Tag Archives: line movements

Week 4 NFL Opening Lines, With Line Moves From Lookahead

Every Thursday or Friday, Betonline opens up look-ahead lines for the following week. They are taken down on Sunday right before the games start. Here are the opening lines and lookahead lines for week 4. 

Then they are re-opened once the games end. OffshoreInsiders.com exploits this intel. 

Sometimes there can be a massive change based on injuries or poor play. 

If there’s a big line movement from the look-ahead lines, that will be notated.

As you’ll see below, Week 4 has had by far the biggest changes from the look-ahead lines.

NFL Week 4 Lines

Thursday, September 26, 2024

  • Dallas (-5½) @ New York Giants
    • Note: Dallas opened -6½.

Sunday, September 29, 2024

  • New Orleans @ Atlanta (-1½)
  • Los Angeles Rams (-1) @ Chicago
    • Note: Chicago opened -3.
  • Minnesota @ Green Bay (-2)
  • Pittsburgh (-2) @ Indianapolis
    • Note: Indianapolis opened -1.
  • Denver @ New York Jets (-7½)
  • Philadelphia (-2½) @ Tampa Bay
    • Note: Game opened as a pick’em.
  • Cincinnati (-6½) @ Carolina
  • Jacksonville @ Houston (-4½)
  • Washington @ Arizona (-4½)
  • New England @ San Francisco (-10½) 
  • Cleveland (-1½) @ Las Vegas
  • Kansas City (-9) @ Los Angeles Chargers
    • Note: KC opened -3½.
  • Buffalo @ Baltimore (-2½)

Monday, September 30, 2024

  • Tennessee (-1) @ Miami
    • Note: Miami opened -2½.
  • Seattle @ Detroit (-4½)

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Biggest Public Betting Moves For Saturday College Football

As we dive into the latest college football betting landscape, it’s essential to understand where the public money is going, which teams are seeing sharp action, and how line moves are reflecting market sentiment. This week’s college football betting activity is a fascinating mix of heavy public support, sharp bettor interest, and significant line movement. Let’s take a closer look at the trends that we bet at MYBookie is one of the best sportsbooks in the world! Check out the review of MyBookie:

Public Betting Trends: % of Bets

📊 Ohio State, Army, Iowa
The Buckeyes of Ohio State are once again a public favorite, with a large percentage of bettors throwing their support behind the perennial powerhouse. Army and Iowa round out the teams receiving the majority of public backing. This trend indicates strong confidence in these teams’ ability to cover the spread, even as oddsmakers adjust lines to account for this wave of betting activity.

Where the Big Money is: % of Money

💵 Duke, UTSA, Toledo, Ohio State
While Ohio State dominates in terms of the number of bets, larger amounts of money are also coming in on the Blue Devils of Duke, UTSA, and Toledo. When big money is flowing in a particular direction, it often suggests that more experienced or high-stakes bettors are confident in their picks. Keep an eye on these teams as they could be indicators of where the sharps are leaning.

Sharp Action

🔪 Troy, Boise State
The sharp bettors—those considered to have inside information or advanced analytical skills—are targeting Troy and Boise State this week. When sharp action piles up on a team, it often means there’s hidden value in the lines that the general public hasn’t spotted yet. This sharp action could lead to further line movement as sportsbooks adjust to balance their risk.

Line Movements

📈 Line moves are an essential tool in any bettor’s arsenal, as they reflect how sportsbooks are reacting to incoming bets. This week, we’ve seen significant movement in several games:

  • Clemson opened at -14.5 and has been bet up to -18.5, indicating strong confidence in the Tigers to cover a big spread.
  • FAU opened at -2 but is now sitting at +1.5, a 3.5-point swing. This kind of movement suggests heavy action on their opponent.
  • SMSU has seen its line move from -13 to -16.5, reflecting increased belief in a dominant performance.
  • Memphis saw their line shrink from -12.5 to -9.5, which may indicate concerns about their ability to cover a double-digit spread.
  • North Texas opened at -10 but has moved to -7, a key move around a critical number in football betting.
  • Baylor flipped from a 1-point underdog to a 2-point favorite, a massive swing suggesting strong public and sharp confidence in the Bears.
  • Oregon State opened as a 6-point favorite but now sits at -3, reflecting significant action on their opponent.

What These Trends Mean for Bettors

Understanding the dynamics between public betting, sharp action, and line movement can give you a strategic edge. Public money can inflate lines, providing value on the opposite side. Sharp action often indicates hidden value, while line movements can reveal where sportsbooks are trying to balance their books.

As the week progresses, keeping an eye on line shifts and where the big money is going will help you make more informed bets. Whether you’re riding with the public on Ohio State or following sharp action on Boise State, understanding these trends can be the difference between cashing a ticket and coming up short.

Conclusion
This week’s college football betting slate offers plenty of opportunities for bettors to capitalize on public trends, sharp action, and evolving lines. Stay updated, and use these insights to make smarter wagers as the season unfolds. Keep in mind that the most successful bettors are those who combine knowledge of these factors with discipline and strategy.

Happy betting, and good luck!

Joe Duffy is the strongest gambler in history and has three Wise Guy bets leading an incredible portfolio at OffshoreInsiders.com


By using data from the betting market, including public money, sharp action, and line movements, you can better position yourself to make informed decisions when wagering on college football. Stay sharp, and watch for late line shifts as kickoff approaches!

Week 2 NFL, Major Shifts From Lookahead Lines

Each Thursday or Friday, Betonline  releases their look-ahead lines for the following week’s NFL matchups. These lines offer bettors an early glimpse into the spreads, but they are only available for a limited time. They are taken down on Sunday before the games kick off, only to be re-opened once the day’s action concludes.

Injuries and other major developments over the weekend can lead to significant line movements, as demonstrated this week with Jordan Love’s injury. When there’s a major shift between the look-ahead lines and the new lines, these movements are highlighted below. NFL Week 2 spreads are subject to further change at Betonline  

NFL Week 2 Lines:

Thursday, September 12, 2024

  • Bills at Dolphins (-1½)

Sunday, September 15, 2024

  • Saints at Cowboys (-6½)
  • Buccaneers at Lions (-6)
  • Colts (-3) at Packers
    Note: The line opened with the Packers as -4 favorites, but shifted significantly after Jordan Love’s injury.
  • Jets (-4) at Titans
  • 49ers (-5) at Vikings
    Note: Line opened at 49ers -6½.
  • Seahawks (-3½) at Patriots
  • Giants at Commanders (-3)
  • Chargers (-4½) at Panthers
  • Browns at Jaguars (-3)
  • Raiders at Ravens (-8½)
  • Rams (-2½) at Cardinals
  • Steelers (-3) at Broncos
  • Bengals at Chiefs (-6)
    Note: Line opened at Chiefs -4.
  • Bears at Texans (-6½)
    Note: Line opened at Texans -3½.

Monday, September 16, 2024

  • Falcons at Eagles (-6)
    Note: Line opened at Eagles -4.

These lines reflect the latest updates from Betonline as of this writing. Be sure to check back frequently for adjustments, as they can shift based on news, injuries, and public betting patterns.

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