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Saturday College Football News and Notes

Here are sports betting news and notes for games of Saturday, October 26, 2007


Florida is
8-1 straight up in the series and 15-2 the last 17. “Florida
has been much better with Andre Caldwell (wide receiver) healthy. He is back to
100 percent as he showed last week against Kentucky,”
says Cy McCormick of MasterLockLine.com.
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New Mexico State-Hawaii

averages more than 52 points per game. The Aggies are
minus their top receiver Chris Williams but will get Nick Cleaver and A.J. Harris. Last week they got quarterback Chase Holbrook
back from a two game suspension. He threw for 404 yards. Hawaii
has won the last three in the series by an average of 18 points.

Ohio State-Penn State

Penn State
is on a three-game winning streak in which they have averaged scoring 33.6
points. However, they face Ohio State
which is allowing a nation’s best 7.8 points per game. Four of the last six
meetings have been decided by seven or fewer points.


This is the first time the Trojans were a conference dog
in their last 45 games to the Pac-10. Mark Sanchez starts at quarterback for
USC as starting QB John David Booty is still nursing a broken middle finger. Booty,
though, may be available.

North Carolina-Wake Forest

Underdog UNC is 12-4 in the
series. However, Wake has turned it around winning 3-of-4. The Tar Heels have
played brutal schedule with the combined record of their foes so far at 40-13.
Wake has won five straight entering this game.

California-Arizona State

The Golden Bears have lost two straight. ASU’s 7-0 straight up start can be attributed in great part
due to the fact their first four opponents in the Pac-10 can a combined 4-13
mark. Their schedule is ranked 97th in toughness by the NCAA.
They’ve also been healthy all year, but that changed as starting tailback Ryan Torain has been lost for the year. He has 553 yards rushing
with five touchdowns, plus two more catching the ball.

South Carolina-Tennessee

Despite being coached by Steve Spurrier, South
is 93rd of 119 teams in offense.
Steve Spurrier has used three quarterbacks in practice this week.

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Kentucky-South Carolina Sports Betting Preview

Kentucky-South Carolina gives sports gamblers one of the
best betting opportunities of the year for a nationally televised game on ESPN according
to several professional gamblers.

have South Carolina as a 3.5
point favorite with an over/under of 58. The premier sports
betting expert
Joe Duffy of GodsTips and CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com
has explained how elite gamblers exploit statistics
the media rarely talks about.

So let’s take a look at those key betting numbers. Kentucky’s
offense has been remarkable averaging 5.8 yards per rush against teams normally
allowing 4.9 and 7.7 passing yards per attempt against teams normally allowing
6.7. Overall they get .7 more yards per play than their opponents normally give

The Wildcats defense is actually better than many would
think. They allow just 5.7 yards per pass to teams normally getting 6.9 and
they hold opponents to a full half-yard below their normal average.

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South Carolina,
meanwhile, gets 5.3 yards per play against teams normally allowing 5.0, but in
what is not so Steve Spurrier like, it’s the defense carrying them. The
Gamecocks allow 4.4 yards per play to teams normally getting 5.0.

Not surprisingly, USC is a better team at home, averaging
34.7 points per game in three contests while allowing 12.7.

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Wise Guy…

MINNESOTA +2 Green Bay

has the league’s best run defense and a great one-two punch at running back
with Chester Taylor and Adrian Peterson. Yes Taylor
is expected to play and start. Who starts at QB for Minnesota,
really isn’t as important because there is no edge in the raw quarterback of
the future versus the journey of Kelly Holcomb.

We are sold on Green Bay
being a good team, but not on the verge of being 4-0 squad. Going with any team
on the moneyline after a loss of 6 or less against foe after scoring 25 or more
points in two straight games is +81.6 on the moneyline.

NY GIANTS +3 Philadelphia

The Eagles personify both ends of one of our gambling
Golden Rules: each week there are 3-5 teams that are not nearly as good as they
looked and 3-5 teams that are not nearly as bad as they’ve looked.

Remember, Philly put it all together after looking abysmal
in Weeks one and two. Philly’s Brian Westbrook is a gametime
decision, but we don’t expect him to be 100 percent even if he plays. He is
huge for Philly. He did not practice this week. Meanwhile, our sources tell us
key Giants weapons Plaxico Burress will start.


SEATTLE -2 San Francisco

Shaun Alexander will wear down the league’s No. 25 run
defense. Though we are actually sold on
the 49ers being a team on the verge of breaking out, they are without key chain
mover tight end Vernon Davis.

Seattle can
also move the ball in the air as they average 7.4 passing yards per attempt
against teams normally allowing 6.4. Seattle’s
domination of San Francisco
suffered a setback last year when they were swept.

To be sure, the formula for beating Seattle
will be more complicated than it was last season. In both games, the 49ers kept
pounding running back Frank Gore into the line and when he broke into the
secondary, the Seahawks safeties tackled – or rather, didn’t tackle – like Chickenhawks. Holmgren didn’t
mess around. He dumped both of the old safeties last winter and signed two new
ones, Deon Grant (from Jacksonville)
and Brian Russell (from Cleveland).

Grant and Russell can tackle. With Alexander and Hasselbeck both in the
line-up, which was not the case last year, they are one of the top teams in the
NFC. They get the win today.

INDIANAPOLIS -9.5 -115 Denver

The last two times Denver
has come to Indianapolis, the Colts
scored 90 points. This is a competitor consensus. If we do not have a lean towards one side but
it does not rise to the level of premium play, but get a strong play or
consensus from the few other handicappers we respect, we pass it as a
“competitor consensus”.

ARIZONA +230 (Moneyline) Pittsburgh

head coach Ken Whisenhunt and assistant head coach Russ Grimm know the Steelers
as well as their current coaching staff. Going with any team on the moneyline
after a loss of 6 or less against foe after scoring 25 or more points in two
straight games is +81.6 on the moneyline.

ATLANTA +3 Houston

Houston’s best
weapons Ahman Green is likely out and Andre Johnson
is out. Houston may be without
three of their top five receivers. Atlanta
has a very winnable game. While we
singled out Houston as a dark horse
team before the year, it was because of several weapons they will be without

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Bills-Steelers Free Winning Picks

The Buffalo Bills travel to take on the Pittsburgh
Steelers. Pittsburgh is a 10-point
favorite on the NFL betting odds with an
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The top NFL sports service in the land says go with the
over in the Bills-Steelers tilt. Here is their analysis:

Clients, note that we added this as a premium play. The
Steelers are playing a much more wide open offense, which means their defensive
stats won’t be as good, but their fantasy football offensive stats will
be. Points scored and points allowed are
much more related to pace than quality of offense or defense.

J.P. Losman, Buffalo’s
quarterback, is one of our famed “predictably unpredictable” guys. With a good
target in Lee Evans against a defense that we will find out this year had great
stats because they were not on the field we look for plenty of points.

Remember, last week, Losman went
against Champ Bailey and Dre Bly
in the Denver secondary. Pittsburgh
loves to blitz, so Ike Taylor and Deshea Townsend in
single coverage.

On defense, Buffalo
has a lot of injuries at linebacker, so they won’t be able to slow down Pittsburgh.
Their secondary is a celebration of nobodies: Ashton Youboty,
Kiwaukee Thomas, Terrence McGee, Donte
Whitner, Jim Leonhard, and Jabari Greer.

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Tuesday Sports Betting News and Notes

Here are Tuesday’s baseball betting news and notes from
the private clipboard of the top baseball handicappers at OffshoreInsiders.com

Devil Rays-Orioles

Tampa’s Jason Hammel has a 10.42 ERA in the month of August. However, he
faces an Orioles team that has lost six straight. Daniel Cabrera is 6-0
lifetime to Tampa with a 2.90 ERA.


Jake Westbrook has been a sensational fantasy baseball pitcher as of late,
sporting a 1.50 ERA in his last 36 innings. World class handicapper Stevie
Vincent, one of the OffshoreInsiders.com
top experts, notes that Kason Gabbard has great splits numbers. Texas
has won all six of his home starts and his home ERA is 2.38 with a .912 WHIP.


The Halos Jeff Weaver is what master sports handicapper
Joe Duffy likes to call “predictably unpredictable”. He’s allowed one run or
less in 20 starts, but six or more in seven trips to the hill.


enters this double-header with the longest winning streak in MLB at eight


southpaw Adam Eaton has been abysmal all year as his 6.36 ERA and 1.62 WHIP
dictates. Fresh off the DL, he takes on
the first-place Mets in a relative “must win” for the Phillies. Surprisingly,
Eaton has a 5-0 lifetime record to the Mets with a 1.89 ERA.

The Phillies are winless in 12 games as a home underdog in


Florida is
ice cold, losing 9-of-11. The Braves send future Hall-of-Famer
John Smoltz to the hill off of consecutive wins in which he’s pitched 18
innings combined and given up just four runs. Smoltz is 13-6 career to the
Marlins with a 2.70 ERA.

Florida is
1-15 for -16.8 units this year when their bullpen ERA is 3.00 or less in their
previous 10 games.


Red hot Rich Hill totes the mound for Chicago. Over his last two starts he’s given up three
runs with a 17-3 walk-to-strikeout ratio. The Brew Crew are 4-16 -15.5 their
last 20 to teams that average .9 or less homeruns per game.


Jason Bergmann makes his first start in more than a month.

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