Free Sports Picks, Week 15 NFL Betting Splits, Bowl Bettors’ Breakdown

NFL week 15 and day two of bowls sharp report. 

NFL

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Buffalo

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: none Saturday

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have the highest percent of cash compared to bets: Indianapolis 

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: None Saturday

CFB bowls

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Southern Miss

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: none Saturday

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have the highest percent of cash compared to bets: BYU

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Fresno State +2.5 to -4.5, BYU -1.5 to +4

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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

Free NBA winner:

MIAMI -7.5 San Antonio

Fade big home dogs if not off a low scoring game and with a substantial amount of rest and neither team has an extreme winning percentage is 702-495-30Rest dynamics generally benefit the home team. When a team has more rest, about 66 percent of the time, it is the home team. However, when the road team is more rested, it nullifies the normal home court advantage and creates an off line to the tune of 459-347.  Away favorites or small road dogs on a massive scoring streak is 459-347. 

Both of our contrarian indexes, one worldwide sportsbooks, the other has to do with super-square outlaw money, has this as a very strong corroborated contrarian bet worldwide. Public dogs generally die and the Spurs are a big public dog. 

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Niners-Seahawks Betting Report; NBA, College Basketball Market Revealed

Super sharp report for Thursday Night Football, Seahawks vs. 49ers, plus NBA and college basketball. 

NFL Betting Week 15

San Francisco (-3, 41.5)-Seattle 

🏈Opened: San Francisco -3, 41

🏈Side: 53% of bets, but 41% of money on San Francisco 

🏈OU: 52% bets, 69% of handle on under

 Tonight’s NBA basketball betting breakdown.

🏀 Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: none

🏀 Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Phoenix, Memphis 

🏀 Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Phoenix

🏀 Largest line moves, opener to current: LA Clippers -2.5 to +5

Tonight’s college basketball betting breakdown.

🏀 Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: none

🏀 Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Lehigh

🏀 Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets:

🏀 Largest line moves, opener to current: Oregon State -1 to +1.5

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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

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Tuesday Super Sharp Market Report For NBA Betting, College Basketball Picks

Tonight’s NBA basketball betting breakdown.

🏀 Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: None

🏀 Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Utah Jazz; New Orleans OVER

🏀 Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Utah Jazz; Houston Rockets UNDER

🏀 Largest line moves, opener to current: none

Tonight’s college basketball betting breakdown.

🏀 Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: UMass Lowell, Houston Cougars

🏀 Biggest bets based on percentage of money: NC Central, Houston, UNC Ashville, Memphis Tigers 

🏀 Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Coppin state, New Orleans, NC Central 

🏀 Largest line moves, opener to current: Texas Tech -19 to -16.5, Santa Clara -12 to -9.5

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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

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Week 14 NFL Injuries, Betting Splits, Line Moves

Week 14 NFL breakdown with betting percentages, splits, contrarian action, line moves, injures, and more. 

Bowl betting myths exposed, secrets revealed. This is must-watch before betting games

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: NY Jets; Minnesota OVER 

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Detroit, Carolina; NY Giants UNDER, Denver UNDER

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Detroit +1 to -1.5, Seattle -6 to -3.5

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Carolina, Detroit; Arizona UNDER

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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

NFL injuries:

  • Tampa leading rusher Leonard Fournette will play
  • San Francisco down to No. 3 QB Brock Purdy 
  • Giants star RB Saquon Barkley is questionable, described as “50-50” to play
  • Brown WR Amari Cooper game time decision 
  • Seattle RB Kenneth Walker III is doubtful, but WR DK Metcalf is probable 

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Friday Market Report for Gamblers: College Basketball Sharp Bets, NBA Contrarian

A big weekend is ahead and bowl betting myths exposed, secrets revealed. Here is the super sharp report. 

Tonight’s NBA basketball betting breakdown.

🏀 Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Toronto; Toronto OVER 

🏀 Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Detroit; Indiana UNDER, New York OVER 

🏀 Largest line moves, opener to current: Cleveland -5.5 to -3, Philadelphia -3 to -5

🏀 Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Detroit, Orlando; Indiana UNDER 

Tonight’s college basketball betting breakdown.

🏀 Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Fairleigh Dickinson, Washington

🏀 Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Fordham, Central Connecticut, Fairleigh Dickinson, Washington 

🏀 Largest line moves, opener to current: none

🏀 Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Northern Iowa

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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

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Golf Odds For the Match: Spieth/Thomas vs. Woods?McIlRoy

The umpteenth version of “The Match” goes down this Saturday, but hey, at least Tiger Woods is competing in this one so it should draw a few more eyeballs that the last few made-for-TV golf exhibitions. 

Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas are good buddies who should feed off each other throughout the 12-hole, best-ball format. Woods is with world No. 1 Rory McIlroy so the pairings are pretty even, and the odds reflect that as well.

SportsBetting.ag currently has Team Spieth/Thomas as a slight favorite (-125) against Team Woods/McIlroy (+105).

There are also a ton of different SportsBetting prop bets available to wager on for The Match.

Will any player hit a hole-in-one?

Yes       +5000

Closest to the pin on first Par 3

Jordan Spieth                +265     

Justin Thomas               +265     

Rory McIlroy                 +265     

Tiger Woods                 +290     

Player to hit the longest drive

Rory McIlroy                 -110     

Justin Thomas               +350     

Jordan Spieth                +500     

Tiger Woods                 +500     

Player to hole the longest putt

Jordan Spieth                +250     

Justin Thomas               +270     

Rory McIlroy                 +270     

Tiger Woods                 +285     

Pairing to record the most birdies

Spieth/Thomas             +110     

Woods/McIlroy             +165     

Tie                                +350

Total eagle putts from green on Hole No. 7

Over/Under 1.5

Total water balls on Hole No. 8

Over/Under .5

Team to win Hole No. 1

Tie                                +105     

Spieth/Thomas             +225     

Woods/McIlroy             +250     

Leading team through first six holes

Spieth/Thomas             +125     

Woods/McIlroy             +160     

Tie                                +300     

Total eagles or better by both teams

Over/Under 1.5

Will Hole No. 12 be played?

Yes +160

No -200

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Hot Stove Baseball: MLB Odds Fluid With Free Agent Signings; Likely Next Teams Revealed For Free Agents

The dominoes continue to fall in the MLB free agency frenzy, and the acquisitions have had a direct impact on next season’s World Series odds. 

Aaron Judge remained with the Yankees, but Jacob deGrom, Justin Verlander, Trae Turner and Xander Boegarts will all be donning new uniforms in 2023. 

But the team that hasn’t made any major moves, the defending world champion Astros, remain the favorite, according to SportsBetting   

Below are the key championship changes from one month ago to today. Additionally, updated “next team” odds for Carlos Correa and Dansby Swanson are also included.

– Mets 12-1 to 14-1 (following deGrom exit) to 9-1 (following Verlander)

– Padres 14-1 to 10-1

– Phillies 14-1 to 10-1

– Rangers 50-1 to 25-1

Carolos Correa Next Team        

Giants              -110

Twins               +125

Cubs                 +550

Red Sox            +1200

Dansby Swanson Next Team                 

Cubs                 -150

Twins               +600

Dodgers            +700

Yankees            +900

Cardinals          +1000

Giants              +1000

Mariners          +1000

Red Sox            +1000

Orioles             +1200

World Series                 

Houston Astros                         +600

Los Angeles Dodgers                 +650

New York Mets                         +900

Atlanta Braves                          +1000

New York Yankees                     +1000

Philadelphia Phillies                  +1000

San Diego Padres                      +1000

Seattle Mariners                       +1600

Toronto Blue Jays                      +1600

San Francisco Giants                 +2000

St. Louis Cardinals                     +2200

Chicago White Sox                    +2500

Tampa Bay Rays                        +2500

Texas Rangers                           +2500

Cleveland Guardians                 +3300

Milwaukee Brewers                  +3300

Boston Red Sox                         +4000

Los Angeles Angels                    +4000

Baltimore Orioles                      +5000

Chicago Cubs                            +5000

Minnesota Twins                       +6600

Detroit Tigers                            +8000

Miami Marlins                          +8000

Arizona Diamondbacks              +10000

Cincinnati Reds                         +10000

Kansas City Royals                     +10000

Colorado Rockies                      +12500

Oakland Athletics                      +15000

Pittsburgh Pirates                     +15000

Washington Nationals               +15000

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Raiders vs. Rams Betting Splits; Basketball Line Moves, Contrarian Bets

Bowl betting myths exposed, secrets revealed. This is must-watch before betting games.

Las Vegas (-6.5, 42)-Rams 

🏈Opened: -4, 43

🏈Side: 69% bets, 59% of money on Raiders

🏈OU: 56% of bets, 57% of money on OVER 

No betting splits, contrarian bets, line moves, public wagering on the betting market of the NBA. Now to college basketball: 

🏀 Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Michigan, Colorado State, Iowa State

🏀 Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Colorado State

🏀 Largest line moves, opener to current: Iowa -6.5 to -3.5

🏀 Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets.

There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

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Most contrarian bettors love to fade the bets in the first category “percentage of bets.” The belief is that the public is almost always wrong (which is why bookmakers make a lot of money) by chasing square theories. Hence betting against them is a winning proposition. Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com is widely accepted as the top sports handicapper in the world. He prefers percent of tickets, which weighs $5 bettors the same as $500 and $5,000 a game wagerers saying, “If anything, the small bettor is the ultimate fade.”

While not completely disagreeing, Cy McCormick of the Masterlockline asserts that he prefers betting against the money. “Bookmakers always win long-term, so I want to be rooting for the same side they are,” while pointing out it is the money, not number of bets that will move the line. 

Others like corroboration. If the same team is loved by both the handle and volume of bets, that’s “Truly a public play,” according to noted gambler Big Red. Finally, the splits are considered a sharp versus square metric. If majority of bets are on side A, but most of the money is on side B, some gamblers consider this equating to side B betting a sharp versus square bet.

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College Basketball, NBA Betting Splits, Line Moves, Top NBA Handicapper Pick

Wednesday, December 7, 2022

Tonight’s NBA basketball betting breakdown.

🏀 Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Sacramento OVER 

🏀 Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Boston

🏀 Largest line moves, opener to current: Golden State -1.5 now +7.5; Toronto -8.5 to -12.5

🏀 Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: New Orleans UNDER, Brooklyn UNDER

Tonight’s college basketball betting breakdown.

🏀 Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Merrimack, Alabama State

🏀 Biggest bets based on percentage of money: CS Northridge, West Carolina

🏀 Largest line moves, opener to current: Sacramento State -3 to -6.5, Purdue -18.5 to -21.5

🏀 Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Hawaii 

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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

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College Basketball Betting and NBA Odds Market Report

NBA market report:

🏀 Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Lakers (public dog); Dallas OVER 

🏀 Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Denver; Miami UNDER

🏀 Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: None

🏀 Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Cleveland -4 to -4.5

College basketball market report:

🏀 Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: High Point, Charleston, Wofford

🏀 Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: UMKC, High Point, Abiline Christian

🏀 Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Oakland, UMKC 

🏀 Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Arkansas -16.5 to -20.5, Montana +2.5 to -1.5, TCU -23 to -19.5, UMBC -5.5 to -8.5

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Sports betting blog with sports handicapping picks from the best sports handicappers, pregame betting information, sports handicapping articles, links to live odds, free picks, sportsbook information and more. All pro gamblers go to this betting blog before placing a bet.