The Lord of the Big Dance resumes being Mr. March with three of the four NCAA Tournament sides.I am10-5 in college hoops off another sweep last night! Three NBA sides.I only want winnersbut for those who love sides, this is your night. Six in all at OffshoreInsiders.com
Free winner is from Joe Duffy, Grandmaster Sports Handicapper on Cleveland vs. Brooklyn. The line is Cleveland 0-4 with a total of 219 at MYBookie. Free pick is:
CLEVELAND -4 Brooklyn
Cleveland is 17-20 SU road, while Brooklyn is 19-15 SU home, yet the Cavs laying lumber on the highway. Anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is 270-184-5. In the name of full disclosure this angle is back to winning after a rare sluggish start due to the best start to a season ever for home underdogs. But home dogs have slowed down since February 10 and this basic theory crosses sports.
The Grandmaster, Joe Duffy is 7-2 with Wise Guy plays. NBA total up for Wednesday plus two college basketball sides at OffshoreInsiders.com
Free NBA pick is on San Antonio vs. Milwaukee. The Bucks are laying -17.5 at Bovada with a total of 237.
MILWAUKEE -17.5 San Antonio
With the NBA essentially becoming a video game pace, big favorites have been great since 2016 at 59.1 percent. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate of 69 percent. Both of our contrarian indexes, one worldwide sportsbooks, the other has to do with super-square outlaw money, has this as a very strong corroborated contrarian bet worldwide. In particular, public dogs generally die. It is not as overwhelming as some of our contrarian, but still quite strong.
Duffy three free days today with purchase of weekly pick pack! I swept the entire portfolio last night and I am 7-1 last 8 Wise Guys. NBA Wise Guy plus two college basketball.My top simulator model has been in all postseason college and has a winner tonight with nearly an 80 percent chance of covering. Lock in long-term now! OffshoreInsiders.com
Free winner is on Boston at Sacramento. The Celtics are laying -4.5 at the Kings. The free winner bet at MYBookie is
BOSTON -4.5 Sacramento
Rest dynamics generally benefit the home team. When a team has more rest, about 66 percent of the time, it is the home team. However, when the road team is more rested, it nullifies the normal home court advantage and creates an off-line. The Kings are playing back-to-back games with Boston coming in with two days rest. Plus the Kings are off a four-game road trip, so will definitely be the less rested. This is a rare dynamic in the NBA for the road team. Fading far less rested home teams that according to my exclusive math line is overvalued is 111-64-1.
Away favorites off a loss are generally a good bet because you have an angry superior team. We have such an angle that is 1065-864-35. As long as the team we are betting on did not have at least a five-game winning streak snapped, the winning percentage rises a bit on that angle.
All but one NCAA Tournament games and NBA GOY at 6:10 ET or later! I am crushing the bookies! I went 5-1 Saturday!Four NCAA Tournament all but one at 6:10 ET or later including a Wise Guy, plus CBI and NIT winners, 2 NBA led by Western Conference Game of the Year.
Free bet if on TCU vs. Gonzaga NCAA Tournament contest:
Joe Duffy has four Wise Guys up for Saturday NCAA Tournament. This is a stunning number especially 2nd round. Five Big Dance winners in all!
Sometimes we can have a full slate with no Wise Guys, but this portfolio is flat out special. So much aligning evidence between the Saturday bets. NBA total added to portfolio. OffshoreInsiders.com
Free pick from Joe Duffy’s Pick is:
MIAMI -3.5 Chicago
Rest dynamics generally benefit the home team. When a team has more rest, about 66 percent of the time, it is the home team. However, when the road team is more rested, it nullifies the normal home court advantage and creates an off line to the tune of 468-367. When metrics indicate the home team is overvalued, the winning percentage is 64.5.
Miami is 14-20 SU on the road yet laying points on the road to a team that is 19-16 SU at home! Anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is995-777.
34 years I have been giving you NCAA Tournament winners. This is my time. There is a reason I’m called the Lord of the Big Dance!
8 NCAA Tournament winners for Thursday led by 4 Wise Guys at OffshoreInsiders.com
Free NCAA Tournament winner from Joe Duffy is
FURMAN +6 Virginia
Neutral court teams that have gone will over the total last three games are 167-123. Underdogs with a better road winning percentage under specific situations that apply in this game are 52-33-2 in NCAA Tournament. Big Dance dogs off a win against a team off loss under specific situations that apply in this game are 69-49.
Grandmaster Handicapper Joe Duffy has 4 minor tournament winners for Tuesday. NBA Wise Guy added as well. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are the single strongest bet in gambling. Get it at OffshoreInsiders.com. Oh Stevie Vincent is an insane 32-8 in college hoops with many moneyline underdogs!
Big dog in slump over the last several games regress towards the mean and are undervalued to the tune of 350-247-7. Seven of Alabama Birmingham’s last eight games have been on road or neutral courts. Yes, my gut reaction would be that means UAB is undervalued, right? I am driven by facts, never assumptions, though most of my theories prove correct. Not this one. Big home favorites in rare home game are a solid fade at 103-83-3. We also have decent value as our outlaw line is 8.5.
Odds are posted to win each region. Check out vetted books like MYBookie to bet these odds. Of course OffshoreInsiders.com led by Grandmaster Handicapper Joe Duffy, AKA Lord of the Big Dance, will have winners all throughout the tournament.
Home underdogs continue to enjoy their best season in history. Under specific situations that apply in this game they are 159-119-3 in this historic campaign. Underdog that is cold ATS versus team hot ATS is 111-76-2. This is yet another in a long line of regression to the mean angles that make my clients and me a fortune. It is 7-3 this season. This is a solid contrarian bet too.
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