Tag Archives: college football

Week 1 College Football Recap: Significant Line Movements at BetOnline.ag

The first week of the college football season is officially in the books, and with it, we’ve seen some intriguing shifts in future odds across the betting landscape. Bettors and fans alike are keeping a close eye on how Week 1 performances have impacted the odds, especially as teams begin to reveal their true potential—or lack thereof.

Notable Odds Shifts Among Top Contenders

Even the top teams in the nation saw slight adjustments in their odds, reflecting a nuanced response to their Week 1 performances. While the top two teams’ odds lengthened ever so slightly, USC made a more significant leap in the futures market. The Trojans, who were previously sitting at 100/1, saw their odds shorten dramatically to 25/1. This shift likely reflects a combination of a strong opening performance and growing confidence in their potential to make a deep run this season.

Line moves in college football

Meanwhile, Clemson, despite suffering a heavy defeat at the hands of Georgia, actually saw their odds improve from 50/1 to 40/1 at Betonline, the home of the opening line. This may seem counterintuitive, but Florida State’s two conference losses have reshaped the ACC landscape, leaving Clemson as a more viable contender in the conference and, by extension, for the national title. BetOnline review.

Florida State and Florida See Odds Plummet

On the other hand, Florida State’s chances of competing for a national title took a nosedive after their poor start. The Seminoles’ odds ballooned from 66/1 to a staggering 500/1, reflecting the severe blow their championship aspirations took with those two conference losses. Florida, too, saw a significant downgrade in their odds, moving from 300/1 to 500/1. It seems that the betting markets have lost faith in both Florida schools after Week 1.

Teams on the Rise

Several teams have emerged from Week 1 with improved odds, signaling growing optimism from oddsmakers. Miami, which opened the season at 28/1, now finds itself at 18/1. The Hurricanes’ strong showing in their opener has clearly impressed, suggesting that they could be a team to watch as the season progresses.

Oklahoma also saw a positive adjustment, moving from 80/1 to 50/1. The Sooners’ odds shift is a reflection of their solid Week 1 performance and the potential for them to be a sleeper team this season.

Arizona and Nebraska both saw their odds improve from 250/1 to 150/1. These adjustments indicate that while they may still be long shots, their Week 1 performances have earned them a more favorable position in the eyes of bettors.

Teams on the Decline

Conversely, some teams saw their odds lengthen after disappointing Week 1 showings. James Madison, a team that had some preseason buzz, saw its odds skyrocket from 100/1 to 1000/1, indicating that their opening performance did not inspire confidence. Baylor also found themselves in a similar situation, with their odds lengthening from 500/1 to 1000/1, reflecting doubts about their ability to contend this season.

Final Thoughts

Week 1 has already had a significant impact on the futures market, with some teams emerging as stronger contenders while others have seen their odds lengthen dramatically. As the season progresses, these odds will continue to shift, providing valuable insights into the evolving perceptions of each team’s championship potential. Bettors should keep a close eye on these movements as they could offer opportunities for strategic wagering in the weeks ahead.

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Free College Football Pick and Betting System, Week 2

Free winning bet from Joe Duffy’s Picks: 

MICHIGAN STATE +9.5 vs. Maryland at MYBookie  

Taking Michigan State +9.5 is a solid bet for several reasons.

First, the large point spread combined with a low total in a conference game is a historically profitable angle, with a record of 437-321-23. This trend indicates that when the oddsmakers expect a low-scoring game, getting nearly double-digit points is a significant edge for the underdog with our free football pick.

Recent Performance: Michigan State’s recent win against Florida Atlantic (16-10) shows they can compete in low-scoring games. Their defense held strong, which is crucial when betting on an underdog with a large spread.

College football odds

Maryland’s Inconsistency: While Maryland had an impressive win against UConn, their performance can be inconsistent. Betting on Michigan State takes advantage of potential variability in Maryland’s play.

Historical Trends: Historically, Michigan State has performed well against the spread in similar situations. This trend, combined with the large point spread, increases the likelihood of them covering.

Motivation and Rivalry: Conference games often bring out the best in teams due to the rivalry and stakes involved. Michigan State will be highly motivated to perform well against a conference opponent.

Betting Market: The betting market often overvalues favorites, especially in conference games. This can create value on the underdog side, making Michigan State +9.5 an attractive bet.

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College Football Week 1 Betting Tipsheet

Betting expert Mike Godsey of OffshoreInsiders.com breaks down week 1 betting nuggets. Here is the college football betting tipsheet for opening week odds.

Thursday College Football Picks

North Carolina vs. Minnesota bet at Bovada  

Summary: Minnesota is excited about Max Brosmer, the runner-up for the Walter Payton Award, transferring in. North Carolina is replacing key players, including QB Drake Maye. Expect a strong showing from NC’s offense led by All-ACC RB Omarion Hampton, with Max Johnson adjusting as QB.

Coastal Carolina vs. Jacksonville State 

Summary: Both teams are likely to focus on the running game with new key players on offense, leading to a slower pace. Despite subpar defenses, their playstyles should keep the game under the total.

College football tip sheet

Saturday College Football Bets: 

Miami (FL) vs. Florida

Summary: Miami’s offense, bolstered by key transfers, looks set to challenge Florida’s defense. Florida might exploit Miami’s inexperienced secondary, leading to a higher-scoring game.

Clemson vs. Georgia

Summary: Georgia’s potent offense and Clemson’s returning talent suggest this game could exceed the projected total, especially with Clemson looking to bounce back after last season’s opener.

UCLA vs. Hawaii bet at MyBookie

Summary: UCLA is replacing a lot on defense but should still handle Hawai’i. Offensive issues for UCLA and a focus on their Week 2 opponent could keep this game under the total.

Virginia Tech vs. Vanderbilt

Summary: Virginia Tech returns most of their offense, which ended the 2023 season strong. Vanderbilt’s addition of QB Diego Pavia should help them improve offensively, making the Over a strong play.

New Mexico vs. Arizona

Summary: Arizona is a heavy favorite and has already seen the line move up after New Mexico’s first game under new HC Bronco Mendenhall. Expect further line movement.

Notre Dame vs. Texas A&M

Summary: Despite strong defenses, both teams have powerful offenses. Notre Dame’s Riley Leonard and TAMU’s Conner Wiegman should keep this game competitive and potentially over the total.

UTEP vs. Nebraska

Summary: Nebraska, under new HC Matt Rhule and starting 5-star Freshman QB Dylan Raiola, should dominate defensively against a rebuilt UTEP team. Expect a low-scoring game.

Southern Miss vs. Kentucky bet at Betonline sportsbook review

Summary: Kentucky’s offense, led by returning players and facing a weak Southern Miss defense, should score heavily. Southern Miss might struggle to score, but Kentucky alone could push this game over the total.

Sunday College Football Betting Picks

LSU vs. USC 

Summary: Both teams have defensive changes, but their offenses, led by new starting QBs with strong performances in bowl games, should push this game over the high total.

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Free college football pick week 1

NBA Free Pick, Sharp Intel College Football, College Basketball, NBA for Tonight Updated

I am 816-650 following MNF sweep on Titans and OVER, plus 3-1 NBA on top of that. Side and total in college football Tuesday, led by Wise Guy. Three NBA winners are up as well.  Get the picks now

Wednesday two college football winners, a side and total. Thursday, we put our 14-1 NFL primetime record on the line with TNF NFL side. Friday, college football side and total. As long as you have a package that includes Monday you can access all week’s picks. So, get Bet it Trinity or Joe Duffy’s Picks seven-day pick pack or longer.  

Kent-Buffalo (-20.5, 44.5)

  • Total opened at 57, though low limit
  • 26 mph winds
  • 70 percent of bets, 53 percent of money on Buffalo
  • 80 percent of bets, 85 percent of money on OVER

Free pick NBA from Joe Duffy’s Picks:

WASHINGTON -1.5 Dallas

Teams in double revenge and off blowout win are 199-148.

NBA sharp intel:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: None very strong

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Milwaukee, Charlotte, Washington OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: none

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Dallas opened -1 to +1.5

College basketball sharp intel:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Memphis, Cal-Irvine

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Memphis, Clemson, Citadel OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: none

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Alabama opened -27.5 now -20.5

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Central Michigan-Purdue Betting Preview

Central Michigan takes on Purdue in
the Motor City
bowl. The Boilermakers are an eight-point favorite with a total of 71.5-72, so
shop around at our vetted sportsbooks.

Taken from our sports betting
previews
from articles around the Internet, Purdue players have expressed
how they want to go out on a high note after losing their final three regular
season games including to rival Indiana (a GodsTips.com
Wise Guy winner for sports bettors.

This is a rare bowl rematch as Purdue crushed the
Chippewas 45-22 back on Sept. 23.

The Bowl
previews
told you that offensively, this is one of the more evenly matched
statistical battles. Purdue gets just .4 more first downs per game but CMU gets
27.4 more yards per game on .4 more yards per play. The Boilermakers get 22.2
more yards per game in the air. The biggest edge is on rushing yards per
attempt where the Chippewas get .9 more. While Central accumulates .2 more
passing yards per attempt, it’s Purdue earning .3 more passing yards per
reception.

Purdue’s defensive superiority is across the board, but
not by dominating margins. They allow 3.4 fewer first downs per game on 64.7
fewer total yards. They also allow .8 less yards per play. The biggest upper
hand is with pass defense, allowing 1.7 less passing yards per attempt and 1.3 less
passing yards per reception and a passing percentage against of 7.9 better than
CMU allows. In turnovers and rushing yards per attempt the teams are nearly
even.

CMU went 7-2 straight up down the stretch and 5-3-1 against the spread during that
span. They also exceeded the total in seven of their last eight. Purdue went
3-6 against the spread to close out the regular season, including three
straight losses outright.