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November 30, 2019

Free College Football Rivalry Winner ATS, Free NBA Pick Betting

Free pick in both college football and NBA from Joe Duffy who is 44-20 in football. Saturday a stunning five Wise Guys including Auburn-Alabama and Saturday Late Night Game of the Year plus five Majors. Two NBA led by Wise Guy.  Get the picks now

CFB

GEORGIA -28.5 GA Tech 

Super rushing teams as big favorites are 364-260-15. That includes 60.9 percent winner this season. 

NBA

HOUSTON -13.5 Atlanta

Fade unrested teams off OT game under specific circumstances that apply today is 235-165-7. 

MYBookie has a promo in which if you bet on the MNF game, you get next week’s free. Also check out the forthcoming 12 days of giveaways. Sign up at MYBookie

November 29, 2019

Friday Free College Football Pick ATS, Critical Weather Updates, Sharp Betting Percentages

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 9:53 AM

Joe Duffy’s historic winning continued last night. Not to worry, MYBookie and Bovada lead the list of books that are paying clients in full, on-time, every time. Here is the sharp report. Yes, the usual road favorite heavy consensus with Boise State being among the most overwhelming of the year. Games include Friday and Saturday contests.

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Boise State, Navy, Notre Dame, Baylor

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Charlotte (high percentage, but low-volume), UAB, UL Monroe, BYU

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: UL Monroe, Wake Forest

High Precipitation

GamePrecip chance
Florida Intl at Marshall80%
Louisville at Kentucky70%
New Mexico State at Liberty59%
Middle Tenn St at Western Kentucky72%
Wisconsin at Minnesota66%
UTSA at Louisiana Tech70%
Maryland at Michigan State54%
Notre Dame at Stanford57%
Fresno State at San Jose State69%

Strong Winds

GameWind Speed
Wyoming at Air Force25 mph
Rice at UTEP17 mph
Wisconsin at Minnesota17 mph
Miami Florida at Duke21 mph
Baylor at Kansas22 mph
Tulane at SMU15 mph
Utah State at New Mexico16 mph
UAB at North Texas19 mph
Iowa State at Kansas State26 mph
Oklahoma at Oklahoma State15 mph
Fresno State at San Jose State16 mph
Army at Hawaii20 mph

Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy, on one of the best winning streaks in history. I am 42-16 in football. Friday Afternoon Total of the Year among seven Friday college football, two Wise Guys. Six NBA winners added. Sorry not sorry if you are not making a bleeping fortune this football season. I’m winning with or without you. Draw the line in the sand or keep your head in it? What’s your choice? Get the picks now Done for the day with picks

Saturday a stunning five Wise Guys including Auburn-Alabama and Saturday Late Night Game of the Year plus five Majors.

Free pick from Joe Duffy’s Picks:

WEST VIRGINIA +13.5 tcu

Road underdogs off a game they dominated in total yards, yet lost are 162-123-8. Big road underdog in a game with a low total, thus big pup when points should be a premium are 415-306-24. When both apply in the same game, it wins 65.7 percent of the time.  

November 27, 2019

Odds Posted For Potential NCAAF Final 4 Matchups, Inc Likely SEC Championship Game Foes

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 12:47 PM

The Buckeyes jumped LSU in the latest rankings, and the guys who set lines for a living apparently agree with the movement. 

On Wednesday morning, SportsBetting posted spreads for eight potential CFP matchups. 

Perhaps the most interesting angle in these odds is that Clemson, the third-ranked CFP team, is favored against both Ohio State and LSU. Also, an Alabama and LSU rematch is listed as a pick ’em.

These spreads reflect neutral field matchups in a College Football Playoff game. Current odds at bottom of page: 

LSU vs. Ohio State (-3.5)

LSU vs. Clemson (-4.5)

LSU vs. Alabama (PK)

Ohio State vs. Clemson (-1)

Alabama vs. Ohio State (-3.5)

Georgia vs. Ohio State (-7.5)

Georgia vs. LSU (-3)

Georgia vs. Alabama (-3.5)

In the marquee college games this week, Alabama is holding steady as a 3.5-point favorite at Auburn. The spread moved to -4 initially after opening, but has been bet back down to -3.5. 

Ohio State is currently a 9-point favorite at Michigan, despite failing to cover the spread against Penn State last Saturday. This week’s spread surfaced at -8.5 and quickly moved to -9. OffshoreInsiders.com is the place to go to beat SportsBetting lines

November 26, 2019

Thanksgiving Week Football Free Picks, Most Important Weather Report of Season

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 2:34 PM

Understatement of the century is to say Joe Duffy is on fire. He has free picks plus the most critical weather report of the year for college football betting and NFL picks. 

Free picks:

 Ole Miss at Miss State

  • Road underdogs off a massive offensive game are 162-101-8 (Miss)
  • Short road underdogs favors Ole Miss, but exception when facing home teams with momentum
  • Going with home teams off dominant win is 598-425-28 (Miss State)
  • In game 6 or later if team is winless on the road versus team at least .500 at home, but not getting more than normal HFA of 3, road team is 307-232-9 (Miss)
    • Worse record overall 459-397-26

Pick: Ole Miss +3

 Texas Tech at Texas

  • Home favorites of at least nine that lost at least 4-of-6 decent 346-282-11 (Texas)
  • Texas is allowing 8.2 yards per pass overall and at home, though Tech allowing 8.9 yards per pass teams normally getting 7.9
  • Good game for Texas’s Sam Ehlinger to come out of mini-slump
  • Despite three games below .500 SU Tech outscoring teams by more than 2 points per game as four of last five losses by three or less

 The pick: Texas -9

Joe Duffy has a massive college football portfolio is up! Thanksgiving, we have Thursday Game of the Year Buffalo-Dallas, plus Bears-Lions side and Egg Bowl total. Friday, Friday Afternoon Total of the Year among seven Friday college football, two Wise Guys. Saturday a stunning five Wise Guys including Auburn-Alabama and Saturday Late Night Game of the Year plus five Majors. Get the picks now   

Washington at Washington State

  • Road underdogs off a massive offensive game are 162-101-8 (Washington)
  • Washington won seven straight in series, all by double-digits
  • Huskies dominate at line of scrimmage
  • WSU must slow down RB Salvon Ahmed (Ock Med)
  • WSU quarterback Anthony Gordon throws for a ton of yards, but has 14 interceptions

 The pick: Washington -6

 Chance of Precipitation

TimeGamePercent chance of rain
11/26/19 7:00 PMWestern Michigan at Northern Illinois67%
11/29/19 2:30 PMIowa at Nebraska50%
11/30/19 12:00 PMIndiana at Purdue64%
11/30/19 12:00 PMNorthwestern at Illinois52%
11/30/19 12:00 PMOhio State at Michigan58%
11/30/19 3:30 PMBoston College at Pittsburgh63%
11/30/19 4:00 PMNotre Dame at Stanford62%
11/30/19 10:30 PMCalifornia at UCLA60%

High Winds

TimeGameWind Speed
11/26/19 7:00 PMWestern Michigan at Northern Illinois16 mph
11/29/19 4:15 PMWest Virginia at TCU17 mph
11/30/19 12:00 PMNorthwestern at Illinois16 mph
11/30/19 12:00 PMOhio State at Michigan15 mph
11/30/19 2:00 PMWyoming at Air Force16 mph
11/30/19 2:00 PMMiddle Tenn St at Western Kentucky15 mph
11/30/19 3:30 PMMaryland at Michigan State15 mph
11/30/19 3:30 PMBaylor at Kansas24 mph
11/30/19 4:00 PMNotre Dame at Stanford16 mph
11/30/19 4:00 PMUAB at North Texas18 mph
11/30/19 4:00 PMTulane at SMU15 mph
11/30/19 7:00 PMIowa State at Kansas State23 mph
12/1/19 12:30 AMArmy at Hawaii21 mph

NFL

Chance of Precipitation

TimeGamePrecip %
12/1/19 1:00 PMGreen Bay Packers at New York Giants56%

High Winds

TimeGameWind Speed
12/1/19 1:00 PMTampa Bay Buccaneers at Jacksonville Jaguars20 mph
12/1/19 1:00 PMTennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts15 mph
12/1/19 1:00 PMWashington Redskins at Carolina Panthers18 mph
12/1/19 4:25 PMOakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs16 mph

 –          Turkey Day Fee Play – Last ChanceMYBookie

Turkey Day Free Play is Back! – Get your bets in today!

Get up to a $250 Risk Free Bet on the Bears @ Lions full game spread, Thursday before 12:30 EST

How to Bet up to $250 Risk Free on Bears @ Lions:

  1. Bet the Full Game Spread.
  2. Your First Cash Bet Qualifies.
  3. Straight Wagers Only.
  4. Bet’s must be submitted before Thursday at 12:30 EST

Winning Bets Win. Losing bets are returned as cash within 1 hour of game end.

You can’t Lose. No Risk. All Gravy. NFL live lines, latest odds

Free $250 Bet From MyBookie on Bears-Lions

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 2:14 PM

–          Turkey Day Fee Play – Last Chance MYBookie

Turkey Day Free Play is Back! – Get your bets in today!

Get up to a $250 Risk Free Bet on the Bears @ Lions full game spread, Thursday before 12:30 EST

How to Bet up to $250 Risk Free on Bears @ Lions:

  1. Bet the Full Game Spread.
  2. Your First Cash Bet Qualifies.
  3. Straight Wagers Only.
  4. Bets must be submitted before Thursday at 12:30 EST

Winning Bets Win. Losing bets are returned as cash within 1 hour of game end.

You can’t Lose. No Risk. All Gravy. NFL live lines, latest odds

November 24, 2019

Week 12 NFL Sharp Betting Report, 2 Free NBA Picks

Filed under: Uncategorized — Tags: , , — Joe Duffy @ 9:38 AM

It’s the famed sharp versus square report with data from top sportbooks such as Bovada, Caesars Palace, Hilton, MYBookie and other books offshore and in Vegas. We also have two NBA free picks!

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Baltimore, Detroit, Seattle, New York Giants 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Detroit, Baltimore, Seattle

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Jacksonville 

NFL injuries for fantasy football and gambling picks:

  • 49ers will likely have the services of TE George Kittle, and WR Emmanuel Sanders and Deebo Samuel
  • Patriots QB Tom Brady will start, but WR Mohamed Sanu will be limited as he practiced very little this week
  • Seahawks DE Jadeveon Clowney is probable
  • Eagles WR Alshon Jeffery probable but Nelson Agholor doubtful, RB Jordan Howard is doubtful
    • Howard 525 rushing yards, 6 TDs rushing, 1 receiving 
    • Jeffrey 34 catches 353 yards
  • Redskins RB Adrian Peterson is probable 

NFL weather. 

High Precipitation

GamePrecip %
Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots66%

Strong Winds

GameWind Speed
Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns15 mph
Oakland Raiders at New York Jets15 mph
Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles15 mph
Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills16 mph
Detroit Lions at Washington Redskins16 mph

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy! 13-3 overall from simply the best sports handicapper to ever walk this earth Joe Duffy! I am 15-7 NFL. Sunday NFL Game of the Year and Fox Sports Interconference Game of the Year on Dallas-New England is among four NFL Wise Guys and eight Majors! I mean there is a 72.9 percent angle going back to the 1980s in the Pokes-Pats. Two NBA winners added Get the picks now

NBA

Mavericks at Rockets

Houston -5 with o/u 232

  • Houston followed an eight-game win streak with consecutive losses
  • Favorites or pick said situation 36-31
  • Dallas won four straight but hitting road
  • Fade dogs of 5 or more with four or more game winning streaks is 342-244-18
    • 67.9 percent when team we are riding has two or more game losing streak

Pick: HOUSTON -5

Pelicans at Clippers

LA -12 with o/u 234

  • New Orleans won three straight but fading streaking road dogs of 7 or more is 321-237-9

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

Top NFL teams in terms of MOC:

TeamATS RecordMargin of cover 
Baltimore5-5-09.9
San Francisco5-4-19.2
New England7-3-07.0
Minnesota6-5-03.1

Best teams to bet against in terms of MOC

TeamATS RecordMargin of cover
Cincinnati4-6-0-6.5
Washington3-7-0-5.8
NY Giants3-7-0-4.8
Miami5-5-0-4.5
Cleveland3-6-1-3.3

November 23, 2019

Critical College Football Weather for Bettors

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 10:34 AM

Serious weather conditions to worry about today in college football. It’s most precipitation but some winds too. LateInfo has not lost in more than a month in college football. What is up at 4 ET is another lock. Get the picks now 

High Precipitation

GamePrecip %
Samford at Auburn75%
South Alabama at Georgia State75%
Texas State at Appalachian St75%
Marshall at Charlotte U72%
Texas A&M at Georgia76%
Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech72%
Duke at Wake Forest72%

Strong Winds

GameWind Speed
San Diego State at Hawaii21 mph

November 22, 2019

Free Pick NBA From #1 Basketball Betting Service

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 11:26 AM

Joe Duffy is rocking and rolling off a 2-1 night last night. Three NBA winners for Friday as we sweep. Get the picks now

NBA free pick:

MIAMI -5 Chicago

Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak are 598-467-14. 

You saw what Duffy has for today, but a bigger weekend is in store. Duffy is 23-12 football. Saturday, two college football Wise Guys and five college football Majors. I am 15-7 NFL. A bigger NFL portfolio is coming, but NFL Game of the Year is already up at OffshoreInsiders.com    

November 21, 2019

College Football and NFL Tickets vs. Money, Football Betting System

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 12:53 PM

Gee whiz, as we enter Thursday night, it’s again road favorites that the public is pounding on. Here is the tickets vs. money breakdown for week 12 NFL and week 13 college football. Here is the sharp report for NFL. The piping-hot Falcons are the exception to the rule as the home favorites are the fourth most popular public bet. The road underdog New York Giants are the second most lopsided bet in terms of cash. 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Detroit, Baltimore, Seattle, Atlanta

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Detroit, New York Giants, Baltimore 

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: New York Jets, Denver

Betting factoid and winning system: Teams with a winning percentage of .300 or less off consecutive double-digit wins are a stunning 6-1 all-time for 85.7 percent ATS. That applies to the Falcons.

On the college gridiron:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Air Force, San Jose State, Florida Atlantic, Miami Florida 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Miami Florida, Temple 

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Texas Tech, Iowa State, Oregon State, South Florida 

Joe Duffy is blistering hot entering the weekend. His football updates will move a lot of money on very likely winners at OffshoreInsiders.com    

November 20, 2019

NBA Champions Odds Since Substantial Love Movement

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 9:30 PM

The Golden State Warriors have worse division odds than the Knicks, Bulls, Cavaliers, Hornets and Wizards.

Of course, the numbers reflect the stacked Pacific division the Warriors compete in that holds the top two title contenders (Clippers, Lakers). Still, who would’ve thought Golden State would have worse Finals odds than the Suns one month into the season.

Below are comparative charts that display odds from the day before the season started (10/21/19) through November 19, which spans exactly 30 days. 

Current SportsBetting odds (subject to change): 

Championship(10/21/19)(11/19/19)
Clippers7/23/1
Lakers5/13/1
Bucks5/16/1
Rockets8/19/1
76ers9/18/1
Warriors12/1100/1
Jazz12/116/1
Nuggets16/116/1
Celtics16/116/1
Raptors25/120/1
Nets25/150/1
Trail Blazers33/166/1
Pacers33/133/1
Mavericks40/166/1
Heat50/125/1
Spurs66/180/1
Pelicans80/1100/1
Thunder100/1150/1
Magic100/1100/1
Kings125/1150/1
Hawks125/1250/1
Timberwolves150/150/1
Pistons150/1150/1
Bulls150/1250/1
Wizards250/1250/1
Grizzlies250/1250/1
Knicks250/1250/1
Cavaliers500/1250/1
Hornets500/1500/1
Suns500/180/1
 Eastern(10/21/19)(11/19/19) 
Bucks3/22/1 
76ers2/13/1 
Celtics8/15/1 
Nets8/120/1 
Raptors10/19/1 
Pacers12/112/1 
Heat14/19/1 
Magic40/150/1 
Pistons50/150/1 
Hawks50/166/1 
Bulls66/1100/1 
Wizards100/180/1 
Knicks100/1100/1 
Cavaliers150/1100/1 
Hornets150/1150/1 
    
Western(10/21/19)(11/19/19) 
Clippers2/12/1 
Lakers7/22/1 
Rockets7/25/1 
Warriors7/166/1 
Jazz8/19/1 
Nuggets10/19/1 
Trail Blazers20/140/1 
Mavericks25/140/1 
Spurs40/150/1 
Pelicans50/166/1 
Thunder66/1100/1 
Kings80/1100/1 
Timberwolves100/133/1 
Grizzlies150/1150/1 
Suns250/150/1 
Atlantic(10/21/19)(11/19/19)
76ers-150-110
Celtics+350+175
Nets+600+3300
Raptors+600+450
Knicks+10000+10000
   
Central(10/21/19)(11/19/19)
Bucks-500-1500
Pacers+400+800
Pistons+1600+5000
Bulls+5000+10000
Cavaliers+15000+10000
   
Northwest(10/21/19)(11/19/19)
Jazz+125+150
Nuggets+140-125
Trail Blazers+550+1400
Timberwolves+2000+1400
Thunder+2500+5000
   
Pacific(10/21/19)(11/19/19)
Clippers-150-175
Lakers+275+150
Warriors+350+25000
Kings+5000+5000
Suns+25000+2500
   
Southeast(10/21/19)(11/19/19)
Heat-125-400
Magic+175+300
Hawks+700+2000
Wizards+2000+10000
Hornets+5000+10000
   
Southwest(10/21/19)(11/19/19)
Rockets-275-1000
Spurs+450+1200
Mavericks+800+1200
Pelicans+1000+3300
Grizzlies+10000+5000

Beat the SportsBetting odds with the best picks from OffshoreInsiders.com   

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