This is the quality clients of Joe Duffy’s Picks get every day at OffshoreInsiders.com. Many have gotten these great picks for decades going back to our start on the scorephones more than 26 years ago. As Joe Duffy explains in the video, there are reasons the gap has widened between the sharps and the oddsmakers to levels not seen since last century.
Joe Duffy’s Picks is now 37-23 overall with 23 underdog winners. Yes as many underdog winners as losers of any kind the last 60 bets.
TAMPA (ODORIZZI -110) NY Yankees (Vuno)
Tampa is 6-1 the last seven (+5.4 units). New York is 2-8 the last 10. In their last five games Tampa has a slugging percentage edge of .513 to .365. Last 10 it is .445 to .369. The OBP edge is a considerable .060.
NY is 1-6 with Nuno at home. Tampa is 7-1 at Yankee Stadium. In his last four starts, Jake Odorizzi has a 1.44 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. Nuno has a horrid 7.20 in his last three trips to the bump.
SEATTLE (YOUNG -112) Houston (Peacock)
When a team has their odds at +/- 125 and an AL squad averaging 4.7 or fewer runs per game after allowing eight or more runs they are a go-against at 740-564 (+119.4 units).
Seattle has a sweet .285 batting average their last seven games. Last five games Seattle has a slugging percentage of .469 to .391 for Houston, but an even more mind-blowing .486 to .337 last 10.
Seattle is 9-2 overall and 20-8 the last 28 road contests. Astros are 110-224 in their last 334 overall. Seattle is 4-0 in Houston.
OAKLAND (CHAVEZ -105) Detroit (Verlander)
The top fade in all of MLB the last two years combined has been Justin Verlander. Detroit with him is 10-22 (-27 units) the last two years to AL team with a batting average of .260 or less. He is a laughable -20.8 units at home the last two seasons. Oakland is 21-3 in triple revenge the last two seasons for +21 units.
CLEVELAND (BAUER +138) LA Dodgers (Ryu)
Go against a starting pitcher who allows .5 or fewer homeruns per start after a game in which the bullpen gave up four or more runs us 948-851 +109.7 units. LA is 3-8 with Ryu when he is off four days rest. Road team is 10-5 when Ryu starts. Look at these splits. His road ERA is 1.62, but he is pitching at home where it is 5.03. While his road OBP against is .256, he is home where it is a sky high .333.
CUBS (WOOD +148) Boston (Workman)
It is an outsourced pick, previous called a competitor consensus, but renamed to more accurately reflect the parameters. If we have a lean one way and one of the few sports services or sources we respect has a big pick on a certain side or if we are neutral on a pick, but at least two elite sources or contacts have a bet sans any conflicting bets from said sources, it is a bet for us as an outsourced pick.