Joe Duffy’s Picks: Talent lifts us up where we belong. A nice 8-3 recent run.Both college football sides up Thursday as we have acquired many new angles recently and the best keeps getting better. Three college basketball sides. First is at 3 ET and note CBB and CFB at 6 ET!
Florida is struggling try to play up-tempo and gave Army way too many open looks in their opener. Boston College is a good shooting team and will make UF pay unless the Gators somehow become infinitely more organized on defense in back-to-back games. Talk about baptism by fire, BC has been competitive in all their games, beating URI, and losing to Villanova and St. John’s by a combined 13 points. Mike White is not a good game coach and he has not figured out how to get his athletes to play solid rotation D. That will cost them against the great guard play of BC led by Wynston Tabbs. Massey says it should be a -4.5 line.
3-0 start to the week for Joe Duffy’s Picks. Friday college football side and total. Saturday, seven college football winners led by AAC Underdog GOY, ESPN+ Total of the Year, Big 12 Total of the Year! I am 28-9 with named plays! Much more coming. Get the picks now
There is no other way to say it: I’m just that much better than everyone else and NBA begins tomorrow! Joe Duffy rolls along at 20-14 with six winners of 130 or more.
13 winners led by three Wise Guys. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are in near unanimity considered the strongest bet in sports wagering by bookmakers, pro gamblers, oddsmakers, and fellow handicappers alike.
Kansas City-Detroit UNDER 9.5 (Duffy-Boyd) and GTBets
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 2866-2260-269.
MLK Day 2020 happens to produce the strongest portfolio of the season. With a full-slate, that’s not really a big shock. With so many winners, today’s free pick is a premium pick from Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com
ORLANDO -4.5 Charlotte
Road favorites in losing streak under specific circumstances that apply today are 251-153-11. Another about road favorites off a loss is 707-547-22.
5 Dimes lives up to their name. Many of my highest rollers bet substantial amounts of money there and always get paid. They are also the #1 book for added rotation games, niche and obscure betting as well. 5 Dimes is fully vetted. The official book of high rollers!
There is a logical reason, I’m sure, why you would bet without our picks. Could you let me know what it is? I am 63-36 with all football picks and 6-2 last two days NBA including Game of the Year on Bucks in a rout. Army-Navy total Wise Guy and three NBA led by Wise Guy. Get the picks nowMore winners probable once all NBA lines released
WASHINGTON -1 Memphis
Rest dynamics generally benefit the home team. However, when the road team is more rested, it nullifies the normal home court advantage and creates an off line to the tune of 242-177-9.
It’s the famed sharp versus square report with data from top sportbooks such as Bovada, Caesars Palace, Hilton, MYBookie and other books offshore and in Vegas. We also have two NBA free picks!
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Baltimore, Detroit, Seattle, New York Giants
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Detroit, Baltimore, Seattle
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Jacksonville
NFL injuries for fantasy football and gambling picks:
49ers will likely have the services of TE George Kittle, and WR Emmanuel Sanders and Deebo Samuel
Patriots QB Tom Brady will start, but WR Mohamed Sanu will be limited as he practiced very little this week
Seahawks DE Jadeveon Clowney is probable
Eagles WR Alshon Jeffery probable but Nelson Agholor doubtful, RB Jordan Howard is doubtful
Howard 525 rushing yards, 6 TDs rushing, 1 receiving
Jeffrey 34 catches 353 yards
Redskins RB Adrian Peterson is probable
Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots
Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns
Oakland Raiders at New York Jets
Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles
Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills
Detroit Lions at Washington Redskins
Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy! 13-3 overall from simply the best sports handicapper to ever walk this earth Joe Duffy! I am 15-7 NFL. Sunday NFL Game of the Year and Fox Sports Interconference Game of the Year on Dallas-New England is among four NFL Wise Guys and eight Majors! I mean there is a 72.9 percent angle going back to the 1980s in the Pokes-Pats. Two NBA winners added Get the picks now
Mavericks at Rockets
Houston -5 with o/u 232
Houston followed an eight-game win streak with consecutive losses
Favorites or pick said situation 36-31
Dallas won four straight but hitting road
Fade dogs of 5 or more with four or more game winning streaks is 342-244-18
67.9 percent when team we are riding has two or more game losing streak
Pick: HOUSTON -5
Pelicans at Clippers
LA -12 with o/u 234
New Orleans won three straight but fading streaking road dogs of 7 or more is 321-237-9
Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.
Joe Duffy rolls along baby. I am 18-7 college football. Friday college football side. Saturday 11 college football winners led by two Wise Guys. BONUS: Added Rotation Game of the Year in college football as well. Sunday, NFL Wise Guy gets us started! Get the picks now
Marshall at FAU
Marshall 1-5 with nation’s 9th worst -8.8
Marshall 5-1 SU in series including 31-7 last year
No real edge either way to favorites revenging blowout loss
Slight edge to Marshall as dogs 3.5 or more won by 24 or more previous meeting 348-309-11
Both teams love to use TEs extensively
Total dropped 65 to 59.5
Third of Marshall’s roster from Florida
Doc Holliday 12-3 in Florida or versus Florida teams
Marshall true freshman Broc Thompson had a breakout performance against Old Dominion with 91 yards on six catches
Marshall’s defense improving after big adjustments to new DC Brad Lambert
When team’s defense off a contest in which they allowed 150 or more yards below season average, next game goes UNDER 446-366-15 (Marshall)
Pick: UNDER 59.5
Pittsburgh at Syracuse
Cuse 3-3 SU but includes wins over Liberty and Holy Cross
Pitt only losses to Virginia and Penn State
Two wins as an underdog plus lost at PSU by only seven
Pitt’s Maurice Ffrench and Taysir Mack top WR twosome in nation with 91 catches
Pitt’s secondary best under Narduzzi
Panthers redshirt sophomore safety Paris Ford will miss the first half with suspension
Pitt’s run defense sensational allowing 2.9 yards per rush versus an opponent normally getting 4.0 and defense allows 4.3 yards per play teams normally getting 5.5
Pick: UNDER 52
Ohio St at Northwestern
Ohio State 5-1 +18 points per game, second in country
Northwestern UNDER 4-1 by -11.4 points per game, 5th best under team in nation
Road favorites of 26 or more with total of 52 or less are 18-8 (Ohio State)
Northwestern holds opposing offenses to .7 yards per rush, 1.6 yards per pass below normal average
Ohio State holds teams to 1.3 yards per rush, 2.3 yards per pass, and 1.7 yards per play below normal average
Northwestern offense gets 4.3 passing yards per attempt teams normally allowing 6.5 and 3.9 yards per play teams normally getting 5.2
Ohio State averages 10.8 yards per point, fourth best in nation
Pick: Ohio State UNDER 49.5
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UNLV at Fresno St
UNLV won 34-10 at Vanderbilt as 16 point underdog off four straight losses of 16 or more
Dogs off win as an underdog of 7.5 or more are 54-42 (UNLV)
Fresno State 1 TD in five third quarters
UNLV starting QB Armani Rogers cleared but will not start
2 TDs and 3 INT
Kenyon Oblad gets start
Oblad 739 yards, 5 TDs, 3 INT
UNLV soph RB sophomore running back Chad Magyar averaging 5.0 yards per carry after missing first four games
Yesterday, OffshoreInsiders.com offered a historic sale on Bet It Trinity and both Joe Duffy and MasterLockLine went 8-2!
NFL free pick:
MINNESOTA -5.5 NY Giants
Go with a team playing consecutive road games, team off a loss under specific circumstances that apply today is 329-243-10. Anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is 133-87-13.
Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. The Big Ten East Total of the Year on Ohio State completes a 7-2 day in football! It was 8-2 overall. I am 3-0 MLB last two days! Only like to bet a few games? Then check out our Wise Guys! You are either with us our subsidizing us. Those of you in the latter, thanks! 33-16 NFL since preseason is the Grandmaster. Four NFL Wise Guys plus eight Majors. NFC South Total of the Year among the winners. Both four NFL Wise Guys and 12 winners in the same day are substantial! The intel I have on these games is sickening. Why have a lasted 32-plus years? Info like this
The Big Man on Campus and Joe Duffy break down Purdue vs. Penn State. The Nittany Lions are laying 28-points at Bovada with a total of 55.5. Not shockingly the public loves the chalk as this game opened -24 and 54. Early wagering sees 75 percent of wagers and an overwhelming 82 percent of money on PSU.
Superstar Joe Duffy has eight college and NFL Wise Guys up Thursday-Monday and more coming. 33-16 NFL since preseason is the Grandmaster. As long as you have a package that includes Monday you can access all week’s picks. Get the picks now
Purdue is 11-4-2 in the back pocket on the road to teams with a winning home record. However they have dropped four straight overall to teams with winning marks. Penn State is 24-6 following a straight up win and 27-11 overall. The Lions have roared to a 10-3-1 series mark.
PSU has gone over 10-2 after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. The Boilermakers have gone over 24-9 after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Superstar handicapper Joe Duffy previews Rutgers vs. Michigan on the super popular Big Man on Campus show. Rutgers is -27.5 with a total of 48 at MyBookie. It opened at -26 and 47.5. Sixty-six percent of bets and 82 percent of money is on Michigan.
Off another great week, going 18-6 in football including Thursday Night Total of the Year, SEC West Total of the Year. I am 26-12 NFL since preseason. Ten NFL Thursday through Monday, including Interconference Underdog of the Year and AFC Monday Night Game of the Year. We also have two college bets Thursday and Friday each and seven Saturday. Get the picks from Joe Duffy.
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