Another 3-0 Sweep From No. 1 Sports Service Since Scorephone Days of 1988

A nice 3-0 sweep with two underdogs is the beginning of promised delivered. We have already nailed three straight NBA picks, all Wise Guys. Now with so much data in, we know the best is yet to come in MLB. Example:



SAN DIEGO (STULTS -121) Arizona (Cahill)

San Diego has won 5-of-7.  Trevor Cahill has a 7.94 ERA in his last four starts. His last three it is 8.64 with a 1.860 WHIP. In 13 starts Eric Stults has 1.151 WHIP. Last three starts his ERA and WHIP are 1.64 and 0.727.  In six starts to the Diamondbacks he has an ERA of 3.19 and a WHIP of 1.146.

Arizona is coming off quite the emotional series with LA, so this is a great spot for a letdown. San Diego (32-34) is 27-19 since its 5-15 start. They are 18-7 at home.

KANSAS CITY (MENDOZA +151) Tampa (Moore)

Matt Moore has hit the wall. After starting out 10-1 in his starts, the Rays have dropped his last two. He has been plastered for 14 runs, all but one earned, in just 13 IP in that period. His WHIP is an absurd 3.571 in those two starts.  Moore went 8-0 with a 2.18 ERA in his first 11 starts. He may be the leading regression to the mean pitcher in MLB right now.

Luis Mendoza is one of those pitchers who is better on the road with 3.03 ERA and 1.213 WHIP.  Last four starts his ERA is 2.04, giving up no unearned runs. For the last several years, we have always specified pitchers unless otherwise noted, but this game definitely screams of an overvalued hurler.

TORONTO (BUERHLE +121) Texas (Grimm)

This is a sharp versus square, which is when our Vegas, offshore, and outlaw contacts tell us the majority of sharp money is betting one team, the square money the other. We go with the smart money as contrarian betting is used by many professional gamblers.

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Winningest Sports Handicapper Begins Unstoppable Tear Again

Yesterday, you were told, “There are so many stunning angles that make tonight one of the strongest cards of any in 2013.” Promises made, promises delivered goes 5-1 with Houston +163 winning, plus underdog Oakland as the MLB Game of the Month winning 10-2. Oh, we hit the only play Sunday, also Oakland as a Wise Guy, hence make us 6-1 the last two days.

In MLB we are 15-9 with Wise Guys but the biggest juice we laid on a loser was (-109). Along the way we have had winners of +132, +177, and the previously alluded to +163.

Here is an example of the kind of insight you get every day:


Wise Guy

MIAMI -7 Indiana

We will grant you, we have had many better NBA postseasons. However, that super bounce back angle continues to thrive in betting home faves in the playoffs off off a double-digit road loss is now 66-41 covering for you and me the last four.

Also, with the back to the wall, look for one of the most talented teams in history to respond in big fashion.


Indiana-Miami UNDER 180.5

This is a competitor consensus. If we have a lean one way and one of the few sports services or sources we respect has a big pick on a certain side, we pass along as a competitor consensus.


Wise Guy

HOUSTON (BEDARD +163) LA Angels (Blanton)

Houston is sizzling, winning five in a row +10.5 units. LA has lost three straight and 5-of-7. The Halos are hitting just .239 with an OBP of .291 their last seven games. Erik Bedard has not exactly been Cy Young, but he has gone four straight starts giving up two runs or less, including unearned.

LA is 2-9 with fat Joe Blanton -8.8 units. This includes 1-4 at home -4 units and his ERA is 7.39 with a 2.143 WHIP in Anaheim. The Astros are 6-3 +8.9 unit in the series meetings this season.  Houston is +6.6 units on the road.  Cal is hitting .218 and scoring seven runs in losing the first three games of this series.

The Angels are 2-11 versus an opponent that is outscored by at least one run per game for -16.2 units. Last five games Houston has a slugging percentage .060 higher than the big chalks.

Houston 5-0 versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Anaheim is 3-13 versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .400 or less.

OAKLAND (MILONE +105) Milwaukee (Estrada)

MLB Game of the Month

Oakland is a stunning 14-2 the last 16. Athletics are 21-5 in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Milwaukee is 7-23 overall and 0-11 as favorites of 150 or less.

Oakland has won three straight with Milone. Marco Estrada has a substantially worse numbers at home than on the road. While his road ERA is an okay 3.48, at home it is a rancid 7.18. His home WHIP is 1.56, which is .40 higher than on the road.


MIAMI (KOEHLER +170) Philadelphia (Kendrick)

Kyle Kendrick is regressing to his mean. The journeyman got off to a fine start, but has a 1.824 WHIP in his last three starts. Miami has won three straight +4.3 units.  The Phils have dropped 3-of-4.

Going with a team winning percentage of .380 or less, underdogs of 125-175 off a win as an underdog to a divisional team

SEATTLE (SAUNDERS -113) White Sox (Danks)

Talk about compelling splits, the home team is 9-2 in Joe Saunders starts.  His home ERA and WHIP are 2.41 and 1.040. Compare this to his road numbers of 9.00 and 2.06.  Wowzy. He is allowing an OBP against of .265 at home, yet .422 on the road.

Seattle has a slugging percentage of .146 higher over the last five games and .113 their last 10 games.

Chicago has lost six in a row.

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