippi +10½ 100
08:00 PM 2005 Georgia -23½ -110
2006 Arkansas +23½ -110
08:00 PM 2007 Kentucky +7½ -115
2008 Auburn -7½ -105
08:00 PM 2009 Mississippi State 16 -110
2010 LSU -16 -110
08:00 PM 2011 Tennessee -3 -115
2012 South Carolina 3 -105
08:00 PM 2013 Vanderbilt 30 -110
2014 Texas A&M -30 -110

 

Cowboys vs. Rams Betting Picks Preview: Computer Simulations, Power Ratings, ATS and OU Intel

Sunday Night Football Dallas vs. LA Rams for week 1 NFL betting.

Odds: Dallas is -2 with a total of 51.5 at MyBookie NFL live lines, latest odds

Public betting percentages: Though 59 percent of tickets on Dallas, 60 percent of money on Rams. Many who studying contrarian believe this implies sharp bet on home underdogs. Even the 59 percent is fairly low for a public that adores road favorites.

Power ratings: MasseyRatings has Los Angeles winning outright 24-21.

Computer simulations ATS: One of our simulation models has the Rams covering 56 percent, very high for this software and one of the stronger bets of the week. In fact, they have LA winning outright 53 percent, so a bet on the moneyline is a good percentage play. However, the other top-shelf simulator has Dallas overing 57.3 percent.

Computer simulations OU: One model has the game going under 62 percent of simulations. Another model has 53.1 percent of simulations going under.

Against the spread trends: Rams 12-3 to NFC, 5-12 underdogs, 0-7-1 home underdogs.

Over-under trends: Series over 4-0. Rams over 7-3 underdogs

Top expert pick on today’s card is from MasterLockLine. Only the highest rated plays from the highest rated handicappers in their highest rated sports have been here since scorephone days of 1980. Top industry side, top industry total on this game at OffshoreInsiders.com