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March 23, 2020

Why Are Computer Programs the Ultimate Betting Sports Weapon?

Show notes from the top sports betting podcast on earth. Joe’s Duffy’s podcast traces roots back to 1980 on the scorephones.  

Eliminates Biases

Most love favorites, some dogs; over/under

Road favorites sucker plays in NFL, yet very good NBA

Underdogs, especially big ones, generally good bet; but not college football

Facts first

Situations where I’ve gone with big favorites in MLB, which I hate

Takes advantage of biases!

Thousands of Man Hours; Never Miss

Computer software stores the system and tells you when it applies

Old days with unranked favorites to ranked teams

So many of the best opportunities are small college football totals

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March 22, 2020

Jeopardy Betting Takes Off During Coronavirus Lockdown

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 4:28 PM

Super sportsbook Bovada has casino games, live dealers, and poker going on to keep us occupied during the coronavirus lockdown. In front of the TV watching Jeopardy? You can get on that too at Bovada

Jeopardy! March 23 – How Many Daily Doubles Will Be Correctly Answered? 

3/23/20 10:30 AM 

Winner 

  • 2 EVEN 
  • 3 +225 
  • 1 +250 
  • 0 +1500 

Jeopardy! March 23 – What Percentage Of Player’s Balance Will Be Risked On The First Daily Double? 

3/23/20 10:30 AM 

Winner 

  • Over 77.5%-130 
  • Under 77.5%EVEN 

Jeopardy! March 23 – Who Will Win Tonight’s Episode? 

3/23/20 10:30 AM 

Winner 

  • Michonne (Left Contestant)+135 
  • Far Right Contestant+175 
  • Middle Contestant+175 

Jeopardy! March 23 – Will All Three Competitors Advance To Final Jeopardy! ? 

3/23/20 10:30 AM 

Winner 

  • Yes-1400 
  • No+650 

Jeopardy! March 23 – Will All Three Competitors Answer Final Jeopardy! Correctly? 

3/23/20 10:30 AM 

Winner 

  • No-500 
  • Yes+300 

If all three do not advance to Final Jeopardy! then No is the winner

Jeopardy! March 23 – Will Someone Forget To Answer In The Form Of A Question? 

3/23/20 10:30 AM 

Winner 

  • No-700 
  • Yes+400 

Jeopardy! March 23 – Winning Competitor’s Balance 

3/23/20 10:30 AM 

Winner 

  • Over $18,000-115 
  • Under $18,000-115

March 21, 2020

Contrarian Sports Betting Secrets Revealed

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 8:38 PM

The pre-show notes about the effectiveness of contrarian betting. Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com reveals why this handicapping tool is making a comeback and how to exploit it. Beat sportsbooks like MyBookie with this intel.

What is Contrarian Betting

  • Betting against the public
  • Uses basic rule of oddsmaking: odds not a prediction, but to get balanced action
  • Lines shaded to public biases
  • Betting percentages reveal public biases

How to Calculate Contrarian Betting

  • Most effected based on percentage of bets not money
    • $5 bet counts same as $5,000
  • Smaller bettors best for contrarian info
  • Public loves favorites and overs
    • Sliding scale to consider that
  • 55 percent on 6.5-point dog roughly equal to 70 percent on 6.5-point favorite

Public Sources of Contrarian Betting

Making Big Comeback

  • Legalization means media sites large and small making picks
  • Hire entry level writers who know nothing about gambling and post quintessential square plays
    • Tailed by gamblers
    • More neophyte gamblers than ever 

Conclusion 

  • Best as corroborating but gaining traction as percentage of tenderfoot cappers increase
  • Get Joe Duffy’s Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com exploiting all proven weapons

March 19, 2020

Western Sydney Wanderers vs. Sydney FC Odds

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 11:19 AM

Soccer Odds: Western Sydney Wanderers vs. Sydney FC The reigning champions of Australian men’s soccer will be in action this Saturday when Sydney FC (15 wins, two losses, two draws) head to Bankwest Stadium to play Western Sydney Wanderers (seven wins, nine losses, four draws) in A-League action. Coverage is available on ESPN+ beginning at 4:30 AM ET. 

At press time, Sydney FC are +105 favorites on the three-way moneyline, with Wanderers at +240 and the draw pegged at +255. Bet on soccer at Bodog and get a free 50% bonus. In the face of the coronavirus epidemic, the A-League is taking unprecedented measures to finish out their regular season, which began in October. Reports say they will play virtually all their remaining matches at empty stadiums in Sydney and Melbourne. However, Wednesday’s match between Sydney FC and Wellington Phoenix FC was postponed when the Phoenix players were put under two weeks of isolation. Virus concerns aside, it’s been another strong season for the defending champs. Sydney FC are first on the A-League table after 19 of their 26 matches, 10 points clear of second-place Melbourne City FC. 

Wanderers are another 12 points back in eighth place; the top six teams in this 11-team league would normally qualify for the playoffs, although this year’s format may have to change. Get your soccer odds at Bovada today.

Jessica Andrade vs. Rose Namajunas at Bovada Sportsbook, 100% Bonus

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 11:17 AM

UFC Odds from Bovada: Jessica Andrade vs. Rose Namajunas at Barclays Center With most of the major league team sports cancelled due to COIVID-19, UFC is now in the sports betting spotlight. 

A showdown between the No. 1 women’s strawweight fighter Jessica Andrade (20-7) and No. 2 Rose Namajunas (8-4) will serve as the co-main main event at UFC 249 on Saturday, April 18. Andrade will be looking to bounce back after her latest bout; her brief stint as the women’s strawweight champion came to an end against Weili “Magnum” Zhang in a fight that went the distance.

Bet on MMA at Bovada and get a free 100% bonus. This fight will essentially be a rematch of UFC 237 when Andrade beat Namajunas for the belt. Namajunas entered that event on a three-fight winning streak, including two victories over Joanna Jedrzejczyk at UFC 217 and 223. Standing three inches taller with nearly a three-inch reach advantage over Andrade, Namajunas is a —170 favorite to return to the win column and deliver Andrade back-to-back losses. 

Tank For Trevor? Odds on Pats Starting QB for 2021, Yes 2021 Opening Day

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 11:13 AM

The oddsmakers are really digging deep with their latest set of Patriots-related props at SportsBetting

Not only have they projected who will be New England’s quarterback this coming season, but there’s a list for the 2021 campaign as well. 

This was likely prompted by the chatter that the Patriots will try to tank in order to draft Trevor Lawrence after he finishes his college career. 

There are some interesting names on it, particularly at the top where Deshaun Watson sits. The Texans just traded away DeAndre Hopkins for a bag of balls, which has drawn mass criticism for the head coach and the GM-less organization. 

A Bill Belichick-Deshaun Watson marriage could set the stage for another dynasty.

Lawrence and other notable college QBs are on the list, a few NFL free agents to be and Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes, albeit with long odds. 

Patriots starting quarterback in Week 1 of 2021 regular season

Deshaun Watson +300

Trevor Lawrence +500

Jarrett Stidham +500

Kyle Trask +700

Dak Prescott +900

Jacoby Brissett +1100

Andy Dalton +1200

Derek Carr +1200

Taysom Hill +1200

Cam Newton +1200

Matthew Stafford +1200

Mac Jones +1600

Ryan Fitzpatrick +2000

Sam Ehlinger +2500

JT Daniels +3300

Aaron Rodgers +5000

Patrick Mahomes +10000

In other NFL odds, Nick Foles is projected to beat out Mitchell Trubisky for the starting job in Chicago. 

Bears starting quarterback in Week 1 of 2020 reg. Season

Mitchell Trubisky +110

Nick Foles -150

And here are updated free agent/trade odds for Cam Newton, Andy Dalton, Jameis Winston and Melvin Gordon. 

Cam Newton team in Week 1 of 2020 regular season

Washington Redskins +150

New England Patriots +200

Miami Dolphins +250

Jacksonville Jaguars +900

Denver Broncos +1600

Las Vegas Raiders +1600

Pittsburgh Steelers +2800

Cincinnati Bengals +4000

Andy Dalton team in Week 1 of 2020 regular season

Miami Dolphins +175

Washington Redskins +225

New England Patriots +600

Carolina Panthers +900

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +900

Dallas Cowboys +1000

Los Angeles Chargers +1200

Jacksonville Jaguars +1600

New Orleans Saints +1600

Jameis Winston team in Week 1 of 2020 regular season

Miami Dolphins +100

Washington Redskins +300

Los Angeles Chargers +700

New England Patriots +700

Jacksonville Jaguars +800

New Orleans Saints +1400

Dallas Cowboys +2000

Melvin Gordon team in Week 1 of 2020 regular season

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +250

Miami Dolphins +300

Atlanta Falcons +350

Arizona Cardinals +800

Indianapolis Colts +900

Philadelphia Eagles +900

Denver Broncos +1000

Pittsburgh Steelers +1000

Chicago Bears +1400

Get the best picks in the world led by Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy, CEO at OffshoreInsiders.com

Conor McGregor vs. Justin Gaethje Odds Set

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 10:40 AM

It appears Conor McGregor and Justin Gaethje will meet in the octagon this summer, and the oddsmakers have already set a line for the potential fight according to SportsBetting

McGregor opened as a -180 favorite while Gaethje is a +155 underdog. It’s been nearly a year since Gaethje was an underdog (March 30, 2019 vs. Barboza).

In other combat sports news, WWE made headlines this week when it announced that Wrestlemania 36 would be held without an audience at the company’s training facility in Orlando. 

Match odds and props for the event were released on Wednesday:

Becky Lynch +100

Shayna Baszler -140

Drew McIntyre -350

Brock Lesnar +225

Roman Reigns -800

Goldberg +425

Rhea Ripley -200

Charlotte Flair +150

Seth Rollins -120

Kevin Owens -120

The Fiend -400

John Cena +250

The Undertaker -400

AJ Styles +250

There are also Yes/No Wrestlemania 36 appearance odds for these personalities:

Cain Velasquez

Yes -120, No -120

Conor McGregor 

Yes +800, No -2500

Donald Trump

Yes +600, No -1500

Mike Tyson

Yes +800, No -2500

Tyson Fury will appear in ring with:

Braun Stroman +125

Rowan +200

Big Show +400

Brodus Clay +400

John Cena +800

Kane +800

Undertaker +1000

Get the best picks in the world led by Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy, CEO at OffshoreInsiders.com

Big Swing on Tampa, New England Super Bowl Odds

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 10:37 AM

While most of the sports betting world is on hold, Tom Brady’s cross-conference move has had a massive impact on the NFL futures markets at SportsBetting

On February 3, the day after the Super Bowl, the Buccaneers had 66-1, or +6600, odds to win Super Bowl LV. Yesterday morning, Tampa’s odds opened at 33-1, then moved to 25-1 and dropped as low as 12-1. 

Currently, the Bucs odds to win the Super Bowl are 20-1. 

In terms of AFC South odds, the Saints remain odds-on favorites (-125) to take the division again, but Tampa’s odds went from 8-1 to 2-1 following the Brady news. 

The Bucs currently have the third-best odds to win the NFC at 17-2, or +850.

For New England, its odds have shifted with a question mark at quarterback, but not as much as you might think. 

“As long as they have that hooded genius roaming the sidelines in Foxboro, the Patriots are never going to be too far off from the favorite position,” said Robert Cooper, head linesman at SportsBetting.ag.

The Patriots had 12-1 Super Bowl odds yesterday morning, but now their chances have jumped to 20-1. Their odds to win the AFC are third at 10-1.

And despite the loss of Brady, the Pats remain odds-on favorites to capture another AFC East crown at -110. But just a week ago, they were -250. 

When sports resume, OffshoreInsiders.com is the place for winning picks. 

March 17, 2020

eSports Betting! ESL Pro League

Filed under: Uncategorized — Joe Duffy @ 8:52 PM

E-Sports Odds: ESL Pro League CS:GO Fans of Counter-Strike: Global Offensive were thankful to absorb last week that Season 11 of the ESL Pro League was a go says Bob Warner of OffshoreInsiders.com    

The contests commence Monday with clashes held online rather than live; this week’s European Group B openers include Saturday’s clash between Fnatic (FNC), the Season 10 finalists from Sweden, and their Danish foes from North, who lost in the first round. Streaming begins at 2 PM ET via Twitch and YouTube. Wager on E-Sports at Bovada

and get a free 50% bonus. Fnatic are substantial favorites to take their CS:GO rivaly with North. The highly-decorated Swedes, who dominated Seasons 1 and 2 of the ESL Pro League back in 2015, are –550 on the moneyline or –1.5 (–140) against the spread. The usual total of 2.5 is posted with the Under priced at –200. 

With the coronavirus and the opposition from the new Flashpoint league, this could be a make-or-break year for the re-aligned ESL. They’ve switched to a best-of-three Group Stage for the 18 teams in the European regional league and the six-team North American league; with 12 survivors will meeting in the postseason, and the last two standing will play in the best-of-five Grand Final. Get your E-Sports odds at Bovada  today.

Starting QB Update, Tom Brady’s Next Stop, Pats Next QB

The NFL offseason got turned upside down this morning with the news that Tom Brady will not return to the Patriots next season. 

Media and oddsmakers have been speculating for months where Brady might land, and now there is a fresh favorite in the TB12 sweepstakes. 

All odds are courtesy of SportsBetting 

Also on the betting board are odds for the Patriots, Bears and Chargers starting quarterbacks in Week 1, as well as lines for where Andy Dalton, Jameis Winston, Melvin Gordon and Philip Rivers will play in 2020.

Patriots starting quarterback in Week 1 of 2020 regular season

Jarrett Stidham +200 

Andy Dalton +300 

Teddy Bridgewater +300 

Jameis Winston +700 

Derek Carr +750 

Nick Foles +900 

Jimmy Garoppolo +1000 

Philip Rivers +1400 

Joe Flacco +2500 

Cody Kessler +3300

(Note: Stidham opened at +700 on March 5) 

Bears starting quarterback in Week 1 of 2020 regular season

Mitchell Trubisky +150

Andy Dalton +300

Teddy Bridgewater +300

Nick Foles +500

Jameis Winston +600

Derek Carr +1000

Chargers starting quarterback in Week 1 of 2020 regular season

Tom Brady +150 

Tyrod Taylor +200 

Justin Herbert +400 

Andy Dalton +750 

Teddy Bridgewater +800 

Tua Tagovaiola +1000 

Jameis Winston +1400 

Jordan Love +1800 

Jake Fromm +3300 

Colin Kaepernick +10000 

Eli Manning +30000 

Tom Brady team in Week 1 of 2020 regular season

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +125

Los Angeles Chargers +150 

Las Vegas Raiders +450 

Indianapolis Colts +500

San Francisco 49ers +800 

Miami Dolphins +1400

Chicago Bears +1600 

Dallas Cowboys +2000 

(Note: Bucs opened at +900 on January 5) 

Jameis Winston team in Week 1 of 2020 regular season

Los Angeles Chargers +300

Carolina Panthers +400

Miami Dolphins +400

Washington Redskins +500

New England Patriots +600 

Chicago Bears +600

Jacksonville Jaguars +800

Indianapolis Colts +1000

New Orleans Saints +1400

Dallas Cowboys +2000

Andy Dalton team in Week 1 of 2020 regular season

Chicago Bears +300

New England Patriots +350

Los Angeles Chargers +500

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +600

Indianapolis Colts +600

Miami Dolphins +600

Dallas Cowboys +1000

New Orleans Saints +1200

Washington Redskins +1200

Jacksonville Jaguars +2000

Carolina Panthers +2000

Philip Rivers team in Week 1 of 2020 regular season

Indianapolis Colts -300 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +600 

Washington Redskins +800 

Cleveland Browns +1200 

Miami Dolphins +1200 

Carolina Panthers +1600 

Jacksonville Jaguars +1600

New England Patriots +1600 

Chicago Bears +2000

Dallas Cowboys +3300 

(Note: Colts opened at +300 on February 5) 

Melvin Gordon team in Week 1 of 2020 regular season

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +250

Atlanta Falcons +300

Miami Dolphins +300

Arizona Cardinals +600

Philadelphia Eagles +700

Indianapolis Colts +900

Pittsburgh Steelers +1000

Denver Broncos +1000

Chicago Bears +1400

Bet now at SportsBetting 

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