Why Pro Bettors Win And Almost All Of You Lose Betting Football

Get used to it.  Greatest ever football season is in store. We nail Towson covering by a billion on Thursday. Friday we swept. North Dakota wins outright as a nearly two TD underdog. We told you one of the worst defenses in the country would be “greatly improved” and while every sucker and their brother had Northern Arizona…and we do mean sucker, we has Arizona winning in shutout.

Of course we will head into NFL season on a 4-0 NFL beginning of a great year-long extravaganza. Did you lock in yet?

CFB

Major

NORTH DAKOTA STATE +13.5 Kansas State

Two-time defending FCS champion and preseason No. 1 North Dakota State is the first team in league history to win a game against an FBS foe in three consecutive years (Kansas in 2010, Minnesota in 2011 and Colorado State last season).

North Dakota State also returns Brock Jensen at quarterback, a four-year starter who threw for 2,331 yards last season and played a part in 29 touchdowns. He will be the most experienced quarterback the Wildcats will see all season. He has started 37 games, including several in the Division I-AA playoffs. Coming off back-to-back seasons in which they played 15 games, the Bison are experienced across the board.

Bill Snyder has watched the Wildcats grind out victories in their last four openers. They beat Massachusetts 21-17 his first year back, took out UCLA 31-22 in 2010, struggled mightily in a 10-7 victory over Eastern Kentucky in 2011 and led Missouri State by three at halftime before pulling away last season.

ARIZONA -33.5 Northern Arizona

The Wildcats defense should be greatly improved. Because of injuries, a bunch of players were thrown into the mix last year before they were ready. But the baptism by fire made them better for the wear. Also they struggled learning a complicated defense under Jeff Casteel, the defensive coordinator. But they have a year under their belt, plus a nice infusion of new talent.

The Cats are more motivated for a blowout than many will think. The Wildcats should be pretty excited, too. Not only is it their opening game, it is their first chance to play in renovated Arizona Stadium.

After years of playing in mediocre-at-best facilities, the Wildcats have a gleaming new place they can call their own. And they certainly do not want to lose in their first game there. Consensus All-American KaDeem Carey led the nation with 1,929 yards and is expected to have another big season under Rodriguez quick-hitting offense. The junior running back might feel like he still has something to prove after a difficult off-season that included domestic assault charges that were eventually dropped.

Quarterback battles are great laying a ton of points, because the high-powered offense has a built in excuse to keep throwing the ball. With it also being a statement game for the defense, look for a blowout.

 

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Here is what Joe Duffy’s Picks does for you again.

MLB

Wise Guy

WASHINGTON (ZIMMERMAN -114) Kansas City (Davis)

KC has flopped, losing six straight and 9-of-11. Washington is playing very well on a 10-4 run. Jordan Zimmerman has strong numbers this season ERA and WHIP of 3.37 and 1.110.  Compare that to Wade Davis 5.43 and 1.751.  Zimmerman has a 31-9 night team mark the last two years.

Last five games Washington has a slugging percentage .422 to .299. In their last 10 games .413 to .279.  The Nats are 4-1 in the series.

LA DODGERS (RYU -117) Boston (Lester)

LA is 46-10. Boston is 3-6 the last nine. The home team is 18-9 in Jon Lester starts. Boston has lost 10-of-14 with Lester on the road. The Dodgers are 17-6 last 23 with Ryu including 9-1 at home.  For the season his ERA and WHIP of 2.95 and 1.221 overall, 1.78 and 1.070 home, 1.69 and 0.891 last three starts.

Major

PHILADELPHIA (MARTIN +100) Arizona (Delgado)

Philadelphia 5-1 the last six. Arizona has lost three straight. Obviously the Phillies have played much better under Ryne Sandberg. The Phillies have beaten Randall Delgado both times. Last five games the Phillies have an .043 slugging edge over Arizona.

Diamondbacks are 9-20 in their last 29 road games including 3-7 to teams with a losing record. Phillies are 11-2 at home in the series.

PITTSBURGH (LIRIANO -121) San Francisco (Lincecum)

Pittsburgh is 4-1 the last five. San Francisco has lost 5-of-6. Pirates are 42-18 in their last 60 vs. a team with a losing record.  Giants are 11-24 in their last 35 games following a loss, 7-21 at home. Francisco Liriano has  2.53 ERA and WHIP of 1.182.

Tim Lincecum has given up 11 ER in his last 11 IP. San Francisco is 5-16 the last 23. That includes 1-5 last six. Pittsburgh has beaten Lincecum two straight and 4-of-6. Pirates are 10-1 with Liriano vs. a team with a losing record. Giants are 7-20 with Lincecum following a team loss in their previous game, 5-16 overall.

NFL Football Betting Tips Week 2 of 2013

Here is the initial look at the sports betting eBook sharp players clipboard for NFL preseason football week 2 of 2013.

Thursday, August 15, 2013

Lions-Browns

Cleveland’s second-year star running back Trent Richardson, slowed by injuries so far as a pro, was thrilled to find out he’ll play in Thursday night’s preseason game against the Detroit Lions.

Source: Associated Press default

First year head coach Rob Chudzinski says Cleveland Browns have an honest-to-goodness quarterback competition between Brandon Weeden and Jason Campbell. Weeden has taken every first-team rep in training camp, leaving Campbell to work exclusively with the second team. Weeden was excellent in the Browns’ preseason opener (10-of-13 passing for 112 yards and one TD), and figures to start again Thursday against the Detroit Lions.

Source: ESPN

Sports betting champ says According to Detroit RB Reggie Bush, the offense is beginning to hit its stride. Bush and the starters on offense only played for the first two drives. He expects a little more work in Cleveland after getting his feet wet at home last week.

Falcons-Ravens

Ravens tight end Dennis Pitta is out. He has 61 catches last year.

Source: ESPN

San Diego-Bears

San Diego Chargers wide receiver Malcom Floyd is out after suffering a knee sprain during Monday’s practice. Floyd led the Chargers with a career-best 56 receptions for 814 yards and five touchdowns last season. Over his eight-year career, all with the Chargers, Floyd has 233 catches for 3,984 yards and 25 TDs. Danario Alexander, San Diego’s other starting receiver, was lost for the year after tearing his ACL last Tuesday.

Source: The Sports Network

The Chicago Bears signed running back Curtis Brinkley to a one-year contract on Monday in an attempt to bolster some depth to a position currently dealing with injuries. The move comes three days after Armando Allen, projected to be the team’s No. 3 running back behind Matt Forte and Michael Bush, hurt his right hamstring in Friday’s preseason opener at Carolina.

Source: The Sports Network

Panthers-Eagles

The Eagles have had starter Jeremy Maclin and possible backup Arrelious Benn both go down with season-ending ACL injuries during training camp.

Friday, August 16, 2013

Vikings-Bills

Possible No. 1 QB Kevin Kolb came out scrambling and firing one completion after another Tuesday. It was an impressive enough outing for coach Doug Marrone to suggest the seventh-year quarterback is on track to play in Buffalo’s preseason game against Minnesota on Friday.  Kolb had missed eight days of training camp and the Bills’ preseason-opening 44-20 win at Indianapolis on Sunday after slipping on a wet rubber mat in practice Aug. 3. The update wasn’t as positive for receiver T.J. Graham, who was held out of practice a day after straining his groin. Marrone doesn’t expect Graham to return until after the game Friday.

Source: Associated Press

Saturday, August 17, 2013

Cowboys-Cardinals

The “Honey Badger” is about to get his first NFL start.Arizona coach Bruce Arians said Tuesday that rookie Tyrann Mathieu will start at free safety in place of injured Rashad Johnson. Mathieu has been a sensation in training camp as he looks to make a comeback after being booted from the LSU team for marijuana use and sitting out football altogether last season.

Source: Associated Press

49ers-Chiefs

Pro Bowl running back Jamaal Charles had his ailing right foot examined by two orthopedic surgeons and they confirmed the Kansas City Chiefs’ diagnosis of a mild strain. It appears unlikely that he will play in Friday night’s preseason game against San Francisco at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs leaned heavily on Charles in their preseason opener last week. He touched the ball on eight of the 14 plays that the No. 1 offense ran on its opening touchdown drive.

Dolphins-Texans

Houston Texans guard Wade Smith is out. Smith has started all 48 games over the past three seasons with the Texans and was a Pro Bowl selection for the first time last year.

Source: Associated Press

It’s early, but the Dolphins might not get the impact they hoped for from their rookie class.

Source: ESPN

Jaguars-Jets

Jets coach Rex Ryan declined Tuesday to name his starter for Saturday night against the Jacksonville Jaguars, leaving open the possibility he may let the Mark Sanchez-Geno Smith battle continue for a week longer than many expected. Smith was limited to only 14 snaps against the Detroit Lions, completing six of seven passes for 47 yards.

Source: ESPN

Jag’s Blaine Gabbert’s inability to clear 2 yards per attempt in the Jacksonville Jaguars’ 27-3 preseason loss to the Miami Dolphins last week. Take Monday’s practice report from the Jaguars’ official website for example: “The offense struggled at times in practice, with Gabbert completing about half his passes in 11-on-11 drills and (Chad) Henne completing a little more than half while fumbling twice.” After reading these skipping-record reports for nearly three weeks, the one above can be copied and pasted as a recap of the offense’s performance for the entire training camp.

Source: NFL.com

Sunday, August 18, 2013

Colts-Giants

New York Giants safety Antrel Rolle is out, likely for the preseason. A nine-year veteran Rolle is the leader of the secondary. He had a career-high 108 tackles last season and was a constant voice trying to make sure his teammates were on the same page.

Source: Associated Press

Colts played poorly in their 44-20 preseason loss to Buffalo. Coach Chuck Pagano said the starters will play more and they will play better as a team against the New York Giants on Sunday.

Source: ESPN

Monday, August 19, 2013

Steelers-Redskins

Safety Phillip Thomas is out for Redskins. Thomas sustained the injury during Washington’s preseason-opening 22-21 win over Tennessee last week.

Source: The Sports Network

#1 Sports Handicapper Doing What You Pay Him To: Yet Another 6-0 Sweep

Here was the latest 6-0 sweep led by another Dandy Dog. We are now 57-34 underdog moneyline winners outnumbering the moneyline chalk losers 34-9. But all we do is win. We are 20-11 with Wise Guys with 28 of the 31 being underdogs.  Have you locked in yet? Get the picks now

MLB

Wise Guy

ATLANTA (MEDLEN +126) Washington (Zimmerman)

The Braves have won 12 in a row. Washington has dropped 5-of-7. They are -16.6 units this season. Washington has an on base percentage of less than .300 for the season. Washington has lost 3-of-4 with Zimmerman -4.9 units.  Kris Medlen is 2-1 to Washington with an ERA of 1.71 and a WHIP of 1.143

Braves are 22-4 in Medlens last 26 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Nationals are 2-7 in their last 9 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.

DETROIT (FISTER -114) Cleveland (Salazar)

Detroit is 14-1 the last 15. Going against the home team stranding 6.9 or fewer runners per game versus an opponent averaging .35 or fewer stolen bases a game is 769-710, +100.3 units.

Detroit has won four straight with Fister. Last three starts his ERA and WHIP are 0.82 and 0.818.  His ERA is 1.29 last four. Tigers are 23-7 in their last 30 overall.

Detroit has won seven of eight at Progressive Field. They are 10-0 overall in the series.  Cleveland has a slugging percentage last five games of .235 to .373 for Detroit. In their last 10 games it is .348 to .446 for Detroit.  In 13 starts to Cleveland, Fister has an ERA of 2.71 and a WHIP of 0.938.

Major

CUBS (WOOD +163) Philadelphia (Hamels)

This is a competitor consensus. If we have a lean one way and one of the few sports services or sources we respect has a big pick on a certain side, we pass along as a competitor consensus.

LA DODGERS (NOLASCO +133) St. Louis (Miller)

LA is 8-0 off a loss. They are 21-5 on the road last 26, 14-2 as underdog. Cardinals have lost five straight as a favorite. Last five games LA has a slugging percentage of .542 to just .292 to the Cards.  Rickly Nolasco has been better on the road ERA and WHIP of 3.18 and 1.147.

WHITE SOX (SANTIAGO -108) NY Yankees (Sabathia)

This is a sharp versus square, which is when our Vegas, offshore, and outlaw contacts tell us the majority of sharp money is betting one team, the square money the other. We go with the smart money as contrarian betting is used by many professional gamblers.

TEXAS (OGANDO -106) LA Anaheim (Hanson)

Texas is 8-1 the last nine. LA is 7-15 the last 22. Ogando his last five starts ERA and WHIP of 3.55 and 1.34. LA 0-8 to teams with a winning record. Texas has won six straight.

Linesmaker NFL Betting Info Week 1

NFL preseason week 1 injuries and betting news and notes compiled in great part thanks to linked stories including NFL injuries on SportsBookIntel.com

Thursday, August 8

Ravens-Buccaneers

Baltimore Ravens tight end Ed Dickson will be out for approximately two weeks due to a slight hamstring tear. Dickson, who suffered the injury during Sunday’s practice, is the team’s No. 1 tight end after Dennis Pitta was lost for the season with a hip injury sustained during training camp. The 25-year-old Dickson caught 21 passes for 225 yards for Baltimore a year ago.

Source: Sports Network

Bengals-Falcons

Wide receiver A.J. Green will not make the trip for the Cincinnati Bengals’ preseason opener in Atlanta. He caught 97 passes last year with 11 TDs.

Friday, August 9

Cardinals-Packers

The Green Bay Packers may be forced to shuffle their renovated offensive line after starting left tackle Bryan Bulaga reportedly suffered a season-ending knee injury.

Source: Associated Press

Green Bay added depth at RB. Enter second-round draft pick Eddie Lacy of Alabama and fourth-round pick Johnathan Franklin of UCLA. They have shared reps with two returners from last season, Alex Green and James Starks. Two of their top three cornerbacks (Tramon Williams and Casey Hayward) remain sidelined.

Source: ESPN

The Arizona Cardinals again were without their top two running backs as training camp resumed Monday following a day off for all the players.Rashard Mendenhall missed his third straight practice with patella tendinitis and Ryan Williams remained sidelined with a sore knee. Three other starters – guard Daryn Colledge (nerve irritation), inside linebacker Karlos Dansby (hamstring) and nose tackle Dan Williams (sprained ankle, knee) also missed another practice.  Those who sat out Monday’s practice could miss Friday’s opener as well.

“A bunch of those guys will be iffy for the ball game but they are getting better,” Arians said. “We’ll err on the side of caution.”

Asked how much the starters would play against the Packers, Arians said, “We’re shooting for 15 plays.” “We’ll see how it goes, how far one side of the ball or the other gets stuck going into the second quarter,” he said. “We’ll just see how it plays out, how we’re playing. There are so many young guys that need to be evaluated.”

Source: AP

Chiefs-Saints

Starter Marques Colston has yet to practice this camp. Joe Morgan, who appeared to have the lead for the No. 3 receiver spot, went down with an unspecified injury in a scrimmage Saturday.

Source: ESPN

Jets-Detroit

WR Santonio Holmes it out. They are very thin at RB as well.

Source: sports betting Twitter feed

Rams-Browns

RB Trent Richardson is questionable for the Rams.

Source: Many, will update as info comes in

Cowboys-Raiders

Tony Romo expects to make his preseason debut Friday against Oakland.

Source: ESPN Dallas

Broncos-49ers

Joel Dreessen, who led all of the Broncos’ tight ends last season with 863 snaps, or 75.5 percent of the offensive plays, likely will miss the entire preseason.

Source: ESPN

San Francisco 49ers linebacker Patrick Willis is out. The 28-year-old Willis, a six-time Pro Bowl choice and six-time Associated Press All-Pro selection in his six NFL seasons.

Source: ESPN

Sunday, August 11

Bills-Colts

The Indianapolis Colts are in the midst of a retooling project on the defensive side of the football. Thanks to a flurry of offseason free-agent signings, as well as one or two additions through the draft, the Colts could have at least six new starters when the regular season opens.

Source: Sports Xchange

WR Darius Hayward-Bay is out for Colts. He had 41 receptions for 606 yards.

Source: Rotoworld

Buccaneers-Jets

The competition between the two for the starting quarterback job remains tight, and coach Rex Ryan is not sure who will start the preseason opener at Detroit on Friday night. But Ryan added that both Mark Sanchez and Geno Smith will work with the first-team offense during the game.

Source: AP

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Joe Duffy Picks are now 48-30 underdog moneyline winners outnumbering the moneyline chalk losers 26-6. It was led by ESPN NL Game of the Year on underdog Atlanta and yet another Hall-of-Fame game winner on Dallas as part of a 4-0 sweep.  So sign up for the monthly pick pass now!

Here is the intel you get every day:

DALLAS +2.5 Miami

If this line goes to 3.5, I will upgrade to a Wise Guy. The oddsmakers knew Dallas would likely play Tony Romo and the starters minimally anyway, so the sharp money on Miami was withknowledge that they may be able to sneak in a solid middle.

Dallas has a large contingent of young players and rookies battling for playing time. So they will have some players with a regular season intensity. Having proven veterans play a couple series in the Hall-of-Game game is something I would fade, not bet on.

Miami has looked sloppy so far, no surprise with key players being offseason additions. Today is not the day they need to prove anything and they know it. We will ride the hungry young Pokes and fade the false line move.

MLB

Wise Guy

ATLANTA (WOOD +120) Philadelphia (Lee)

ESPN NL Game of the Year

Atlanta had won nine straight while Philadelphia has lost 12-of-13. Philadelphia has lost 4-of-5 with Cliff Lee. Last five games Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .569 to .380. Sit down for this one. In their last 10 games it is .497 to .299.

Philadelphia 0-7 to teams with a winning record, 2-8 with Lee as favorite of 150 or less.

Major

MILWAUKEE (LOHSE -118) Washington (Jordan)

This is a competitor consensus. If we have a lean one way and one of the few sports services or sources we respect has a big pick on a certain side, we pass along as a competitor consensus.

LA DODGERS (FIFE -122) Cubs (Villanueva)

Dodgers are 18-4 in their last 22 road games. They are 18-3 an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse. Cubs are 31-64 as a team to teams with a winning record.

The Cubs have lost 6-of-7 overall. Stephen Fife has ERA and WHIP of 2.17 and 1.14 last five starts. With Carlos Villanueva, Chicago has lost four straight starts. Last three starts his ERA and WHIP are 8.22 and 1.957. They are 1-8 in his last nine. In their last 10 games LA has a slugging percentage of .425 to .354 to Chicago.

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