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In week 1, go with a team that missed the playoffs versus an opponent that made the playoffs the previous season is 86-60. It’s a classic over versus undervalued team based on perception. Home favorites under this situation are 18-6.
Kirk Cousins, while slightly overrated, is a substantial upgrade from the stiffs Atlanta has last year, namely Desmond Ridder, who couldn’t even make Arizona as a No. 3 starting QB.
Pittsburgh’s upgrade is slight as future Hall-of-Famer Russell Wilson hasn’t been good in four years. BetQL has Atlanta -5.5 giving us a modest edge in NFL picks.
Taking Michigan State +9.5 is a solid bet for several reasons.
First, the large point spread combined with a low total in a conference game is a historically profitable angle, with a record of 437-321-23. This trend indicates that when the oddsmakers expect a low-scoring game, getting nearly double-digit points is a significant edge for the underdog with our free football pick.
Recent Performance: Michigan State’s recent win against Florida Atlantic (16-10) shows they can compete in low-scoring games. Their defense held strong, which is crucial when betting on an underdog with a large spread.
Maryland’s Inconsistency: While Maryland had an impressive win against UConn, their performance can be inconsistent. Betting on Michigan State takes advantage of potential variability in Maryland’s play.
Historical Trends: Historically, Michigan State has performed well against the spread in similar situations. This trend, combined with the large point spread, increases the likelihood of them covering.
Motivation and Rivalry: Conference games often bring out the best in teams due to the rivalry and stakes involved. Michigan State will be highly motivated to perform well against a conference opponent.
Betting Market: The betting market often overvalues favorites, especially in conference games. This can create value on the underdog side, making Michigan State +9.5 an attractive bet.
🔥 Joe Duffy is off to a 16-10 start in college football bets and wrapped up the NFL preseason at 12-7! 🏈💪
🎯 Full-Time Handicapper & Pro Bettor Since 1988 📅 🚨 Thursday & Friday NFL Sides Up! Plus Friday night college football side! 🎉 Saturday is staggering with FIVE Wise Guy bets and a stunning 14 majors on the college gridiron! 🏈🔥
🔥 The Top NFL Capper in History, by Far! 🔥⭐️ Sunday: NFL Best Bet of the Week among five Wise Guys and four Majors🔒 Wise Guys from Joe Duffy = The strongest bet in gambling! 🏅 Best Bet of the Week backed by a 44-1 system. 📊 The most statistically significant betting angle in gambling history has a loaded portfolio at OffshoreInsiders.com
Free winning bet for 2024 college football picks from Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com
Boise State-GA Southern OVER 56.5
This could turn out to be a premium pick. For a bet to rise to that level as a top computer play, we weight our simulators and power ratings based on performance overall and in each sport. We utilize some publicly available databases that at the time of our free release, not all sources have checked in, but this has the makings of a possible premium bet as well.
Sportsline gives us a 65 percent chance of the game going over with 66 points expected. MasseyRatings has 68 points projected. BettingPros gives us a 70 percent chance to cover with 63.6 the power total.
Big picks of the pros are up though!
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Up for week 1, starting Thursday August 29
🎯 Thrilling Thursday with 5 Bets – Hold onto your hats for a day packed with excitement!
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Kentucky-South Carolina gives sports gamblers one of the
best betting opportunities of the year for a nationally televised game on ESPN according
to several professional gamblers.
Sportsbooks
have South Carolina as a 3.5
point favorite with an over/under of 58. The premier sports
betting expert Joe Duffy of GodsTips and CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com has explained how elite gamblers exploit statistics
the media rarely talks about.
So let’s take a look at those key betting numbers. Kentucky’s
offense has been remarkable averaging 5.8 yards per rush against teams normally
allowing 4.9 and 7.7 passing yards per attempt against teams normally allowing
6.7. Overall they get .7 more yards per play than their opponents normally give
up.
The Wildcats defense is actually better than many would
think. They allow just 5.7 yards per pass to teams normally getting 6.9 and
they hold opponents to a full half-yard below their normal average.
America’s
greatest sports service GodsTips swept college football Wise Guy plays two of
the last three weeks.Memphis
is already in as a Wise Guy this week. Another Wise Guy play Kentucky-South Carolina. Plus get two MLB sides
including our first postseason Wise Guy play! Click now to
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South Carolina,
meanwhile, gets 5.3 yards per play against teams normally allowing 5.0, but in
what is not so Steve Spurrier like, it’s the defense carrying them. The
Gamecocks allow 4.4 yards per play to teams normally getting 5.0.
Not surprisingly, USC is a better team at home, averaging
34.7 points per game in three contests while allowing 12.7.
