Incredible Runline MLB Betting system Free Bet

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MLB free pick from Joe Duffy is:

TAMPA (GLASNOW -1.5 +125) Oakland (Irvin)

Oakland is 15-9 including a very impressive 7-3 on the road. Tampa is 12-12 overall and a terrible 5-7 at home. So how the heck can Tampa be such a massive favorite? Inferior (based on winning percentage) big favorites are a great bet, even better on runline at +105.72 units for an 8.1 ROI. 

Going with big favorites that stranded a lot of baserunners last game are +439.78 units. It’s a way of exploiting deceptive box scores. Tyler Glasnow just a .198 OBP against compared to .323 for Irvin. 

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NBA Super Sharp Bettor Breakdown

Big day for professional gamblers. Juicy Lucys, once called Dandy Dogs, are either moneyline or runline bets in which we are getting at least +140. Two Juicy Lucy among four MLB Wise Guys, plus NBA Wise Guy and Major. 

NBA includes the longest-running winning system that you and I have won with together since I was fresh out of college in the 1980s. MLB is led by the greatest system in sports in terms of units won! Get the picks now 

MLB trends

Marlins 24-19 road last 43 for +19.50 units

Minnesota Twins under 31-10-3 as favorites to AL

Royals under 48-26-3

Mariners 33-25 last 58 or +17.29 units  

NBA Trends

Bucks 32-12 ATS laying -7 to -11; 22-6 if to East

Thunder 37-17 ATS road

Thunder under 30-14-1 as road underdogs 

Timberwolves 48-72-3 ATS

Rockets 16-36 ATS home


PORTLAND -5 Indiana

Portland is ice-cold, losing five in a row SU, 6-of-7, and 9-of-11. The Pacers have won three in a row. How the hell can the Blazers be big away favorites? Well betting big away favorites in a losing streak is 277-171-11. Fading home underdogs off a win under specific situations that apply in this game is 80-34-1. 

So an angry superior team is playing at one that is fat and happy. Many other angles, some that would overlap, apply here. Many contain angry away favorites off a loss and/or fat and happy home underdogs off win. This has both. 

TeamRankings and SportsLine give us a decent edge. 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Minnesota (76), Brooklyn (74)

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Nothing of significance 

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Houston 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Golden State opened +1.5 now -5 (Doncic questionable though line suggests sharps believe he’s out)

NBA Lock Free Pick For Tonight

For decades few things bring us more pain than the term “extra innings.” We go 3-2 yesterday and of course both losers the only two games to go extra frames. Two NBA totals with spectacular super systems. Many of our MLB top systems have to do with same-series adjustments by both teams and oddsmakers. Thus, with first games of series, we may not have many baseball bets tonight if at all. Get the picks now 

Free NBA pick…

WASHINGTON -9.5 Oklahoma City 

Play undervalued teams to overvalued team when using advanced analytics numbers and comparing to SU record and spread is 426-221. Fade big home dogs if not off a low scoring game and not with a substantial amount of rest and neither team has an extreme winning percentage is 540-355-23. Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak. Washington has scored 117 points or more in six straight, so the big number is well within reach.

Washington has won 8-of-9 to climb into playoff race, so won’t overlook an inferior OKC squad. 

Steph Curry Skyrockets in MVP Odds

Stephen Curry has been on another planet in the scoring department lately, averaging nearly 40 points per game in April.

Curry’s torrid run includes 54 made 3-pointers in his last six outings, and the oddsmakers have taken notice. 

On April 9, SportsBetting had Curry listed with 100/1 odds to take home a third MVP title. 

While Jokic is an overwhelming favorite with -350 or 2/7 odds, Curry’s chances have dropped immensely. 

Additionally in the NBA Awards odds world, LaMelo Ball finds himself atop the Rookie of the Year leaderboard once again with news recently surfacing that he may return from injury in the next few weeks.

Anthony Edwards moved into the ROY favorite position after Ball broke his wrist, but the possibility of Ball returning has prompted betting on him and flipped the odds. 

— Odds for MVP, ROY, Defensive Player of the Year and Most Improved Player are provided by SportsBetting  —

Nikola Jokic 2/7
Joel Embiid 7/2
Giannis Antetokounmpo 16/1
Stephen Curry 18/1
James Harden 25/1
Damian Lillard 30/1
LeBron James 42/1
Luka Doncic 42/1
Chris Paul 140/1
Kawhi Leonard 160/1
Donovan Mitchell 160/1

LaMelo Ball 1/2
Anthony Edwards 2/1
Tyrese Haliburton 6/1
Immanuel Quickley 55/1
Deni Avdija 130/1
Saddiq Bey 130/1
Patrick Williams 130/1
Desmond Bane 130/1
Payton Pritchard 130/1

Rudy Gobert 1/3
Ben Simmons 3/2
Myles Turner 6/1
Giannis Antetokounmpo 36/1
Joel Embiid 65/1
Bam Adebayo 100/1
Kawhi Leonard 100/1
Draymond Green 120/1
Jimmy Butler 120/1

Most Improved Player
Julius Randle 1/5
Jerami Grant 4/1
Michael Porter Jr. 16/1
Christian Wood 20/1
Zion Williamson 20/1
Jaylen Brown 42/1
Nikola Jokic 65/1
Zach LaVine 100/1
Chris Boucher 100/1
Colin Sexton 100/1

Best sports betting picks are found at, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picks and information.

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Sports Betting Trends and Free pick

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has four Wise Guys for Monday. Get three MLB and one NBA. Get the picks now

NBA free winner…

WASHINGTON -12 Oklahoma City

Large favorites have become very good bets since 2016. Under specific situations that apply in this game they are 256-149-9. The number one reason is because with all the rules favoring tempo, the advantage is higher than ever for faster and more athletic teams. 

NBA trends

  • Phoenix 45-22 ats 
  • Oklahoma City 35-16 on road
  • Denver over 48-28-1 as favorites
  • San Antonio under 33-15 to East


  • Tampa 42-20 if total is between 6.5-8.5
  • Kansas City under 19-4 to AL with total between 6.5-8.5

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Detroit (70), Golden State (60)

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Boston (94), Utah (93)

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Boston, Cleveland, Utah 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Detroit -1.5 to +3, Denver -4.5 to -7.5, Philadelphia -7.5 to -10

Free Baseball Pick, NBA Betting Super Sharp Intel Breakdown

The hits keep coming! Six MLB Wise Guys off another winning day in MLB going 3-2 led by +168 on Texas.I’m not bullshitting when I tell you the database audit is the best thing that has ever happened to us professional gamblers. So juiced for tonight. Six NBA led by Wise Guy. Joe Duffy’s Wise Guy plays the strongest bet in the gambling cosmos. Ask any pro gambler! Get the picks now 

MLB free pick:

CLEVELAND (ALLEN +107) Cincinnati (Hoffman)

Cleveland just 3-4 road, while Reds 5-1 at home. Yet pretty much a pick. Anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is +155.64 units and a 15.3 ROI. If teams are small away underdogs despite a big net run disadvantage, listen to what the oddsmakers tell you and go with the seemingly inferior small road underdog at 91.26 units and 11.8 ROI. Logan Allen has pitched well in two starts with a 2.70 ER, solid 1.2 WHIP. Both are better than Jeff Hoffman’s numbers. 

MLB Trends:

Twins under 35-11-3 to AL

San Francisco 33-23 with total 7.5-9.5 for +16.65 units

Cubs under 23-5-2 to NL

Colorado 18-41 last 49 for -18.4 units


Oklahoma City 35-14 road

Philadelphia over 27-10 as favorites

Rockets 45-74-1

Timberwolves 44-71-2

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: San Antonio (72), LA Clippers (65), Washington (64), Minnesota (59) all underdogs 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Portland (93), Toronto (87)

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Portland, Toronto, Philadelphia 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Detroit -7 to -3, New Orleans P to  -2.5

Free Pick NBA and critical Inside Info

JDP continues to take handicapping to a brand-new level at 36-22 all. This includes Tigers has huge dogs each of the previous two nights cashing in. NBA sweep means 16-6 lately there. Three days winners in MLB, five night, all Wise Guys. 

Two NBA Wise Guys, but includes rare day game 4:30 ET among three NBA.

Free NBA pick

DALLAS -2.5 Memphis

You would look at each team’s record and see that Dallas is 29-24 SU, Memphis is 27-25. Those records are close enough that with home court advantage, seeing the road team laying 2.5. But we have an angle that compares advanced metrics to the line and record and isolates undervalued to overvalued teams and that is the case here with Mavs having and angle 414-212-11 favoring them. Road favorites that shoot substantially more three-pointers than league average are 1265-1027-49. 

Dallas has lost two straight and 3-of-4 but nice bounceback angle that is 883-699-25. Fade home underdogs off win under specific situations is 78-33-1. With Memphis hotter team at 5-2 last seven, many more angles using the oddsmakers knowledge against them going with better but colder team. 

NBA Trends

  • Milwaukee 30-10 against the spread in its last 40 games when the spread is between -11.5 and -7.5
  • Kings over 60-38-2 last 100
  • San Antonio under 16-1 as a road favorite off a win as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than five blocks per game
  • Detroit 17-1 when the spread is between 6 and 10 following a loss
  • Milwaukee under 21-2 off a 10+ win in a road game in which they never trailed
  • Memphis under 28-11 at home
  • Timberwolves 44-70-2 last 116

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Miami Heat (62) which is high for an underdog, Toronto (59) significant because the public again backing underdogs 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Milwaukee (85), Chicago (85)

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: San Antonio, Chicago 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds:

Jamal Murry Odds Rock the NBA Championship Boat

Jamal Murray is done for the season, and Denver’s chances of bringing home a title or conference championship took a hit on and off the court.

SportsBetting made changes to its NBA Finals and Western Conference odds following the Nuggets’ official announcement that Murray has a torn ACL.

While Denver’s odds decreased, five other teams from the West saw their odds improve. 

Here are the changes in odds:

Championship – 16/1 to 22/1 
West – 8/1 to 12/1 

Championship – 7/2 to 13/4 (+325)
West – 19/10 to 7/4 (+175)

Championship – 6/1 to 11/2
West – 14/5 to 5/2

Championship – no change
West – 7/2 to 13/4 (+325)

Championship – no change
West – 12/1 to 10/1

Championship – 35/1 to 33/1
West – 16/1 to 14/1

Spread Betting trends, Free Bet Pick, Line Moves

Since streamlining database, elimination underperforming overly backfitted systems, our audit has produced a 25-14 spurt and I have flat out never been more optimistic about the future. 14-8 MLB. Four NBA led by two Wise Guys. Six MLB led by three Wise Guys. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are the single strongest bet in gambling. The future is so bright, I got to wear shades. Get the picks now 

MLB free pick

Tampa-Texas UNDER 7.5 (Glasnow-Dunning) 7:10

Total compared to season average goes under 2539-2031-240.

Top ATS trends


  • Twins under 32-10-3 to AL
  • Tampa 49-26 last 75 for +16.47 units
  • Cubs under 22-4-1 to NL


  • Phoenix 44-19 ATS last 63
  • Houston under 79-52-2 last 133
  • Utah is 20-3-1 home
  • Houston 44-73-1 last 118

Bet Now lowest moneyline juice of any vetted sportsbook

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: LA Lakers (66 percent). With the public generally preferring favorites, this is significant. 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: New Orleans (92), Memphis (89)

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: New Orleans, Denver 

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Utah opened -13.5 now -11, New York -3.5 to -2