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College Football Week 1 Line Moves: Texas vs. Ohio State Headlines Non-Conference Showdowns

The wait is over. Week 1 of the 2025 college football season brings us the kind of matchup fans and bettors dream about: the Texas Longhorns vs. the Ohio State Buckeyes. It’s SEC vs. Big Ten. Power vs. power. No. 1 against No. 2 in one poll (No. 1 vs. No. 3 in the AP). And you don’t even need to wait until Saturday night—the game kicks off at 12 p.m. ET.

But that’s not the only marquee non-conference clash. The schedule is stacked with LSU vs. ClemsonNotre Dame vs. Miami, and Alabama vs. Florida State. For sports bettors, Week 1 offers everything: line movement, public perception angles, and sharp betting value.

And if you want expert guidance on how to attack these lines, Joe Duffy’s Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com is where the smart money goes.


How the Lines Have Moved

Oddsmakers at SportsBetting.ag released Week 1 numbers in May, and we’ve seen some significant shifts since then:

  • Biggest Spread: Penn State (-44) vs. Nevada
  • Tightest Line: Oregon State (-1.5) vs. California
  • Largest Road Favorite: Alabama (-13.5) at Florida State
  • Favorite Flips: Temple, TCU, and Georgia Southern all switched to the chalk side since open.
  • Biggest Movers:
    • Hawaii/Arizona moved 7 points toward Arizona (-18).
    • TCU/UNC flipped 5.5 points from UNC -2 to TCU -3.5.
    • Ohio/Rutgers jumped 5 points in Rutgers’ direction (-15.5).
    • Temple/UMass flipped 4 points to Temple.

Tracking line movement is vital for bettors—but interpreting it correctly is even more critical. Public money pushes numbers in one direction, while sharp action forces a different adjustment. Knowing which is which? That’s what separates casual bettors from pros.

👉 Get that edge instantly with premium betting picks from OffshoreInsiders.com.


Spotlight: Texas vs. Ohio State (Saturday, Noon ET)

Ohio State opened as a 3-point favorite. The market has nudged it slightly to -2.5, showing respect for Texas’ depth and balance.

  • Texas Strengths: Elite quarterback play, an experienced offensive line, and SEC speed that matches up well with anyone.
  • Ohio State Strengths: Arguably the best WR room in the nation and a defense loaded with NFL-level talent.
  • Betting Factors: Neutral-site feel? No—this is in Columbus. Expect a true home-field advantage.

This is the type of game where casual bettors lean one way (usually toward the bigger brand or public darling), but sharp bettors find their edge by analyzing matchups, pace, and weather conditions.

And yes—we’ve already locked in a premium play on this game at Joe Duffy’s Picks.


Other Notable Non-Conference Matchups

LSU vs. Clemson (-3.5)

Early money leaned slightly toward Clemson at home. LSU’s defensive front will test Clemson’s rebuilt offensive line.

Alabama (-13.5) at Florida State

This line hasn’t budged. Bettors respect Nick Saban, but Florida State isn’t the pushover they were a few years ago.

Notre Dame (-2.5) at Miami

Unchanged from open—clear indication oddsmakers feel this is a true coin-flip rivalry matchup.


Betting Angles That Matter

  1. Line Moves – Don’t assume movement = smart money. Sometimes it’s just volume from the public.
  2. Public Bias – Teams like Ohio State and Alabama attract square money every week. Value often exists on the other side.
  3. Weather & Neutral Sites – Games in Atlanta or Arrowhead can feel neutral, but travel and crowd mix matter.
  4. Spot Value – Week 1 is tricky; overreactions to last season’s results create soft numbers.

For those who want to turn theory into profit, this is where OffshoreInsiders.com shines. Decades of systems, contrarian betting strategies, and AI-driven models go into every selection.


Why Choose Joe Duffy’s Picks?

  • Decades of Proven Winning: Since the scorephone era, Joe Duffy has been the go-to for serious bettors.
  • Data + Experience: Proprietary power ratings, contrarian intel, and simulation models converge into elite picks.
  • Guaranteed Profits: Every premium package at OffshoreInsiders.com comes with a profit guarantee.

Whether you’re a beginner learning about line moves or an experienced bettor hunting for Wise Guy plays, OffshoreInsiders has the right package.


Ready to Profit on Week 1?

Week 1 is the perfect time to get in. Oddsmakers are adjusting to new rosters, transfers, and coaching changes—and mistakes happen. This is when sharp bettors feast.

👉 Don’t just watch the games. Beat the sportsbooks.
Get today’s premium picks at OffshoreInsiders.com and start cashing tickets from the very first kickoff.


Final Word

This week isn’t just about Texas vs. Ohio State—it’s about opportunity. With so many line moves, neutral-site games, and powerhouse matchups, the edge is out there. The only question is: will you have it?

Join the winning side today at Joe Duffy’s Picks – OffshoreInsiders.com.

Massive Weekend of Football—Locked and Loaded at OffshoreInsiders.com

The stage is set for one of the biggest football weekends of the year, and Joe Duffy’s Picks has you covered. Decades of experience, advanced data, and battle-tested systems are all pointing to another profitable run.

Thursday: The first Named Play of the season—Non-Divisional Thursday Night OU of the Year—backed by a jaw-dropping system that’s 57-15-1.

Friday: A powerful side and total to keep the momentum rolling.

Saturday: The action explodes with the highly anticipated Texas–Ohio State side, plus 3 Wise Guys led by the Non-Divisional Saturday Night OU of the Year—part of 8 winners in all.

When Joe Duffy’s Picks posts a Named Play, it’s the closest thing to a lock you’ll find in sports betting.

Access is simple: As long as your package covers Monday, you get the entire week’s card. Choose a 7-Day Pick Packor longer—or go with the Football-Only Weekly Package.

Joe Duffy’s Picks—where data, decades of expertise, and proven systems make every weekend a winning one at OffshoreInsiders.com

Free Pick from Joe Duffy:
South Florida +5.5 vs. Boise State
Week 1 non-conference home underdogs or small favorites in qualifying situations are an outstanding 80-50-1.

Free College Football Pick, Week 0

Joe Duffy’s Picks is off a winning day, including 2-1 NFL, a powerhouse Saturday is here—2 college football sides, backed by the proven systems we’ve been cashing together for years. Add in 7 NFL winners, and this card is stacked for profit. When the Grandmaster loads up, you don’t want to miss it! OffshoreInsiders.com

Free pick:

Hawaii-Stanford UNDER 50.5

We have an angle that says when winds are above 13 mph, games go under at a 706-527-37 rate. Wind speed is definitely the single most important factor when it comes to handicapping weather. Follow us on all socials at @OffshoreInsider as I will have early week weather reports as well as before gametime. 

Also check out our new Economy Line to make the best handicapper on earth accessible to even smaller players.  Check out real-time odds, breaking injury news, and line alerts 

Week 5 College Football Lines Up

Week 5 NFL lines from Betonline

For all the winning bets, it’s OffshoreInsiders.com

Week 5 College Football Lines

Thursday, September 26, 2024

  • Army (-13) @ Temple

Friday, September 27, 2024

  • Virginia Tech @ Miami (-17)
  • Washington @ Rutgers (-3)

Saturday, September 28, 2024

  • Northern Illinois @ NC State (-7)
  • Maryland @ Indiana (-6½)
  • Buffalo @ UConn (-4½)
  • Western Kentucky @ Boston College (-11)
  • Kentucky @ Ole Miss (-17)
  • Nebraska (-9½) @ Purdue
  • Oklahoma State @ Kansas State (-5½)
  • Navy (-2½) @ UAB
  • South Florida @ Tulane (-6½)
  • Wisconsin @ USC (-14)
  • Oklahoma (-3) @ Auburn
  • Minnesota @ Michigan (-10)
  • Arkansas @ Texas A&M (-5½)
  • BYU @ Baylor (-3)
  • TCU @ Kansas (-2½)
  • Colorado @ UCF (-13)
  • Ball State @ James Madison (-19)
  • Texas State (-8) @ Sam Houston
  • Cincinnati @ Texas Tech (-3½)
  • Louisville @ Notre Dame (-5)
  • Louisiana @ Wake Forest (-3)
  • Liberty (-3) @ App State
  • Fresno State @ UNLV (-4)
  • San Diego State (pk) @ Central Michigan (pk)
  • Georgia Southern (pk) @ Georgia State (pk)
  • Western Michigan @ Marshall (-5½)
  • Akron @ Ohio (-12½)
  • Massachusetts @ Miami Ohio (-17)
  • Eastern Michigan (-13½) @ Kent State
  • North Carolina @ Duke (-2½)
  • UTSA @ East Carolina (-4½)
  • Mississippi State @ Texas (-40)
  • Old Dominion @ Bowling Green (-9)
  • Louisiana Tech (-2) @ Florida International
  • Stanford @ Clemson (-21½)
  • Iowa State (-12½) @ Houston
  • UL Monroe @ Troy (-9)
  • Charlotte @ Rice (-6½)
  • Tulsa @ North Texas (-7½)
  • Georgia (-2) @ Alabama
  • Middle Tennessee @ Memphis (-24½)
  • Illinois @ Penn State (-17½)
  • South Alabama @ LSU (-20½)
  • Florida State @ SMU (-5½)
  • Washington State @ Boise State (-7)
  • New Mexico (-7) @ New Mexico State
  • Ohio State (-24½) @ Michigan State
  • Air Force (-2½) @ Wyoming 
  • Arizona @ Utah (-12)
  • Oregon (-24) @ UCLA

Week 4 NFL Opening Lines, With Line Moves From Lookahead

Every Thursday or Friday, Betonline opens up look-ahead lines for the following week. They are taken down on Sunday right before the games start. Here are the opening lines and lookahead lines for week 4. 

Then they are re-opened once the games end. OffshoreInsiders.com exploits this intel. 

Sometimes there can be a massive change based on injuries or poor play. 

If there’s a big line movement from the look-ahead lines, that will be notated.

As you’ll see below, Week 4 has had by far the biggest changes from the look-ahead lines.

NFL Week 4 Lines

Thursday, September 26, 2024

  • Dallas (-5½) @ New York Giants
    • Note: Dallas opened -6½.

Sunday, September 29, 2024

  • New Orleans @ Atlanta (-1½)
  • Los Angeles Rams (-1) @ Chicago
    • Note: Chicago opened -3.
  • Minnesota @ Green Bay (-2)
  • Pittsburgh (-2) @ Indianapolis
    • Note: Indianapolis opened -1.
  • Denver @ New York Jets (-7½)
  • Philadelphia (-2½) @ Tampa Bay
    • Note: Game opened as a pick’em.
  • Cincinnati (-6½) @ Carolina
  • Jacksonville @ Houston (-4½)
  • Washington @ Arizona (-4½)
  • New England @ San Francisco (-10½) 
  • Cleveland (-1½) @ Las Vegas
  • Kansas City (-9) @ Los Angeles Chargers
    • Note: KC opened -3½.
  • Buffalo @ Baltimore (-2½)

Monday, September 30, 2024

  • Tennessee (-1) @ Miami
    • Note: Miami opened -2½.
  • Seattle @ Detroit (-4½)

Follow us on Twitter and all socials @OffshoreInsider

Week 2 NFL Betting; Tailgate Party with Free Side ATS, Player Prop Trends, Public Betting Info

Here is the Sunday NFL Tailgate Party: everything gamblers need to know to make a bloody fortune in week 2 NFL betting!

Free:

CLEVELAND +3 Jacksonville we bet at MYBookie is one of the best sportsbooks in the world! Check out the review of MyBookie

So many super sharp systems apply here. Combo of going with a team with the much worse delta points allowed and a road underdog that has not overachieved is a sensational 36-6 ATS for about a 60 percent ROI. Delta points allowed is how many points they allowed relative to the average team total. 

The master angle about dogs that have not overachieved based on wins compared to how often they have been a favorite is a stunning 1229-1027-63 for +99.30 units. It hits 63.3 percent in first three weeks, so again overestimating short-term results is massive early season. 

Week 2 is all about square bettors panicking and oddsmakers knowing it. A big bounce back angle about going with teams that loss as a favorite in opening week, under specific situations that apply in this game are 53-29-2 for 23.4 ROI. 

Of our models, simulators, power ratings, BetQL, which tends to shade towards chalk, has this as only a one-point game and a solid bet on the Browns. 

Follow us on Twitter and all socials @OffshoreInsider

🏈 Biggest Public Bets for Week 2 NFL:

  • % of Bets: 🏴‍☠️ Tampa, 🐴 Denver, 🗽 NY Giants; 🏴‍☠️ Pittsburgh OVER, 🟦 Seattle OVER
  • % of Money: 🛩️ NY Jets, 🌉 San Francisco
  • Sharp Action: 🛩️ Houston, 🛩️ NY Jets, 🐆 Jacksonville, 🦅 Philadelphia; 🏴‍☠️ New England UNDER
  • Line Moves (Open/Current):
    • 🧀 Green Bay from -5 to +2.5 (Jordan Love injury)
    • 🐏 Rams -2 now +1
    • 🛩️ Houston -3.5 now -6.5
  • OU:
    • 🧀 Green Bay OVER 47 now 40.5 (Love injury)
    • 🐴 Denver 40.5 to 36.5


📊 Top Player Prop Betting Trends:

  • 🏈 Bryce Young: under 13-4 in his career with passing yards
  • 🏈 Daniel Jones: under 17-8 last 25 with passing yards
  • 🏈 Sam Darnold: under 11-3 passing completions
  • 🏈 Jacoby Brissett: over 13-4 passing completions
  • 🏈 Trevor Lawrence: under 36-17 in his career with passing TDs
  • 🏈 Daniel Jones: under 25-11 in his career with passing TDs
  • 🏈 Kirk Cousins: over 28-14 in his career with passing TDs
  • 🏈 Aaron Rodgers: under 21-8 in his career rushing yards
  • 🏈 Miles Sanders: under 25-11 in his career with receiving yards
  • 🏈 Christian Watson: under 17-5 in his career with receiving yards

Happy betting! 📈🏆

💰💰💰Top expert pick:  

💥 Sunday: 3 powerful Wise Guy bets 💡5 Majors 📈 3 player prop bets

🔥 Includes Patrick Mahomes prop!

🚨 Saturday NFL steam move is our strongest football contrarian play of the year to date! 💰

All at OffshoreInsiders.com from Joe Duffy, the top NFL handicapper in world history. 

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NFL Week 1 Prop Bet Trends

Week 1 NFL prop trends are up from OffshoreInsiders.com units won/lost based on $100 a bet.

Passing yards

  • Bryce Young under 12-4 +714
  • Daniel Jones under 22-13
  • Jared Goff over 124

Passing completions 

  • Jacoby Brissett over 13-3
  • Jordan Love OVER 12-4
  • Sam Darnold UNDER 10-2
  • Trevor Lawrence OVER 31-19

Rushing yards 

  • Christian McCaffrey OVER 29-17
  • Tua Tagovailoa UNDER 21-11
  • Brian Robinson Jr OVER 17-9

Receiving yards

  • Christian Watson UNDER 12-3
  • Cole Kmet OVER 10-3
  • Breece Hall OVER 10-3

Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com is now the source for prop bets. He has been the top capper for NFL picks since the 1980s.

Handicapper’s Week 1 College Football Betting Lock Revealed

Free winning bet for 2024 college football picks from Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com

Boise State-GA Southern OVER 56.5

This could turn out to be a premium pick. For a bet to rise to that level as a top computer play, we weight our simulators and power ratings based on performance overall and in each sport. We utilize some publicly available databases that at the time of our free release, not all sources have checked in, but this has the makings of a possible premium bet as well. 

Week 1 College Football Betting Winners Celebration: Fans Rejoice with Winning Tickets in Vibrant Stadium Atmosphere"

Sportsline gives us a 65 percent chance of the game going over with 66 points expected. MasseyRatings has 68 points projected. BettingPros gives us a 70 percent chance to cover with 63.6 the power total. 

Big picks of the pros are up though!

🚀 Joe Duffy’s Picks are setting the world on fire! 🔥

✅ Scored Big in NFL Preseason – Joe Duffy is a touchdown machine with his winning picks finishing off another winning preseason!

🏈 College Football Triumph – Already celebrating a win with Nevada, the solo college football champ so far!

Up for week 1, starting Thursday August 29

🎯 Thrilling Thursday with 5 Bets – Hold onto your hats for a day packed with excitement!

🏆 Saturday Sensations with 7 Bets – Get ready for the epic Clemson vs. Georgia showdown!

🔥 Sunday Showdown – Get pumped for the USC vs. LSU face-off!

Stay glued for more picks right before the games—be there or be square! 🚨 Dive into the winning streak with Joe Duffy’s Picks! 🎉  Go for Joe Duffy’s Picks (weekly football selections only) for a seven-day pick pack or beyond at OffshoreInsiders.com

BetonSports360.com

Address for site: www.betonsports360.com

E-mail: SVincent@JoeDuffy.net

Website: Stevie Vincent’s BetOnSports360.com

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: Wednesday, August 15, 2007

“Revolutionary New Sports Handicapping Site”

PLAINVIEW, NY–A
revolutionary new website that experts say will change the landscape of sports
betting is now live: Stevie Vincent’s BetOnSports360.com Stevie Vincent is the forefather of
“forensic handicapping” based on the principal of forensic economics.

Already considered the leading authority on probability
and statistics as it applies to sports gaming, Vincent took it a step
further. Captivated by a research paper
authored by a University of Pennsylvania professor who used forensic economics
to argue a significant percentage of college basketball games were fixed,
Vincent used data mining software and a web crawler unearthing consistent
patterns of when teams were likely to cover or fail to cover the spread.

However, Vincent does not believe the anomalies are
evidence of underworld influence, but proof that not only are there distinct
patters of when a team will peak and bottom out, but forensic handicapping
exploits when oddsmakers overuse recent data resulting in “overlays” or “underlays” (bad lines) by the oddsmakers. He also believes
some off lines are intentional in anticipation of predictably inaccurate public
perception.

Vincent’s research answers one of handicapping’s great
mysteries: how to weigh long term versus short term data. “It depends, but it
is now ascertainable how and when to evaluate the fluid variables” asserts
Vincent.

In short, forensic handicapping evaluates data and detects
the confluence of team, oddsmaker and public
tendencies producing an end product being the most scientifically valid sports
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Vincent is former Executive Editor of the popular
scorephone “Tailgate Parties” and has been a consultant to several top
handicappers.

BetOnSports360.com takes sports betting into a new age with
“forensic handicapping” using ground-breaking techniques employed successfully
in other fields.