Oddsmakers: Goodbye Ben Simmons, Likely Next Team Revealed, Updated NBA Championship Odds Unleashed

The numbers project that Ben Simmons won’t be a member of the Philadelphia 76ers next season. 

Following the 76ers disappointing exit in the NBA Playoffs, SportsBetting  has set odds on whether or not Simmons will be back with the team. The outlook…not good.

Will Ben Simmons be on 76ers roster to start next season?

Yes +200

No -300

(Odds imply a 75.0% probability Simmons won’t be on roster)

On that note, the sportsbook created odds on what team Simmons might be on if he is traded. 

There are also odds for Joel Embiid’s next squad, if traded. 

Current odds:

Ben Simmons next team

Portland Trail Blazers              +200

Washington Wizards              +300

San Antonio Spurs                  +400

Utah Jazz                     +500

Oklahoma City Thunder                      +550

Golden State Warriors                        +600

Los Angeles Lakers                  +650

Cleveland Cavaliers                 +700

Houston Rockets                     +1000

Joel Embiid next team 

Portland Trail Blazers              +200

Houston Rockets                     +250

Golden State Warriors                        +300

Los Angeles Lakers                  +400

Minnesota Timberwolves                   +500

Indiana Pacers            +600

New Orleans Pelicans             +700

The NBA Draft lottery takes place Thursday, and while the math is already calculated into each team’s chances, below is the breakdown for the Top 3 picks. 

Also, Cade Cunningham remains a heavy, odds-on favorite to be the first player selected during the July draft.

Current odds: 

No. 1 Overall Pick       

Cade Cunningham                  -2000

Evan Mobley               +900

Jalen Suggs                  +1200

Jalen Green                 +1400

Jonathan Kuminga                  +1600

Which team will pick No. 1 overall?

Detroit Pistons                        +550

Houston Rockets                     +550

Orlando Magic            +550

Cleveland Cavaliers                 +700

Oklahoma City Thunder                      +700

Minnesota Timberwolves                   +875

Toronto Raptors                     +1050

Chicago Bulls               +1800

New Orleans Pelicans             +1800

Sacramento Kings                   +1800

Charlotte Hornets                   +4500

San Antonio Spurs                  +5000

Indiana Pacers            +6600

Golden State Warriors                        +15000

Which team will pick No. 2 overall?

Detroit Pistons                        +575

Houston Rockets                     +575

Orlando Magic            +575

Cleveland Cavaliers                 +725

Oklahoma City Thunder                      +725

Minnesota Timberwolves                   +850

Toronto Raptors                     +1000

Chicago Bulls               +1700

New Orleans Pelicans             +1700

Sacramento Kings                   +1700

Charlotte Hornets                   +4000

San Antonio Spurs                  +4500

Indiana Pacers            +6000

Golden State Warriors                        +12500

Which team will pick No. 3 overall?

Detroit Pistons                        +625

Houston Rockets                     +625

Orlando Magic            +625

Cleveland Cavaliers                 +750

Oklahoma City Thunder                      +750

Minnesota Timberwolves                   +800

Toronto Raptors                     +950

Chicago Bulls               +1500

New Orleans Pelicans             +1500

Sacramento Kings                   +1500

Charlotte Hornets                   +3800

San Antonio Spurs                  +4000

Indiana Pacers            +5000

Golden State Warriors                        +12500

With just four teams remaining in the NBA Playoffs, below are the latest championship and conference odds.

You can find current odds at SportsBetting

NBA Championship

Bucks +115

Suns +130

Clippers +850

Hawks +1100

Eastern Conference

Hawks +360

Bucks -450

Western Conference

Clippers +345

Suns -425

Finally, with the Bucks favored to take home their first title, Giannis Antetokounmpo is the favorite to earn his first Finals MVP.

NBA Finals Most Valuable Player

Giannis Antetokounmpo                    +125

Devin Booker              +250

Chris Paul                    +450

Paul George                +1000

Kris Middleton            +1200

Trae Young                  +1200

Jrue Holiday                +2000

Kawhi Leonard                        +2000

Deandre Ayton                       +2500

Bogdan Bogdanovic                +6600

Baseball Free Betting Pick

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MLB

ARIZONA (KELLY +160) San Francisco (Kelly)

Arizona is a much smaller underdog than they generally have been on the road. When oddsmakers telling you it’s the most winnable game recently it is +366 units, including 39-17 for +22.70 units and 31.8 ROI if winning percentage is .300 or less. Another comparing recent to current odds is +933.35.

Anti-splits angle is +158.14 units and 16 ROI. What do I mean by “anti-splits”? Arizona 9-29 road for .236. Giants 20-9 home .687. Seems like Giants no-brainer, but each team likely to regress to mean. Accuscore has Arizona winning 47.2 percent of the time, making +160 very good value. 

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NHL Playoffs, NBA Playoffs, MLB Free Betting Picks, Critical Inside Gambling info

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Sports service out of Detroit is neck-and-neck for #1 all-time. With 17 seasons under their belt, they have won at least 13 units in 15 of them based on one-unit per bet. Their Mandated Bets in MLB are the envy of the industry and bane of bookies. 23-9 lately with Detroit +134, Colorado +142 yesterday among them. Four sides today. Get a free sports service bet, which also has the full menu, then Get the picks now    

NHL

NY Islanders-Tampa (-188, 5.5)

  • Betting on playoff favorites to hot teams is 35-13 +16.67 units and 23.9 ROI, favorites Tampa
  • NYI goalie Semyon Var-lam-ov is 4-0 with a 2.00 goals-against average and .938 save percentage
  • First time Tampa trailed a series in playoffs
  • Islanders under 40-19-2 road
  • Islanders 32-24 underdogs +14.38 units

Don’t like lack of value, but Tampa history of winning

NBA 

Milwaukee (-4,219.5)-Brooklyn

  • Opened -2, 220
  • Kyrie Irvin out and James Harden upgraded to questionable for Nets 
    • Steve Nash admits Harden wants to play and is working out
  •  Spencer Dinwiddie also been out for Nets since Dec 27
    • Averaged about 20 minutes before going down
  • Nets played a lot without Kevin Durant and James Harden in second half of season
  • In the history of my database, tomorrow’s Bucks-Nets will be only the second time a team has gone from a same series home dog to an away favorite in consecutive games. Clippers-Blazers 4-27-16 the other
  • 76 percent of tickets, 88 percent of cash on Bucks
  • Tickets split on total, 80% of money on OVER, imply OVER sharp money
  • Nets 17-2 ATS Tuesdays
  • Bucks 4-10 overall, 7-16 versus opponent with winning percentage above .600 
  • Nets 10-1 off game in which they allowed 100 or more points, but 3-7 underdogs 
  • Milwaukee 30-14-1 to the number in the series 
  • Series under six straight
  • Milwaukee under 25-10 versus opponent with winning percentage above .600 

MLB

Yankees-Blue Jays

  • In 57 PA, current Jays hitting .302 to Jordan Montgomery, while current Yanks just .218 in 115 PA to Hyun Jin Ryu (REE-you)
  • Montgomery 5.52 ERA on road, compared to 2.75 home; WHIP 1.36 to .245
  • Ryu better at home 2.77 ERA, 1.08 WHIP
  • Sportsline has Toronto winning 70% of 10K simulations, great value at -125
  • Yankees 33-32, but fourth best fade +11.55
  • Yankes 7-20 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game

PICK: TORONTO -122

Pirates-Nationals 

  • Pirates Tyler Anderson 4.52 ERA and went six innings for the first time in a month last time out
  • Nats Partrick Corbin has 6.21 ERA this season but 3.53 ERA over eight career starts against the Pirates
  • Current Nats are hitting just .152 to Anderson in 40 PAs
  • Current Pirates hitting .231 to Corbin, also in 40 PAs
  • ActionNetwork has 9.34 runs projected, over solid value 
  • ActionNetwork says Pirates should be getting +113, making Bucs nice value bet
  • Washington top under team in MLB at under 41-20-1

Orioles-Indians 

  • Matt Harvey for O’s 11.79 ERA in his last seven, six of them losses
  • Current Indians hitting a whopping .393 to him in 34 PA
  • Active Orioles batting .368 to Quantril in 20 PA
  • Baltimore 22-43, betting against them produces +12.46 units, 3rd best fade
  • Winds blowing in at 16 MPH

Cubs-Mets

  • Cubs Alec Mills 6.08 ERA, mostly in bullpen and just off DL thanks to back spasms, so look for innings to be limited
  • Mets Taijuan Walker 2.07 ERA, including 1.32 last six
  • Sportsline has Mets winning 71% of simulations and game going under 56%, making both strong value, Mets at -140
  • ActionNetwork 7.54 runs power ratings, making UNDER nice value
  • Cubs 38-28 +11.79 units
  • Oddsmakers tell you a team has their best chance to win a game in recent play, go with them go with them at 2023-1173 for +365.21 units and 7.2 ROI, average margin 4.88-3.71
  • Line is dropping but still were dogs twice in last three and -130

FREE PICK: Mets -133

Red Sox-Braves

  • Sox Eduardo Rodriquez 6.03 ERA including 0-4, 8.49 ERA in the past six
    • But active Braves .171 in 43 cumulative PAs
  • Tucker Davidson 1.53 ERA and 14 KS in 17 2/3 IP, allowing just 10 hits

Tigers-Royals 

  • Tigers Casey Mize 6 HRs last two starts
  • Royals current roster batting .184 in 56 PA

Rangers-Astros

  • Rangers ace Kyle Gibson 4-0, 2.13
    • 2 starts since return from DL combined 11 1/3 innings, allowing just two earned runs on nine hits with 10 strikeouts
    • Current Astros 170 PA to him and .242 BA
  • Astros Lance McCullers 2.96 ERA and 59 Ks but first start since May 22 coming off DL
    • Jake Odorizzi likely to come in as part of piggyback outing 
    • McCullers .190 BA against in 92 PA against Rangers roster 

Rays-White Sox

  • Shane McClananhan for Tampa allowed seven runs on 10 hits and five walks in 6 1/3 innings over his last two starts after posting a 3.29 ERA in his first six outings.
  • White Sox Dallas Keuchel 1-5 with a 4.78 ERA in eight career starts to Rays
  • Sportsline has White Sox winning 62%, good value at -111
  • Rays 43-24 +17.02 units, 2nd in MLB
  • Winds left to right at 13 mph 

Reds-Brewers

  • Reds Castillo 2-9 6.47 ERA
    • Active Brewers .165 in 107 PA
  • Brewers Brett Anderson 4.99 ERA
  • Reds #2 over team at 37-23-2

Marlins-Cardinals 

  • Marlins Trevor Rogers 7-3, 2.02 ERA, 89 Ks
  • Cards Kwang Hyun Kim first start since June 4 (DL), 1-4, 4.05
  • Total compared to previous totals using the oddsmakers knowledge against them goes under 3007-2343-272
    • Current total 7.5 off 8.5
  • When starter has a total less than recent starts, goes under 3191-2451-258
  • Kim’s last three 8.5, 9, 8.5
    • Also applies to JA Happ today
  • When both pitcher and team angles apply, it is 941-594-70 under +305.75 units
    • Since 2008 +365.30, though ROI drops a bit 

Padres-Rockies

  • Pads Yu Darvish 6-2, 2.28 only .98 WHIP last five
    • Active Rockies .198 in 87 PA
  • Chi Chi Gonzalez of Rockies in five games, including two starts at Coors Field, González is 2-0 with a 2.95 ERA, with four double-play grounders in 21 1/3 innings
    • Active Padres .173 in 58 PA

Angels-Athletics

  • Halos Andrew Heaney since going to fastball more often, gone 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA and 14 strikeouts in 13 innings in those two outings
    • Active A’s .202 in 119 PA
  • Angels 58 combined PA to Frankie Montas and .296 BA
  • Oakland 41-27 +11.45 units

Twins-Mariners

  • Twins J.A. Happ 5.75 ERA on year
  • ActionNetwork says Seattle should be slight -106 chalk so good value on M’s
  • Twins 26-40, second best fade at +19.65 units against 
  • Minnesota top over team, going over 42-23-1
  • Mariners just two games under .500, while Twins 14 games below, yet Twins away favorites 
  • When worse team is favorite they are a great runline bet laying -1.5 at +105 units and 8 ROI
    • Wins on moneyline too 
    • However, on the road, the moneyline has 10 ROI, to just 3.9 runline
  • Undeterred by ActionNetwork power ratings…

FREE PICK: MINNESOTA -1.5 +125

Phillies-Dodgers

  • Phils Zach Efflin 0-4 in his last five starts
  • Phillies in 32 PA to Julio Urias just .167 BA
  • ActionNetwork power ratings have 7.75 runs, making under good value

Arizona-San Francisco 

  • Giants at 41-25 best team to bet on this season +17.22 units
  • Arizona best fade at 20-47 and +21.92 betting against 
  • But regression to mean angles says to go with much less profitable team is +103.24 units, 10.7 ROI even though just 461-503 SU and getting outscored 4.53-4.36 but win ugly 
  • Arizona still does not have an official pitcher listed 
  • Arizona 9-28 road, Giants 19-9 home but anti-splits angle is +159.14 and 16.1 ROI
  • Winds blowing out 14 mph

NBA 

HAWKS-SIXERS (-6, 223.5)

  • Early money 64% of tickets and 63% money on Sixers

Clippers-Jazz (-2.5, 222)

  • 72% of money, 87% tickets on Jazz
  • Though teams off consecutive same series playoff losses of -14 or more are 154-169-3 for 47.7 percent, such teams are 70-64 as favorites (Jazz)
    • Favorites off consecutive same series double-digit losses decent 121-97-1, though four games under .500 regardless of spread 
  • Sportsline with 60% of simulations going under 

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Free MLB Pick

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Free pick from MLB:

New York Yankees-Minnesota UNDER 8.5 (Cole-Dobnak)

Yankees four straight games with a total of 9 or more. Minnesota eight straight with nine or more. Angle that says when the total is lower than the recent games of each team, listen to the oddsmakers and it goes under 3001-2337-273. 

We have a similar pitcher specific angle that applies to Dobnak. Almost all of his starts have been nine or higher including five straight and 8-of-9. When a total is lower than previous starts, it goes under 3179-2443-256. 

When both apply in the same game, it goes under 939-591-70 for 61.4 percent and a 17.7 ROI. The units won is 366.50 since 2008, though the ROI drops to 10.4. Gerritt Cole .235 OBP against, .225 road, .211 at night. 

NBA and MLB Betting Trends For Tuesday

Duffy is 17-9 NBA playoffs. Get both sides and both totals NBA playoffs. Yep, sometimes we’ve had no bets on four games, today we have four in two games. The metrics decide. Three MLB winners, two sides, and top total. Get the picks now 

MLB

Red Sox 25-14 underdogs +18.67 units

Diamondbacks 32-65 last 97 -29.39

Rays 83-44 last 127 for +29.84 units

Rockies 39-67 -22.23 units

Giants 66-51 last 117 +21.88 units

Angels over 43-18-2 at home

Twins over 31-10 to AL

NBA

Hawks over 53-32-1 underdogs +16.18 units

Sixers over 39-20-3 at home

Sixers 28-10 ATS home to Eastern Conference 

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Titantic Shift in Titans, Falcons Odds Following Julio Jones Trade

The Titans still aren’t among the top tier of Super Bowl favorites, but the acquisition of Julio Jones greatly improved their title chances, at least according to the oddsmakers.

SportsBetting dropped Tennessee from 40-1 to 25-1 after Jones was traded. Here are all the ways the trade impacted the Titans’ futures odds:

Super Bowl: 40-1 to 25-1

AFC: 20-1 to 12-1

AFC South: +150 to +110 (now co-favorites with Colts)

Victory total: 9 wins to 9.5 wins

Tannehill MVP: 40-1 to 25-1

On the flip side, the Falcons’ Super Bowl odds jumped from 50-1 to 66-1 while Matt Ryan’s MVP odds moved from 28-1 to 40-1.

You can track current Super Bowl, conference and division odds at SportsBetting

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Oddsmakers Reveal Likely Destinations for Damian Lillard, Bradley Beal, Porzingis, McCollum

As some of the NBA’s star players exit the playoffs, it’s time for the trade rumor mill to start churning. 

The marquee name that’s being bandied about the factory…Damian Lillard. Reports have suggested that a few teams will aggressively attempt to trade for the superstar this offseason.

SportsBetting put together a short list of destinations for Lillard, should he be traded before next season. The Knicks and Clippers have the lowest odds to land Lillard, but no team is higher than 5/1.

There are also next team odds for Bradley Beal, Kristaps Porzingis and CJ McCollum.

Opening odds below and current odds that will update in real-time are at SportsBetting

Damian Lillard next team if traded

New York Knicks                     +250

Los Angeles Clippers   +275

Miami Heat                 +300

Los Angeles Lakers      +350

Philadelphia 76ers      +400

Boston Celtics             +450

Bradley Beal next team if traded

Golden State Warriors            +275

New York Knicks                     +300

Boston Celtics             +325

Toronto Raptors                     +350

Miami Heat                 +400

Denver Nuggets                      +450

Dallas Mavericks                     +550

Kristaps Porzingis next team if traded

Boston Celtics             +200

Golden State Warriors            +225

Oklahoma City Thunder          +300

Orlando Magic            +400

Washington Wizards  +500

Chicago Bulls               +600

CJ McCollum next team if traded

New York Knicks                     +200

Los Angeles Clippers   +250

Indiana Pacers            +300

Cleveland Cavaliers     +400

San Antonio Spurs      +500

Toronto Raptors                     +600

Milwaukee Bucks                    +700

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Celtics Next Head Coach Favorites Revealed, Will it Be Krzyzewski?

Shockwaves swept through the basketball coaching world this morning as reports surfaced that Brad Stevens will move into a Celtics administrative role and that Duke head coach Mike Krzyzewski will retire after the upcoming season. 

Rumors are already flying around as to who will replace Stevens as Boston’s head coach. Below is a list of names and odds for potential candidates. 

Krzyzewski is a longshot on that list, but there aren’t odds for the next Blue Devils head coach have been pulled as former player and current assistant coach Jon Scheyer is expected to take over the program.

Current head coach odds: SportsBetting

Next Celtics head coach

Jay Larranaga  3/1

Jason Kidd       5/1

Chauncey Billups         6/1

Lloyd Pierce    6/1

Sam Cassell     7/1

Ime Udoka      10/1

Kenny Atkinson           10/1

Alvin Gentry    12/1

Jarron Collins  12/1

Nate McMillan            12/1

Becky Hammon           14/1

Jeff Van Gundy            14/1

Mike D’Antoni 14/1

David Vanterpool        16/1

Mike Krzyzewski         33/1

Larry Bird        50/1

Rick Pitino       100/1

OffshoreInsiders.com is the place to go for winning premium bets. 

NHL Playoff Winning Pick

Five night MLB winners! Closing line value yet again for JDP ahead of the line moves and going 2-1 NBA last night. Great, winning super system applies Wednesday in the NBA on a side. Get the picks now 

VEGAS +1.5 -158 Colorado 

Road teams against quality teams at home are great in the playoffs, especially if the team we are betting on is not red-hot at +101.19 units on moneyline and 16.6 ROI. Expect Vegas to bounceback after game 1 blowout as they were mentally and physically drained.  Marc-Andre Fleury also was rested and returns for this game. Our top simulator has us covering 65% of time. Massey has this as a half-goal spread. Action Network gives Colorado just .6 edge. It is also a strong contrarian bet. 

Lakers Drop in NBA Championship Odds, No Longer West Favorites

The Lakers have been top dogs in the Western Conference odds practically all season, but with Anthony Davis banged up and little help for LeBron James, L.A. has slid down the pecking order.

SportsBetting.ag updated its conference and championship futures odds on Tuesday morning, and while the Nets continue to see their odds slashed, the Jazz have taken over second place in on the title board.

Current odds: SportsBetting

NBA Championship Odds

Brooklyn Nets +170

Utah Jazz         +475

Los Angeles Lakers      +550

Milwaukee Bucks        +600

Los Angeles Clippers   +700

Philadelphia 76ers      +800

Phoenix Suns  +1400

Denver Nuggets          +3500

Portland Trail Blazers  +3500

Atlanta Hawks +4000

Dallas Mavericks         +6000

Washington Wizards  +25000

New York Knicks         +30000

Boston Celtics +50000

Memphis Grizzlies      +100000

Eastern Conference Odds

Brooklyn Nets -135

Milwaukee Bucks        +250

Philadelphia 76ers      +350

Atlanta Hawks +1800

Washington Wizards  +12500

New York Knicks         +15000

Boston Celtics +25000

Western Conference Odds     

Utah Jazz         +185

Los Angeles Lakers      +275

Los Angeles Clippers   +300

Phoenix Suns  +650

Denver Nuggets          +1600

Portland Trail Blazers  +1600

Dallas Mavericks         +2800

Memphis Grizzlies      +50000

Winning picks at OffshoreInsiders.com  

Sports betting blog with sports handicapping picks from the best sports handicappers, pregame betting information, sports handicapping articles, links to live odds, free picks, sportsbook information and more. All pro gamblers go to this betting blog before placing a bet.