All posts by Joe Duffy

This is How Pros Bet NFL; How Was Your Day Without Joe Duffy’s Picks? Begin the Rest of Your Betting Life Now

I do not know the personnel as well as others. I’ve been gambling for about 40 years and a pro gambler and handicapper since 1988. It’s about advanced analytics. It’s why those of us who rely on artificial intelligence are better than everyone else. Do you have this kind of NextGen info when you bet? If not, your choice has consequences. Thanks for keeping the books in biz for us pros. Or begin the rest of your life at OffshoreInsiders.com with Joe Duffy’s Picks. 

NFL

Wise Guy

HOUSTON +2.5 Chicago

Road dogs in non-divisional games based on completion percentage and rushing yards per attempt are 59-16-1. Admittedly a coin flip in recent years, but as corroborating evidence, road teams off road loss are a good bet 346-296-18. Going against favorites who are almost always underdogs is 160-98-12. Houston is a weird 1-0-1 SU, losing on the road. Chicago is 1-1 SU, winning to San Francisco at home, implying Bears are the better team. But I have told you for decades straight up record is the most deceiving stat in sports. Home field is worth three points, yet Chicago, with the better record is laying less than that. When the overall and splits records both strongly imply the road team should be a much bigger dog, but are not, we weaponize that against them with a 106-67 record. 

ATLANTA +2 Seattle 

Road dogs in non-divisional games based on completion percentage and rushing yards per attempt are 59-16-1. Admittedly a coin flip in recent years, but as corroborating evidence, road teams off road loss are a good bet 346-296-18. Going against favorites who are almost always underdogs is 160-98-12.  When the overall and splits records both strongly imply the road team should be a much bigger dog, but are not, we weaponize that against them with a 106-67 record. Yes this is a pick. We cut and pasted the Houston example by accident, but the same system applies.

GREEN BAY +2 Tampa 

Betting on the more disappointing defense based on delta points allowed is 348-239-15. Delta points allowed is how many points they allowed relative to the average team total. Road teams winless on the road are 191-132 under specific situations that apply in this game. Fading teams in home opener in week 3 is 60-37. 

Major

PHILADELPHIA -6.5 Washington

If the home team has been better home than in the road, regression to the mean angle favors the road team 157-113-1. 

DETROIT +6 Minnesota 

If the home team has been better home than in the road, regression to the mean angle favors the road team 157-113-1. Betting on the more disappointing defense based on delta points allowed is 348-239-15. Delta points allowed is how many points they allowed relative to the average team total. 

Washington-Philadelphia UNDER 47

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version goes under at a rate of 1550-1217-61. It is okay in playoffs, but much better in regular season. 

Carolina-New Orleans UNDER 40.5

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version goes under at a rate of 1550-1217-61. It is okay in playoffs, but much better in regular season. 

LA Rams-Arizona UNDER 49 

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version goes under at a rate of 1550-1217-61. It is okay in playoffs, but much better in regular season. 

Atlanta-Seattle UNDER 42

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version goes under at a rate of 1550-1217-61. It is okay in playoffs, but much better in regular season.

NFL Picks, Week 3: Injuries, Weather, Line Moves, Market Betting Report

Week 3 NFL betting market report. 

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Cincinnati, Baltimore, San Francisco. The normal away favorites infatuation. Buffalo OVER

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Atlanta, Cincinnati; Detroit OVER, LA Chargers UNDER  

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Denver -2.5 to +1, Cincinnati -4 to -6, NY Giants -3 to -1

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Jacksonville, Carolina, Houston; Washington UNDER 

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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

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NFL Betting Picks Intel:

NFL weather:

Jacksonville-Philadelphia 62% chance of rain

Buffalo-Baltimore 51% chance of rain 

NFL injuries:

Saints both Jameis Winston and Alvin Kamara will play

Chargers QB Justin Herbert game time decision, will likely take pain killers 

Broncos Jerry Jeudy, Patrick Surtain II probable 

Colts All-Pro LB Shaquille Leonards is out

Ravens get back J.K. Dobbins, plus Marlon Humphrey, Marcus Peters are probable 

Cardinals RB James Cooper questionable to probable 

Packers WR Randall “Tex” Cobb is probable 

Bucs WR Julio Jones doubtful 

College Football Betting: Week 4 Market Report

Saturday market report for bettors! 

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Utah, ODU, Michigan; Vanderbilt OVER 

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Eastern Michigan, TCU, GA Southern, WKU; MTSU OVER, FIU OVER, Purdue UNDER 

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Minnesota +2 to -3, WKU -27.5 to -31.5, SMU -1 to +2.5, UNC +1 to -2.5

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Rice; BYU UNDER, Oregon State UNDER, Oklahoma UNDER  

🖥Duffy 3-2 this week led by Thursday Night Total of Year. 10 CFB winners led by 5 Wise Guys, the strongest bet in gambling hands down at OffshoreInsiders.com

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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

Betting inside info

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Locked and loaded menu for Saturday, September 24, 2022

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🔥🔥Hottest Handicapper🔥🔥

The top contrarian handicapper in history is a veteran out of Las Vegas. He is the only handicapper Top 15 all-time in every sport: MLB plus college and pro basketball and football and easily #1 last four years in both football overall and college football in winning percentage. Three contrarian bets to improve on 77 percent run the last four years!

The #1 service in all sports since 1999, January 1 is one you have been winning with since scorephone 900-number days.  College Football Total of the Year

The No. 1 college sports, basketball and football combined makes only picks in those sports and has been winning since 2004. Three sides

Familiar capper is #1 in NCAAF this season. Service out of San Diego is the No. 1 handicapper west of Mississippi, which includes every Las Vegas based handicapper. Two bets rated Game of the Week or higher, one agrees with contrarian, the SEC Game of the Year in fact

Long-time winning service is #1 in football last three years combined and #1 so far this season in college and NFL, including preseason. Bet the Ranch plays are their highest rated. Four Bet the Ranch NCAAF, two totals, two sides

SQL expert has skyrocketed to #1 overall capper, all sports combined for 2022 and #1 in MLB. Top football bet this season thus far. All this on MasterLockLine at OffshoreInsiders.com

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NFL Picks ATS Week 3, News and Pro Gambler Notes

Sunday, NFL week 3 betting notes from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has nine NFL winners led by three Wise Guys with great intel like in this video, aided by advanced. Find out what the pros know and you need to know from OffshoreInsiders.com CEO and top NFL bettor. 

Week 3 NFL Betting Picks 

🔥Chargers QB Justin Herbert is questionable. Chase Daniel is the backup 

🔥Also for Bolts WR Keenan Allen questionable, CB J.C. Jackson and center Corey Linsley are doubtful 

🔥Saints list QB Jameis Winston and RB Alvin Kamara as questionable 

🔥Niners TE George Kittle will make season debut

🔥Colts get top WR Michael Pittman back but star linebacker Shaquille Leonard reminds out

🔥Chiefs extended break as they played previous week on Thursday, face Colts off shutout loss to lowly Jaguars

🔥Arizona has scored just seven points in the first half

🔥Atlanta is on an extended road trip, having stayed out west after loss to Rams 

🔥Seahawks minus safety Jamal Adams

🔥Many believe Niners are a better team with Jim Garoppolo as QB than with Trey Lance, who is out for the year

🔥Denver has just 16 points combined and minus star safety Justin Simmons 

🔥Home teams off getting shutout as favorite 2-7 SU and ATS since 1998 (fade Indianapolis)

🔥Teams hitting road off blowing 21 point or more lead in a loss are 16-6 ATS (favors Ravens)

🔥Patriots home opener

🔥Saints play first outdoor game of season

🔥Winless teams with at least two losses laying at least -5.5 are 30-17 ATS (Bengals), 3-1 in rare road games

🔥Atlanta 0-2 SU, but 2-0 ATS

🔥Seattle one TD last six quarters 

🔥Buffalo 2-0 ATS by average 21.5 points per game 

🔥Colts 0-2 ATS, missing by average of -17 points per game, Titans 0-2 by -15.3

🔥Lions over both by 19.5 points per game 

🔥Tampa under both by -20.5, Vikings too by -17.5

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NFL Odds Week 3, Betting Preview Steelers-Browns

Sports gambling notes for Thursday, Sept 22

Steelers vs. Browns TNF Betting Info

Pittsburgh-Cleveland (-4.5, 38.5)

🏈Opened Cleveland -2.5, 40.5

🏈Side: Pittsburgh with 76% of bets, 75% of money

🏈OU: 52% bets, 87% of money on under

There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

NFL

🔥Browns edge rushers Jadeveon Clowney and Chase Winovich are out. Myles Garrett has been upgraded to probable

🔥Steelers without TJ Watt

🔥Steelers 3-8-1 ATS after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game

🔥Cleveland 21-48-1 off loss

🔥Pittsburgh under 44-18 road

🔥Cleveland under 6-1 Thursdays

 NCAAF

🔥VA Tech 1-11 off win

🔥WVU under 53-26 after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game

💰💰💰Top expert pick from Joe Duffy. Thursday Night College Football Total of the Year plus NFL side and total on Pittsburgh-Cleveland.

Huge weekend up too at OffshoreInsiders.com

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Odds of 0-2 Teams To Make NFL Playoffs

Over the previous three years, 27 NFL teams started the season 0-2. None of them made the playoffs.

Three teams who made the playoffs last year, including the conference’s top seed and the AFC champion, are not favored to make the tournament after 0-2 starts. 

SportsBetting  updates its NFL Playoffs odds and victory totals for all 32 teams every week of the season, which you can find via the links below. 

If you are able to use this information, please consider citing the source.

Here are the numbers, current and preseason, for the aforementioned winless clubs.

Bengals Make Playoffs?

Yes +145 

No -175

(Odds imply a 40.8% probability Cincinnati will not make the playoffs. Bengals were -130 to make playoffs during the preseason.)

Titans Make Playoffs?

Yes +130

No -160

(Odds imply a 43.5% probability Tennessee will not make the playoffs. Titans were -125 to make playoffs during the preseason.)

Raiders Make Playoffs?

Yes +230

No -260

(Odds imply a 30.3% probability Las Vegas will not make the playoffs. Raiders were +170 to make playoffs during the preseason.)

Panthers Make Playoffs?

Yes +550

No -900

Falcons Make Playoffs?

Yes +1800

No -5000

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Football Inside Info

Inside info for Sunday, September 18, 2022 NFL betting

🔥Houston under 11-of-15 road

🔥 Texas played a full extra quarter and now to go to high altidude

🔥Bengals turned ball over 5 times last week

🔥Away favorites of three or more after 5 or more turnovers in a loss just 16-23-2 ATS

🔥Saints 13-7 home underdogs

🔥Giants corner Aaron Robinson out and two edge rushers doubtful

🔥Tits Mike Vrabel 13-3 underdogs of 4 or more points 

🔥Carson Wentz excelled in his Washington debut and gets to play another horrible defense this week

💰💰💰Top expert pick:  Stevie Vincent swept moneyline dogs of +550, +300 yesterday. He’s 277-146 overall since early June. Perfect Play, moneyline dog lead the way today at OffshoreInsiders.com

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Market Report For Saturday College Football Picks

Saturday, September 17 college football market report.

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Utah, Rutgers, Minnesota, Ole Miss

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Utah, Old Dominion, Georgia, Western Kentucky

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Coastal Carolina opened -18.5 now -12.5, Cincinnati -20 to -23.5, Iowa -20 to -23.5, Virginia -10.5 to -7.5

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: New Mexico, South Florida, Fresno State, Nebraska 

🖥Joe Duffy swept again last night, now 19-7; 3 Game/Totals of Year among 12 winners, 8 Wise Guys. Insane! OffshoreInsiders.com

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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

Oddsmakers’ Overreaction: Take Advantage of Huge Shifts in NFL Futures Bets

We still have one more game to play in Week 1, but “overreaction week” is already in overdrive. 

The oddsmakers have to account for those knee-jerk reactions from the bettors, as well as key injuries (Dak Prescott), and therefore have made some major changes to the NFL odds board.

Below you will find the latest Super Bowl, conference, division, MVP, OROY, DROY, Comeback POY and Coach of the Year odds. 

Notable movements in below odds from last Monday to today from SportsBetting   

– Eagles Super Bowl: 20-1 to 14-1

– Eagles division: +130 to -180

– Cowboys Super Bowl: 22-1 to 50-1

– Cowboys division: +145 to +550

– Bengals Super Bowl: 16-1 to 28-1

– Bengals division: +170 to +300

– Patrick Mahomes MVP: 9-1 to 5-1

– Jahan Dotson OROY: 22-1 to 5-1 (new favorite)

– Travon Walker DROY: 12-1 to 5-1 (new favorite)

– Saquon Barkley Comeback POY: 12-1 to 4-1 (new favorite)

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AFC East                      

Buffalo Bills                 -350

Miami Dolphins          +400

New England Patriots +850

New York Jets             +5000

AFC North                   

Baltimore Ravens                    +110

Cincinnati Bengals                  +300

Cleveland Browns                   +350

Pittsburgh Steelers                 +550

AFC South                   

Indianapolis Colts                   -145

Tennessee Titans                    +225

Jacksonville Jaguars                +650

Houston Texans                      +1400

AFC West                    

Kansas City Chiefs                   +150

Los Angeles Chargers              +190

Denver Broncos                      +300

Las Vegas Raiders                   +800

NFC East                      

Philadelphia Eagles                 -180

Dallas Cowboys                       +550

New York Giants                     +550

Washington Commanders      +550

NFC North                   

Green Bay Packers                  +115

Minnesota Vikings                  +120

Detroit Lions                           +950

Chicago Bears                         +1000

NFC South                   

Tampa Bay Buccaneers           -275

New Orleans Saints                 +250

Carolina Panthers                   +1400

Atlanta Falcons                       +5000

NFC West                    

Los Angeles Rams                   +120

San Francisco 49ers                +150

Arizona Cardinals                    +450

Seattle Seahawks                    +1400

Super Bowl                 

Buffalo Bills                             +500

Tampa Bay Buccaneers           +750

Kansas City Chiefs                   +800

Los Angeles Chargers              +1100

Philadelphia Eagles                 +1400

Baltimore Ravens                    +1600

Green Bay Packers                  +1600

Los Angeles Rams                   +1600

Denver Broncos                      +2000

San Francisco 49ers                +2000

Minnesota Vikings                  +2200

Indianapolis Colts                   +2500

Cincinnati Bengals                  +2800

Miami Dolphins                      +2800

New Orleans Saints                 +2800

Cleveland Browns                   +4000

Las Vegas Raiders                   +4500

Arizona Cardinals                    +5000

Dallas Cowboys                       +5000

Tennessee Titans                    +5500

New England Patriots             +6600

Pittsburgh Steelers                 +6600

Washington Commanders      +6600

Chicago Bears                         +10000

New York Giants                     +10000

Carolina Panthers                   +15000

Detroit Lions                           +15000

Jacksonville Jaguars                +15000

Houston Texans                      +20000

Seattle Seahawks                    +20000

Atlanta Falcons                       +30000

New York Jets                         +30000

AFC                  

Buffalo Bills                             +300

Kansas City Chiefs                   +450

Los Angeles Chargers              +650

Baltimore Ravens                    +1000

Denver Broncos                      +1000

Cincinnati Bengals                  +1400

Indianapolis Colts                   +1400

Miami Dolphins                      +1400

Cleveland Browns                   +2000

Las Vegas Raiders                   +2200

Tennessee Titans                    +2800

New England Patriots             +3300

Pittsburgh Steelers                 +3300

Jacksonville Jaguars                +8000

Houston Texans                      +12500

New York Jets                         +12500

NFC                 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers           +300

Philadelphia Eagles                 +525

Green Bay Packers                  +650

Los Angeles Rams                   +650

Minnesota Vikings                  +900

San Francisco 49ers                +900

New Orleans Saints                 +1400

Arizona Cardinals                    +2200

Dallas Cowboys                       +2500

Washington Commanders      +2800

New York Giants                     +4000

Chicago Bears                         +5000

Carolina Panthers                   +6600

Detroit Lions                           +7500

Seattle Seahawks                    +8000

Atlanta Falcons                       +12500

MVP                

Josh Allen                    +450

Patrick Mahomes        +500

Justin Herbert             +800

Tom Brady                  +900

Jalen Hurts                  +1400

Lamar Jackson            +1400

Kirk Cousins                +1600

Russell Wilson             +1600

Aaron Rodgers            +2000

Joe Burrow                  +2000

Derek Carr                   +2200

Matthew Stafford       +3300

Trey Lance                   +3300

Jameis Winston           +4000

Tua Tagovailoa            +4000

Jonathan Taylor          +5000

Kyler Murray               +5000

Carson Wentz             +6600

Justin Jefferson           +6600

Mac Jones                   +6600

Matt Ryan                   +6600

Daniel Jones                +7500

Derrick Henry              +7500

Justin Fields                +7500

Mitch Trubisky            +7500

Trevor Lawrence         +7500

Baker Mayfield            +10000

Cooper Kupp               +10000

Davante Adams          +10000

Ja’Marr Chase             +12500

Christian McCaffrey    +15000

Deebo Samuel            +15000

Jared Goff                   +15000

Jimmy Garoppolo       +15000

Ryan Tannehill            +15000

Alvin Kamara               +20000

Nick Chubb                  +25000

Dalvin Cook                 +30000

OROY              

Jahan Dotson              +500

Drake London             +900

George Pickens           +900

Dameon Pierce           +1000

Chris Olave                  +1200

Isaiah Pacheco            +1200

Skyy Moore                 +1200

Kenny Pickett              +1400

Romeo Doubs             +1400

Treylon Burks              +1400

Christian Watson        +1600

Breece Hall                  +2000

Garrett Wilson            +2000

Kyle Phillips                 +2500

Desmond Ridder         +3300

James Cook                 +3300

Rachaad White           +3300

Malik Willis                 +4000

Sam Howell                 +10000

DROY              

Travon Walker            +500

Aidan Hutchinson       +550

Kayvon Thibodeaux    +900

Ahmad Gardner          +1400

Derek Stingley Jr         +1400

Jordan Davis                +1400

Kyle Hamilton             +1400

George Karlaftis          +1600

Jermaine Johnson II    +1600

Devin Lloyd                 +2000

Nakobe Dean              +2000

Quay Walker               +2000

Kaiir Elam                    +2500

Trent McDuffie           +2500

Jaquan Brisker            +2800

Sam Williams              +3300

Andrew Booth Jr         +4000

Daxton Hill                  +4000

Kyler Gordon               +4000

Lewis Cine                   +4000

Arnold Ebiketie           +5000

Drake Jackson             +5000

Roger McCreary          +5000

Boye Mafe                  +5500

Malcolm Rodriguez     +6000

Devonte Wyatt           +6600

Jalen Pitre                   +6600

Leo Chenal                  +6600

Brian Asamoah           +7500

Christian Harris           +7500

Comeback POY                       

Saquon Barkley           +400

Jameis Winston           +600

Derrick Henry              +650

Christian McCaffrey    +900

Lamar Jackson            +900

Khalil Mack                 +1000

Michael Thomas         +1200

Mitch Trubisky            +1400

Julio Jones                   +1600

JuJu Smith-Schuster    +1800

Marcus Mariota          +2500

Allen Robinson III        +3300

Chris Godwin              +3300

Daniel Jones                +3300

JK Dobbins                  +3300

Travis Etienne             +3300

Chase Young               +5000

Danielle Hunter          +5000

Robert Woods             +5000

Cam Akers                   +6600

Drew Lock                   +6600

DeAndre Hopkins        +7500

Marcus Peters             +7500

Raheem Mostert         +7500

Will Fuller V                +7500

Coach of the Year                   

Brian Daboll                +700

Kevin O’Connell          +700

Brandon Staley           +800

Mike McDaniel            +800

Nick Sirianni                +1200

Sean McDermott        +1400

Mike Tomlin                +1600

Nathaniel Hackett       +1600

Dan Campbell             +1800

Doug Pederson           +2200

Kevin Stefanski            +2200

Matt Eberflus              +2200

Dennis Allen                +2500

Frank Reich                 +2500

Lovie Smith                 +2500

Ron Rivera                   +2500

John Harbaugh            +2800

Josh McDaniels           +3300

Kyle Shanahan            +3300

Andy Reid                    +4000

Matt Lafleur                +4000

Todd Bowles               +4000

Zac Taylor                   +4000

Arthur Smith               +5000

Mike Vrabel                +5000

Pete Carroll                 +5000

Robert Saleh               +5000

Kliff Kingsbury             +6600

Matt Rhule                  +6600

Mike McCarthy           +6600

Sean McVay                +6600

Bill Belichick                +10000

Week 1 NFL Super Sharp Betting: Market Report, Critical Betting Notes, Line Moves

Sunday, September 11🇺🇸, 2002 NFL betting primer, week 1 footbal picks. 

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Baltimore, Carolina, Jacksonville

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Carolina

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Minnesota +2 to -1.5, Kansas City -3 to -6.5,  Cleveland +1.5 to -1.5

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: NY Giants, Houston, Chicago

🖥 1 ET. Big Red’s syndicate betting one of their strongest NFL total bet at 1 ET. Big Red is a major figure and pioneer in offshore betting. He has unique access to professional oddsmakers and gamblers. All his bets are based on consulting with elite handicappers, pro bettors and linesmakers and tops the list of sources for LateInfo. OffshoreInsiders.com

There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

NFL betting

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

NFL Betting Inside Information

🔥Kevin O’Connell takes over as HC for Minnesota 

🔥System: week 1 divisional dogs are 15-5 ATS, 12-7-1 SU since 2018, 28-8 ATS since 2014, 21-16 SU. Favors Atlanta, Pittsburgh, New England, Houston, Minnesota, Las Vegas

🔥Above stat includes 4-0-1 SU, 5-0 ATS at home since ’18, 10-2 ATS,  8-3-1 SU since 2014: Atlanta, Houston, Minnesota 

🔥Saints have won four straight SU in Atlanta and Falcons off 0-7 ATS home campaign 

🔥Marcus Mariota takes over as QB for Atlanta, Jameis Winston for New Orleans 

🔥Lions shuffling OL because of injuries 

🔥Eagles won last year in Detroit 44-6

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🔥Steelers starters play a lot more in preseason than Bengals

🔥Cincinnati swept Pittsburgh last year by a combined 65-20 even though Pittsburgh outgained them

🔥Steelers start journeyman Mitch Trubisky at QB, keeping seat warm for local kid Kenny Pickett as Pittsburgh begins post-Roethlisberger era 

🔥Jets current starting QB Joe Flacco may be extra motivated facing his old team, but has lost seven straight as a starting QB SU

🔥Ravens looked substantially better than Jets in NFLX

🔥Another QB facing old team as Panthers Baker Mayfield taking on the team that gave up on him

🔥Browns start journeyman Jacoby Brissett at QB; regular starter Deshaun Watson is suspended

🔥Oft injured superstar Christian McCaffrey is healthy for now for Panthers

🔥Browns 0-16-1 SU in season openers, including pair of 30-point losses last three

🔥Super Bowl winning coach Doug Peterson takes over the dysfunctional Jags hoping to transform Trevor Lawrence into a franchise QB

🔥Fins debut new HC Mike McDaniel 

🔥Pats with a lot of question marks on OL ad lost OC Josh McDaniels