NBA Free Play

The Grandmaster, Joe Duffy has Five NBA winners led by two Wise Guys for night winners. Get the picks now 

ATLANA -3 Orlando 

Road favorites off of a win that broke a losing streak are 449-317-15. So Hawks have combo of some momentum, but still enough anger. Second game since firing Lloyd Pierce and from a handicapping standpoint, an underachieving team, firing a coach in the middle of the year almost always works short-term. 

Bogdan Bogdanovic back for Hawks after missing a bunch of games with knee injury. Still though without Cam Reddish and De’Andre Hunter. Clint Capela GTD. Orlando’s Evan Fournier is questionable.  Fournier is averaging 20.0 points, 4.3 rebounds, 4.0 assists and 1.1 steals in 30.6 minutes over the past seven contests. 

We exploit various simulators. Accuscore has Atlanta cashing the ticket 60.7 percent. Sportsline has Atlanta covering 59 percent. TeamRankings says line is perfect but NumberFire gives edge to Magic. 

Free Sports Pick, Top College Basket Teams to Bet on Over-Under

Free NBA winner from Joe Duffy:

NEW YORK +2.5 San Antonio

Though we lost two very close bets (most of you won with Charlotte OVER as we released with just one book up), we also great a break when Spurs went into OT and put the game over the total. It also opens up a nice situation. Fading unrested teams off an OT game is 242-172-7. When we are betting the road team and said team is not playing back-to-back games it covers at 69 percent. Accuscore has New York covering 57.8 percent of simulations. Sportsline gives us a mild edge at 52 percent. NumberFire has our chances at 54.1. EdgePlus has a medium bet on New York. TeamRankings says the number is about right, but bottom line is no simulators tell us to go with Spurs. 

Top over-under teams in college basketball based on margin of over/under at least 15 lines games. Top OVER teams:

Team       OU Record (overs-under)                                         OU margin
St. Francis (NY)12-7+9.4
Robert Morris 11-6+9.4
Oakland 21-6+9.4
Southern Utah 11-4+9.3
Florida State 11-5-2+8.1
Wyoming 13-7-1+8.1
From OffshoreInsiders.com

 Top UNDER teams:

Team       OU Record (overs-under)                                         OU margin
Portland State4-11-10
Idaho State 4-12-8.9
Florida A&M6-11-7.2
St. Bonaventure4-13-6.9
St. Pete’s7-14-6.8
DePaul 3-13-6.7
From OffshoreInsiders.com

 We release plays before lines are widely available so you can shop around for the best lines. Often that costs us when we count records based on the line quoted, often available at very few books at the time. Most of you had Charlotte OVER as a winner, but we count it as a loser in our 94-69 run.

Wise Guy, the NBA Total of the Month among two winners in NBA. Get the picks now Check OffshoreInsiders.com for possible college releases! 

Free Pick NBA Monday; Top NBA Teams to Bet On and Bet Against

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has six NBA winners led by two Wise Guys fresh off a winning day in the NBA again! I am 89-67 in basketball and I have hit 4-of-5 Wise Guy plays. I added a college basketball side for night winning! Get the picks now 

Free winner:

HOUSTON -2.5 Cleveland

Cleveland has won three straight all as underdogs. Houston lost 11 in a row! Go against teams on a straight up winning streak against teams on a straight up losing streak under certain circumstances is 515-371-13. When teams are in reverse streaks adding to 10 or greater, the ice-cold home favorite of two or more is 51-28-3. NumberFire has Houston covering 62.4 percent, TeamRankings with a slight edge at 52.1. 

Best college basketball teams to bet on or against, with at least 15 lined games. 

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
Morehead State17-8+6.6
UC Riverside 10-7-1+6.1
Toledo19-6+5.7
VMI13-6-1+5.6
Wright State12-11+5.2
Weber State14-4+5.2

Best teams to bet against based on said criterion.

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
No. Illinois 3-13-1-8.6
Florida International 5-15-1-6.5
Miss Valley State 7-14-5.7
New Mexico6-12-5.5
Boston U7-9-5.4

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

NCAA Tournament Odds 2021; Who Will Make Final 4? Zags Undefeated?

The odds suggest Gonzaga won’t become the eighth NCAA basketball champion to complete a perfect season, but the Zags’ chances aren’t too long. 

SportsBetting released a host of NCAA Tournament-related prop bets Monday, and Gonzaga completing an undefeated season is one of them (odds imply a 28.6% chance Zags will go undefeated). 

There are also odds on whether or not blue-chip bubble teams like Duke, UConn, Indiana and Michigan State will qualify for the tournament. 

Finally, eight teams (Baylor, Michigan, Illinois, Ohio State, Alabama, West Virginia, Villanova, Iowa) have odds of being selected as No. 1 seeds. 

Odds are provided by SportsBetting 

Will Gonzaga finish the 2021 season undefeated?
Yes +250
No -400

Will UConn be selected for the NCAA Tournament?
Yes -770
No +400

Will Indiana be selected for the NCAA Tournament?
Yes -120
No -120

Will Michigan State be selected for the NCAA Tournament?
Yes -120
No -120

Will Duke be selected for the NCAA Tournament?
Yes +300
No -525

Will Baylor be No. 1 seed in NCAA Tournament?
Yes -1500
No +700

Will Michigan be No. 1 seed in NCAA Tournament?
Yes -1500
No +700

Will Illinois be No. 1 seed in NCAA Tournament?
Yes -300
No +200

Will Ohio State be No. 1 seed in NCAA Tournament?
Yes -250
No +175

Will Villanova be No. 1 seed in NCAA Tournament?
Yes +250
No -400

Will Alabama be No. 1 seed in NCAA Tournament?
Yes +400
No -770

Will West Virginia be No. 1 seed in NCAA Tournament?
Yes +500
No -1100

Will Iowa be No. 1 seed in NCAA Tournament?
Yes +500
No -1100

Will Gonzaga reach the Final Four?
Yes -300
No +200

Will Baylor reach the Final Four?
Yes -250
No +175

Will Michigan reach the Final Four?
Yes -250
No +175

Will Illinois reach the Final Four?
Yes +300
No -525

Will Ohio State reach the Final Four?
Yes +400
No -770

Will Alabama reach the Final Four?
Yes +400
No -770

Best sports betting picks are found at OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picks and information.

Get gift cards with Bitcoin. Amazon, Target, Walmart; most of your favorite retailers and online destinations are likely available.

Please like, subscribe, and comment on the official dad jokes YouTube channel

Great scented wax, scents for you home, car, office, and warmers at DuffyScents.com. These great smelling scents are ideal for pet owners. You can order from anywhere in the world, but for local parties in Johns Creek, Alpharetta, Roswell, she is the Scentsy consultant! The best Scentsy Facebook group and find out about online Facebook Scentsy parties. 

Do you ever eat at restaurants in Atlanta? Check out the top restaurant review podcast in America. 

Please like, subscribe, and comment on the official dad jokes YouTube channel.

DuffyGifts.com allows you to order online from anywhere, but also home to ThirtyOne consultant Stephanie Duffy serving Alpharetta, Roswell, Johns Creek the place to go for gifts for all occasions from MyThirtyOne Gifts.

Top Over and Under Teams in NBA Totals Betting

Top NBA OU teams in terms of OU. Top over teams Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often-deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

Top OVER 

Team       OU Record                                           OU margin
New Orleans24-9+6.2
Sacramento22-11+4.5
Brooklyn23-12+4.1
Denver 22-11+3.3
Indiana 18-13-1+3
From OffshoreInsiders.com

Top UNDER teams

Team       OU Record (overs-under)                                         OU margin
New York11-22-5
LA Lakers 12-22-4.7
San Antonio 12-17-3.9
Houston 12-18-3
From OffshoreInsiders.com

 Top expert picks on today’s portfolio is from Joe Duffy. Just rolling along and now over 60 percent in college basketball with a sweep there, 86-64 all hoops. College basketball side in which our top model has our side covering a stunning 74 percent. Five NBA led by a Wise Guy. This includes a side in which we take the knowledge of the oddsmakers and weaponize it against them. I reveal in the analysis how. And I am specific. Get the picks now 

Free Pick in College Basketball

Free winning pick is:

UTAH VALLEY -3 UT Rio Grande Valley

Sean Rhea, UTRGV’s best player, is leaving the program. He averaged 15.2 points per game, 6.2 rebounds, and a block a game. They are already without Chris Freeman, who averages 7.3 points per game, 4.3 boards, and 1.7 assists. Also, coach Lew Hill tragically died last month. Yes, I’ve said teams rally around adversity, but this is a lot for young kids to overcome. 

They played only 13 games because of stoppages and now down two key players go to high altitude of Utah Valley. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate 67 percent. Accuscore has them covering 58.2 percent. 

Top expert pick from Joe Duffy: Latest is three straight Wise Guy winners part of 77-55 basketball explosion.Wise Guy among eight NBA winners. Get the picks now

New England Patriots Next QB odds Revealed; Jimmy Garropolo, Drew Lock Prop Bets too

The football world is wondering who Bill Belichick and Josh McDaniels will be coaching up this offseason. 

SportsBetting has set odds on the chances of 26 quarterbacks who could take the first snap in New England next season via free agency, draft, trade or promotion.

Marcus Mariota is at the top of the board with 5/2, or +250, odds. Former Patriot Jacoby Brissett is second on the list at 7/2.

A rookie quarterback carries 5/1 odds, while potential trades for Deshaun Watson or Jimmy Garoppolo come in at 10/1 and 15/1, respectively.

Current odds for Patriots QB, Deshaun Watson next team, Russell Wilson next team, Drew Lock and Garoppolo can be viewed here: 

Player to take Patriots first snap in Week 1 of 2021 reg. season
Marcus Mariota 5/2
Jacoby Brissett 7/2
Jarrett Stidham 4/1
Cam Newton 5/1
Rookie Quarterback 5/1
Blaine Gabbert 7/1
Andy Dalton 8/1
Deshaun Watson 10/1
Brian Hoyer 12/1
Joe Flacco 15/1
Mike Glennon 15/1
Jimmy Garoppolo 15/1
Blake Bortles 20/1
Colt McCoy 20/1
Tyrod Taylor 20/1
Ryan Fitzpatrick 20/1
Sam Darnold 25/1
Geno Smith 25/1
Robert Griffin III 25/1
Matt Barkley 30/1
Mitchell Trubisky 40/1
Jake Dolegala 40/1
Dak Prescott 50/1
Jameis Winston 50/1
Ben Roethlisberger 60/1
Matt Ryan 70/1

Drew Lock takes Broncos first snap in Week 1 of 2021 reg. season
Yes -150
No +120

Jimmy Garropolo takes 49ers first snap in Week 1 of 2021 reg. season
Yes -500
No +350

Best sports betting picks are found at OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picks and information.

Please like, subscribe, and comment on the official dad jokes YouTube channel.

DuffyGifts.com allows you to order online from anywhere, but also home to ThirtyOne consultant Stephanie Duffy serving Alpharetta, Roswell, Johns Creek the place to go for gifts for all occasions from MyThirtyOne Gifts.

Great scented wax, scents for you home, car, office, and warmers at DuffyScents.com. These great smelling scents are ideal for pet owners. You can order from anywhere in the world, but for local parties in Johns Creek, Alpharetta, Roswell, she is the Scentsy consultant! The best Scentsy Facebook group and find out about online Facebook Scentsy parties. 

Do you ever eat at restaurants in Atlanta? Check out the top restaurant review podcast in America. 

Get gift cards with Bitcoin. Amazon, Target, Walmart; most of your favorite retailers and online destinations are likely available.

Best NBA Handicapper With Free Daily Pick

Steady as she goes. JDP off 6-2 night, now 72-48 in hoops. You locked into a long-term pick pack yet? Five NBA winners led by two Wise Guys! This includes a shocking system 1185-847-55 including 297-137-11 since 2017 led by 24-3-4 this season! Get the picks now 

Free pick

BOSTON -2 Atlanta 

Play undervalued road teams to overvalued home team when using advanced analytics numbers and comparing to SU record and spread is 365-196-11 for 65.1 percent. 

Away favorites off loss under specific situations that apply in this game 846-673-24. If road team wasn’t sizzling hot before the loss, it is even better 56 percent. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate of 68 percent. Our second best simulator has Boston covering 61.5 and this is very high for said program. 

Barstool’s @stoolpresidente Fights to Spread Gambling Myth

Two gambling heavyweights, Barstool Sports and Las Vegas Westgate Casino are having a set-to regarding proprietorship over the cliché, “Good teams win, bad teams cover.” Barstool President Dave Portney business acumen is indisputable. Consequently, is he spewing this hackneyed canard because he believes it or is he cunning like a fox? Like Westgate, Portnoy owns his own sportsbook, Barstool. Hence, there is plenty of incentive for perpetuating this farcical hoax. 

The fact-based truth is that great teams are overvalued. In the NBA teams with winning percentage of .880 or above are 600-652-26 ATS. However, when playing a horrific team, it’s even worse. If their opponent has a winning percentage of less than .410, the great team covers at an abysmal .373 at 85-143-3. When the records are not deceptive and the “great” team is the favorite by at least 1.5, the elite squad covers at a .368 clip. 

Do great teams cover in NFL? If a team has a winning percentage of .900 or above and at least 11 wins, one could proclaim they’ve gained admission to the great clique. Yet said teams are 25-59-1 for .298 winning percentage all-time. 

None of this is a revelation to pro gamblers. The gambling society yearns to wager on superior and hotter teams, hence betting on premium lineups comes with a premium price. Pay the piper for that façade of security of betting on great squads to cover. 

I’m no atty and I’m preoccupied winning bets to play one on the computer. However, I handicap Portnoy’s claim, “By the way there is literally no chance they invented that (phrase),” to be irrelevant in a court of law.  Barstool’s head honcho compared it to “Saying you invented the question mark.” Or the term “barstool” perhaps.

My reasons for making Barstool the substantial underdog are anecdotal, but personal and related to the gambling sector. 

Our free scorephones were called “Sportsline.” Many years later, Sportsline was trademarked by the founders of website now owned by CBS. After getting a cease-and-desist letter demanding we stop using the name, our corporate attorney advised us to not fight it.  Apparently, “Literally no chance they invented that” holds up in court as well as “Great teams cover” holds up at sportsbooks.

Anyone who believes the urban legend about a correlation between great groups of players and covering may not have invented the question mark. They just epitomize it. 

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has been making scientifically-based winning picks since 1988 on the scorephones. He is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com  

Oddsmakers Projected Win Totals for Every MLB Team

pring training is underway, and oddsmakers are pushing out their projections for the 2021 MLB season.

At SportsBetting, the Dodgers were tagged with an over/under victory total of 103.5, which is highest total in the last 22 years. 

The Yankees had a win total of 104.5 ahead of the 1999 season. New York was the World Series champ that year, but their total went under after compiling a 98-64 record. 

Below, you will find every team’s win total for this year, as well as the 2020 season (which was obviously shortened) for comparison. 

The Red Sox’s total has dropped by nine victories (88.5 to 79.5), but the largest drop comes from the Pirates after having a total of 71.5 last year and 58.5 this year. 

The Rangers (79.5 to 67.5) and Rockies (74.5 to 63.5) are also notable fallers.

The biggest improvement comes from the Padres. San Diego had a win total of 83.5 last season, but is listed at 95.5 for 2021.

The Blue Jays (75.5 to 87.5) also saw a large jump, while the Tigers and Orioles are both in the 60-win tier after being in the 50-win tier last year.

MLB odds are provided by SportsBetting

2021 Regular Season Win Totals

Arizona Diamondbacks

Over/Under 75.5

Atlanta Braves

Over/Under 92.5

Baltimore Orioles

Over/Under 63.5

Boston Red Sox

Over/Under 79.5

Chicago Cubs

Over/Under 80.5

Chicago White Sox

Over/Under 90.5

Cincinnati Reds

Over/Under 83.5

Cleveland Indians

Over/Under 80.5

Colorado Rockies

Over/Under 63.5

Detroit Tigers

Over/Under 65.5

Houston Astros

Over/Under 87.5

Kansas City Royals

Over/Under 71.5

Los Angeles Angels

Over/Under 82.5

Los Angeles Dodgers

Over/Under 103.5

Miami Marlins

Over/Under 72.5

Milwaukee Brewers

Over/Under 82.5

Minnesota Twins

Over/Under 88.5

New York Mets

Over/Under 89.5

New York Yankees

Over/Under 95.5

Oakland Athletics

Over/Under 86.5

Philadelphia Phillies

Over/Under 81.5

Pittsburgh Pirates

Over/Under 58.5

San Diego Padres

Over/Under 95.5

San Francisco Giants

Over/Under 75.5

Seattle Mariners

Over/Under 71.5

St. Louis Cardinals

Over/Under 87.5

Tampa Bay Rays

Over/Under 86.5

Texas Rangers

Over/Under 67.5

Toronto Blue Jays

Over/Under 87.5

Washington Nationals

Over/Under 84.5

——————————————————————–

2020 Regular Season Win Totals

Arizona Diamondbacks

Over/Under 83.5

Atlanta Braves

Over/Under 91.5

Baltimore Orioles

Over/Under 55.5

Boston Red Sox

Over/Under 88.5

Chicago Cubs

Over/Under 86.5

Chicago White Sox

Over/Under 84.5

Cincinnati Reds

Over/Under 83.5

Cleveland Indians

Over/Under 87.5

Colorado Rockies

Over/Under 74.5

Detroit Tigers

Over/Under 56.5

Houston Astros

Over/Under 95.5

Kansas City Royals

Over/Under 65.5

Los Angeles Angels

Over/Under 85.5

Los Angeles Dodgers

Over/Under 98.5

Miami Marlins

Over/Under 64.5

Milwaukee Brewers

Over/Under 83.5

Minnesota Twins

Over/Under 92.5

New York Yankees

Over/Under 101.5

New York Mets

Over/Under 86.5

Oakland Athletics

Over/Under 89.5

Philadelphia Phillies

Over/Under 85.5

Pittsburgh Pirates

Over/Under 71.5

San Diego Padres

Over/Under 83.5

San Francisco Giants

Over/Under 69.5

Seattle Mariners

Over/Under 67.5

St. Louis Cardinals

Over/Under 88.5

Tampa Bay Rays

Over/Under 90.5

Texas Rangers

Over/Under 79.5

Toronto Blue Jays

Over/Under 75.5

Washington Nationals

Over/Under 90.5

Best sports betting picks are found at OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picks and information.

Get gift cards with Bitcoin. Amazon, Target, Walmart; most of your favorite retailers and online destinations are likely available.

Please like, subscribe, and comment on the official dad jokes YouTube channel.

Great scented wax, scents for you home, car, office, and warmers at DuffyScents.com. These great smelling scents are ideal for pet owners. You can order from anywhere in the world, but for local parties in Johns Creek, Alpharetta, Roswell, she is the Scentsy consultant! The best Scentsy Facebook group and find out about online Facebook Scentsy parties. 

Do you ever eat at restaurants in Atlanta? Check out the top restaurant review podcast in America. 

Please like, subscribe, and comment on the official dad jokes YouTube channel.

DuffyGifts.com allows you to order online from anywhere, but also home to ThirtyOne consultant Stephanie Duffy serving Alpharetta, Roswell, Johns Creek the place to go for gifts for all occasions from MyThirtyOne Gifts.

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