Free NCAAB Pick: San Diego State vs. UCLA

After months of research, we spent a lot of money getting the best computer simulations, power ratings, and models. Six winners, three Wise Guys, the first two at 1:30 and 2 ET! We have two games covering at least 2/3 of our top simulator. The Wise Guy has other strong models backing it up. The other bet is also a very good contrarian and other models have them as slight leans, but none contradicting these bets. Get the picks now 

SAN DIEGO STATE +3 UCLA

  • Malachi Flynn gone, but CS Northridge transfer Terrell Gomez will open court
  • Big chance to beat a Power 5 team
  • One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found SD State covering 67 percent
    • Winning 72-66
  • Another top model has our side covering 55.8 percent almost dead even with State slightly better 
  • Yes UCLA has 5 starters back, but theory those teams get out of gate quicker is false 
  • MasseyRatings has San Diego State by 5
  • KenPom Aztecs winning by one

NFL Picks: Thanksgiving Day Ravens-Steelers

The NFL Specialist is 6-3 NFL. We are a stunning 30-10 with named plays. Friday, college football Wise Guy, two Majors. Saturday, ESPN2 Total of the Year among six college football Wise Guys and four Majors. At press time, we have a substantial NFL card about ready, just waiting on one database update. Get it all at OffshoreInsiders.com    

BALTIMORE +4.5 Pittsburgh

First of all, let me refute claims that home field advantage is out the window. Home teams are better both SU and ATS in 2020 than they were last year. Though we agree HFA is about two-points this year rather than three, we have an undefeated team against a team that is 6-4 SU. When we have an inferior road team based on SU record yet not a large underdogthe road team is 147-83-7 ATS. We have a similar angle that has to do with difference in wins, yet spread implies they are much more evenly matched it 165-107-7. Baltimore has lost two straight and obviously Pittsburgh has won 10 in a row. However, when teams are in opposite streaks, going with colder team is 75-44-2 under specific situations. It’s 58-28 for 67.4 percent when the net difference is 12 or better (Pittsburgh +10, Baltimore -2 game streak). Road teams in revenge under specific situations is 315-256-12. 

College Basketball Odds to win Each Conference 2020

There’s no telling what team records and schedules will look like at the end of this college basketball season, but we hope every conference can crown a champion when it’s all said and done. OffshoreInsiders.com is the place to go for daily winners, but here are some odds for all the major conferences. 

Below, you will find odds to win each of these NCAA Division I Men’s college basketball conferences:

  • ACC
  • Big 12
  • Big East
  • Big Ten
  • Pac-12
  • SEC
  • AAC
  • A-10
  • Mountain West
  • WCC

In terms of the National Championship picture, Gonzaga leads the pack at 9-1, but it’s crowded at the top as eight teams have better than 20-1 odds. 

Odds are provided bySportsBetting, a licensed sportsbook in Colorado.

ACC 
Duke 2-1
Virginia 5-2
Florida State 5-1
North Carolina 5-1
Louisville 12-1
Miami Florida 16-1
Georgia Tech 25-1
Syracuse 25-1
NC State 50-1
Notre Dame 50-1
Clemson 66-1
Virginia Tech 66-1
Boston College 100-1
Pittsburgh 100-1
Wake Forest 100-1

Big 12 
Kansas 3-2
Baylor 7-4
Texas Tech 5-1
West Virginia 6-1
Texas 8-1
Oklahoma 20-1
Iowa State 50-1
Kansas State 100-1
TCU 100-1

Big East 
Villanova 2-3
Creighton 7-2
Connecticut 5-1
Providence 10-1
Marquette 16-1
Xavier 28-1
Butler 50-1
St. Johns 50-1
Georgetown 100-1
DePaul 250-1

Big Ten 
Iowa 5-2
Wisconsin 5-2
Illinois 4-1
Michigan State 4-1
Ohio State 12-1
Michigan 14-1
Indiana 16-1
Purdue 25-1
Maryland 50-1
Minnesota 80-1
Penn State 80-1
Nebraska 100-1
Northwestern 100-1

Pac-12 
Arizona State 5-2
UCLA 3-1
Oregon 7-2
Stanford 5-1
Arizona 12-1
Colorado 12-1
USC 12-1
Utah 25-1
Washington 25-1
California 100-1
Oregon State 100-1
Washington State 100-1

SEC 
Kentucky 3-2
Tennessee 3-1
LSU 6-1
Florida 8-1
Alabama 12-1
Arkansas 12-1
Auburn 20-1
South Carolina 20-1
Mississippi 40-1
Missouri 50-1
Georgia 100-1
Mississippi State 100-1
Texas A&M 100-1
Vanderbilt 100-1

AAC 
Houston 1-1
Memphis 3-1
SMU 5-1
Cincinnati 10-1
Tulsa 10-1
Wichita State 12-1
South Florida 16-1
Central Florida 33-1
East Carolina 50-1
Temple 50-1
Tulane 100-1

A-10 
Dayton 2-1
Saint Louis 5-2
Richmond 3-1
Davidson 10-1
Duquesne 10-1
St. Bonaventure 12-1
Rhode Island 25-1
Va Commonwealth 25-1
Massachusetts 33-1
George Mason 50-1
George Washington 66-1
La Salle 80-1
Fordham 100-1
St. Josephs 100-1

Mountain West 
San Diego State 3-2
Utah State 2-1
Boise State 3-1
UNLV 8-1
Colorado State 12-1
Nevada 20-1
New Mexico 33-1
Fresno State 50-1
Wyoming 66-1
Air Force 100-1
San Jose State 100-1

WCC 
Gonzaga 1-10
BYU 5-1
Saint Mary’s 20-1
San Francisco 20-1
Pepperdine 25-1
Santa Clara 50-1
Pacific 80-1
Loyola Marymount 100-1
San Diego 300-1
Portland 500-1

NBA Win Totals Updated

The Bucks haven’t taken their foot off the gas in either of the last two regular seasons, and the oddsmakers don’t expect them to when the next one kicks off in a month.

SportsBetting has set over/under season victory totals for the 2020-21 NBA regular season, and the Bucks once again sit atop the list, this time with a projected total of 51. 

The two L.A. teams have second- and third-highest totals on the board. The Knicks, Pistons and Cavaliers have the lowest projected notches in the win column.

Odds are provided bySportsBetting, a licensed sportsbook in Colorado.

Milwaukee Bucks 
O/U 51

Los Angeles Lakers 
O/U 47.5

Brooklyn Nets
O/U 46.5

Los Angeles Clippers 
O/U 46

Boston Celtics 
O/U 45.5

Denver Nuggets 
O/U 44.5

Miami Heat 
O/U 44

Dallas Mavericks 
O/U 43.5

Philadelphia 76ers 
O/U 43.5

Toronto Raptors 
O/U 43

Utah Jazz 
O/U 41

Golden State Warriors
O/U 40

Indiana Pacers 
O/U 39.5

Portland Trail Blazers 
O/U 39

Houston Rockets 
O/U 38

Phoenix Suns 
O/U 37.5

New Orleans Pelicans 
O/U 34.5

Memphis Grizzlies 
O/U 32.5

Atlanta Hawks 
O/U 31.5

Orlando Magic 
O/U 31

Oklahoma City Thunder 
O/U 30

San Antonio Spurs 
O/U 29.5

Washington Wizards 
O/U 28.5

Chicago Bulls 
O/U 28

Sacramento Kings 
O/U 28

Minnesota Timberwolves 
O/U 27.5

Charlotte Hornets 
O/U 24

New York Knicks 
O/U 22.5

Detroit Pistons 
O/U 22

Cleveland Cavaliers 
O/U 21.5

Trask now heavy favorite to win heisman; who will be undefeated?

Cincinnati survived its toughest test to date, but the Bearcats’ CFP chances didn’t improve greatly, at least according to the odds. 

Below are updated National Championship odds for the 17 undefeated teams remaining in college football, as well as the rest of the one-loss contenders. 

Also, Kyle Trask is now the odds-on favorite in the latest Heisman numbers, which are also below. 

Odds are provided bySportsBetting, a licensed sportsbook in Colorado.


Undefeated Team Odds

Alabama (7-0)
3-2

Ohio State (4-0)
5-2

Notre Dame (8-0)
9-1

Cincinnati (8-0)
33-1

BYU (9-0)
33-1

Northwestern (5-0)
40-1

Oregon (3-0)
66-1

USC (3-0)
66-1

Coastal Carolina (8-0)
100-1

Nevada (5-0)
200-1

Marshall (7-0)
250-1

Buffalo (3-0)
250-1

Colorado (2-0)
250-1

Washington (2-0)
250-1

Kent State (3-0)
500-1

San Jose State (4-0)
500-1

Western Michigan (3-0)
500-1


One-Loss Team Odds

Clemson (3/1)
Florida (9/1)
Wisconsin (50/1)
Texas A&M (50/1)
Miami (66/1)
Oklahoma (80/1)
Georgia (80/1)
Texas (80/1)
Oklahoma State (100/1)
Iowa State (100/1)
Indiana (150/1)
Iowa (150/1)
Auburn (150/1)
North Carolina (250/1)
Utah (250/1)
SMU (250/1)

Heisman Trophy Odds

Kyle Trask 1-2 
Mac Jones 3-1 
Justin Fields 7-2 
Trevor Lawrence 10-1 
Zach Wilson 20-1 
Breece Hall 25-1 
Ian Book 100-1 
Kellen Mond 100-1 
D’Eriq King 150-1

Best sports picks at OffshoreInsiders.com  

NBA Draft Odds 2020: laMelo ball top pick and more

LaMelo Ball is the odds-on favorite to be selected first overall during Wednesday’s draft, but what are the chances we see his dad on TV pushing the family brand?

Pretty good, according to some fun NBA Draft props provided by SportsBetting. This year’s draft is virtual, and after what we saw with the NFL’s version, anything could happen. 

Along with the traditional draft props, there are odds on which members of the Ball family will be seen, who the No. 1 pick will hug first, how many cats or dogs will be shown and much more.

As far as trades, there is a 93.8% chance a deal will be made during the first 10 picks, according to the odds. An over/under of 6.5 trades has been set as the Draft Day total. 

NBA Draft odds are courtesy of SportsBetting and are subject to change. Current odds here:

Total Draft Day trades in Round 1

Over 6.5

Under 6.5

Will there be a trade in the top 10 picks?

Yes -1500

No +600

No. 1 overall pick

LaMelo Ball -250         

Anthony Edwards +160          

James Wiseman +600 

Deni Avdija +3300       

Obi Toppin +4000       

Who will No. 1 overall pick hug first?

Dad -250

Sibling +150

Mom +300

Girlfriend +600

Friend +700

Will the No. 1 overall pick cry?

Yes +800

No -2500

Will LaVar Ball be shown during draft?

Yes -1000

No +550

Will Lonzo Ball be shown during draft?

Yes -500

No +300

Highest number of people in same draftee room

Over 10.5

Under 10.5

Will any first round draftee put on the wrong team hat?

Yes +800

No -2500

Will pizza be seen in any draftee home?

Yes -120

No -120

Total dogs shown during the first round

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

Total cats shown during the first round

Over .5

Under .5

Nets championship odds skyrocket

When the latest #WojBomb dropped, bettors and bookmakers reacted.

At SportsBetting the Nets’ championship odds for the upcoming season went from 10/1 to 7/1 after large bets came in on Brooklyn following the report that James Harden could be joining Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving. 

The move seems unlikely given the complexity of shedding enough players and cap space, but still, the sportsbook said it has to be careful just in case the next super team is formed. 

“We’re busy trading the NFL today, and then all of the sudden the NBA futures board starts lighting up with Nets bets,” Lenny Estrin, head linesman at SportsBetting said. “We took a significant amount of money on the Nets before we could change the odds. These reports normally never pan out, but we still have to limit our liability so we moved them down the list.”

The Nets have the same odds (13-2 or +650) as the Warriors, and they are the favorites to take the East with 5-2 odds. Milwaukee is second on the conference odds board.

On the other side of this coin, Houston has seen its title odds tumble. 

During the last week, the Rockets’ Finals odds went from 20-1 to 28-1. Their odds to win the Western Conference dropped from 12-1 to 14-1.


NBA Championship Odds
Los Angeles Lakers 4-1
Los Angeles Clippers 11-2
Golden State Warriors 13-2
Brooklyn Nets 13-2
Milwaukee Bucks 7-1
Boston Celtics 14-1
Miami Heat 15-1
Toronto Raptors 16-1
Denver Nuggets 25-1
Philadelphia 76ers 25-1
Houston Rockets 28-1
Dallas Mavericks 28-1
Utah Jazz 33-1
Portland Trail Blazers 40-1
New Orleans Pelicans 50-1
Oklahoma City Thunder 80-1
Phoenix Suns 100-1
Atlanta Hawks 100-1
Indiana Pacers 100-1
San Antonio Spurs 100-1
Orlando Magic 125-1
Memphis Grizzlies 125-1
Washington Wizards 150-1
Minnesota Timberwolves 150-1
Sacramento Kings 150-1
Charlotte Hornets 200-1
Detroit Pistons 200-1
Chicago Bulls 250-1
Cleveland Cavaliers 250-1
New York Knicks 250-1

Eastern Conference Odds
Brooklyn Nets 5-2
Milwaukee Bucks 11-4
Boston Celtics 4-1
Miami Heat 5-1
Toronto Raptors 13-2
Philadelphia 76ers 9-1
Atlanta Hawks 35-1
Indiana Pacers 35-1
Orlando Magic 45-1
Washington Wizards 60-1
Detroit Pistons 80-1
Charlotte Hornets 80-1
Chicago Bulls 125-1
Cleveland Cavaliers 125-1
New York Knicks 125-1

Western Conference Odds
Los Angeles Lakers 5-2
Los Angeles Clippers 3-1
Golden State Warriors 7-2
Denver Nuggets 13-1
Houston Rockets 14-1
Dallas Mavericks 16-1
Utah Jazz 18-1
Portland Trail Blazers 25-1
New Orleans Pelicans 30-1
Oklahoma Thunder 50-1
Phoenix Suns 60-1
Memphis Grizzlies 70-1
San Antonio Spurs 70-1
Minnesota Timberwolves 90-1
Sacramento Kings 90-1

NFL Picks Free broncos-Raiders

As this report is filed, Joe Duffy’s Picks a nice 5-1 this week. Big portfolio up at OffshoreInsiders.com

DENVER +4 Las Vegas at Bovada  

  • Bad teams off a loss that was not a blowout 254-152-5
    • Denver lost by one possession to Atlanta 
  • Road teams off road loss are 323-223-11
  • Fading bad defenses off a win is 154-93-5
  • Combining first and third systems 11-1 all-time 
    • 8-4 SU even though a dog all 12 games
  • Don’t think Carr is as great as his 16 TDs to 2 INTs indicate 

Baylor-Texas Tech Free play

3-0 start to the week for Joe Duffy’s Picks. Friday college football side and total. Saturday, seven college football winners led by AAC Underdog GOY, ESPN+ Total of the Year, Big 12 Total of the Year! I am 28-9 with named plays! Much more coming.  Get the picks now

BAYLOR +1.5 Texas Tech at Bet Now   

  • The turbo-charged version of short road underdogs that you have heard about on satellite radio is 867-628-41
  •  Terrible road teams that are small underdogs to good home teams 290-213-9
    • Baylor 0-3 SU road
    • Texas Tech 2-2 SU home and home team 5-2 SU in their games
  • Baylor 30 points in 10 of the last 11 meetings
  • Baylor decent defense holding teams below normal average yards per rush and yards per pass 

Ohio state vs. maryland free pick

3-0 start to the week for Joe Duffy’s Picks. Friday college football side and total. Saturday, seven college football winners led by AAC Underdog GOY, ESPN+ Total of the Year, Big 12 Total of the Year! I am 28-9 with named plays! Much more coming.  Get the picks now

Free:

OHIO STATE -24.5 Maryland

  • Style points? Heisman points for Justin Fields 
    • 11 TDs, 11 incompletions 
  • Maryland off stunner winning at Penn State 35-19 getting 27.5
  • Teams off wins as big dogs and facing another quality foe are 248-187-9 go against (favors OSU)
  • Big favorites in games expected to be high scoring 175-125-12
  • That being said only second time in history a team has consecutive wins as dogs of at least 17 in each game
  • But sixth time a team off consecutive wins as an underdog of at least 15 and FADING them is 5-0 
    • 21-9 if consecutive wins as double-digit underdogs 
    • Won’t sneak up on Ohio State and may be fat and happy 
  • Maryland giving up 4.9 yards per rush teams normally allowing 4.3