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July 31, 2019

Sports Betting Inside Info for Tonight

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 12:08 PM

Big night portfolio from Joe Duffy’s Picks. Night Wise Guy among two night winners Get the picks now

Houston-Cleveland

  • Jose Urquidy (Or-Keady) for Houston just 19 IP in four starts
    • Team is 3-1
    • OBP against .288
    • 2.79 road ERA, yet .310 OBA and 1.34 WHIP
  • Zach Plesac for Cleveland nice 3.10 ERA and .288 OBP against
    • 1.12 ERA last three starts and .258 OPB, .94 WHIP
    • Slightly worse on road, but not substantially
    • Much better at night with 1.23 ERA, .95 WHIP
      • Day 4.83, 1.23

Team trends:

  • Houston 95-43 favorites since last August 21 +21.14 units
    • 19-7 overall +9 units
  • Cleveland 33-14 overall +13.14 units, 16.9 ROI
    • 27-20 runline with 14.8 percent ROI
  • Indians under 47-34-5 home since July 14 of 2018

Minnesota-Miami

  • Jose Berrios (Ba-rEE-os) for Minnesota 9-5 2.94 ERA
    • Weird numbers
    • 2.55 last three, though .329 OBP and 1.36 WHIP
    • 3.62 road ERA compared to 2.10 at home but .285 road OBP better than home
    • WHIP nearly identical home/road
    • ERA and WHIP both nearly identical day and night
  • Sandy Alcantara 4-9, 4.18 ERA and horrible .342 OBP
    • 6.35 last three starts, .375 OBP, 1.71 WHIP
    • Is better at home in ERA, WHIP, and OBP but not by a lot

Team trends

  • Twins under 11-4-1 road
  • Marlins have under 51-35-5 dog

Mets-White Sox

  • deGrom 2.86 ERA, 1.09 WHIP yet Mets 7-14 in his starts, 4-13 in night starts
    • Last 3 .47 ERA, .270 OBP against, 1.05 WHIP
    • No unearned runs
    • Better road with 2.51 ERA, though OBP and WHIP about same
  • Lucas Giolito, Sox 13-7 in his starts but 3.52 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, .284 OBP
    • Twice in last four starts gave up at least six runs
    • Home ERA is 4.47 with WHIP and OBP slightly worse at home

Team trends

  • Mets 19-7 favorities with a 21 percent ROI
  • White Sox under 37-24 underdogs
  • 5-16 overall -9.14 units and -42 ROI

July 30, 2019

NFL Fantasy Football Odds 2019

Filed under: Sports Betting News — Joe Duffy @ 4:03 PM

Remember when the Hilton Super Contest was the most prestigious handicapping clash on earth? Join the biggest and best NFL Super Contest with $150,000 in prizes! 

Also fantasy football bettors have plenty of chances to win big money, such as with betting on tackles and sacks.

Perhaps for some fantasy football players, the skilled position betting props are more appealing.

Fantasy sports are not the only type of long-term wagering ways to make money. Check out some undervalued NFL teams to bet on this season.

Tuesday Free Baseball Picks

Filed under: Sports Betting News — Joe Duffy @ 3:45 PM

Big day in baseball betting led by MasterLockLine:

Sports Service out of the Twin Ports in No. 1 since 2008 in all sports combined! Their highest rated bets are Pinnacle Plays, which happen generally once or twice a week per sport. Pinnacle Play of the Year

Pan-Asian Syndicate, best source for totals in the world and a famed MasterLockLine Exclusive. You need to bet every one of their totals this football season. Two OU

Only winning baseball handicapper on a high-profile site owned by a television network, is one of the top data scientists in handicapping. Two sides. Get a free sports service bet

Let’s start out with the official gambling preview of the San Francisco Giants and Philadelphia Phillies.

The Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Yankees sports picks preview is also going to win you some big bucks.

Sportsbooks fear you will check out this article on the Rays-Red Sox.

Now it’s the Cubs-Cards betting tips.

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Arizona Cardinals 2019 Betting NFL Preview

Filed under: Sports Betting News — Joe Duffy @ 3:35 PM

Following the peculiar recruiting and bizarre hiring of Kliff Kingsbury as head coach, the Arizona Cardinals are hopeful the alleged QB whisperer will band with top draft pick Kyler Murray to rise from the dregs of the NFL. Though Kingsbury had a rancid 19-35 SU record in Big 12 play at Texas Tech, the Redbirds have abundant conviction the college coaching washout will be triumphant in the pro ranks.

The Air Raid offense that Kliff will instill begets flashbacks of another coach’s cataclysmic climb to the NFL: Chip Kelly. There is little quarrel that talent-wise the Cards should be enhanced. Health alone should upgrade an OL that had to employ ten different starting combos last year. Best NFL handicappers at OffshoreInsiders.com note that they also added two cogs on the OL: J.R. Sweezy (Seattle) and Marcus Gilbert (Pittsburgh).

There was a period when NFL scouts frowned upon 5-foot-10 QBs and minimized athletic ones. Savior Kyler Murray is both. Future Hall-of-Fame WR Larry Fitzgerald did say Murray possesses, “crazy command of the offense.” The rookie will have a lot more weapons than Josh Rosen had last year. In addition to vets, Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk are rookies Andy Isabella, and Hakeem Butler. The Cards will try to establish some TE depth during the preseason.

Expected to be on the field quite often, look for Arizona’s defense to suffer from the six-game suspension of playmaker Patrick Peterson. They need to be much deeper than the 3-13 distressed unit from last year. They aren’t.

Betting outlook for 2019: At best, this team is a work in progress. Kingsbury will likely go all-in on the thrill-a-minute and have some early season overs. He will eventually see the system is not sustainable and slow down the pace. The Cardinals will not be improved and will go under the season total at Bovada.

NFL Preseason Primer: Broncos-Falcons Hall-of-Fame Game Odds, Betting Info

Filed under: Sports Betting News — Tags: , — Joe Duffy @ 1:08 PM

The Denver Broncos and Atlanta Falcons open the 2019 football betting season in Canton, Ohio in the Hall-of-Game game. The famed Preseason Primer, tracing roots back to the 1980s scorephone days continues with what gamblers need to know. OffshoreInsiders.com multi-media is the sole source for this must-know info.

After opening up as a one-point underdog at Betonline, home of the opening line, the Denver Broncos are -2.5 and juiced at -115. The total is unchanged at 34, a number that is across the board. Offshore and in Las Vegas 68 percent of bets and a stunning 83 percent of the money wagered is on Denver. The total has 61 percent of bets and 75 percent of cash on the over.

Weather is not expected to be a factor in this contest. No precipitation is expected, winds no more than seven mph, and a kickoff temperature of 77, perhaps going down to the upper 60s late in the game.

To the surprise of nobody, Broncos starting QB Joe Flacco will not play. Veteran Kevin Hogan gets the start and will be followed by second-round pick Drew Lock. Brett Rypien will mop up and try to get the cover. Hogan was impressive in exhibition play last season. His numbers for the Redskins previous preseason were 43-of-67 passing for 462 yards, five touchdowns, and two interceptions. Few if any starters will play for Denver.

Starting QB Joe Flacco in the twilight of his career. Experts see legitimate concerns about how much is left in the tank. This competition is one of the most competitive battles for a backup signal-caller in the league.

The Falcons generally don’t take NFLX odds too seriously as they are 0-8 ATS the last two seasons in preseason play. Falcons superstar WR Julio Jones will miss the entire preseason as a precaution. LB Deon Jones, coming off a severe injury, will also not play. Neither will QB Matt Ryan, nor most if any of the starters.

Joe Duffy believes he will very likely have a side selection on this game at OffshoreInsiders.com. Duffy is indisputably the top preseason handicapper of all-time.

July 26, 2019

2-1 CFL Last Night; Another Free Play Football

Filed under: Sports Betting News — Joe Duffy @ 1:09 PM

Advanced analytics goes 2-1 for you for free in the CFL last night. MLB even better. The Red Sox winning 19-3 was our fourth straight Wise Guy winner and makes us 8-1 overall. Four MLB winners, a side and three totals are up. Oh baby with preseason NFL just around the corner, things are about to get even more exciting.  Get the picks now

Time to win more with Joe Duffy’s Picks.

CFL

Major

Hamilton-Winnipeg UNDER 53 at MYBookie

High totals go under under specific circumstances that apply today at a 350-255-8 rate. It has won four straight.

Inside Information For Bettors Today

Filed under: Sports Betting News — Tags: , — Joe Duffy @ 12:49 PM

Joe Duffy’s Picks is rocking! The Red Sox winning 19-3 was our fourth straight Wise Guy winner and makes us 8-1 overall. Four MLB winners, a side and three totals are up. Oh baby with preseason NFL just around the corner, things are about to get even more exciting.  Get the picks now

Atlanta-Philly

  • Mike Soroka 10-2 2.46, .285 OBP against
    • Last 3: 4.08, .372
    • Stunning 6-0 road, 1.12 ERA, .237
    • Compare to 4.08 and .337
  • Phillies Jake Arrieta 5.33 ERA last five starts though just 2 ER last 10.2
  • Arrieta .360 OBP against at night compared to 3.96 day, though home road fairly close, though home ERA a bit better
  • Braves 2-6 last 8, with .382 slugging percentage last 7
  • Phillies won 5-of-6
  • Braves 149-141 road since April 15, 2016 +54.6 units and 17.6 ROI
  • Phillies 113-213 underdog since May 4 2016 for -54 units and -16.5 ROI

San Francisco-San Diego

  • Jeff Samardzija 2.73 ERA last four with .911 WHIP
    • Home/road and day/night numbers very close
  • Pads Joey Lucchesi among most pronounced splits in MLB
    • 2.83 ERA home, .260 OBP against, 1.04 WHIP
    • Compare to road where 6.48, .326 and 1.41
    • Night numbers also much better than day
      • .255 OBP night, compared to .344 day
  • Giants 10-1 last 11 despite hitting .224 last 7
  • Giants 30-17 last 47 for +21.12 units and 42.9 ROI
    • 24-14 road, 20-10 underdogs +17.27 units and 57.5 ROI
  • San Diego 53-78 at home since Sept 24, 2017 -29.15 units
    • 26-34 favorite -18.15 -22.6 units since Jun 19 of last year

New York Yankees-Boston

  • Just 8th time in history a team is road favorites off same-series loss of 15 or more
    • 6-1 in history of our database
  • NYY James Paxton consistently mediocre though off home game to Colorado
    • 3.1 IP 7 runs, 4 earned
    • 4.78 road, .365 OBP against
  • Boston’s Andrew Cashner 10 ER last 11 IP with 1.636 WHIP
    • Home/road splits roughly the same
  • Yankees over 40-14 road since Sept 25 of last year
  • Boston over 77-48-4 since September 19 of last year
  • Though Boston 31-30 at home since September 26 of last year, that’s -18.60 units

The lowest moneylines are at vetted sportsbook Bet Now

July 25, 2019

Miami Dolphins Expert Season Preview From Grandmaster Handicapper

Filed under: Sports Betting News — Tags: , — Joe Duffy @ 5:22 PM

The Miami Dolphins are a team encumbered in averageness. However, with a season win total of 4.5 to 5 with varying juice, a mediocre season is all they need to put the season total over at Bovada.  

A Pac-12 QB, drafted high, thrown to the wolves, and was baptized by fire in his rookie season. But enough about Jared Goff. The Miami Dolphins have made one of the significant overlooked QB upgrades in recent time. Good riddance to overrated stiff Ryan Tannehill and give a warm welcome to Josh Rosen, the breakout QB of 2019.

Conflicting rooting concerns are a nonstarter for me, so I abandoned fantasy sports decades ago. However, Rosen would be elevated on any intelligent projection of later round heists. The Arizona Cardinals castoff has a decent group of wideouts to heave to led by speedy Kenny Stills, a robust deep threat, plus Devante Parker. Yes, the latter is an underachiever. But with the foreseen enhancement at QB, this could be the season his production finally matches his ability. Albert Wilson is a solid talent bouncing back from injury.

I concur with the mania of electing coaches with offensive-oriented minds as the head man. But, my unapparelled achievements as a handicapper is in no small part to the fact I zig while everyone is zagging. Thus, I believe the counterintuitive procedure of hiring defensive coach Brian Flores to man the sidelines could shell out massive dividends.

Either way, the fact that former head coach’s Adam Gase’s falsely perceived genius was because Jay Cutler was less pitiful under his tutelage makes me to have faith change for the sake of change will at least bear fruit short-term. With offensive coordinator Chad O’Shea also coming from New England, the offense will get an abundance of emphasis, the hiring a DC as HC notwithstanding.

But how about that defense? Miami is reliable in the secondary with CB Xavien Howard, S Minkhah Fitzpatrick, and S TJ McDonald, who has 75 NFL starts on his resume. Christian Wilkens, a first-rounder DT, will have an immediate impact. Yes, there are holes on defense, especially with the departures of Cameron Wake and Robert Quinn. But with season-win totals ranging from 4.5-5 depending on the juice, they don’t have to be Monsters of the Midway to exceed the season wins total.

Season outlook: With the massive upgrade at QB sneaking under the radar and the short-term boost a new coach gives to a team playing below their potential, look for a .500 season or better.

The author, Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com and widely accepted as the top NFL handicapper in history.

Night Free Picks in MLB Thursday

Filed under: Sports Betting News — Tags: , — Joe Duffy @ 11:43 AM

Yes Joe Duffy had a historic day going 6-0 on the top sports betting website. Though most of the portfolio is day winners, the only Wise Guy is a night bet. Speaking of night winners, check out this free picks with analysis!

It starts out with MLB’s biggest rivalry, the Yankees vs. Red Sox.

But that is far from the only night winner. Out on the west coast, we have the Tigers vs. Mariners.

Now the Royals vs. Indians gambling bets.

TGO is loaded for Thursday night. Stevie Vincent is off a 2-0 sweep. Thursday, pro baseball OU. Get the picks now

3 Free CFL Winning Picks To Bet Now

Filed under: Sports Betting News — Joe Duffy @ 10:56 AM

It is a big day for free picks with three CFL winners for Thursday. These are all premium level bets from Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com.

CFL

Majors

TORONTO +11 Edmonton at Bovada

More rested team under specific circumstances that apply today is 83-46-3.

OTTAWA +6 Calgary at GTBets

Going with struggling home teams under specific circumstances that apply today is 71-37-3 for 65.7 percent.

Toronto-Edmonton UNDER 52.5 at MYBookie

High totals go under at 349-255-8 rate.

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