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February 7, 2020

Friday Basketball Sharp Report

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 2:13 PM

Your Grandmaster is 36-19 in the NBA. #BreakingNews Moneyline Game of the Year among five winners, three are NBA Wise Guys.Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are the single strongest bet in gambling. If you are betting on your own, thanks for keeping the bookies in business for the rest of us. We will keep winning at Promises Made, Promises Delivered. Get the picks now 

Free winner on:

DALLAS -2 Washington

Away favorites off loss under specific situations is 718-551-22.

NBA injuries

Trae Young, ATL @ BOS, probable

Jimmy Butler, MIA @ SAC, doublful

Kristaps Porzingis, DAL @ WAS, questionable

Kemba Walker, BOS vs ATL, Confirmed

Jaylen Brown, BOS vs ATL, Out

Josh Richardson, PHI vs MEM , questionable

Richaun Holmes, SAC vs MIA, questionable

Jonas Valanciunas, MEM @ PHI, questionable

TJ Warren, IND vs TOR, questionable

Victor Oladipo, IND vs TOR, questionable

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Miami Heat; 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Houston Rockets; Penn

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Miami Heat opened -1.5 now +1.5, Philadelphia -7 to -5, Dallas -2 to -4

February 6, 2020

MLB 2020 Favorites for AL, NL MVP

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 3:11 PM

Baseball season is right around the corner, and the books are already projecting which players will take home a handful of the most prestigious accolades. 

On Thursday, SportsBetting released odds for MLB’s 2020 home run leader, as well as Most Valuable Player and Cy Young awards for each league. 

Mike Trout has the lowest odds to win MVP in his career. Last year, he started the season with 5/2, or +250, odds. Here are his odds for this season and the six prior:

2020: +100

2019: +250

2018: +125

2017: +130

2016: +150

2015: +300

2014: +500

National League newcomer, Mookie Betts, is a 5/1 favorite to bring an MVP award to L.A. for the second straight season. Last year’s winner, Cody Bellinger, has 8/1 odds. 

Gerrit Cole and Jacob DeGrom top the board for Cy Young odds, and Aaron Judge is the favorite to lead the league in home runs. 

You can access MVP, Cy Young and home run odds, which are subject to change, throughout the offseason at SportsBetting

Additionally, the sportsbook has set odds on Pete Rose being reinstated by Major League Baseball following the submission of a recent 20-page petition. The odds of reinstatement are 5/1, or +500, while the chances of it not happening are 1/10. 

AL MVP
Mike Trout1/1
Aaron Judge12/1
Gleyber Torres12/1
Shohei Ohtani14/1
Alex Bregman16/1
Francisco Lindor16/1
DJ LeMaheiu25/1
Matt Chapman25/1
Anthony Rendon30/1
Gerrit Cole30/1
Marcus Semien30/1
Rafael Devers30/1
JD Martinez40/1
Jorge Polanco40/1
Jose Altuve40/1
Matt Olson40/1
Yordan Alvarez40/1
Austin Meadows50/1
Eloy Jimenez50/1
Gary Sanchez50/1
George Springer50/1
Jose Ramirez50/1
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.50/1
Xander Bogaerts50/1
Yoan Moncada50/1
Josh Donaldson66/1
Nelson Cruz66/1
NL MVP
Mookie Betts5/1
Ronald Acuna Jr.6/1
Christian Yelich7/1
Cody Bellinger8/1
Bryce Harper12/1
Fernando Tatis Jr.12/1
Juan Soto12/1
Nolan Arenado12/1
Ketel Marte16/1
Javier Baez20/1
Trevor Story20/1
Eugenio Suarez25/1
Freddie Freeman25/1
Kris Bryant25/1
Manny Machado25/1
Paul Goldschmidt25/1
Rhys Hoskins28/1
Jacob DeGrom33/1
Max Scherzer33/1
Peter Alonso33/1
Corey Seager40/1
Anthony Rizzo50/1
AL Cy Young
Gerrit Cole3/1
Chris Sale6/1
Blake Snell12/1
Justin Verlander12/1
Mike Clevinger14/1
James Paxton16/1
Mike Minor16/1
Shane Bieber16/1
Tyler Glasnow16/1
Zack Greinke16/1
Corey Kluber18/1
Luis Severino18/1
Charlie Morton25/1
Jake Odorizzi25/1
Jose Berrios25/1
Lance Lynn25/1
Lucas Giolito25/1
Shohei Ohtani25/1
Frankie Montas33/1
Hyun-Jin Ryu33/1
Sean Manaea33/1
Carlos Carrasco40/1
Dallas Keuchel40/1
Eduardo Rodriguez50/1
NL Cy Young
Jacob DeGrom3/1
Max Scherzer4/1
Jack Flaherty6/1
Walker Buehler7/1
Stephen Strasburg14/1
Clayton Kershaw18/1
Noah Syndergaard20/1
Aaron Nola22/1
Brandon Woodruff25/1
Luis Castillo25/1
Mike Soroka25/1
Patrick Corbin25/1
Chris Paddack28/1
German Marquez28/1
Kirby Yates33/1
Yu Darvish33/1
Zach Wheeler33/1
Johnny Cueto40/1
Madison Bumgarner40/1
Max Fried40/1
Sonny Gray40/1
Josh Hader50/1
Marcus Stroman50/1
Trevor Bauer50/1
Home Run Leader
Aaron Judge9/1
Pete Alonso10/1
Mike Trout11/1
Ronald Acuna Jr12/1
Cody Bellinger14/1
Giancarlo Stanton14/1
Joey Gallo14/1
Christian Yelich16/1
Eugenio Suarez16/1
Yordan Alvarez16/1
Nolan Arenado18/1
Gleyber Torres20/1
Matt Olson20/1
Rhys Hoskins22/1
Alex Bregman25/1
Jorge Soler25/1
Bryce Harper33/1
Trevor Story33/1
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.33/1
Eloy Jimenez40/1
Khris Davis40/1
George Springer50/1
JD Martinez50/1
Kris Bryant50/1
Josh Donaldson66/1
Nelson Cruz66/1
Franmil Reyes80/1
Josh Bell80/1

Daily baseball premium picks are from where you get your basketball and football picks. OffshoreInsiders.com is always the one-stop shop. 

2020-21 NFL Win Totals, Super Bowl LV Halftime Show, XFL Odds

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 3:08 PM

The football season never stops, and there are plenty of storylines to watch this offseason. 

SportsBetting has set odds for a number of these narratives. They are broken down in sections below, and you can find the NFL props here: 

Season Win Totals

Projections don’t always pan out as they’re supposed to, but they at least give us a starting point in terms of what to expect.

First available to the market at SportsBetting there are over/under regular season win totals for each of the NFL’s 32 teams.

Based on these numbers alone, the playoff picture would look like this:

AFC

1. Chiefs (West)

2. Ravens (North)

3. Patriots (East)

4. Texans/Titans (South)

5. Steelers (WC)

6. Texans/Titans (WC)

NFC

1. 49ers (West)

2. Saints (South)

3. Eagles (East) 

4. Packers/Vikings (North)

5. Packers/Vikings (WC)

6. Cowboys/Seahawks (WC)

TeamWin Total
Arizona Cardinals6.5
Atlanta Falcons8
Baltimore Ravens11
Buffalo Bills8.5
Carolina Panthers6.5
Chicago Bears8
Cincinnati Bengals5.5
Cleveland Browns8
Dallas Cowboys9
Denver Broncos8
Detroit Lions6.5
Green Bay Packers9.5
Houston Texans8.5
Indianapolis Colts7.5
Jacksonville Jaguars6.5
Kansas City Chiefs11.5
Los Angeles Chargers7.5
Los Angeles Rams8.5
Las Vegas Raiders7
Miami Dolphins5.5
Minnesota Vikings9.5
New England Patriots10.5
New Orleans Saints10
New York Giants6.5
New York Jets6.5
Philadelphia Eagles10
Pittsburgh Steelers9
San Francisco 49ers10.5
Seattle Seahawks9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers7.5
Tennessee Titans8.5
Washington Redskins5.5

Chargers and Rivers

The L.A. Chargers are moving on from Philip Rivers, but you have to think that the competitive veteran doesn’t want to hang up his cleats just yet. 

With that said, the oddsmakers are predicting where Rivers might land a roster spot in 2020, and who will be under center for the Chargers in Week 1.

Chargers Next Starting QB
Tyrod Taylor3/2
Teddy Bridgewater5/1
Tua Tagovaiola5/1
Tom Brady6/1
Justin Herbert9/1
Jameis Winston10/1
Marcus Mariota10/1
Jordan Love16/1
Andy Dalton18/1
Jake Fromm18/1
Dak Prescott25/1
Ryan Tannehill25/1
Colin Kaepernick100/1
Eli Manning500/1
Philip Rivers’ Next Team
Bucs2/1
Colts3/1
Panthers4/1
Raiders4/1
Dolphins11/2
Saints20/1
Titans20/1
Cowboys33/1
Patriots33/1

Quarterback Carousel 

The Buccaneers are favorites to land Philip Rivers, and if Jameis Winston asks for too big of a contract the team may make a change under center. The odds suggest that will happen. 

Drew Brees is a sizable favorite to not retire and continue his career in New Orleans, while Cam Newton is just slightly favored to be under center in Carolina next season. 

Jameis Winston starts in Week 1 for Bucs

Yes +150

No -200

Cam Newton in Week 1 for Panthers

Yes -150

No +110

Drew Brees on Saints roster in Week 1

Yes -400

No +250

Teddy Bridgewater starting QB in Week 1

Yes -120

No -120

Taysom Hill on Saints roster in Week 1

Yes -900

No +500

Mitch Trubisky starts in Week 1 for Bears

Yes -500

No +300

Tag, You’re It…

Who will be slapped with the dreaded franchise tag this offseason? The oddsmakers weigh in…

Will the Cowboys franchise tag Dad Prescott?

Yes -500

No +300

Will the Titans franchise tag Ryan Tannehill?

Yes -500

No +300

Will the Chiefs franchise tag Chris Jones?

Yes -300

No +200

Hologram Halftime Show

Everyone knows Taylor Swift will get her shot at the Super Bowl big stage, and oddsmakers are predicting that will happen very soon.

Swift will be great, whenever her day comes, but wouldn’t we all like to see a Whitney Houston or Michael Jackson hologram rock out at halftime?

Super Bowl LV Halftime Performer
Taylor Swift5/1
Adele8/1
Drake8/1
Jay-Z9/1
Rihanna9/1
Queen10/1
Foo Fighters12/1
Ariana Grande14/1
Billie Eilish14/1
Bon Jovi16/1
Justin Bieber16/1
Lizzo16/1
Luke Bryan16/1
Post Malone16/1
Ed Sheeran18/1
Metallica18/1
Elton John20/1
Garth Brooks20/1
Imagine Dragons20/1
Whitney Houston Hologram20/1
Michael Jackson Hologram25/1

XFL Cameos

The rebirth of the XFL season begins Saturday, and evidenced by the three-way tie atop the odds boards it’s apparent the bookies aren’t exactly sure how this league will play out. 

Dallas, Washington D.C. and Tampa Bay are co-favorites to win the XFL Championship. 

There are also over/under victory totals for each, but the most fun betting option asks which former and current NFL players will suit up in the alternative league first. 

First to Play in XFL
Chad Johnson5/1
Adam ‘Pacman’ Jones7/1
Josh Gordon10/1
Johnny Manziel12/1
Randy Gregory12/1
Vontaze Burfict12/1
Colin Kaepernick20/1
Terrell Owens20/1
Dez Bryant33/1
Antonio Brown100/1
Greg Hardy100/1
Marshawn Lynch100/1
Tom Brady500/1
TeamChampionship OddsWin Total
Dallas Renegades7/26
DC Defenders7/25.5
Tampa Bay Vipers7/27.5
Houston Roughnecks7/16
L.A. Wildcats7/14
St. Louis BattleHawks7/13.5
New York Guardians15/24
Seattle Dragons9/13.5

Finally, the odds don’t imply the XFL will cease operations during the season, unlike the AAFL. The chances of doing so are 7/1 while the odds for a completed season are 1/20.

Winning picks daily are at JoeDuffy.Net but get best premium picks from OffshoreInsiders.com

Inside Betting Info and Free Picks, Major NBA Injury News

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 10:44 AM

Big day for bettors. Check out latest injury news and get free picks from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com      

Philadelphia vs. Milwaukee (-9, 227)

Big quality underdogs on road are a fade of 771-612-36

Wake-up call as Simmons called Sixers soft 

Teams that are substantially better at home than on the road, actually good road bet and bad home bet (Sixers)

1023-959-44 only 51.8 but warning to not outsmart yourself 

Huge home favorites in same-season revenge of blowout loss 234-181-11 (Milwaukee)

Fade better than .600 teams off 30-point loss and losers of at least three straight is 5-1

Sixers first of back-to-back games 

Sixers fourth straight road game, though spread over eight days

Road underdogs off three straight road losses are 320-241-17 (Sixers)

Big home favorites in same season revenge of blowout loss 752-628-35 including 213-139-8 since 2013

MILWAUKEE

San Antonio vs. Portland (-3,232)

Blazers first of back-to-back games

Third of eight-straight road games for Spurs, while Portland second game in five days

Both teams off loss 25 or more goes over 57.6 percent of time

OVER 

Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy. Your Grandmaster is 34-17 in the NBA. Three more NBA winners. Not only does the Grandmaster have a college basketball system that is 165 games above .500, but also when combined with another angle that applies on the same game produced an 82 percent angle. Four winners in all. Get the picks now 

New Orleans (-4,231.5) vs. Chicago

New Orleans 10-15 SU road, Chicago 11-15 SU home

When road team laying at least two on road despite not having better home/road splits they are 1600-1353-57 for 54.2 percent but nearly 250 games above .500

815-663-31 if won previous same-season meeting 

Zion Williamson first seven games, he is averaging 19.6 points and 8.0 rebounds while shooting 55% from the field and 44% on 3-point attempts

Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak are 634-495-15

NEW ORLEANS 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Wisconsin Green Bay; Portland Trail Blazers, New Orleans Pelicans 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: UT Rio Grande Valley, Pepperdine; Portland Trail Blazers, Orlando 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Stanford opened +1 now -1

Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds 

NBA injury news for betting and fantasy sports:

Anthony Davis probable for Lakers

Zion Williamson will play for New Orleans

Russell Westbrook is questionable for Houston 

February 5, 2020

Mookie Betts Trade: Betting Odds Shift, Dodgers Now 4-1

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 11:25 AM

The trade of Mookie Betts prompted an adjustment in next season’s World Series odds. 

“There are only about 10 players that can impact a team’s futures odds and win total, and Mookie Betts is certainly one of them,” said Robert Cooper, lines manager at SportsBetting. “He’s a five-tool, everyday player that might finally get the Dodgers over the hump. We’re already seeing more L.A. money from pro bettors.”

On Monday this week, SportsBetting had the Dodgers with 6/1 World Series odds, but they dropped to 4/1 following the trade. L.A.’s pennant odds fell from 3/1 down to 2/1, and the team’s win total jumped two games from 98.5 to 100.5. 

On the Red Sox side, their championship chances went from 25/1 to 33/1 and their victory total 88.5 to 86.5. 

The Yankees remain the 2020 World Series favorites with 7/2 odds.

Current MLB futures odds for every team at SportsBetting  

West Coast Teams Most Likely Tom Brady Destination Say Bookmakers

The Super Bowl is behind us so again it’s time to start speculating on the question that will dominate this offseason…where will Tom Brady play?

The odds list for Brady’s next team has expanded to 31 teams at SportsBetting and the wager is only actionable if Brady does not return to New England. But you can see every team’s chances of landing the future Hall of Fame quarterback here and below 

It’s also worth noting that there are odds on whether or not Brady will be on the Patriots roster in Week 1 and they imply there is a 66.7% chance he’ll be back with the only team he’s ever played for. 

Will Tom Brady be on Patriots roster Week 1?

Yes -200

No +150

Team odds for Brady initially opened at SportsBetting on January 5, and the Browns, Panthers and Raiders were listed as the early favorites. Over the next two weeks, action on the Chargers dropped their odds to +200 after initially being set at +700. 

However, there is a fresh favorite for the third time as the Las Vegas Raiders have moved into the top spot. 

Tom Brady’s Next TeamStandard OddsFractional Odds
Las Vegas Raiders  +3003/1
Los Angeles Chargers  +4004/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers  +7007/1
Carolina Panthers  +9009/1
Indianapolis Colts  +9009/1
Dallas Cowboys  +9009/1
Cleveland Browns  +120012/1
Miami Dolphins  +140014/1
New Orleans Saints  +140014/1
Tennessee Titans +160016/1
Chicago Bears  +160016/1
Denver Broncos  +180018/1
Washington Redskins  +220022/1
New York Jets  +250025/1
Minnesota Vikings  +250025/1
Cincinnati Bengals  +280028/1
Arizona Cardinals  +280028/1
Jacksonville Jaguars  +280028/1
Detroit Lions +330033/1
Los Angeles Rams  +330033/1
Philadelphia Eagles  +330033/1
New York Giants  +330033/1
Pittsburgh Steelers +330033/1
San Francisco 49ers +660066/1
Buffalo Bills +660066/1
Atlanta Falcons +660066/1
Houston Texans +660066/1
Green Bay Packers +1000100/1
Baltimore Ravens +5000500/1
Seattle Seahawks +5000500/1
Kansas City Chiefs +100001000/1

Keep beating the sportsbooks with Stevie Vincent’s forensic sports handicapping at OffshoreInsiders.com  

Super Bowl LV Favorite Released, It’s Not the Chiefs

The Kansas City Chiefs are world champions, but they’re not the early favorites for Super Bowl LV. 

Currently at SportsBetting, San Francisco has +500 odds to win next year’s Super Bowl. The Chiefs are just a fraction behind with +550 odds while Baltimore (+800) is third on the list. 

The Dolphins and Redskins have the worst odds in the league. 

Of course, Tom Brady’s future could wreak havoc on these numbers. The Chargers are curiously fourth on the board, an indication the oddsmakers are getting ahead to limit potential liability should Brady land in L.A. The same could be said for the Raiders and Bucs, which have lower odds currently than they did two weeks ago. 

(Note: Tom Brady odds for all 32 teams will be distributed tomorrow morning)

This marks the first time since the 2015 campaign that New England wasn’t the Super Bowl favorite or co-favorite. The Pats haven’t had odds this high (+1600) since the 2002 season when they entered the season at +2000. 

Super Bowl LV odds from SportsBetting  

Super Bowl LVStandard OddsFractional Odds
San Francisco 49ers+5005/1
Kansas City Chiefs+55011/2
Baltimore Ravens+8008/1
Los Angeles Chargers+120012/1
Dallas Cowboys+140014/1
New England Patriots+160016/1
New Orleans Saints+160016/1
Green Bay Packers+160016/1
Pittsburgh Steelers+160016/1
Tennessee Titans+200020/1
Chicago Bears+250025/1
Los Angeles Rams+250025/1
Minnesota Vikings+250025/1
Seattle Seahawks+250025/1
Las Vegas Raiders+250025/1
Atlanta Falcons+280028/1
Philadelphia Eagles+280028/1
Cleveland Browns+330033/1
Houston Texans+330033/1
Indianapolis Colts+330033/1
Buffalo Bills+400040/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+400040/1
Denver Broncos+500050/1
Cincinnati Bengals+500050/1
Jacksonville Jaguars+500050/1
Carolina Panthers+660066/1
New York Giants+660066/1
New York Jets+660066/1
Arizona Cardinals+800080/1
Detroit Lions+800080/1
Miami Dolphins+10000100/1
Washington Redskins+10000100/1

OffshoreInsiders.com is the place to go for daily winning free picks. 

February 4, 2020

Tuesday Free Winning Lock Pick

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 8:47 AM

At Joe Duffy’s Picks, we roll along. JDP 33-13 lately in the NBA. Two NBA, plus a college basketball winner. Ready for 3-0? Get the picks now 

Free pick:

MILWAUKEE -6 New Orleans

Away favorites in a run of high-scoring games is 171-97-5. A similar concept but with much wider parameters is 633-495-15. When both apply, it is 168-93-5 for 64.4 percent. 

February 3, 2020

Free Picks and Inside Info Sportsbooks Fear Most

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 6:49 PM

Winning picks from top sports betting expert Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com   

Penn State at Michigan State (-8.5, 142.5)

Michigan State sloppy with ball and face top defense in forcing turnovers in Penn State

MSU off bad game offensively in which only Cassius Winston and Rocket Watts scored in double figures

Independent computer predictions: Michigan State 76-68; 76-69; 75-69

Pick: Penn State 

Miss State at UK (-5,140)

Miss State six straight losses to ranked foes 

UK freshman account for 54 percent of points, slightly more last five games led by Ashton Hagens who scored or assisted on 45 percent of their points last five games

Kentucky has won its last 11 home games, scoring an average of 77.2 points while giving up 62.9

Miss State tops nation on offensive rebounds 

Independent computer predictions: Kentucky 70-69; 72-68; 72-67

Pick: Kentucky 

Duke (-15.5, 144) at BC

Duke massive mismatch on both ends of course, Duke 2nd in offensive efficiency versus 120 defense

BC 218th offense versus 9th defense

Seniors 48 percent of BC’s scoring, Duke 65 percent of Duke’s points

Duke forward Wendell Moore second game back in nearly a month

Independent computer predictions: Duke 86-62; 81-64; 79-64

Pick: Duke 

Rutgers at Maryland (-7.5, 130.5)

Rutgers sophomore Ron Harper Jr. is erratic but capable of overtaking game

Rutgers 6-11 center Myles Johnson average 9 ppg 

Defenses match up better for both teams

Rutgers 1-6 away from home SU, Maryland undefeated at Xfinity Center 

Independent computer predictions: Maryland 65-60; 69-61; 68-59

Pick: Rutgers 

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NBA Injuries, Free Pick, Sharp Money Report

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 1:44 PM

NBA injuries

Julius Randle, NY @ CLE, probable

Marcus Morris, NY @ CLE, questionable

D’Angelo Russell, GS @ WAS, questionable

PJ Washington, CHR vs ORL, questionable

Marcus Smart BOS @ ATL, Out

De’Andre Hunter, ATL vs BOS , questionable

Trae Young, ATL vs BOS, questionable

Evan Fournier ORL @ CHR, questionable

Ricky Rubio, PHX @ BKN, probable

Contrarian and sharp report>

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Boston Celtics; Bayor

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Memphis Grizzlies

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Cleveland form +1 to -2, Memphis -6.5 to -9.5

Top expert pick from Joe Duffy. JDP is 30-10 NBA. Final report with six NBA winners led by Wise Guy. Get the picks now 

Free winner from Joe Duffy’s Picks

PHILADELPHIA +2.5 Miami

Records suggest road team should be bigger dog, use the oddsmakers’ knowledge against them to the tune of 684-570-21. 

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