Tag Archives: winning picks week 3 NFL

NFL Week 3 Picks Free, Including Sunday Night Football

Joe Duffy is off to a 2-0 start this week with all picks. Saturday, SEC West Total of the Year among four college football Wise Guys and seven Majors. I am 17-9 in NFL including our only moneyline, a 160 winner! Sunday, 10 NFL plus Monday Night Football.  Get the picks now

Your Grandmaster Joe Duffy has these free winning picks.

NFL

Steelers at 49ers

  • Pittsburgh is 0-2 and off loss as a favorite, which sets up an early season overreaction angle that is 107-74-7 (Pittsburgh)
  • Undefeated versus winless angle says go with undefeated Niners at 57-38-3 but 5-10 since Oct 13, 2013
  • Mason Rudolph gets first start of NFL career
  • San Francisco DE Nick Bosa still slowed by ankle injury but should play
  • Niners QB Jimmy Garoppolo playing very well after missing 13 games last season
  • Steelers big trade got Minkah Fitzpatrick from Fins
    • Expected to start
  • Niners with second largest margin of cover so far, covering by an average of 20 points per game
  • Teams covering by an average of at least 18.5 points per game are a go-against of 70-51-4 for 57.9 percent
  • Pittsburgh second worst at -15.2 points per game
  • Road teams with -12 or worse ats margin are 113-78 (Steelers)
  • San Francisco 1-13-2 home favorites

Pick: Pittsburgh +6.5 at Bovada live NFL lines

Saints at Seahawks

  • Teddy Bridgewater gets start for Saints, though expect a ton of Taysom Hill
  • Road teams off road loss versus an opponent also off road game under specific circumstances that apply today is 86-25
  • Anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is 209-164-6
    • Yes still applies in week 3 because early-season overreaction is huge
  • Saints under 7-1 road
  • Seattle third strongest public consensus in terms of percentage of bets
    • Saints would be contrarian
  • Saints second biggest sharp bet of week

The pick: New Orleans +4 MyBookie NFL live lines, latest odds

Rams at Browns

  • Fading non-elite prime-time underdogs or small favorites is 115-74-13 (Rams)
  • Fading Super Bowl loser first four weeks is 48-25 but 0-2 this year (Browns)
  • Rams Todd Gurley looks like he is not his old self
  • Teams off MNF blowout wins are 46-15 under specific circumstances that apply today (Browns)
  • Rams biggest public consensus by far in percentage of bets and by small margin in money
    • Contrarian bettors would say Browns

The pick: Cleveland +3.5 at NFL live lines, latest odds