NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds: Benji, J.J., A.J., Top Leaderboard

Bovada has odds posted for 2021 “Comeback Player of the Year.” Three superstars coming back from injury, Ben Roethlisberger, J.J. Watt, and A.J. Green lead the way. Green is tied for third though with no-respect poster child Nick Foles. 

Cam Newtown, whose career has been in downward spiral since his MVP season is +750, tied with perennial bust Matt Stafford. 

At +10,000 A.J. Rosen is an excellent long shot. Though some may argue he is too young and has not had an injury to have comeback from anything. However, he has already been written off as a bust, despite minimal chance to prove otherwise.  


  • Ben Roethlisberger +225 
  • J.J. Watt +500 
  • A.J. Green +600 
  • Nick Foles +600 
  • Cam Newton +750 
  • Matthew Stafford +750 
  • Myles Garrett +1200 
  • Andy Dalton +4000 
  • C.J. Mosley +3300 
  • DeSean Jackson +3300 
  • Joe Flacco +4000 
  • Jordan Reed +6000 
  • Malcolm Butler +6000 
  • Stephen Gostkowski +6600 
  • Akiem Hicks +6000 
  • Alex Smith +6000 
  • Alshon Jeffery +6000 
  • Antonio Brown +6000 
  • Bradley Chubb +6000 
  • Keanu Neal +6000 
  • Kwon Alexander +6000 
  • Lamar Miller +10000 
  • T.Y. Hilton +6000 
  • Trent Williams +9000 
  • Xavien Howard +9000 
  • Eli Manning +12500 
  • Josh Rosen +10000

Bovada racebook gives bettors many options to bet during COVID 19 lockdown as has Bovada Casino

2021 NFL MVP Odds: Mahomes, Wilson, Jackson Lead Way; What About Brady?

Bovada poker winds down its $6 million Black Diamond Poker open. But their award-winning sportsbook has updated odds on the 2020-21 NFL MVP. Last year’s Super Bowl hero Patrick Mahomes is the favorite at +350, while last year’s winner Lamar Jackson is +660. Mr. Consistency, Russell Wilson is next at +750. 

Last season, the consensus breakout QB was Baker Mayfield of the Cleveland Browns. How did that work out? This season, oddmakers have Kyler Murray with that…honor. At 10-1 or +1000, clearly Bovada’s assurance is prognostic, not anything that has occured consistently on the field. Speaking of Mayfield, is he undervalued this season at +3300? 

Murray is tied with perhaps the most intriguing odds of them all. Tampa Bay QB Tom Brady—did I just say Tampa QB Tom Brady—is also 10-1. Complete odds. 

NFL MVP 2020-21

MVP Winner 

  • Patrick Mahomes+350 
  • Lamar Jackson+600 
  • Russell Wilson+750 
  • Kyler Murray+1000 
  • Tom Brady+1000 
  • Drew Brees+1800 
  • Dak Prescott+1800 
  • Deshaun Watson+1800 
  • Aaron Rodgers+1800 
  • Carson Wentz+2000 
  • Matt Ryan+3300 
  • Christian McCaffrey+3300 
  • Josh Allen (QB)+3300 
  • Baker Mayfield+3300 
  • Philip Rivers +5000 
  • Derrick Henry+5000 
  • Cam Newton+4500 
  • Ben Roethlisberger+4500 
  • Jameis Winston+5000 
  • Ezekiel Elliott+5000 
  • Saquon Barkley+5000 
  • Jimmy Garoppolo+5500 
  • Dalvin Cook+6000 
  • Matthew Stafford+6000 
  • Kirk Cousins+6600 
  • Jared Goff+6600 
  • Drew Lock+7500 
  • Daniel Jones+8000 
  • Ryan Tannehill+8000 
  • Joe Burrow+10000 
  • Aaron Donald+10000 
  • Nick Bosa+10000 
  • Khalil Mack+10000 
  • J.J. Watt+10000 

Jon Jones and UFC 249 location odds

‌‌Bones Jones has been caught by the long arm of the law once again, and the oddsmakers are weighing in on how the champ’s latest misstep will impact his UFC future. 
Additionally, the folks at have come up with a list of odds for the UFC 249 location, and there are some hilarious options available to wager on. 
UFC 249 Location
Florida +225
Russia +300
United Arab Emirates +300
Mexico +500
Saudi Arabia +800
South Africa +1000
Nevada +1400
International Waters +2500
Area 51 +8000
North Korea +10000
Will Jon Jones be stripped of title belt before the end of 2020?
Yes -550
No +325
Will Jon Jones be arrested again before the end of 2020?
Yes -150
No +110
Will Jon Jones spend night in jail before the end of 2020?
Yes -140
No +100
Will Jon Jones fight in UFC again before the end of 2020?
Yes +300
No -500
Best sports picks on  

Odds Released for CFP, Conference Champs 2020-21

We all hope that the college football season won’t be played without fans, but even if it is, there will still be odds for each and every outcome on the field. 

On Friday, SportsBetting posted odds for which teams will qualify for the 2020 College Football Playoff, as well as odds for each of the 10 conferences. 

Teams to Qualify for CFP

Clemson -200

Ohio State -150

Alabama -125

Oklahoma +125

Georgia +150

LSU +200

Notre Dame +275

Florida +350

Texas +400

Texas A&M +400

Auburn +500

Oregon +500

Penn State +600

Michigan +650

Washington +1000

Wisconsin +1000

Florida State +1400

Oklahoma State +1400

Tennessee +1400

Utah +1400

Miami FL +1600

Minnesota +1600

Iowa State +2000

Nebraska +2000

Iowa +2500

California +5000


Central Florida +125

Memphis +225

Cincinnati +300

Navy +1400

SMU +1400

Houston +1600

Temple +2500

Tulane +2800

South Florida +5000

Tulsa +8000

East Carolina +10000


Clemson -600

Miami +750

North Carolina +1000

Virginia Tech +1200

Florida State +1600

Virginia +2000

Louisville +2800

Pittsburgh +2800

Wake Forest +4000

NC State +5000

Duke +6600

Syracuse +6600

Boston College +8000

Georgia Tech +25000

Big Ten

Ohio State -225

Michigan +350

Wisconsin +900

Penn State +1000

Iowa +1600

Nebraska +1600

Minnesota +2500

Michigan State +3300

Indiana +4000

Illinois +5000

Maryland +5000

Northwestern +5000

Purdue +5000

Big 12

Oklahoma -125

Texas +150

Oklahoma State +600

Iowa State +1200

Baylor +1600

West Virginia +1600

Kansas State +2500

TCU +2800

Texas Tech +4000

Kansas +10000


Western Kentucky +200

Florida Atlantic +300

UAB +400

Louisiana Tech +550

Marshall +550

Southern Miss +600

Middle Tennessee +2500

Charlotte +2800

Florida International +2800

North Texas +4000

Rice +6600

Old Dominion +10000

UTSA +10000

UTEP +15000


Ohio +325

Buffalo +400

Central Michigan +400

Ball State +600

Miami (OH) +800

Toledo +800

Western Michigan +800

Kent State +1200

Eastern Michigan +1600

Northern Illinois +2000

Akron +10000

Bowling Green +10000

Mountain West

Boise State -200

San Diego State +325

Air Force +450

Utah State +1200

Colorado State +1400

Wyoming +2500

Fresno State +2800

Hawaii +2800

Nevada +5000

San Jose State +5000

UNLV +6600

New Mexico +15000


Oregon +225

USC +275

Washington +300

UCLA +400

Utah +450

Arizona State +1400

California +2000

Arizona +2500

Stanford +3300

Colorado +8000

Oregon State +8000


Alabama -120

LSU +275

Georgia +400

Florida +600

Auburn +1400

Texas A&M +1600

Kentucky +10000

Mississippi State +10000

Missouri +10000

Ole Miss +10000

South Carolina +10000

Tennessee +10000

Arkansas +25000

Vanderbilt +25000

Sun Belt

App State -200

Louisiana Lafayette +225

Arkansas State +1400

Troy +1400

Georgia Southern +1600

Georgia State +2200

Coastal Carolina +2500

UL-Monroe +4000

South Alabama +5000

Texas State +6600

Whenever football season begins, Joe Duffy of will be there with winning picks led by winning sports systems

Beware of Wolves in Sheep’s Clothing When Buying Picks

Interested to know another yet one of the innumerable keys to me to having been a full-time handicapper for more than three decades? I don’t only scout sports teams, I also observe and absorb other handicappers. I’ve done Evelyn Wood readings, sometimes leading to careful analysis on most sports betting articles, podcasts, and videos that have ever emerged on the internet. 

It’s a big echo chamber out there and in countless instances, they are all regurgitating the same sports handicapping urban legends I’ve disproved. Still, searching for a treasure almost always means a lot of research time is invested before stumbling on a gem. 

A justifiable cynic based on peer review of countless theorems, my attention was captivated by an article posted on a Reddit betting group of all places. The essay’s affirmations were very consistent with what I’ve sermonized for years—that a majority of winning gambling systems are counterintuitive. And it was pretty well-written and articulated. 

Optimistic the author was sharing some jewels; I proceeded to one of my computer programs. Trust but verify and if these angles are true, store them for future use.

Oh snap, every last one of them was rubbish. Need proof? 

Lie #1: When an NBA team wins by 15 or more points, you might think that they’ve got momentum and will win their next game by double-digits as well. When you see a home favorite of ten points or more who are fresh off of 15-point win they only beat the spread just 42.5% of the time. The truth is, they cover 48 percent of the time. Perhaps he meant recently. Nope, in fact in recent years, they’ve covered at a higher rate, especially in 2018. 

Playing the ultimate devil’s advocate, in the preface he alleged, “or more.” In the quoted system he left that out. True, at exactly 15, it’s closer to being accurate but what’s the objective of exactly 15 points? That’s clear cherry picking with no sensible rationale. 

Lie #2: Look for any team that shot below their season average from the field and 3pt range and look over the total in their next game. Fake news yet again. This not-so-uncommon occurrence goes over 50.3 percent.

The fabrication was plausible because NBA teams do tend to bounce back. I attempted numerous combinations of if a team shot well below their season ratio in both categories and the best fusion to see the light of day was a 32-18 angle

No need to waste our time refuting every prevarication. Not one, not even by potluck, comes close to holding up. The article got 221 upvotes, until I gave it its first downvote. Facts matter. A lot of people got hoodwinked by the fraudster. Shock, he encouraged people to message him for more info. 

Oh gosh, then he quotes a ridiculous chase system. No professional sports bettors squander time and money with this crap

The wolves in sheep’s clothing can be the lowest of the low. Neither honest and good nor dishonest and bad are synonymous. 

Once upon a time, a notorious boiler room tout had a genuine handicapper, a guy who still sells picks on a high-volume network site, make picks for him. Unfortunately, his Long Island snake oil phone room peddlers found that high-profile national TV coin flips were easier to swindle a fool from his money, than a legitimate pick from MAC. 

The valid capper “Cap” as we will refer to him, was re-assigned. For a short period of time, the charlatan tout was selling well-researched picks. On the other hand, there are genuine cappers, who will never lie about their records nor claim they have inside info, yet their picks aren’t worth squat. 

Yes, the countless articles around the net regurgitating the warnings to stay away from the hard-sell touts are correct. Be just as worried about sweet talking swindler such as the ass clown on Reddit.

Joe Duffy actually has been a full-time pro handicapper and gambler since 1988 and part-time two years before that. Currently CEO of OffshoreInsiders.comhis articles, sports betting podcasts, and videos are the industry standard.

Despite Uncertain Date, Masters Odds 2020 Are Up

When will the Masters golf tournament 2020 be played? Nobody knows, but odds gamblers can bet now are posted at 5 Dimes, home of the high rollers. There is no clear-cut favorite with Rory McIlroy a not-so-prohibitive +650 or 13-2. All odds based on $100 per bet. Hence +1000 would be the same as 10-1. 

  • Rory McIlroy +650
  • Jon Rahm +1100
  • Justin Thomas +1200
  • Tiger Woods +1200
  • Brooks Koepka +1400
  • Dustin Johnson +1600
  • Bryson DeChambeau +2000
  • Patrick Reed +2200
  • Adam Scott +2500
  • Patrick Cantlay +2500
  • Xander Schauffele +2500
  • Hideki Matsuyama +2800
  • Jordan Spieth +2800
  • Justin Rose +2800
  • Rickie Fowler +2800
  • Tommy Fleetwood +2800
  • Tony Finau +3000
  • Bubba Watson +3300
  • Sungjae Im +3300
  • Jason Day +4000
  • Phil Mickelson +4000
  • Webb Simpson +4000
  • Louis Oosthuizen +5000
  • Marc Leishman +5000
  • Matt Kuchar +5000
  • Paul Casey +5000
  • Collin Morikawa +5500
  • Gary Woodland +5500
  • Henrik Stenson +6000
  • Tyrrell Hatton +6000
  • Sergio Garcia +6600
  • Shane Lowry +6600
  • Brandt Snedeker +8000
  • Cameron Smith +8000
  • Francesco Molinari +8000
  • Lee Westwood +8000
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick +8000
  • Viktor Hovland +8000
  • Branden Grace +10000
  • Cameron Champ +10000
  • Charl Schwartzel +10000
  • Danny Willett +10000
  • Ian Poulter +10000
  • Kevin Kisner +10000
  • Scottie Scheffler +10000
  • Thomas Pieters +10000
  • Abraham Ancer +12500
  • Bernd Wiesberger +12500
  • Graeme McDowell +12500
  • Joaquin Niemann +12500
  • Matthew Wolff +12500
  • Alex Noren +14000
  • Billy Horschel +15000
  • Brendon Todd +15000
  • Byeong Hun An +15000
  • Corey Conners +15000
  • Erik Van Rooyen +15000
  • Hao Tong Li +15000
  • Jim Furyk +15000
  • Matt Wallace +15000
  • Max Homa +15000
  • Rafa Cabrera-Bello +15000
  • Robert MacIntyre +15000
  • Thorbjorn Olesen +15000
  • Zach Johnson +15000
  • Charles Howell III +17500
  • Charley Hoffman +17500
  • Eddie Pepperell +17500
  • J.B. Holmes +17500
  • Jazz Janewattananond +17500
  • Keegan Bradley +17500
  • Victor Perez +17500
  • Adam Hadwin +17500
  • Aaron Wise +20000
  • Emiliano Grillo +20000
  • Jimmy Walker +20000
  • Kevin Na +20000
  • Kyle Stanley +20000
  • Lanto Griffin +22500
  • Martin Kaymer +22500
  • C.T. Pan +25000
  • Jason Kokrak +25000
  • Justin Harding +25000
  • Kiradech Aphibarnrat +25000
  • Si Woo Kim +25000
  • Paul Waring +27500
  • Lucas Bjerregaard +30000
  • Fred Couples +50000

Pro Gamblers Think the Opposite of Square Gamblers; Jaw-Dropping Examples

Most successful systems fit under umbrella of “counterintuitive.” Here are show notes from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy’s latest sports betting tutorial. Trapped inside while under quarantine? Check out what this vetted sportsbook has going. Hint: a lot of money to be won!

  • If hotter and better teams were the teams that covered most, no bookies would be around
  • Always regression to mean
  • Best teams would generally have to play better to cover
  • Worst teams would generally have to play even worse

Know exceptions

  • NBA totals, especially recent years with rules having scores skyrocketing
    • Most top over systems with high totals
    • Most to under systems with low totals
  • Reasonable explanation as inflated scores have bettors
    • Terrified of low totals under
    • Even over players get sticker shock at 240


  • In sports handicapping “trusting instincts is bad”
    • Oddsmakers know what common beliefs are
  • Toughest bets to root for are generally better bets
    • Colder, inferior teams

Joe Duffy is a predictive sports modeling pioneer and still the best. His bets are at   

Top NBA Pick? Oddsmakers Say Anthony Edwards

With multiple college basketball players declaring for the NBA Draft today, odds are out for each of the top five picks.

According to odds from SportsBetting, Georgia guard Anthony Edwards will be selected No. 1 overall this summer. 

Deni Avdija, an Israeli professional basketball player, is favored to get picked in the No. 2 spot and LaMelo Ball third. Player of the Year, Obi Toppin, and James Wiseman round out the top 5.

1st Overall Pick

Anthony Edwards -150

James Wiseman +175

LaMelo Ball +400

Cole Anthony +600

Deni Avdija +600

2nd Overall Pick

Deni Avdija +125

LaMelo Ball +150

Anthony Edwards +300

James Wiseman +500

Obi Toppin +600  

3rd Overall Pick

LaMelo Ball +150

Deni Avdija +300

James Wiseman +300

Obi Toppin +500

Anthony Edwards +600

Cole Anthony +600

4th Overall Pick

Obi Toppin +200

James Wiseman +250

Deni Avdija +400

LaMelo Ball +400

Cole Anthony +600

Anthony Edwards +800

Onyeka Okongwu +800

5th Overall Pick

James Wiseman +200

Obi Toppin +250

Cole Anthony +400

Deni Avdija +600

Onyeka Okongwu +600

LaMelo Ball +800

RJ Hampton +800

Anthony Edwards +1000

The horrible coronavirus has given Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.comsome time to update podcasts and videos with sports betting secrets with tips on sports gambling strategy.