Oddsmakers see no clear-cut nCAAB Men’s title favorite

The pollsters and oddsmakers don’t always see eye to eye.

The first AP Poll for the upcoming men’s college basketball season was released today, and so were odds for the 2020-21 NCAA National Championship by U.S. sportsbooks. 

The poll has Gonzaga ranked No. 1, followed by Baylor, Villanova, Virginia and Iowa. 

At SportsBetting, the top spot on the betting board belongs to Villanova with 8/1 odds. Gonzaga is second at 9/1 while Iowa (10/1), Kentucky (10/1) and Baylor (12/1) round out the Top 5. 

Duke is No. 9 in the polls, but the Blue Devils have the same odds (15/1) as Virginia. 

Kentucky is 10th in the polls but tied for third in the odds. Kansas is 6th in the polls but tied for ninth in the odds.

Michigan State and Texas Tech are 13th and 14th, respectively, in the AP Poll, but they are tied for the eighth-best title odds overall. 

Below you will find the full list of NCAAM National Championship odds from SportsBetting 

Current odds that will be updated daily: 

National Championship Odds

Villanova 8/1
Gonzaga 9/1
Iowa 10/1
Kentucky 10/1
Baylor 12/1
Duke 15/1
Virginia 15/1
Michigan State 20/1
Texas Tech 20/1
Illinois 22/1
Kansas 22/1
Tennessee 22/1
North Carolina 25/1
Wisconsin 25/1
Florida State 28/1
Oregon 28/1
Creighton 33/1
Houston 33/1
Michigan 33/1
West Virginia 33/1
Arizona State 40/1
Florida 40/1
Indiana 40/1
Louisville 40/1
Ohio State 40/1
Texas 40/1
Arizona 50/1
Connecticut 50/1
Purdue 50/1
UCLA 50/1
Alabama 66/1
Arkansas 66/1
Auburn 66/1
LSU 66/1
San Diego State 66/1
Stanford 66/1
Colorado 80/1
Maryland 80/1
Memphis 80/1
Miami FL 80/1
Richmond 80/1
Rutgers 80/1
Seton Hall 80/1
USC 80/1
Butler 100/1
BYU 100/1
Clemson 100/1
Dayton 100/1
Marquette 100/1
Notre Dame 100/1
Oklahoma 100/1
Ole Miss 100/1
Penn State 100/1
Providence 100/1
SMU 100/1
St. Louis 100/1
Syracuse 100/1
Western Kentucky 100/1
Xavier 100/1
Georgetown 125/1
Iowa State 125/1
Northern Iowa 125/1
Washington 125/1
Wichita State 125/1
Cincinnati 150/1
DePaul 150/1
Georgia Tech 150/1
NC State 150/1
South Carolina 150/1
St. Johns 150/1
St. Mary’s CA 150/1
Texas A&M 150/1
UNLV 150/1
Utah 150/1
Utah State 150/1
Boston College 200/1
Davidson 200/1
Kansas State 200/1
Minnesota 200/1
Mississipi State 200/1
Missouri 200/1
Nebraska 200/1
Rhode Island 200/1
TCU 200/1
VCU 200/1
Virginia Tech 200/1
Boise State 250/1
Georgia 250/1
Pittsburgh 250/1
Temple 250/1
Vanderbilt 250/1
Wake Forest 250/1
California 500/1
Iona 500/1

Notre dame, clemson national title odds update off ot upset

Notre Dame saw its College Football Playoff championship chances increase after last night’s upset of Clemson.

However, Clemson still has better odds than the Irish in today’s updated CFP odds. The bookies assume if there is a rematch on a neutral field in the ACC title game with Trevor Lawrence under center, the Tigers will prevail. 

Alabama has moved into sole possession of the favorite spot while Ohio State is a close second. Undefeated teams such as BYU, Cincinnati, Liberty, Coastal Carolina and Marshall have also jumped up the list.

In terms of Heisman Trophy, Justin Fields leads the way with Mac Jones and Trevor Lawrence not far behind. 

The below odds are from SportsBetting Fractional odds are listed first in parentheses while the +/- American odds are listed second.


SportsBetting is a licensed sportsbook in Colorado —


CFP Odds (11/8/20)

Alabama (2/1) +200
Ohio State (9/4) +225
Clemson (3/1) +300
Notre Dame (10/1) +1000
Florida (14/1) +1400
BYU (35/1) +3500
Cincinnati (35/1) +3500
Wisconsin (40/1) +4000
Texas A&M (40/1) +4000
Oklahoma (50/1) +5000
Georgia (66/1) +6600
Oklahoma State (66/1) +6600
Oregon (66/1) +6600
Texas (66/1) +6600
USC (66/1) +6600
Coastal Carolina (100/1) +10000
Liberty (100/1) +10000
Indiana (100/1) +10000
Miami (FL) (100/1) +10000
Purdue (100/1) +10000
Marshall (150/1) +15000
Auburn (150/1) +15000
Northwestern (150/1) +15000
SMU (150/1) +15000
Iowa State (150/1) +15000
UCF (200/1) +20000
Utah (200/1) +20000
Arizona (250/1) +25000
Colorado (250/1) +25000
Iowa (250/1) +25000
Minnesota (250/1) +25000
North Carolina (250/1) +25000
Washington (250/1) +25000
Washington State (250/1) +25000
Appalachian State (500/1) +50000


Heisman Trophy odds

Justin Fields (3/2) +150
Mac Jones (7/4) +175
Trevor Lawrence (5/2) +250
Kyle Trask (5/1) +500
Zach Wilson (35/1) +3500
Kellen Mond (66/1) +6600

Free football pick Pittsburgh vs. fsu

7-2 Wise Guys, 28-9 named plays. Saturday: As CBS Total of the Year has been postponed, we now have 11 winners, four are Wise Guys college football Saturday.  Get the picks now  

PITTSBURGH +2 Florida State

  • The turbo-charged version of short road underdogs that you have heard about on satellite radio is 867-627-41
  • Pittsburgh winless road, FSU 2-1 SU home
    • Terrible road teams not getting more than 3 to a team good at home is 308-232-10
    • Includes 62 percent if they are on a four-game losing streak
  • Pitt QB Kenny Pickett is doubtful
  • Backup quarterback Joey Yellen got baptism by fire against Notre Dame and Miami but would face one of the worst secondaries in ACC
  • Pitt’s running game has been a bust. Thought they went five-deep but will go top heavy with Vincent Davis and AJ Davis

Pac 12 odds: win totals, qb battles, conference title

With the Pac-12 set to begin its 2020 season this Saturday, here are the updated odds for the conference champion, individual team victories and the remaining trio of quarterback battles from SportsBetting  

Additionally, since Steve Addazio won’t reveal a starting QB for Colorado State’s game tonight, SportsBetting, which is located in the Colorado, has also created odds for who will be under center against Wyoming.

Pac-12 Odds: 

Oregon +180
USC +200
Washington +500
Utah +700
Arizona State +850
Cal +2500
Washington State +2500
Stanford +2800
UCLA +2800
Arizona +5000
Oregon State +8000
Colorado +10000

Victory totals: 

Oregon
Over/Under 6 wins

USC
Over/Under 5.5 wins

Washington
Over/Under 4.5 wins

Utah
Over/Under 4.5 wins

Arizona State
Over/Under 4.5 wins

Cal
Over/Under 4.5 wins

Stanford
Over/Under 3.5 wins

UCLA
Over/Under 3.5 wins

Washington State
Over/Under 2 wins

Arizona
Over/Under 1.5 wins

Oregon State
Over/Under 1.5 wins

Colorado
Over/Under 1.5 wins

QB battles: 

Utah starting quarterback vs. Arizona
Jake Bentley -1100
Cameron Rising +675

Oregon starting quarterback vs. Stanford
Tyler Shough -1000
Anthony Brown +650

Washington starting quarterback at Cal
Kevin Thomson -200
Jacob Sirmon +150
Dylan Morris +800
Ethan Garbers +1200

Colorado State starting quarterback vs Wyoming
Todd Centeio +150
Patrick O’Brien -200

OffshoreInsiders.com has all the bets you need. 

49ers-Seahawks Free Sports Betting Pick

The Grandmaster is firing on all cylinders. 15-6 overall, 14-7 NFL, 7-3 football this week. The sharp bets both originate here and major syndicates have very similar systems and metrics. That’s why we release many winners early in week for best closing line value. Monday, we released WVU UNDER 48.5 and Navy +14.5. 7-1 Wise Guy plays. Lock in long-term.

Get nine NFL winners including Wise Guy on arguably the best game of the day, Pittsburg-Baltimore. Sides and totals are all part of the early stages of one of JDP’s historic runs.  Get the picks now

SAN FRANCISCO +3 Seattle

  • Then undefeated Seahawks blew 27-14 lead to Arizona
  • Teams off first loss in which blew a lead of more than a touchdown and a go-against of 9-2
  • Larger bubble burst angle is 67-39-4
  • Road underdogs of three or more who have been much better on road are 129-89
  • Jimmy Garoppolo 11-3 underdog
  • Both teams banged up, but Seattle with nine guys who could miss
    • All Pro S Jamal Adams doubtful
    • Top 3 RBs are questionable
  • Opened at 5, so not happy with line move

Panthers vs. Falcons Bettors’ View From Top NFL Wagering Handicapper

It may be an ugly game for non-bettors (if there is such a monster), but it’s a great opportunity for gamblers as the disappointing Atlanta Falcons take on the Carolina Panthers. Atlanta is 1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS, going over 4-3. Carolina is 3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS, splitting 3-3 on totals. Falcons WR Julio Jones has been on the injury report most of the season, but has been taken off,

Odds: Carolina is -2.5, though in some books at -115 or -120. The total is 48, though in a couple of shops barely juiced to the over as the under can be had for -105. Check out NFL live lines as the lines opened at -3 +100 and 51.5.

Public betting percentages: Bettors prefer Carolina with 63 percent of bets and 52 percent of cash on the home team. Sixty-six percent of bets and 69 percent of money are on the over.

Power ratings and computer simulations ATS and OU:: One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found 55 percent of simulation favor Atlanta with 64 percent going over. Another has Atlanta covering 53.3 percent of the time with 60.3 going under. Power ratings say Carolina should be -.5 and 50.5 with a 24-23 final expected in favor of Carolina.

Against the spread trends: Atlanta 2-8 after playing Lions, 6-22 after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, 6-1 road. Carolina 7-1 after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game, 3-8 favorites.

Over-under trends: Atlanta under 10-0 after playing Detroit but over 20-8 versus an opponent with a losing record. Series under 11-3.

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. And here we go! 13-7 NFL. Never, ever jump off the bandwagon of the greatest capper in history. Why do you think I’ve been a full-time handicapper since 1988? Thursday, NFL total.  Get the picks now

NFL Free Pick Patriots vs. Bills

The Grandmaster is firing on all cylinders. 15-6 overall, 14-7 NFL, 7-3 football this week. The sharp bets both originate here and major syndicates have very similar systems and metrics. That’s why we release many winners early in week for best closing line value. Monday, we released WVU UNDER 48.5 and Navy +14.5. 7-1 Wise Guy plays. Lock in long-term.

Get nine NFL winners including Wise Guy on arguably the best game of the day, Pittsburg-Baltimore. Sides and totals are all part of the early stages of one of JDP’s historic runs.  Get the picks now

NEW ENGLAND +3.5 Buffalo

  • Buffalo is 5-2 SU, New England 2-4 SU so records imply Buffalo is better team significantly
  • Yet only -3.5 at home
  • Team with substantially worse SU record is not getting more than four points on road 142-81-7 including 65.5 percent if not getting more than 3.5
  • Not sold on Josh Allen
    • Completed 70% or more 3 times, all in first 4 games
    • Almost did last week, but against Jets
    • 3 INTs last three, one first four
    • Prove to me he’s among elite
  • Buffalo 2 wins to Jets, one to Fins
  • Newton needs wakeup call
    • Took benching like a man

NFL Betting Primer Week 7

Everything bettors must know for NFL betting for Sunday, October 25.

Best teams to bet on according to margin of cover. Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.

Team ATS Record ATS margin
Miami 4-2 10.9
Pittsburgh 4-1 7.2
Arizona 4-2 6.7

Best teams to bet against in terms of margin of cover.

Team ATS Record ATS margin
NY Jets 0-6 -11.3
Dallas 0-6 -8.9
Jacksonville 2-4 -5.7

Best over teams based on average number of points they’ve gone over by

Team Over Record Over-Under margin
New Orleans 5-0 10.8
Dallas 4-2 10.7
Las Vegas 4-0-1 10.6
Tennessee 4-1 10.1

Best under teams based on average number of points they’ve gone under by

Team Under Record Over-Under margin
Arizona 6-0 -4.8
LA Rams 4-2 -4.1
NY Giants 5-2 -3.4

Sunday, 10 NFL winners led by Wise Guy from Joe Duffy’s Picks. Oh, last week Detroit wins as NFL GOY and yesterday Oklahoma UNDER as College Football Total of the Year.  Get the picks now

ATS Trends

  • Kansas City 13-2 all
  • Chargers 0-7 home favorites
  • Seattle 7-0 road favorites
  • Detroit 3-12 last 15

Over-Under trends

  • Pittsburgh under 36-8-2 road
  • Cleveland over 7-0 favorites

Injuries

  • Cardinals superstar WR DeAndre Hopkins is questionable
    • 47 catches, 601 yards, 2 TDs
  • Jets WR Jamison Crowder is doubtful
    • Already 29 catches for 383 yards, 2 TDs
  • Saints WR Emmanuel Crowder out
    • 26 catches, 304 yards, 2 TDs
  • Buffalo is down to one true TD, Tyler Croft with has 6 catches
  • Rams WR Robert Woods is probable for Monday
  • Pats WR Julian Edelman questionable
    • 20 catches for 302 yards
  • Jets QB Sam Darnold is probable
    • Another shaky year with 3 TD and 4 INT
    • See above, likely to be without top WR

Top consensus plays in terms of percent of bets: Green Bay (69), Dallas (64), Seattle (64) as the usual public love of road favorites keeps rolling along.

Top consensus plays in terms of percent of money: Green Bay (97), Tennessee (88), Seattle (84)

Free Pick Florida State-Louisville

Superstar Joe Duffy is off a great football betting weekend and has a ton more coming up at OffshoreInsiders.com Here is a free play.

FLORIDA STATE +5 Louisville

  • The turbo-charged version of short road underdogs that you have heard about on satellite radio is 824-698-44
  • Home teams off bad offensive games are a go-against of 262-169-14
    • Louisville scored seven points to ND
  • Fading home teams off three straight road losses is 132-90-2
  • Don’t like that they are a trendy dog with 69 percent of bets
  • FSU OL showing progress and with Jordan Travis at QB, he buys time with his mobility
    • Banged up but probable
  • Cards literally have alternated solid defensive games with horrible ones
    • Last week allowed 12 to ND after allowing 46 to GA Tech
    • Likely to come up with a thud

Bills-Chiefs Betting Preview Written By Pro Gambler For Serious Whale Bettors

The Kansas City Chiefs take on the Buffalo Bills on Monday evening football in a start time made possible thanks to the disaster that is 2020. Each team is 4-1 SU and 3-2 in the back pocket. As the over-under is concerned, KC is 2-2-1 but Buffalo is 4-0-1 to the over. In fact, each team is off their first loss of the season. Teams off a loss in a game in which they were laying at least 9.5 bounce back to the tune of 101-72-5, though only 2-5 the last seven. This includes 63-40 on the road. This super system favors the Chiefs. Teams with at least three wins and off their first loss, when it is a blowout of 25 or more points, are 0-6 ats since 1992. That would say to fade Buffalo and bet on KC. Home underdogs with a winning percentage of .800 or better are 61-40-3. This would favor Buffalo.

Odds: The Chiefs opened up at -3.5 and 58, but are up to -5.5, though the total has dropped to 55.5.

Public betting percentages: As is almost always the case, the public is betting the road favorite with 64 percent of bets and 87 percent of cash on KC. A slight majority of 55 percent of tickets are on the over, with 52 percent of money on under.

Power ratings: The premier power ratings say Kansas City should be -6.5 and 50.5 with a projected final of the Chiefs winning 28-21.

Computer simulations ATS and OU: One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found KC covering the -5.5 by 51 percent, with 62 percent going under the 55.5. Their projected final is 29-22 in favor of the road teams. The other elite simulator has KC covering 53.9 percent of the time with 56.6 percent exceeding the total. Their game projection has KC winning by an average of 32.8-26.3.

Against the spread trends: Kansas City is 8-1 versus an opponent with a winning record. Buffalo is 6-2 versus an opponent with a winning record. Buffalo 7-3 series.

Over-under trends: KC over 11-4 after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. Promised made, promises delivered does it again. The outlier start that could only happen in 2020 is behind us. Winning days Saturday and Sunday, including 7-1 Sunday, sweeping Wise Guys led by NFL Game of the Year Detroit in a beatdown. In fact, the only NFL winner we had to sweat was big underdog Bengals blowing a 21-point lead but holding on.

5 ET NFL side. We told you we are about to explode and here we are. Together!  Get the picks now

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