New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills sports gambling preview. Sam Darnold, who is high on the list of sportsbooks “first quarterback to get benched” props, goes against fellow youngster Josh Allen.
Odds: Buffalo is -6.5 -115 at Bovada live NFL lines with low total of 39.5. Last season, totals under 40 went under at a 15-8-1 rate. This has been the case since 2013 as all games since then with totals in the 30s have gone under 61-43-1, 59-40-1 just regular season. The game opened -6 -115.
Public betting percentages: Though 66 percent of bets are on the Bills, 56 percent of money are on the J-E-T-S, implying the dog is the sharp bet thus far. Likewise, there is a massive dichotomy in totals betting with 54% percent of tickets on over, yet 95 of money on the under. Many sharps say this is pro money on the under the total.
Power ratings: Massey Ratings expects a competitive game, giving the Bills the edge in a projected 21-17 final.
Computer simulations ATS: Strangely enough, the is massive disagreement between the two elite simulation software projections. One has the Jets covering 6.5 at a 68.9 percent to 31 percent ratio. The other has Buffalo model simulations covering a whopping 59 percent, making it a very strong computer play.
Computer simulations OU: Both programs see this game going under. One model has 73.8 percent of the simulations going under. The other agrees, but at a less eye-popping 54 percent.
Against the spread trends: New York Jets are 3-10 to AFC East. Underdog has covered 8-of-10 in the series.
Over-under trends: Buffalo under 6-1 overall. New York Jets under 5-1 overall.