OffshoreInsiders Handicapping Blog Sports betting blog with sports handicapping picks from the best sports handicappers, pregame betting information, sports handicapping articles, links to live odds, free picks, sportsbook information and more. All pro gamblers go to this betting blog before placing a bet.

February 12, 2020

Free College Basketball Pick, NBA Injuries, Sharp Line Moves

Filed under: Uncategorized — Tags: , , — Joe Duffy @ 11:39 AM

JDP hits only Wise Guy again on New Orleans going way over the total. Finally ready stop losing on your own or with inferior wannabee cappers? Great day to commence the rest of your gambling life as JDP has two NBA Wise Guys among six winners. Get the picks now 

Free college basketball pick is:

MICHIGAN -6.5 Northwestern 

High volume based on rebounds, field goal percentage of last game is 1881-1531-84 with an enhanced sub-angle of 720-544-33. 

NBA injuries:

Anthony Davis LAL @ DEN, probable

Kevin Love       CLE vs ATL. questionable

Derrick Rose    DET @ ORL, probable

Serge Ibaka     TOR @ BKN, questionable

Mike Conley    UTA vs MIA, questionable

Deandre Ayton PHX vs GG, questionable 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Atlanta, Milwaukee; Pittsburgh, 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Minnesota, Utah; Auburn, San Jose State, Loyola Chicago

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: West Virginia opened at +1 now -1.5

October 22, 2019

NFL Free Picks, Week 8 From #1 NFL Betting Expert

Filed under: Uncategorized — Tags: , — Joe Duffy @ 2:54 PM

Free picks from Joe Duffy, bet at NFL live lines. College Football Total of the Year continues historic run for the great Joe Duffy. We have NFL Wise Guy as well.  Get the picks now

Redskins at Vikings (-16,42)

  • Go with much worse spread team in terms of margin of cover is 171-105-11 including 7-1 off shutout (Washington)
  • Road underdogs off getting shutout are 45-27 (Washington)
  • But big favorites to bad teams in games expected to be low scoring on Thursday nights are 13-0 (Minnesota)
  • Favorites in short week 105-57-5 under specific circumstances that apply today (Minnesota)
  • Case Keenum vs. Kirk Cousins, not real handicapping value
  • Skins RB Adrian Peterson probable with low ankle sprain
  • Skins interim coach Bill Callahan is OL guru and has put emphasis on power running game
  • Cousins off a good game will come out flat on short week
  • Total jumped from 40-42, so now outside angle where road favorites of 15 or more, total 41.5 or less are 30-11-1
    • At 42, it’s 32-14

The pick: UNDER 7.5 first quarter

Seahawks (-3.5,54) at Falcons

  • Off board in a lot of areas with Ryan questionable and Falcons just traded Mohamed Sanu
  • Ito Smith out
  • Seattle 3-0 SU road, 2-2 home sets up angle where road teams that have been much better on road 125-84-4 (Seattle)
  • Worse turnover team is 526-400-28 (Atlanta)
    • Turnovers correctable and good fortune
  • Atlanta 1-6 ats (league worst) by -10.3 points per game, second worst in league
  • Terrible ats teams under specific circumstances that apply today 86-52-5 (Atlanta)
  • Home underdogs of 3.5 or more off blowout loss 79-52-3 (Atlanta)
  • Mountain or Center teams at 1 ET 117-78-3 at 60 percent (Atlanta)

The pick: Seattle laying -4 or less

Panthers at 49ers (-5.5, 41.5)

  • Premium total
  • 49ers 4-2 ats with league-leading 12.7 margin of cover
  • Carolina 4-2 by +5.2
  • Teams in week 8 or later covering by an average of 11.5 or more 22-12 (49ers)
    • 72.2 percent at home
  • San Francisco top under team in NFL, under 5-1 by -9.6 points per game
    • Teams under by 8.5 or more in week 7 or later, go over 62-35
  • San Francisco worst SoS in NFC
  • San Francisco getting .2 yards per rush and .5 yards per pass attempt above what opponent normally allows
  • Niners allow 4.1 yards per carry teams normally getting 3.9
  • All okay, but not for 6-0 SU team
  • Carolina is better with Kyle Allen
  • Fading teams that gave up a combined 15 or less last three games is 16-6-1 ats including 9-1 road (Carolina)

The pick: Carolina +5.5

September 16, 2018

Sharpest Betting Intel in World Week 2

Filed under: Sports Betting News — Tags: , — Joe Duffy @ 10:17 AM

LateInfo goes back to the scorephone days and is only activated when critical info comes in from a proven big money source. Big Red is a major figure and pioneer in offshore betting. He has unique access to professional oddsmakers and gamblers. All his bets are based on consulting with elite handicappers, pro bettors and linesmakers and tops the list of sources for LateInfo.

1 ET start he says it the biggest bet in college or NFL, pre or regular season this far.  Get the picks now

Chargers-Bills

  • Teams off loss as a favorite rebound in week 2 at 73-56-4 rate (Chargers)
    • 62.1 percent when not a home favorite this game
  • Home underdogs off a loss of 40 or more are 10-3 against the spread
  • Philip Rivers predictably unpredictable
  • Bills abysmal
  • Chargers pass rusher Joey Bosa is out
  • Yes home underdogs of 7 or more 53.6 percent but only 33-40 when hosting a team off a loss of seven or more
  • Fading teams that average 3 or less points per game, unless they are home favorites is 18-8 (San Diego)
  • Josh Allen makes first career start after going 6-of-15 for 74 yards passing and 26 yards rushing
  • Underdogs of six or more off loss of 20 or more are 258-213-7 for 54.8 (Bills)
  • Home underdogs of 6.5 or more off loss of 24 or more 68-39 for 63.6 (Bills)
    • But 4-8 since 2013

Eagles-Buccaneers

  • Tampa has terrible last season and undervalued, while Eagles had everything to right
  • Tampa WR DeSean Jackson upgraded to probable
    • 5 catches in week 1, 106 previous two years
  • Both teams with backup, but very experienced QBs
    • Eagles Nick Foles
    • Bills Ryan Fitzpatrick
  • Road favorites that had at least 200 fewer total yards than their opponent did previous week are 20-9
    • Listen to what the oddsmakers are telling you
  • Eagles RB Darren Sproles is out
    • 3,376 career yards rushing on 4.9 yards per carry
  • Eagles WR Alshon Jeffery who has had five straight seasons of 52 or more catches is out

Browns-Saints

  • Teams off loss as a favorite rebound in week 2 at 73-56-4 rate (Saints)
  • Fade teams that have no more than one win last 22 SU is 27-10 (Saints)
  • Teams off loss as large favorite are 95-66 (Saints)
  • Large home favorites with statistically worse defense is 79-57 (Saints)
  • Browns tie, mentally draining, but Saints loss motivating
    • Teams off a tie 6-14 (go with Saints)
  • Saints still without Mark Ingram
    • 1124 yards rushing last year, averages 4.5 yards per carry in 5362 lifetime yards
  • NO plays Atlanta next week
  • Browns dangerous WR Josh Gordon will be cut
  • Browns without one of their best pass rushers in Emmanuel Ogbah
  • New Orleans defense is more healthy this week
  • Saints top scoring home offense since 2015
  • When Saints home game total has gone up by up to two points, the OVER is 23-10
  • After being most improved defense last year, Saints torched for 529 yard and 48 points to backup Ryan Fitzpatric last week

Pick: NEW ORLEANS -9

Vetted sportsbooks: MYBookie | Intertops |Betonline SportsBettingBovadaGTBets |BetDSI |

Cardinals-Rams

  • Teams off loss as a favorite rebound in week 2 at 73-56-4 rate (Cardinals)
    • 62.1 percent when not a home favorite this game
  • Cards starting OT Andrew Smith is out

Lions-49ers

  • Teams off loss as a favorite rebound in week 2 at 73-56-4 rate (Lions)
    • 62.1 percent when not a home favorite this game
  • Go against favorites of 2 or more if it’s their first game as favorite is 209-168-15 (Lions)
  • Lions starting T T.J. Lang is out
  • Jimmy Garoppolo now facing burden of high expectations
    • Many examples of QBs being great fade once they go from hunter to hunted
  • Stafford 7-14-1 underdogs of six or more
  • Underdogs of six or more off loss of 20 or more are 258-213-7 for 54.8 (Lions)

Giants-Cowboys

  • Go against favorites of 2 or more if it’s their first game as favorite is 209-168-15 (Giants)

Colts-Redskins

  • Teams off loss as a favorite rebound in week 2 at 73-56-4 rate (Colts)
    • 62.1 percent when not a home favorite this game
  • Go against favorites of 2 or more if it’s their first game as favorite is 209-168-15 (Colts)
  • Solid momentum angle that has to do with undefeated team versus a winless team under specific circumstances that apply today is 70-49-2 (Redskins)
  • Skins undervalued as not sure Cousins to Smith is drop-off, Colts overvalued
  • Colts Anthony Castonzo is out after being considered probable early in the week
    • OL ravaged by injury and they were counting on his return
  • Home teams in week 2 that covered by seven or more previous week 39-29-4 (Washington)
  • Andrew Luck a stunning 22-6 off SU loss, covering by 6.9 points per game
    • 10-1 as underdog by 13.4 points per game

Panthers-Falcons

  • Go against favorites of 2 or more if it’s their first game as favorite is 209-168-15 (Panthers)
  • Falcons RB Devonta Freeman is doubtful
    • Averages 4.3 yards per carry in his career and twice rushed for over 1,000 yards
  • Panthers WR Curtis Samuel, fellow WR Damiere Byrd and G Trai Turner all are out
    • Samuel 15 receptions in 9 games, 4 starts last year
    • Byrd had 10 catches last year
  • Panthers OL Matt Kalil, Daryl Williams and superstar TE Greg Olsen remain out
  • But Falcons defense with LBs Deion Jones and Keanu Neal, both devastating injuries
  • Playoff teams from previous season are 42-28 against the spread in week 2 home openers
  • Cam Newton 29-19 against the spread as underdog including 8-6 last 14 SU for +9 units

Texans-Titans

  • Go against favorites of 2 or more if it’s their first game as favorite is 209-168-15 (Titans)
  • Titans starting QB Marcus Mariota limited in practice
    • Look for both Mariota and journeyman Blain Gabbert to get playing time
  • Texans star WR DeAndre Hopkins is questionable and will be limited if he does play
    • Among 4 Texans WR dealing with injuries
  • Going against teams that open the season with back-to-back road games is 28-16 including 15-4 in the second of those two road games (Tennessee)
  • Including walking wounded, one could argue Tennessee most injured offense in NFL

Patriots-Jaguars

  • Jacksonville RB Leonard Fournette is game-time decision
    • 9 carries, 45 yards off 1,040 yards last year at 3.9 yards per carry
  • New England RB by committee but banged up
  • Brady 44-19-5 against the spread to AFC foes with a winning percentage above .500

Vikings-Packers

  • Packers QB Aaron Rogers is practiced Saturday for the first time and is listed as probable
    • Backups DeShone Kizer and Tim Boyle
    • Will likely have Davante Adams

Miami-Jets

  • Dolphins WR DeVante Park is probable
    • 56 and 7 catches the last two years
  • Go against favorites of 2 or more if it’s their first game as favorite is 209-168-15 (Dolphins)
  • Teams off impressive prime-time win 123-72-8 (Jets)
  • Jets LB Josh Martin is out
    • 14 games, 9 starts last year with 48 combined tackles
  • Jets DB Marcus May out
    • 16 starts last year with 79 combined tackles
  • LG Josh Sitton, who played every offensive snap in game 1 it out for the year
    • 4 time Pro Bowler
    • Ted Larson, who has 73 starts in 111 games, takes over
  • Jets 2-6 against the spread under Todd Bowles off win as an underdog previous week, failing by 9.2 points per game

Joe Duffy with Wise Guy on SNF among three NFL winners. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are in near unanimity considered the strongest bet in sports wagering by bookmakers, pro gamblers, oddsmakers, and fellow handicappers alike. Get the picks now

Chiefs-Steelers

  • Ben Roethlisberger has missed practice this week with bruised right elbow, but probable
    • 99.1 QBR at home, compared to 88.7 road
  • Le’Veon Bell still out
  • Teams off a tie 6-14 (fade Pittsburgh)
  • Fading home favorites off a tie is 75-54 (KC)
  • Chiefs star S Eric Berry is doubtful, opening up passing game for Pittsburgh
  • Ben Roethlisberger is most profitable QB to the UNDER, when fading total line move, going under 49-37
    • Gone from 49.5 to 54
  • Antonio Brown last four games to Chiefs averaging 6 receptions for 113 yards
  • Going against teams that scored 28 or more in week 1 is 52-28 (fade KC, go with Pittsburgh)
    • 7-17 if they also allowed 28 or more

Raiders-Broncos

  • Oakland down both starting defensive tackles
  • Raiders short week and going to high altitude
  • Underdogs of six or more off loss of 20 or more are 258-213-7 for 54.8 percent (Oakland)

Giants-Cowboys

  • Two winless teams, go with underdog is 88-66-5 (Giants)
    • 58.8 percent road
  • Cowboys nobody to catch ball, Zeke Ellliot looking like physical style already caught up to him
    • Just 69 yards last week, though only carried 15 times
  • Six year starting LB Olivier Vernon is out for Giants
  • Dallas with 61 percent against the spread home winning percentage under Jason Garrett

This is brought to you by DuffyGifts.com the place to go for gifts for all occasions from MyThirtyOne Gifts.

Biggest line moves:

Green Bay opened -2.5 to Minnesota, now +2.5

Jets P to Miami, now -3

New Orleans -7 to -9.5

Percentage of bets: Houston, LA Chargers, Minnesota, Philadelphia

Percentage of money: Minnesota, Philadelphia, San Francisco, LA Chargers, New Orleans, Houston

October 11, 2015

Dallas Cowboys vs. New England Patriots

Filed under: Sports Betting News — Tags: , , — Joe Duffy @ 9:45 AM

Cowboys vs. Patriots NFL lock preview from Grandmaster Handicapper Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com

Yes Kansas State made it much more interesting than it needed to be, but holds on as LateInfo now 207-103 including 9-2 in football this year. Oh the last losers was Denver UNDER last week in which most of you had a winner or a push, so many of you are 10-1! Regardless get Seahawks-Bengals side from The biggest outlaw book in the southeast has been such for nearly 30 years. He also is in constant contact with his colleagues from around the nation. Nobody has a better pulse on where outlaw and under-the-radar whale money is going. Get the picks now

Powered by WordPress