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October 29, 2007

Opening Day NBA Betting Notes

Here are sports betting news and notes for opening night of the NBA

Blazers-Spurs

Portland head coach Nate McMillan said he will not announce his starting five until tipoff claiming the media attention would make it a distraction for the players. They brought in Steve Blake to compete with incumbent Jarrett Jack. Most importantly, Martell Webster has a tremendous preseason averaging 17.7 points per game while shooting 58 percent from the field.

Sportsbooks has the Spurs as a 13.5 point favorite with a total ranging from 189 to 189.5. With injuries to Jacque Vaughn and Beno Udrih, rookie Darius Washington will be the only point guard on the Spurs bench.

The Spurs are 19-7 ATS in the head-to-head meeting, with the home team covering 6-of-8.

Jazz-Warriors

Golden State is a 3.5 point favorite at BetUs Sportsbook with a total of 214.5. Jazz backup small forward Matt Harpring is a game time decision. Because of the California wildfires causing cancellation of the preseason game to the Lakers, Golden State has played once in the last 11 days.

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Rockets-Lakers

The Lakers are without second leader scorer from last year Lamar Odom.

NewBodog has Houston as a five point road favorite with a total of 195.5. The Lakers Kobe Bryant is probable with a sprained right wrist. Houston has a new coach, the much more offensive minded Rick Adelman. The series has been close, last year each team won twice, each winning in overtime in Tinsel Town.

The Lakers have covered 9-of-13 in the series.

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Early Season NBA Betting Crib Sheet

As is the case in all sports, everyone and their sister are doing NBA season previews. This is very much true even with those in the handicapping industry. From a spread bettor’s standpoint, these forecasts can have little value.

As we point out similar examples in every sport, San Antonio could have the best record in the NBA and Atlanta could have the worst. Yet it’s still conceivable that the Hawks could have a better spread record.

Being right about projected divisional standings assures little in spread betting. Just imagine the gambling bloodbath when such predictions are wrong.

This year’s NFL is an aberration where the two of the three teams widely considered being the best in the NFL before the year started—Indianapolis and New England—also have great spread records. How quickly we forget the Chargers were among the big three preseason favorites, though we know they will be heard from. But let us get back to the NBA.

Elite handicappers look for fluid tendencies rather than handicapping an entire season before it starts. This is a big reason why we minimize futures bets and even playoff series bets, to eliminate the danger of being even subconsciously biased in our day to day soothsaying.

At OffshoreInsiders.com, we compile pages of notes for our betting “cheat sheets” on every team, updated daily. So here are some highlights of early tendencies we are looking for in our every day NBA handicapping:

Golden State: “Predictably Unpredictable”

One of our many Golden Rules of sports handicapping is that square players avoid erratic teams, sharp players love them. In short, the angle is that we bet against such teams the hotter and bigger favorite they are and wager on them the colder and bigger underdog they become.

Yes, professional gamblers know there are many situations to go with horrible, slumping teams and go against elite teams during their winning streak. Why will the Warriors be a team squares hate and sharpies love?

Well, yet another Golden Rule that has made you and us a fortune this college football season: it’s easier to be the hunter than the hunted. Golden State enters the year as a chic team fresh off a 16-5 straight up run to close out the regular season, followed by the historic upset of Dallas.

Golden State is a high flying, up-tempo team that lives off the three-point shot. Last year they led the league in three-point attempts and their average went up after the Jan. 16 trade in which they acquired Stephen Jackson and Al Harrington.

Riding the hot hand, they shot the three-pointer even more in the playoffs, averaging a stunning 31 attempts per game in the post-season compared to 23.4 attempts before the aforesaid trade. This is even more significant because defenses tighten and the pace slows in the postseason.

This formula means they will look like a lottery team one night and a championship contender the next night. Perhaps it’s the Golden (State) Rule. Watch them drive 90 percent of gamblers nuts, yet be “Golden” going both for and against for wiseguy gamblers, depending on the situation.

Grizzlies Built to Improve as the Year Goes On

Memphis had the worst record in the NBA last year, but they have a fresh coach, new GM, and a plethora of new to the job players.

And we do mean “new”. Their coach Mark Iavaroni has his first head coaching job. Other than Damon Stoudamire, the average player has less than three years NBA experience. They will be better in January and February than in November. Best of all, their early season struggles will lower their value with the offshore and Vegas sportsbooks just in time for them to improve.

Look for us to ride them as huge underdogs after their first 15-20 games of abysmal play. We eye them as one of the top dichotomous ATS and SU squads. Again, the script and a successful evergreen one at that: we discount 98 percent of trends, but this has proven to be the exception to the rule. If a team has a great SU record but horrid ATS record or visa versa, we bet for that to continue as it is the sign of which teams are most under or overvalued.

Mavericks an Early Season “Over” Team

Dallas coach Avery Johnson transformed the Mavericks from a shoot and let God sort them out team to a squad that thought defense first, second and third. The result was one of the great postseason failures in sports history.

Johnson learned that having Dirk Nowitzki thinking defense foremost is the equivalent of trying to make Peyton Manning or Tom Brady a thousand yard rusher.

Not only will Dallas correct that blunder, but the focus this offseason was improving their weakness: their offense against the zone. New assistant coach Paul Westphal was hired to do just that, among other things focusing on execution rather than trying to outsmart their opponent with new fangled looks. This is a wise move considering Dallas has the offensive weapons. Look for point guard Devin Harris to be among the most improved players in the league offensively.

Nets Will Come Out of the Gates Quickly

The Nets point guard and leader Jason Kidd is what a point guard should be. He makes players better and brings into play his weapons. He has a lot more to work with this year. Jamaal Magloire, Sean Williams and Malik Allen have been added, Josh Boone is rapidly improving and Nenad Krstic is back from injury.

The team has gelled in camp and in the preseason. Buoyed by all this, we look for the Nets to look like world beaters early on.

The author, Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com and a handicapper for GodsTips, exclusively on that site. Check out the full-season, weekly, monthly and other winning packages for sports bettors at OffshoreInsiders.com

Broncos-Packers MNF Betting Preview

Monday Night Football will have fantasy football and sports betting experts alike watching the Green Bay Packers take on the Denver Broncos.

The top all-time NFL handicapper Mike Godsey of GodsTips.com says that one of the keys to finding overvalued versus undervalued teams is comparing straight up records and points per game stats to the “real stats that handicappers use”, teams net yardage margin.

There is not a huge edge there as Green Bay is 5-2 straight up, but 4-2 in winning net yards margin. Denver is 3-3 straight up and 2-4 with the “net yardage margin” win-loss record. However, they have been beaten statistically in four straight games.

On offense, Green Bay is getting 5.5 yards per play against teams normally allowing 5.3. Denver gets 4.7 yards per carry against teams normally allowing 4.3 and 7.5 yards per pass against teams normally allowing 6.5. That’s a cumulative 6.2 to 5.5.

On defense, the Cheese Heads allow just 3.8 yards per rush to teams normally getting 4.3. Their opponent, Denver allows 5.1 yards per rush against teams normally allowing 4.4 and 7.2 yards per pass against teams normally allowing 6.7. That’s 5.9 yards per play against teams normally allowing 5.9.

Green Bay has played only two road games, but won both averaging 29 points per game and allowing just 14.5.

The Broncos have won two straight Monday night games at Invesco Field, and 10 of their last 13 Monday home games. Brett Favre has lost five straight on MNF.

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October 28, 2007

Week 8 Fantasy Football and NFL Betting Injury Information


Week 8 NFL betting: now let’s take a look at late game NFL injuries and key information for sports bettors, fantasy football gurus and more. The early NFL injuries for online gamblers are here.

Bills-Jets

Despite it being an inter-state east coast battle, it is a 4:00 EST start or 1:00 for Las Vegas sports bettors. Struggling New York is a three-point favorite at most sportsbooks. The Jets are without linebacker Jonathan “Stone” Vilma.

Texans-Chargers

Houston quarterback Matt Schaub is considered probable to questionable. San Diego starting defensive tackle Jamal Williams is a game time decision. San Diego will fight the distractions of being displaced because of the California wildfires. Houston should have the services of running back Ahman Green.

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Jaguars-Buccaneers

Tampa varies among sportsbooks as a 3.5 or four-point favorites. Jacksonville’s running back Maurice Jones-Drew is a game time decision. WFAN radio’s Mike Francesca believes the Jaguars will be “as conservative as a team can be today” because the Jags are without quarterback David Garrard. “It will be a 10-6 type game” according to the talk show host. Garrard may miss four weeks.

Saints-49ers

Darrell Jackson is doubtful. Running back Frank Gore is now considered questionable after being listed as probable early in the week.

Redskins-Patriots

New England’s running back Sammy Morris and tight end Ben Watson are questionable.

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Early Game NFL Injuries

Here are NFL injuries for sports betting online, Vegas sportsbook gambling and fantasy football for the early games. We will check the injury status of Maurice Jones-Drew, Matt Schaub and others for the late action, in a separate article shortly.

Browns-Rams

The Browns running back Jamal Lewis will be a game time decision. Once doormat, Cleveland is a three-point road favorite according to NewBodog. Wide receiver Danta Hall is also out for St. Louis. St. Louis is likely to regain the services of running back Steven Jackson for this game. He will not get his normal workload though.

Colts-Panthers

Indianapolis is a 6.5 point favorite at BetUs Sportsbook with a total of 44.5. The Colts will be without wide receiver Marvin Harrison and linebacker Freddy Keiaho. Aaron Moorehead gets the start for you fantasy football players in place of Harrison. DeShaun Foster is probable for Carolina as the running back has practiced since Thursday.

Carolina remains minus regular starting quarterback Jake Delhomme and his backup, journeyman David Carr will not start because of a back injury. Vinny Testaverde gets the call. America’s Greatest sports service GodsTips goes 6-3 yesterday, but the moneyline plays were the Red Sox, plus two huge dog winners in college football. Georgia wins as a 280 dog and Iowa +130, so your wallet says GodsTips went better than 8-2. Get the Inter-Conference Game of the Year. Click now to purchase or get more information and a free NFL pick.

Giants-Dolphins

In the game from Wembley Stadium, the Giants will be minus key back-up running back Derrick Ward.

Raiders-Titans

The Titans are concerned about two players who are questionable: running back Chris Brown and wide receiver Brandon Jones. Titans quarterback Vince Young is considered close to 100 percent and will start.

Eagles-Vikings

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Vikings running back Chester Taylor will play with a minor groin strain.

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The Eagles will once again be minus free safety Brian Dawkins with a neck injury. Also starting offensive left tackle Jon Runyan is a game time decision. Eagles tight end L.J. Smith will play, but be limited.

Steelers-Bengals

Cincinnati will start backup running back Kenny Watson as starter Rudi Johnson is very doubtful. MasterLockLine.com has the power of 620 sports services behind every selection.


October 27, 2007

NFL Betting News and Notes From NFL Lock Betting Experts


Here are sports betting news and notes for NFL games of Sunday, October 28. This NFL betting information is for your football locks in the early games.

Colts-Panthers

Indianapolis has won 11 straight games going back to last year (includes playoffs). Surprisingly the Colts are third in the NFL in defense allowing just 269.5 yards per game. Wide receiver Marvin Harrison has a bruised left knee but is expected to play. We will update injuries Sunday morning at OffshoreInsiders.com

Carolina is a perfect 3-0 in the series. However they have not met since 2004. It looks like 43-year-old Vinny Testaverde starts at quarterback for the Panthers.

This is only the Panthers third home game, but is that good or bad? In a great anomaly, the road team is 6-0 straight up in the Panthers games this year.

Lions-Bears

Detroit is looking to sweep the series for the first time in 2004, but it’s a huge revenge game for the Bears. Detroit scored 34 fourth quarter points to knock off the Bears on Sept. 30. Chicago is 5-1 straight up in the series at home. Detroit is 7-44 straight up their last 51 road games, including 1-2 this year.

Raiders-Titans

Check back Sunday for key injury updates in Tennessee quarterback Vince Young and running back Chris Brown. Both missed last week’s game, but practiced Friday. Oakland has a combined 98 yards rushing in the last two games.

Oakland quarterback Josh McNown, who started the first three games, is expected to be at full-speed. However head coach Lane Kiffin has not said whether he or Daunte Culpepper will start. Oakland is 3-1 SU in the series.

Browns-Rams

Injury riddled St. Louis is 0-7 and averaging just 11.3 points per game. They are though expected to get back running back Steven Jackson who missed the last four games because of injury. Jackson led the league in yards from scrimmage last year. He joins Marc Bulger who returned last week after missing two games.

Behind quarterback Derek Anderson, the Browns are thinking playoffs and averaging 27.8 points per game. This is one of three Wise Guy plays from the top sports service on the planet, GodsTips of OffshoreInsiders.com. Included is the Inter-Conference Game of the Year. Click now to purchase

Eagles-Vikings

Philadelphia scored eight touchdowns to Detroit, but in all other games they are averaging just 12.0 points per game. According to Cy McCormick of MasterLockLine.com, even though Vikings starting QB Tavaris Jackson is being called a game time decision, Kelly Holcomb is likely to start. Jackson has the lowest passer rating and completion percentage among all starting signal callers. Philly has won 6-of-7 in the series.

Giants-Dolphins

Remember, this game is being played in London, England, though Miami is considered the “home team”. Miami is the only team in the NFL to give up more than 200 points and they’ve given up 231, far and away worst in the NFL.

New York has won five straight, the last four by double digits. Things got worse for Miami as last week they lost leading rusher Ronnie Brown and starting safety Renaldo Hill for the year. Brown led the league in yards from scrimmage.

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Steelers-Bengals

Pittsburgh has won six straight and 14-of-17 in Cincinnati. The Steelers are best in the NFL in points allowed at 13.0 points per game and yards per game at 250.3.

October 26, 2007

Saturday College Football News and Notes

Here are sports betting news and notes for games of Saturday, October 26, 2007

Georgia-Florida

Florida is 8-1 straight up in the series and 15-2 the last 17. “Florida has been much better with Andre Caldwell (wide receiver) healthy. He is back to 100 percent as he showed last week against Kentucky,” says Cy McCormick of MasterLockLine.com. Get a special surprise on this game from the nation’s top sports service GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com We can’t say what it is for fear of giving it away, but rest assured, you will make a ton of money on this game. Click now to purchase

New Mexico State-Hawaii

Hawaii averages more than 52 points per game. The Aggies are minus their top receiver Chris Williams but will get Nick Cleaver and A.J. Harris. Last week they got quarterback Chase Holbrook back from a two game suspension. He threw for 404 yards. Hawaii has won the last three in the series by an average of 18 points.

Ohio State-Penn State

Penn State is on a three-game winning streak in which they have averaged scoring 33.6 points. However, they face Ohio State which is allowing a nation’s best 7.8 points per game. Four of the last six meetings have been decided by seven or fewer points.

USC-Oregon

This is the first time the Trojans were a conference dog in their last 45 games to the Pac-10. Mark Sanchez starts at quarterback for USC as starting QB John David Booty is still nursing a broken middle finger. Booty, though, may be available.

North Carolina-Wake Forest

Underdog UNC is 12-4 in the series. However, Wake has turned it around winning 3-of-4. The Tar Heels have played brutal schedule with the combined record of their foes so far at 40-13. Wake has won five straight entering this game.

California-Arizona State

The Golden Bears have lost two straight. ASU’s 7-0 straight up start can be attributed in great part due to the fact their first four opponents in the Pac-10 can a combined 4-13 mark. Their schedule is ranked 97th in toughness by the NCAA. They’ve also been healthy all year, but that changed as starting tailback Ryan Torain has been lost for the year. He has 553 yards rushing with five touchdowns, plus two more catching the ball.

South Carolina-Tennessee

Despite being coached by Steve Spurrier, South Carolina is 93rd of 119 teams in offense. Steve Spurrier has used three quarterbacks in practice this week.

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October 25, 2007

SBG Global and Radio Tout Sebastian Stiff Clients


We’ve been sent some emails about a radio tout named Sebastian. What we know is he got on a hot streak after sending clients to scam sportsbook SBG Global.

He wasn’t supposed to win, but he got lucky and all of a sudden the clients he sent started winning. Now, the notorious sportsbook is refusing to play clients.

This is why OffshoreInsiders.com and JoeDuffy.net totally vet all sportsbooks and will refer you only to the best ones. We took Sportsbook.com off our site many months ago and just recently a major site said they were removing them as a sponsor.

Again, we are months ahead of the curve. SBG Global got in bed with a 50 percent capper with a following thanks to a radio show. His was supposed to lose—and the public has been. But everyone he sent was betting his plays, now an estimated 10 clients are out in the cold for a combined $200,000.

Stick with our heavily researched sportsbooks at OffshoreInsiders.com and JoeDuffy.net


October 24, 2007

Radio Touts Revive Myth of Bailout Game

Joe Duffy (OffshoreInsiders.com)

Often spending 15 hours per day in front of this computer, I do listen to a lot of sports radio stations around the country via the magic of streaming audio. Every Monday, Friday and Saturday, I am entertained by so-called handicappers, “Vegas legends” and other mercenaries. The various pitchmen purchase infomercial segments peddling their weekly “opportunity of a lifetime”.

Bobby Ventura is the most pathetic. I heard a commercial from a guy in radio voice saying he was Bobby Ventura and they were 6-1 on Monday Night Football. Then another guy in a boiler room Long Island accent comes on, says he’s Bobby Ventura and it’s only his second Monday Night Football release of the year.

A handful of the touts do supply worthwhile information, but most of the shows, to quote politico William Gibbs, consists of an “an army of pompous phrases moving across the landscape in search of an idea.” It’s a weekly echo chamber of how many ways the huckster tries to sway listeners into believers. “You have to know which teams are coming to play and which are not” generally followed by a strange segue comparing football teams to horses, race cars or other generic talking points.

However, the one recurring specific assertion makes me cringe because the boiler room tout is exploiting a myth with the intent of separating fools from their money.

It’s the fairy-tale where the canned script claims that with about 60 or so college and pro football games they find “one game” in which “information so strong” comes in.” Of course “when an opportunity this strong (“strong” seems to be a favorite word of the scamdicappers) lands on your lap, you have to simply unload on this game.” As luck would have it, that week’s treasure chest just so happens to fall on the same day the paid announcement is scheduled to broadcast.

The “unload on this one game” fool’s gold could not be further detached from reality. Like we said in reference to the Tim Donaghy scandal, sharp players look to get information (not necessarily the vague claims of “inside” information) that will give them an edge over a span of hundreds of bets.

This is the No. 1 reason the NCAA should be concerned about Texas A&M coach Dennis Francione’s secret newsletter. “Getting accurate injury information before the oddsmakers acquire it would increase any decent sports bettor’s winning percentage by 6-8 percentage points” says Mike Godsey, Senior Handicapper of GodsTips.com. He admits that estimate errs on the conservative side.

Stevie Vincent of BetOnSports360.com agrees if “every coach published a secret newsletter, professional gamblers would annihilate the sportsbooks.”

But contrary to what the boiler room touts want you to believe, Vincent and Godsey are not referring to “betting the mortgage” on any single game or a small number of games, but hitting 60-plus percent of hundreds of bets per year.

Between having been the GM of the Freescoreboard scorephone network and now CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, I’ve gotten dozens of inquiries from handicappers who wanted to be part of said networks. I always demand at least a week’s worth of writing samples before they are even given consideration.

Frankly this caveat weeds out about 95 percent of applicants. If the aspiring candidate does not supply analysis that convinces me that the handicapper has insight that few bettors possess, he has zero chance of ever being on a site in which I am the decider.

My credo is that all established professional handicappers are proud to show off the amount of research that goes into a bet. If a handicapper gives you no rationale, rest assured you just paid for a coin flip.

Many claim to have “information” such as the previously referenced newest wave of radio touts. Those who actually can supply the privy and precise scoop will document their claims with specifics of what their knowledge actually is. Otherwise it’s all propaganda.

Again, the golden rule is no matter how invaluable the lowdown proves to be, any upper hand will pay off long-term. This is no “bail out game”. Excluding pushes, even the preeminent gamblers will lose four out of every 10 bets.

Perhaps the biggest difference between the professional gambler and the degenerate is that the elite bettors measure success by the month, year and decade. Losing 40 percent of their bets has to be the cost of doing business. The deadbeat meanwhile falls prey to any clown with a sales pitch and an 800 number.

Luckily for radio sales people and bookmakers, so many rainbow chasers continue to choose the latter.

Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com and lead handicapper of GodsTips on said site. His picks are always backed by specific rationale as to why you too should bet his plays.


October 16, 2007

God's Tid-Bets, Vol. 26

It’s been awhile since we authored a volume in this series. However more anticipated than a Harry Potter novel, the Tid-Bets return to take a look at various sports handicapping and betting issues.

How Do Handicappers Work Overtime?

CBS announcer Gary Danielson accurately observed how college football overtimes can greatly distort statistics. From a handicapping standpoint, this is certainly true for those who use deceptive rankings or points per game statistics. Luckily sharp bettors do not or they are weighted very lightly.

The main statistics that we use: yards per rush, yards per pass, and yards per play on offense and defense compared to the cumulative average of their opponents are not debased by overtime play. The same is true for ace football handicapper Mike Godsey of GodsTips.com who utilizes net yard advantage/disadvantage cumulative statistics.

We’ve explained in previous articles why straight up wins and losses, point margin, and offensive and defensive rankings are the most popular choices of square players planning their own sportsbook death sentence.

“If a team wins by eight points in four overtimes, it looks the same as an eight-point win in regulation,” says Mike Godsey, referring to those who use the above fatal stats.

“But if the losing team is stopped on the three-yard line trying to tie the game, it is very much accounted for in our statistics,” brags Godsey.

Godsey adds that while as a fan he despises the fact that teams start 25 yards from pay dirt; it is built-in insurance that the more reliable numbers don’t get too distorted in overtime.

Will the Pitching and Defense Cliché Ever Die?

In 2007, no surprise, seven of the top eight offenses based on a team’s on base percentage made the playoffs. Two of the three teams that finished with 70 wins or less, Pittsburgh and Baltimore, ranked in the top five in defense, ahead of six of the eight playoff teams. And six of the top 10 pitching teams missed the playoffs.

This is on the heels of St. Louis winning the World Series with Chris Carpenter and a cast of rejects on their pitching staff. Their closer was a converted rookie starting pitcher. The year before the White Sox had a good starting pitching staff and an abysmal bullpen. In recent years, Arizona won with Johnson and Schilling and the rest of the staff worth killing.

The Toronto Blue Jays this most recent campaign had the best pitching staff in MLB with A.J. Burnett, Roy Halladay, Dustin McGowan, Shaun Marcum and Jesse Litsch. All they did was finish 13 games out of first place.

This year the Colorado Rockies enter the World Series having won an historic 21-of-22 games. The ace of their staff is Jeff Francis, a very solid pitcher indeed. Problem is, he’d be the No. 3 starter on the Atlanta Braves, a team that the media said failed to make the playoffs because of lack of pitching. But not to worry, rounding out the Rockies pitching staff is Ubadlo Jimenez and Franklin Morales. Combined, they have seven career wins under their belt. Yes, combined they have seven more wins at the Major League level than I do.

Pitching and defense wins in the media, but the teams with the best clutch hitting are the squads that professional gamblers laugh with all the way to the bank.

ESPN Fantasy Football Simulations a Tool for Proposition Bettors

Over the last several years, online gamblers have been able to bet on the production of individual players in their respective sports. An elite gambler in fantasy football betting is Mike Snow of BettorsAdvice.com.

He says there is no better starting point than the ESPN fantasy football projections. “We of course make adjustments for injuries, but contrasting the player proposition odds to the ESPN simulations has proven to be great foundation in fantasy NFL betting.”

Lower betting limits make it more challenging for sharp players to clean house on the sportsbooks, but Snow says some of the highest return on investments have been in betting NFL player propositions.

Joe Duffy’s sports betting selections are at www.GodsTips.com He is former General Manager of the Freescoreboard scorephone network and CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, the premier hub of world-class handicappers.


October 15, 2007

Radio Killed the Handicapping Star

It looks like a new entrant in the revolving door of radio touts. Joining Jonathan Stone, Bobby Ventura (he’s a Vegas legend), Adam Smith (who’s a handicapping legend), Dr. Greene who is I guess just a tout, is now Adam Zinn.

We could here the WPEN Philadelphia co-host strain as he pretended to be a client. We are awaiting our telematching callback to see if any can match the hard sell of Bobby Ventura, who’s sales crook gave a profane rant that would make Stu Feiner, Jeff Allen and Johnny DeMarco proud.

I guess somebody needs to keep the bookmakers in business so they can pay clients of OffshoreInsiders.com


MNF Betting Preview

The NY Giants take on the Atlanta Falcons on Monday Night Football. Sportsbooks have The Giants a 4.5 point favorite (as much as five at NewBodog) with a total of 43.5 to 44.

After an 0-2 straight up and ATS start, the Giants have won and covered three straight with each of the wins by a touchdown or more. Meanwhile, Atlanta is 1-4 SU and all four losses are by six or more.

The Giants are giving up just 4.1 yards per play during their winning streak. For the year, they allow 5.3 yards per play against teams normally allowing 5.6. They have been their best against the run allowing 3.6 yards per rush to teams normally getting 4.1.

Actually, the Giants are getting only 4.9 yards per play during their three game winning streak. This compares to 5.5 yards per play for the year against teams normally allowing 5.2.

New York offensively averages a sensational 4.4 yards per rush against teams normally allowing 3.8. Atlanta’s defense has been respectable allowing 20 points per game to teams normally getting 20.3 and 5.5 yards per play to teams normally getting 5.5.

Amazingly the road team has won 11 straight outright in this series, covering the last six. Atlanta is ravaged by injuries on their offensive line minus both tackles Wayne Gandy and Todd Weiner. Starting in their place is an undrafted rookie Renardo Foster and an unproven second year player Tyson Clabo.

Giants quarterback Eli Manning has won seven straight October games.

Sports betting trends say that Atlanta has gone over 15-4 since 1992 to teams with a winning percentage in the .500s. Atlanta is 15-35 against the spread since 1992 to teams averaging 24 or more points per game. New York is 32-8 in the back pocket after getting more than 150 yards rushing last game.

Joey Harrington will start at QB for the Falcons, but he and is 24-48 career record could be on a short leash as recently signed Byron Leftwich has had several weeks to learn the offense.

Atlanta can find solace in knowing the Giants have struggled against receiving tight ends and they have one of the best in Alge Crumpler.


October 14, 2007

NFL Injuries For the Early Card

Here are NFL injuries and sports betting notes to beat the sportsbooks and win in fantasy football for the early games of October 14.

The Cincinnati Bengals are three-point favorites at the Kansas City Chiefs. For Cincinnati, running back Rudi Johnson is game time decision. No handicapper dominates any sport the way Joe Duffy’s GodsTips does the NFL and they have the side and total on this game Click now to purchase or get more information and a free pick

In that game, Kansas City will be minus veteran wide receiver Eddie Kennison.

The Texans are getting 6.5 at most sportsbooks from the Jaguars. Houston will yet again be without wideout Andre Johnson. Meanwhile, Jacksonville running back Fred Taylor is a game time decision.

The Dolphins play at the Browns with Cleveland is a four-point favorite according to BetUs Sportsbook. Cleveland is without running back Jamal Lewis. There is a pretty big drop-off with his replacement Jason Wright.

The Baltimore Ravens are laying nine-points to the St. Louis Rams. St. Louis is without star running back Steven Jackson, starting quarterback Marc Bulger and now his replacement Gus Frerotte may be slowed down with an ankle injury.

The Rams will be without dangerous Dante Hall as well.

The Tennessee Titans are getting three-points at Tampa Bay according to NewBodog. Tampa is minus running back Cadillac Williams and wide receiver Ike Hilliard among other key players.

The Washington Redskins are getting three-points at Green Bay (NFL betting odds). Washington will wait until gametime to determine the status of wide receiver Antwaan Randle El.

With the power of 620 sports services behind every selection, the MasterLockLine is on a stunning run of 29-9. This was after they promised this weekend was one of the top college football betting and NFL spread picks bonanzas in a few years. Today’s loaded NFL betting menu is up now at MasterLockLine.com

October 12, 2007

Saturday Sports Betting News and Notes

Here are some sports betting injuries, plus news and notes for Saturday

Arizona-USC

USC’s preseason Heisman Trophy candidate, QB Josh Booty is out. Booty was injured in the second quarter of USC’s stunning loss to Stanford. His replacement is Mark Sanchez a third-year sophomore making his first career start. USC will likely also be without tailback Stafon Johnson. He is their leading rusher with 378 yards and a remarkable 8.3 yards per carry.

Washington State-Oregon

It looks like the Cougars will be without the leading receiver in the conference, wideout Brandon Gibson, who has a heel injury. He is considered doubtful.

Connecticut-Virginia

Virginia will likely have to beat undefeated Connecticut without the second leading rusher in the ACC Cedric Peerman. He is out with an ankle injury.

Which team is 16-2 as road underdogs of 7 or less? Which team has gone under 26-4 after getting less than 275 yards total last game? Which squad is 1-9 their last 10 as a favorite? Stevie Vincent of OffshoreInsiders.com believes less is more and says just 3 game sides or over/under plays are worth betting Saturday. Two are Level 5 including the Non-Conference over/under of the QUARTER CENTURY. All three picks have 100% angles supporting them. Click now to purchase

LSU-Kentucky

LSU wide receiver and return playmaker should play, but may not get his normal playing time. He is slowed by a groin injury.

GA Tech-Miami

Yellow Jackets wide receiver is now expected to have the services of starting wide receiver James Johnson, who has seven catches this year. Also wide receiver Correy Earls will probably get his first snaps since suffering a neck injury Sept. 29 versus the Virginia Cavaliers.

SMU-Southern Miss

This is the first Wise Guy side selection from GodsTips since last Sunday when the Redskins crushed the Lions as the NFC Game of the Year. Keep in mind that the Inter-Conference Game of the Year goes Sunday with Indianapolis-Dallas but first GodsTips has three college football Wise Guy sides. SMU and Southern Miss is one as is the Big 10 Game of the Year. Get the three-day pass for $45 which also gets you the Colts-Cowboys huge Wise Guy Sunday. Click now to purchase

South Carolina-North Carolina

The Gamecocks have won 7-of-9 road games with the only losses at top ranked LSU and by one-point to Florida.

TCU-Stanford

For those who bet first and second half lines, note that Stanford has allowed just 68 first half points, but 96 second half.

Auburn-Arkansas

Auburn has five starters who could miss this game. That includes defensive end Quentin Groves, starting center Jason Bosley is also unlikely. Questionable include linebackers Tray Blackman and Merrill Jackson. Defensive back Aairon Savage is out.

Missouri-Oklahoma

Missouri will be without running back Tony Temple with a sprained right ankle. He has a team high 351 yards, three touchdowns on 71 carries. Missouri is 11th in scoring at 41.8 points per game.


October 11, 2007

Sports Handicapping Experts Say Top Betting Weekend Yet is Forthcoming

This weekend has the makings of the biggest one of the year in sports gambling. It’s a rare example of the marquee game that is also one to exploit the sportsbooks

Tom Brady, Randy Moss and his undefeated New England Patriots travel to Irving, Texas and take on the Dallas Cowboys. Not surprisingly, Cowboys Terrell Owens has cast the first of what could be many stones, claiming he is the “original No. 81”.

Currently BetUs Sportsbook has New England as a 5.5 point favorite with a total of 53.5.

The big story on the Cowboys-Patriots clash is the Dream Team at GodsTips has their Inter-conference Game of the Year on this contest. Last week, they nailed Washington over Detroit as the NFC Game of the Year.

A 3.5 point online sportsbook favorite, Washington won 34-3. GodsTips has also built up a great reputation picking moneyline winners outright and three dog moneyline winners go Saturday in college football as does the Big 10 Game of the Year. Elite gamblers can get the GodsTips four-day pass for just $55 Click now to purchase

Meanwhile, mastering over/under plays is high on the list of why forensic handicapping founder Stevie Vincent has replaced Dr. Bob and Phil Steele’s Preferred Picks as the top choice among betting syndicates. Stanford and TCU is his Non-Conference over/under bet of the Quarter Century. Stevie’s plays can be had for four-days at just $125.

Gamblers can fellow their radio and purchase Jonathan Stone’s stone cold locks, Wayne Allan Root’s winning edge, Tony Smith the alleged Vegas legend or some guy named Bobby Ventura, who we’ve been told does a hard boiler room sell.

They can listen to boob tube and get Scott Sprietzer, Jim Feist or Dave Cokin. But those who want to listen to sharp players and their own wallet will choose only the elite handicappers at OffshoreInsiders.com

The top sports handicapper site in America is OffshoreInsiders.com and features Mike Godsey and sports betting expert Joe Duffy of GodsTips, Stevie Vincent and MasterLockLine.com, which has all the top sports service plays from all the top handicappers in their highest rated sports.


October 04, 2007

Top Vegas Experts & Vegas Insiders Preview Tonight's Game

The Gamecocks of South Carolina host the Wildcats of Kentucky. The staff of OffshoreInsiders.com takes a look at key computer betting trends. All records are against the spread.

Kentucky is 9-2 off a straight up win in their last 11 and 20-8 going back further. They have covered seven straight games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game and also on a perfect 6-0 run to teams with a winning record.

However, South Carolina is 12-3 off a game in which they forced one or fewer turnovers. They are 7-0 teams with a winning record and 10-1 after allowing less than 170 passing yards in their previous game. The GoCocks are also 20-7 to the bookmakers after allowing less than 275 total yards in their last game.

This year, Kentucky is 5-0 straight up and 4-0 in the wallet according to the online sportsbooks. USC is 4-1 outright, but after failing to cover their opening game to Louisiana Lafayette, they have covered three straight lined games.

From a standpoint of betting on the total, the Gamecocks have gone over 10-2 to teams averaging more than 6.25 yards per play, while the Wildcats have gone under 7-0 on the road when playing against teams with a winning record.

Now, who will cover tonight and this weekend? Get total access to the “Bet It Trinity”: Stevie Vincent’s BetOnSports360.com, MasterLockLine.com, and Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com for $54 per day and much less for long-term packages for the top sports advisors in betting.

Kentucky-South Carolina Sports Betting Preview


Kentucky-South Carolina gives sports gamblers one of the best betting opportunities of the year for a nationally televised game on ESPN according to several professional gamblers.

Sportsbooks have South Carolina as a 3.5 point favorite with an over/under of 58. The premier sports betting expert Joe Duffy of GodsTips and CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com has explained how elite gamblers exploit statistics the media rarely talks about.

So let’s take a look at those key betting numbers. Kentucky’s offense has been remarkable averaging 5.8 yards per rush against teams normally allowing 4.9 and 7.7 passing yards per attempt against teams normally allowing 6.7. Overall they get .7 more yards per play than their opponents normally give up.

The Wildcats defense is actually better than many would think. They allow just 5.7 yards per pass to teams normally getting 6.9 and they hold opponents to a full half-yard below their normal average.

America’s greatest sports service GodsTips swept college football Wise Guy plays two of the last three weeks. Memphis is already in as a Wise Guy this week. Another Wise Guy play Kentucky-South Carolina. Plus get two MLB sides including our first postseason Wise Guy play! Click now to purchase

South Carolina, meanwhile, gets 5.3 yards per play against teams normally allowing 5.0, but in what is not so Steve Spurrier like, it’s the defense carrying them. The Gamecocks allow 4.4 yards per play to teams normally getting 5.0.

Not surprisingly, USC is a better team at home, averaging 34.7 points per game in three contests while allowing 12.7.

OffshoreInsiders.com is your one-stop shop for college football. We have the latest live odds, plus CFB First Half Lines, CFB Halftime Lines, CFB Matchups from SportsDataBases or as an alternative CFB Matchups from StatFox, CFB Trend Sheet with ATS info, CFB Game Reports, CFB Game Previews from an online betting perspective. The articles section now has huge free sports betting previews and sharp player information.


October 02, 2007

Beer


Although we all work for different entities, several of us professional handicappers have been known to gather for a few beers at various watering holes around Atlanta. The Real Animal, Oscar Charles Dooley, our favorite of the sports advisors Trace Adams, all at one time worked together, first at the scorephone know known as scoresandodds or sometimes Sports.com or the Sports Advisors. Then we went to Freescoreboard.com, which like scoresandodds, we decided to confuse people by also calling ourselves Scorephone.com. Actually scores-and-odds is also known as Vegas Advisors, I believe.

Anyway, if the Phillies and the Yankees make it to the World Series, it could be a grudge match between Trace Adams, a Yankee fan and me a Phillies fan. The loser has to go on a date with the androgynous Dooley.

The winners from the top sports services will be at OffshoreInsiders.com


Marshall-Memphis Sports Betting Preview

The Marshall Thundering Herd and the Memphis Tigers will both be trying to pick up a win on Tuesday when they battle at Liberty Bowl.

The top Online Sportsbook has the Tigers listed as 3-point favorites versus the Thundering Herd, while the game’s total is sitting at 60.

The Thunderding Herd were crushed 40-14 last week by the Cincinnati Bearcats, as 24.5-point underdogs. The 54 points were a PUSH against the posted total of 54.

Bernard Morris completed 20-of-30 pass attempts for 255 yards with two touchdowns in a losing effort.

The Tigers got up early, and failed ot hold on in a 35-31 loss last time out. The Tigers failed to cover the 6-point spread at home, while the 66 runs made it OVER the posted total of 62.

Remember, a huge marketing conglomerate is spending tens of thousands of dollars every week advertising their brands such as Jonathan Stone of Stone Cold Locks, Bobby Ventura, Game Brokers, Tony Smith and others. They “borrow” the Level 5 plays from Stevie Vincent of OffshoreInsiders.com and re-sell them for 10-20 or more times what OffshoreInsiders.com charges. Vincent has his Conference USA Eastern Division Game of the Year. Pay Jonathan Stone $500 or get it for $40 at OffshoreInsiders.com

The Tigers had two rushing touchdowns, and Martin Hankins caught another in the loss.

Current streak:
Marshall has lost 4 straight games.
Memphis has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Marshall: 0-4 SU, 1-2 ATS
Memphis: 1-3 SU, 1-1-1 ATS

Marshall most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 4-6

Memphis most recently:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on turf are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Marshall’s last 6 games on the road
Marshall is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Marshall is 1-10-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Marshall is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games
Memphis is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home

Next up:
Marshall at Tulsa, Saturday, October 13
Memphis home to Middle Tennessee, Saturday, October 13

 


October 01, 2007

Latest Radio Tout

The latest tout who is buying plays from the elite sports service at OffshoreInsiders.com and having hard-core boiler room salesmen sell the same picks for 20 times the price is “Vegas legend” Joe Philips or Joe Phillips, I don’t think he knows.

He joins Jonathan Stone, Dr. Green or Dr. Greene (does “he” know), Bobby Ventura, Adam Myer and others. But even at 10-20 times the price, GodsTips.com, MasterLockLine.com and BetOnSports360.com is worth it.

Get the picks others are selling for $200-$500 or more per pop at OffshoreInsiders.com