For decades we have taken pride in being so far ahead of the curve with handicapping techniques, yet allowed the flexibility of the website to be stuck in the early part of the century.

We no longer are going to simply allow the best product to sell itself but also have a modern site to match. Most importantly, it will be mobile friendly. We also want to give clients more capability to for example buy picks by time of day. Example: just 1 ET NFL, just 4 ET, etc.

Hopefully just after the NCAA Tournament and long before football season we can unveil at OffshoreInsiders.com. In the interim, enjoy the best product. We continue to enhance that too by purchasing systems with ROIs above 30 percent and/or units won in the triple digits.

And we just keep winning. I have been in the business 28 years and have seen many touts come and go. We have had some of the best betting seasons every publically recorded in the history of every sport, college and pro football and baseball counted separately. This is certainly in our Top 10 football.

Before the season started, I did something you never heard from me before. I bragged about how we bought and traded some of the best computer systems on earth. And I just keep effing winning. Yes, the best ever truly got better. Surely you were not on the outside looking in of Joe Duffy’s Picks were you? All clients of Joe Duffy’s Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com got this:

Thursday

NFL

Wise Guy

SEATTLE -5.5 San Francisco

Teams that are winless in road games and are road favorites in game 6 or later are 19-4 since 2007. Seattle has a deceptively bad record. Seahawks four losses were at St. Louis, at Green Bay, at Cincinnati and at Carolina. Those are losses to 3-of-5 undefeated teams and 2-of-3 teams with six wins.

Over the year first year head coaches on Thursday Night Football have been great fades. This is especially when someone has not been a head coach previously as is the case with Jim Tomsula.

The Niners are all but assured of coming out flat in this one off a rare quality effort.

Georgia Southern-Appalachian State UNDER 62

I especially expect Georgia Southern with their one-dimensional offense to struggle overall to App State. However they are too good of a rushing team to be completely shut down, so I expect them to have long sustained drives that eat up the clock.

GA Southern was shutout by the best defense they faced all season Clemson. Of course App State is not as dominant, but is the second best defense they have faced. They allow just 11.8 points per game to teams averaging 20.3 on 3.2 yards per rushing attempt to 3.5 and 5.9 yards per pass to 6.9. The matchups indicate decent success on the ground but little in the air for Southern as they get a mere 5.7 yards per pass to teams normally allowing 8.

CFB

Major

APPALACHIAN STATE -6 Georgia Southern

We have a super strong momentum angle that favors App State that is 666-492-26. Yes I am very aware that Georgia Southern also has momentum, but I ran several queries that asked if their opponent is coming off five straight blowout wins, does it cancel out the angle? Nope, it does not. In fact, most raised the winning percentage, albeit with a substantially smaller sample size.

The Mountaineers lead the conference in total defense, while Latrell Gibbs is tied for the conference lead with five interceptions, including two he returned for touchdowns. Ronald Blair is second in the conference with four sacks.

That is bad news for a Georgia Southern offense that struggles to pass. Appalachian State is the better team because of defense and a more balanced offense. ASU was the favorite to win the conference after showing drastic improvement with young players last season, finishing the year 6-0 straight up. Clearly they are for real and ready to make a statement in a revenge game. But App State is substantially better than when they met last year and playing at home.

GA Southern was shutout by the best defense they faced all season Clemson. Of course App State is not as dominant, but is the second best defense they have faced. They allow just 11.8 points per game to teams averaging 20.3 on 3.2 yards per rushing attempt to 3.5 and 5.9 yards per pass to 6.9. The matchups indicate decent success on the ground but little in the air for Southern as they get a mere 5.7 yards per pass to teams normally allowing 8.

Professional gamblers demand the best and pro gamblers get the best from Joe Duffy’s Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com

The 5-2 record does not tell the story as it includes 2-0 with Wise Guys plus the first of many money line underdogs wins with Washington +145. as Joe Duffy’s Picks has dominated the NFL since the mid-1980s scorephone days more than any handicapper has in any sport.

NFL

Wise Guy

TAMPA +10 -115 New Orleans

We are honored to continue getting new clients. Here is one of our secrets to NFL handicapping: we successfully know when to bet on unpredictability. Jameis Winston was drafted No. 1 for a reason. After being completely outplayed by Marcus Mariota in opening week, we look for the resiliency that made Shame Us one of the all-time great college QBs. The tea leaves indicate Mike Evans should return at WR, a huge boost. Still 10 points is too much against a Saints team that lost stud TE Jimmy Graham in a trade.

Not shockingly, underdogs of 4.5 or more off a loss of 28 or more is 123-78-5 for 61.2 percent.

CLEVELAND +1.5 Tennessee

Home Underdog Game of the Year

I am just not buying it at all. Of course Marcus Mariota made one of the most impressive debuts in NFL history. If you think he will not have bouts of inconsistency in his rookie year, especially following up a great game, then bet on the Tits now on the Super Bowl futures. Oh I am definitely betting on him to come down to earth playing his second straight road game.

Here is what I am buying: Johnny Manziel has tried to turn if life around and at least short-term will breathe life into this terrible offense. How is losing Josh McCown, the worst starting QB in the league, a drop off?

Manziel has taken all first-team reps this week. He has been reading his own press clippings and they have not been very good. A talented, humbled, a more mature J Football will seize the opportunity.

Major

CINCINNATI -3 -118 San Diego

Philip Rivers has a long history of following up great games with a thud. In the greatest comeback at home in team history, the Chargers rallied from an 18 point deficit in the first half for a remarkable 33-28 victory over the Detroit Lions. He enters this game with 20 straight completions, but if he has the ability to sustain momentum, he would be a slam-dunk Hall-of-Famer.

Now that he hits the road against a talented defense, he is all but assured of a thud. I am no big fan of Andy Dalton, but he is much less likely to give a game away than Matt Stafford on the road.

BUFFALO +1 New England

Contrary to popular belief, Bill Belichick has not done all that well to young QBs. The theory being his alleged genius is have a lot of film to study, something he does not have with Tyrod Taylor.

In 2013, the Jets lost to the Patriots 13-10 and beat them 30-27, in what were Geno Smith second and seventh career starts. Also in 2013, the Patriots barely beat EJ Manuel and the Bills, winning 23-21 in what was Manuel first career start.

If defense wins, the home dog is a lock because they have the superior defense. Rex Ryan is a great short-term fix. Yes his act wears thin, but that is down the road. The short-term effect of a new coach and a new QB is more than enough for the outright win.

DETROIT +2 Minnesota

Matt Stafford predictably unpredictable hence off 19-30 with 2 int, history says he will rebound with good effort. He already plays well to Nordic Explorers with aTD-INT ration of 14-4 vs. the Vikings.

Teddy Bridgewater goes hunter to hunted. Yes he improved late in season, but second-year QB is perfect candidate to regress.

His worst game in 2014, as measured by passer rating, was at home against the Lions when he was intercepted three times, was sacked eight times and lost a fumble. The Vikings are overvalued overall and Detroit is undervalued in this spot.

PITTSBURGH -6.5 San Francisco

What a tough spot for the Niners off a late MNF traveling 2260 miles and playing at 10 PST. Bet against team off win as home underdogs is 367-270-18.

This is a much better offense that San Francisco beat last week. We will grant you that Pittsburgh perhaps has too much rest off opening up on Thursday. Still the travel, short week, west coast body clock should mean Pittsburgh owns the game late.

WASHINGTON +145 St. Louis

This is on the moneyline. Going against road team off win as home underdogs +117.8 units.

Joe Duffy has been featured on CTV, ESPN, Sporting News Radio, SBR Forum videos, top sports betting podcast, CBC News, AJC syndication, Bleacher Report, Examiner, SportsBlog, Sports Network (now Stats Inc), 976, free, and national toll-free scorephones as well as many high volume websites.

Let’s hope: Perfect storm of events will force sports leagues to reassess their opposition to sports betting

Source

Long ago, Grandmaster Handicapper Joe Duffy spoke of the bipartisan hypocrisy.

https://youtu.be/Kv8_3poi9jQ