What Pro Bettors Must Know For Week 4 NFL Picks

Beat the bookies at BovadaMyBookie, and Bet Now with this very sharp gambling intel for NFL week 4 picks.

Advanced analytics are tearing the bookmakers to shreds. I am now 16-6 in football and off a 10-4 NFL week. This is no surprise. I’ve been exceeding promises for 33 years. Thursday, I have NFL and college Wise Guy bets on the sides, and a Major play college total. Get the picks now 

****Friday, I have Wise Guy and Major in college football. Saturday, Conference USA West Total of the Year is among five Wise Guys in college football. Sunday, five NFL Wise Guys, two Majors. As long as you have a package that includes Monday you can access all week’s picks. So get Bet it Trinity or Joe Duffy’s Picks (includes football only weekly) five-day pick pack or longer.

Best NFL Spread Teams to Bet on and Fade; Top Football Over and Under Teams

Top NFL teams to bet on and against based on margin of cover. Joe Duffy already has a big weekend up and is on fire at OffshoreInsiders.com    

These have been the best teams to bet on:

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
New Orleans 2-1+11.5
Buffalo 2-1+11
Denver 3-0+10.2

 Top teams to fade:

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
Atlanta 1-2-11.3
New York Jets 0-3-10.2

 Top over teams based on margin

Team       OU Record (overs-under)                                         OU margin
Kansas City 2-1+7.8

Top under teams based on margin

Team       OU Record (overs-under)                                         OU margin
NY Jets0-3-13.2
LA Chargers0-3-9.5
New England 0-3-8.2
New Orleans 0-3-7.5

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Best and worst Sweat Barometer teams in college football ATS, OU

Bet teams in college football to bet on based on margin of cover, AKA sweat barometer. This list compiled by OffshoreInsiders.com home of the greatest and hottest capper ever Joe Duffy. Advanced analytics are tearing the bookmakers to shreds. I am now 16-6 in football and off a 10-4 NFL week. This is no surprise. I’ve been exceeding promises for 33 years. Wise Guy college football bets Thursday, Friday, and five Saturday among nine college football winners so far. NFL coming! 

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
Bowling Green4-0+17.6
Rutgers 4-0+16.4
Georgia 3-1+14.5
Ole Miss2-0-1+12
From OffshoreInsiders.com

Now the best teams to bet against.

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
Ball State0-4-15.2
From OffshoreInsiders.com

Top over teams:

Team       OU Record (overs-under)                                         OU margin
WKU 3-0+14.7
Texas Tech2-2+14.4
From OffshoreInsiders.com

Top under teams:

Team       OU Record (overs-under)                                         OU margin
San Jose State1-3-22.5
Texas A&M0-4-20.5
Purdue 0-4-18.2
North Texas0-4-18.1
Clemson 1-3-17.9
From OffshoreInsiders.com

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

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There is a New Favorite For NFL MVP; Guess Who?

At 44 years young, Tom Brady and his Bucs are outplaying Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, and the oddsmakers have taken notice.

SportsBetting  updated NFL awards odds for MVP, Offensive/Defensive ROY, Defensive POY, Comeback POY and Coach of the Year. 

Mahomes entered the season as the MVP favorite and carried that through Week 1, but after the Chiefs’ loss to Baltimore, the old man has moved past the youngster on the odds board. Mahomes has actually slipped to third behind Kyler Murray.

The Top 10 for each category is listed below. 


Tom Brady                  +450

Kyler Murray               +550

Patrick Mahomes        +575

Aaron Rodgers            +1200

Josh Allen                    +1200

Matthew Stafford       +1200

Russell Wilson             +1200

Dak Prescott               +1400

Lamar Jackson            +1600

Derek Carr                   +2000

Justin Herbert             +2800

Baker Mayfield            +4000

Christian McCaffrey    +4500

Offensive ROY

Mac Jones                   +250

Justin Fields                +450

Trevor Lawrence         +600

Najee Harris                +750

Ja’Marr Chase             +900

Trey Lance                   +1200

DeVonta Smith            +1400

Zach Wilson                +1400

Davis Mills                   +1600

Rondale Moore           +1600

Kyle Pitts                     +1800

Jaylen Waddle            +2500

Defensive ROY

Patrick Surtain II         +450

Micah Parsons            +475

Gregory Rousseau      +900

Jamin Davis                 +900

Jayson Oweh               +900

J. Owusu-Koramoah   +900

Jaycee Horn                +1100

Asante Samuel Jr.       +1200

Azeez Ojulari               +1200

Zaven Collins               +1200

Jaelan Phillips             +1600

Kwity Paye                  +1600

Defensive POY

Aaron Donald              +550

Myles Garrett              +700

Chandler Jones           +900

TJ Watt                        +900

Chase Young               +1600

Devin White                +1600

Jalen Ramsey              +1600

Nick Bosa                    +1600

Chris Jones (KC)          +2000

Joey Bosa                    +2000

Derwin James             +2500

Bobby Wagner            +2800

Comeback POY

Dak Prescott               +110

Christian McCaffrey    +550

Jameis Winston           +900

Joe Burrow                  +900

Chandler Jones           +1200

Jimmy Garoppolo       +1400

Nick Bosa                    +1600

Sam Darnold               +1600

Derwin James             +2000

Saquon Barkley           +2000

Von Miller                   +2000

Coach of the Year

Kyle Shanahan            +750

Sean McVay                +900

Brandon Staley           +1200

Jon Gruden                 +1200

Matt Rhule                  +1200

Sean McDermott        +1200

Bill Belichick                +1400

Kliff Kingsbury             +1400

Sean Payton                +1600

Vic Fangio                   +1600

Brian Flores                 +1800

David Culley                +2000

Shocking New Heisman 2021 Frontrunner; 2 one-loss teams Among top 4 Title Odds

Could this year’s Heisman Trophy go to a player not on a title-contending team?

In the latest Heisman odds from SportsBetting  Ole Miss quarterback Matt Corral has moved in front of Alabama signal caller Bryce Young to take over the top spot. 

Corral entered the season with 25-1 Heisman odds. Through three games, he’s completed 68.8% of his passes for 997 yards with nine touchdowns and no interceptions. 

Ole Miss is undefeated so Lane Kiffin’s squad is still in the CFP National Championship picture, but the Rebels’ current 50-1 odds suggest their chances are still very long. Ole Miss had 100-1 odds going in to Saturday.

Spencer Rattler, the preseason Heisman favorite, has seen his odds fall to 10-1. 

The top 10 teams in the country prevailed over the weekend so there wasn’t a ton of shakeup in terms of the national title odds. 

Alabama and Georgia separated themselves from the pack a bit more after lackluster victories by Clemson and Oklahoma. 

Penn State’s odds moved from 40-1 to 25-1 following the Auburn game.

Heisman Trophy Odds

Matt Corral – Ole Miss                        7-4       (+175)

Bryce Young – Alabama                       3-1       (+300)

Spencer Rattler – Oklahoma               10-1     

CJ Stroud – Ohio State                         16-1     

CJ Verdell – Oregon                             16-1     

Desmond Ridder – Cincinnati              16-1     

JT Daniels – Georgia                            18-1     

Malik Willis – Liberty                           20-1     

Sam Howell – UNC                               20-1     

TreVeyon Henderson – Ohio State      33-1     

Bijan Robinson – Texas                        40-1     

D.J. Uiagalelei – Clemson                    40-1     

Kenneth Walker III – Michigan State   40-1     

Anthony Brown – Oregon                   50-1     

Brian Robinson Jr. – Alabama             50-1     

Emory Jones – Florida                         50-1     

Sean Clifford – Penn State                   50-1     

Dorian Thompson-Robinson – UCLA   66-1     

Taulia Tagovailoa – Maryland             66-1     

D’Eriq King – Miami                             80-1     

Jack Coan – Notre Dame                     80-1     

Jayden Daniels – Arizona State           80-1     

John Metchie III – Alabama                 80-1     

Tank Bigsby – Auburn                          80-1     

Anthony Richardson – Florida             100-1   

Breece Hall – Iowa State                     100-1   

Grayson McCall – Coastal Carolina     100-1   

Kyren Williams – Notre Dame             100-1   

Tyler Shough – Texas Tech                  100-1   

Bo Nix – Auburn                                  150-1   

Top 30 CFP Odds

Alabama                      2-1

Georgia                       5-2

Clemson                      10-1

Ohio State                   10-1

Oklahoma                   10-1

Oregon                        16-1

Penn State                  25-1

Texas A&M                 25-1

Michigan                     40-1

Cincinnati                    50-1

Iowa                            50-1

Notre Dame                50-1

Ole Miss                      50-1

Florida                         66-1

Iowa State                   80-1

Miami                          80-1

LSU                              100-1

Michigan State            125-1

North Carolina            125-1

Texas                           125-1

Wisconsin                   125-1

Auburn                        150-1

UCLA                           150-1

USC                             150-1

West Virginia              175-1

Arkansas                     200-1

BYU                             200-1

Kansas State                200-1

Kentucky                     200-1

Oklahoma State          200-1

Virginia Tech               200-1

Joe Duffy is the top football handicapper to ever walk Earth and no sane person will argue. Get his picks at OffshoreInsiders.com  

College Football Free PIck

Joe Duffy has four Saturday college football (more coming) two Wise Guys led by ABC Interconfernce Total of the Year. Seven NFL. Get them at OffshoreInsiders.com    


Huge momentum angle based on teams off rout wins. Yes, Tech also off 28-point win, but that’s a bit short of our threshold and it is even better if team we are betting on is a big home favorite. Plus, though if Clemson runs the table, they are still very likely in the playoffs, it’s too early to assume. Clemson already in style points territory. 

Look for Clemson to leave offensive starters in a long time after scoring just three in their only game against Power 5 team. Tech lost to Northern Illinois. Of course Clemson lost a ton from last year on offense, but they are infinitely better and have reasons to run it up. 

NFL Week 2 Podcast For Professional Sports Gamblers

Joe Duffy, the leader in betting analytics breaks down ATS trends for many games including Chiefs-Ravens, Rams-Colts, 49ers-Eagles, Titans-Seahawks, Raiders-Steelers, Bills-Dolphins, Patriots-Jets, Cowboys-Chargers, Saints-Panthers, are among the big games for week 2 NFL picks. 

Two Friday sides, four Saturday college football, two Wise Guys led by ABC Interconfernce Total of the Year. Seven NFL Sunday from Joe Duffy of PicksDepot.com Since 1988, no handicapper has dominated any sport the way Joe Duffy has the NFL. This is indisputable. PicksDepot.com

NFL Prop Bets: Take Major Advantage of Oddsmaker Overreaction Now

Week 1 of the NFL regular season is in the books, but plenty of storylines emerged from the action on the field. 

SportsBetting  has rolled out a host of prop bets to accompany some of the hottest topics circulating in the league. If you have any odds requests, please don’t hesitate to reach out.

Will Patrick Mahomes lose a game in September?

Yes -120

No -120

(Mahomes is 11-0 in 11 September starts during his career.)

Will Patrick Mahomes throw an INT in September?

Yes -150

No +110

(Mahomes has never thrown an INT during the month of September.)

Will Chandler Jones break Michael Strahan’s sack record?

Yes +700

No -2000

(Jones recorded 5 sacks in Week 1. Strahan’s record is 22.5. Odds imply 12.5% chance record is broken.)

Will Trevor Lawrence break Peyton Manning’s rookie INT record

Yes +1000

No -4000

(Lawrence threw 3 INTs in Week 1, putting him on pace to throw 51 in 17 games. Manning’s record is 28 INTs. Odds imply 9.1% chance record is broken.)

Will Trevor Lawrence lead the league in INTs?

Yes +500

No -900

(Odds imply 16.7% chance Lawrence leads the league in INTs.)

Trevor Lawrence total INTs during reg. season

Over 18.5

Under 18.5

Which player will start a game first?

Justin Fields -300

Trey Lance +200

Who will have a higher QB rating at end of season?

Jalen Hurts -140

Carson Wentz +100

First Head Coach Fired

Urban Meyer              7-2

Matt Nagy                   4-1

Mike Zimmer              9-2

Joe Judge                    9-1

Vic Fangio                   12-1

Kliff Kingsbury             14-1

Mike McCarthy           14-1

Zac Taylor                   14-1

Frank Reich                 20-1

Dan Campbell             25-1

Jon Gruden                 25-1

Mike Tomlin                25-1

Mike Vrabel                25-1

Ron Rivera                   25-1

David Culley                28-1

Matt Rhule                  40-1

Sean Payton                40-1

Arthur Smith               50-1

John Harbaugh            50-1

Matt LaFleur               50-1

Robert Saleh               50-1

Brian Flores                 66-1

Kyle Shanahan            66-1

Nick Sirianni                66-1

Pete Carroll                 66-1

Brandon Staley           80-1

Sean McVay                80-1

Bill Belichick                100-1

Kevin Stefanski            100-1

Sean McDermott        100-1

Andy Reid                    200-1

Bruce Arians                200-1

Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com is the Industry Standard. He already has a bunch of winners up for the weekend. 

Saints Rout Leads List of overreaction to Week 1 Results; Updated SUper Bowl Odds

Aaron Rodgers wasn’t telling Packers fans to “relax” after Sunday’s dismal performance against New Orleans, and the oddsmakers mildly took notice of the man who may not be fully committed to playing out this season.

The Super Bowl odds board at SportsBetting  remained top heavy with many of the favorites (Chiefs, Bucs, Rams, 49ers) pulling out victories in Week 1, but there was some shakeup in the second tier of contenders.

Green Bay slid out of the favorites and into that second tier with 18-1 odds. The Steelers, Seahawks and Saints greatly improved their Super Bowl odds positions with quality Week 1 victories.

Below are the notable movements, as well as the current championship odds. Other teams’ odds moved very little or not at all.

Packers: 11-1 to 18-1

Saints: 35-1 to 20-1

Steelers: 40-1 to 28-1

Seahawks: 24-1 to 18-1

Eagles: 125-1 to 66-1

Super Bowl LVI

Kansas City Chiefs                   5-1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers           11-2

Los Angeles Rams                   12-1

San Francisco 49ers                12-1

Buffalo Bills                             14-1

Baltimore Ravens                    16-1

Cleveland Browns                   16-1

Green Bay Packers                  18-1

Seattle Seahawks                    18-1

New Orleans Saints                 20-1

Los Angeles Chargers              28-1

Pittsburgh Steelers                 28-1

Arizona Cardinals                    33-1

Tennessee Titans                    33-1

Dallas Cowboys                       35-1

New England Patriots             35-1

Denver Broncos                      40-1

Miami Dolphins                      40-1

Indianapolis Colts                   45-1

Minnesota Vikings                  50-1

Philadelphia Eagles                 66-1

Washington Football Team    66-1

Carolina Panthers                   80-1

Chicago Bears                         80-1

Las Vegas Raiders                   80-1

Atlanta Falcons                       100-1

Cincinnati Bengals                  100-1

New York Giants                     100-1

Houston Texans                      200-1

Jacksonville Jaguars                200-1

New York Jets                         200-1

Detroit Lions                           250-1

Want picks from the best NFL handicapper in history? That’s Joe Duffy and get the picks at OffshoreInsiders.com  

Ohio State, Clemson Losses Cause Seismic Shift from Preseason Title Odds

While Alabama and Georgia have separated themselves from the rest of the country in terms of CFP Championship odds, there’s been a ton of volatility below the top two through two weeks of the regular season. 

SportsBetting reset its college football title odds Sunday morning. The Tide and Bulldogs are the overwhelming favorites, but take a look at some of the early-season movement for the rest of the contenders.

Title Odds Changes After Week 1

Georgia 8-1 to 4-1

Clemson 4-1 to 7-1

Notre Dame 20-1 to 50-1

Oklahoma 7-1 to 8-1

Ohio State 9-1 to 6-1

Penn State 100-1 to 50-1

LSU 30-1 to 50-1

Title Odds Changes After Week 2

Ohio State 6-1 to 10-1

Oregon 40-1 to 12-1

Texas A&M 15-1 to 20-1

Iowa State 25-1 to 80-1

Iowa 100-1 to 50-1

Penn State 50-1 to 40-1

USC 50-1 to 150-1

Texas 50-1 to 100-1

Arkansas 500-1 to 300-1

Best winning picks are daily on OffshoreInsiders.com