A nice 9-1 last night as the pros just keep winning. Massive sale today: monthly package extended to 45 days! For those not yet on board, commence the rest of your betting life with Wednesday Small Conference Game of the Year among five college basketball sides, plus two NBA totals and four NBA player props.For those who demand the best life has to offer! Rare NHL Wise Guy added. All at top sports betting site.
Big dogs in revenge of a blowout loss are 226-153-7, with the winning percentage 60.2 since 2021. Big dogs in slump regress towards the mean and are undervalued at 389-269-7.
Don’t believe in AI and advanced analytics? Okay, we will just keep winning if you don’t mind. 9-1 last night as insane winning in all sports rolls along. To celebrate, today only, monthly package is extended to 45 days, Wednesday, February 28, 2024.
Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.
CBB
Wise Guy
WISCONSIN -4.5 Indiana
Medium range favorites that won the initial same-series meeting are 243-166-14.
MASSACHUSETTES -7.5 George Washington
Medium range favorites that won the initial same-series meeting are 243-166-14.
Major
NORTHERN ILLINOIS +14.5 Toledo
Big struggling dogs in revenge of a blowout loss is 223-153-7. Big dog in slump over last several games regress towards the mean and is undervalued at 388-269-7. Combo of conference dog and regress towards the mean angles is 108-60.
VALPARAISO +15.5 Northern Iowa
Big struggling dogs in revenge of a blowout loss is 223-153-7.
SAN JOSE STATE +22.5 San Diego State
Big conference dogs undervalued off a bad ATS game are 477-382-14 including 59.8 percent since 2021, 16-4 last 20. Our top simulator did 10,000 replays of this game and our pick is covering at 67 percent, losing by an average of just 13 points per game.
NBA
Wise Guy
Milwaukee-Charlotte UNDER 220.5
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1582-1186-86. Combo of splits and turbo under angle goes under 91-40-6.
Major
New Orleans-New York UNDER 218.5
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1582-1186-86.
Miami-Portland UNDER 213
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1582-1186-86.
NEW ORLEANS -2.5 New York
When a line is counterintuitive to points per game margin go with what the oddsmakers are telling us is 804-540-28. Anti-splits angle combined with away favorites off a loss is 336-218-5.
GOLDEN STATE -10.5 Washington
Fade big home dogs if not off a low scoring game and with a substantial amount of rest and neither team has an extreme winning percentage is 791-574-32.
Prop bets are counted separate from our overall record and are .20 of a Wise Guy.
Prop bets
Jarrett Allen UNDER 18.5 points (Dal-Cle)
Donovan Mitchell OVER 30.5 points+assists (Dal-Cle)
Draymond Green OVER 12.5 rebounds+assists (GS-Was)
John Collins OVER 23.5 points+rebounds (Uta-Atl)
Jalen Brunson UNDER 42.5 points+assists+rebounds (NO-NY)
Get ready to hit the jackpot with Joe Duffy’s Picks! Score 11 days of winning tips for the price of just seven – that’s four extra days of winning magic! Don’t miss out on this weekly pick pack special offer, available today only! Yale continued the fire as a Wise Guy, conquering the college basketball scene with back-to-back wins. Buckle up for two epic conference Games of the Year showdowns from the Mid-Eastern and Big Sky Conferences– the thrill is just getting started as I have seven Wise Guys in all.Each backed by that insane system in a 15-1 run. We also have a Major.
The seven Wise Guys is far and away a season high. We can’t ignore a 15-1 explosion of a great system! All at OffshoreInsiders.com
Free pick for today:
IUPUI +20 Oakland
You have to be willing to bet on teams nobody else wants to to be a pro bettor. Big struggling dogs in revenge of a blowout loss are 207-148. Big conference dogs are undervalued off a horrible ATS game at 461-377. We have some other regression towards mean angles and going with terrible teams playing on road.
When NBA teams return from the All-Star break in a week, they will have less than 30 games left to secure or improve their playoff positions. Check out the winning bets at OffshoreInsiders.com
Comparing the current odds to the preseason, it’s evident that the Thunder, Timberwolves, Knicks, and Cavs have exceeded expectations. On the other hand, the Grizzlies stand out as underachievers, while the Lakers and Warriors have had average performances and are not favored to make the playoffs currently (excluding play-in tourney). See below for the latest NBA Championship, conference, and division odds from SportsBetting. Note that the Atlantic Division is not included due to the Celtics having over a 95% chance of maintaining their lead.
Now wait just a damn minute here. Minnesota is 8-2 SU and getting more than the normal home court advantage number of points to a team 4-6 SU, including 1-4 at home? Again, so many of our systems say use the oddsmakers’ knowledge against them. Legendary oddsmaker Roxy Roxborough always said, “Handicap the lines, not the teams.” That is essentially the secret to my success over the decades.
Perhaps the biggest football weeknight portfolio is tonight, with two college football sides and a total. I upgraded one side to a Wise Guy.Must see why.I sweep NBA again, 4-0 and I’m now 45-28 for the season! I’m on a 13-5 basketball run overall, off yet another winning night in college.
Five NBA led by a Wise Guy, three college hoop winners.
Step right up and witness the amazing Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, in action! With an impressive record of 84-50 in the NFL, including preseason, he’s already cashed in on the Bears UNDER during the last Thursday night game. He’s got a whopping five Sunday NFL Wise Guys, not to mention two Majors, and the pièce de résistance: the MNF Game of the Year! You can catch all the action at OffshoreInsiders.com, where you’ll be in the hands of the top sports bettor of your lifetime!
Since 2017, low totals go under 25-6-1. With widespread legalization of gambling, squares play a bigger factor than ever and hate betting unders, especially with a very low total. It’s no coincidence the value is in such situations.
Who is the public betting on Saturday, November 4, 2023? Get contrarian betting, betting splits, sharp versus square moves and more.
🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: LA Tech, SMU, Iowa State; Missouri OVER
🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: SMU, LA Tech; Missouri OVER, Old Dominion UNDER, Minnesota UNDER
🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have the highest percent of cash compared to bets: Southern Miss, Tulane; Old Dominion UNDER
🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: GA Southern -1.5 to +2.5; Old Dominion +2 to -1.5
💰💰💰Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy: All Wise Guys 2 ET or later!The Grandmaster has dealt the first wave of winning cards for this week’s gridiron cash-grabbers. Friday night will be even more thrilling with a Game of the Year and a college football Major. Get ready for a wicked weekend as Saturday brings you a whopping 10 Wise Guys including 9 sides (the highest in nine years!) backed by a system that’s been acing it for ages. As if that wasn’t enough, you’ll also snag five college football Majors on Saturday!
I caught a soundbite promo on BetQL that made me chuckle: “I noticed that teams who play Ohio State this year end up not covering the next week.” Surprise, surprise, the same catchy phrase was spouted about the Philadelphia Eagles as. But, hold up, where are the receipts? No data or evidence to back up this fake news. Sorry, buddy, but that “brilliant observation” is just pure fiction.
Um, ATS records in ’23 after playing:
OH State 3-3
Eagles 3-3-1
But, it got me thinking, which teams have been slaying and which ones have been slacking at least insofar as how foes do after clashing with them? Let’s kick things off with the NFL, and of course, let’s keep our focus on ATS records.
Worst records after playing:
Dallas 0-6
Tampa 1-4-1
New Orleans 2-5
Detroit 2-5
Las Vegas 2-5
Best records after playing:
Jacksonville 6-2
Minnesota 5-2
Atlanta 5-2-1
Onward to the college gridiron.
Worst after playing:
UNLV 1-5
Old Dominion 1-5
James Madison 1-5
Clemson 1-5
Best after playing:
Bowling Green 6-0-1
Mississippi 6-0
Utah State 6-1
Charlotte, Iowa State, Northwestern, Tulsa, and Washington State all: 5-1.
The takeaway? Starting with evidence-based data is always a smart move. And that’s precisely what you’ll find at OffshoreInsiders.com.
Get ready for a spicy serving of college football tips from our sizzling-hot betting guru, Joe Duffy, as he dishes out a free pick for the prime-time game on Fox: Utah at UCLA. With the USC line set at -7 and a total of 56 at MYBookie, get ready to score big with Joe’s expert insights.
UTAH +7 Southern Cal
One of the bubble burst angles pertains to fading teams after a devastating loss. We have several versions of this strategy, each with slightly different metrics, yet all exhibiting remarkable outcomes. This particular angle has a record of 94 wins, 27 losses, and 4 ties. However, it’s important to note that it’s currently experiencing its first-ever slump, and therefore, may not be a premium bet at this time.
💰💰💰Top expert pick: We’re dominating the season, with a 63.73 percent win rate of 62-35 in the NFL. Our team is excited to announce this week’s first wave of college football winners!
Don’t miss out on our Tuesday and Thursday picks, and be sure to check out our four Wise Guys and 13 Majors for Saturday. Get ready to make some brilliant bets with us this week too. In the epic saga of sports betting, no one slays the game quite like Joe Duffy does with the NFL! Get ready for a thrill ride with a Sunday Night Football Game of the Year and a double dose of Sunday Wise Guy bets, all while wearing your lucky jersey. Plus, there are 10 NFL Majors waiting to be conquered! MNF too. All at Joe Duffy’s Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com
Ace gamblers are crushing it this season, all thanks to Joe Duffy’s Picks, boasting a whopping 127-94 score in football and 62-35 in NFL at OffshoreInsiders.com. A big chunk of their success hinges on top-notch intel, including the legendary ATS standings, aka the sweat barometer.
Best teams to bet on this season, ranked by margin of cover.
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
Oklahoma
6-0
13
UNLV
6-0
12.3
Arizona
6-1
10.9
Oregon
5-0-1
10
Duke
4-2
9.9
Penn State
6-0
9.4
Worst teams ATS this season or the best teams to bet against ranked by margin of cover.
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
Baylor
1-4-1
-14.6
Temple
1-6
-11.7
Southern Miss
1-5
-9.8
Minnesota
1-5
-8.8
Note this, sports fans: No team is walking away empty-handed ATS this season. But, let’s face it, Vanderbilt at 1-7 and Illinois at 1-6 are definitely not living their best lives.
Best over teams in college football this season ranked by OU margin.
Team
OU Record (overs-under)
OU margin
Utah State
6-1
16.9
LSU
7-0
15.8
UMass
7-1
14.6
New Mexico
5-1
12.8
Other teams that have gone over every game including Boston College at 5-0-1, Vanderbilt 8-0, but each by single digit margins.
Biggest under teams.
Team
OU Record (overs-under)
OU margin
Ohio
1-5
-12.9
Ohio State
1-5
-12.1
Utah
1-5
-11.4
UCLA
2-4
-11.1
SMU
1-5
-10.3
No team has gone under every game.
Veteran cappers have a secret weapon up their sleeve: the margin of cover. It’s a sneaky little tool used to measure the trustworthiness of those ATS and OU records that can be oh-so-tricky. Think of it as margin of victory, but with a twist- it’s measured against the point spread or OU. And speaking of OU, they list the “overs” first (just in case you’re scratching your head over that one). Some novices call this the sweat barometer. Just don’t call me late for dinner.
💰💰💰Top expert pick: We’re dominating the season, with a 63.73 percent win rate of 62-35 in the NFL. Our team is excited to announce this week’s first wave of college football winners!
Don’t miss out on our Tuesday and Thursday picks, and be sure to check out our four Wise Guys and 13 Majors for Saturday. Get ready to make some brilliant bets with us this week too. In the epic saga of sports betting, no one slays the game quite like Joe Duffy does with the NFL! Get ready for a thrill ride with a Sunday Night Football Game of the Year and a double dose of Sunday Wise Guy bets, all while wearing your lucky jersey. Plus, there are 10 NFL Majors waiting to be conquered! MNF too. All at Joe Duffy’s Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com
Get ready to cheer, sports fans! It’s time for a colossal sale and a season of epic moments. From the MLB playoffs to a football frenzy played out every night until November 22, adrenaline junkies will be in their element. Plus, the NBA is set to start next Tuesday. Can’t wait to jump into the action? For a short time only, get a whopping 25 extra days added to your 100-day pick pack. Don’t miss out!
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