Free Sports Picks, Week 15 NFL Betting Splits, Bowl Bettors’ Breakdown

NFL week 15 and day two of bowls sharp report. 

NFL

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Buffalo

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: none Saturday

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have the highest percent of cash compared to bets: Indianapolis 

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: None Saturday

CFB bowls

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Southern Miss

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: none Saturday

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have the highest percent of cash compared to bets: BYU

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Fresno State +2.5 to -4.5, BYU -1.5 to +4

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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

Free NBA winner:

MIAMI -7.5 San Antonio

Fade big home dogs if not off a low scoring game and with a substantial amount of rest and neither team has an extreme winning percentage is 702-495-30Rest dynamics generally benefit the home team. When a team has more rest, about 66 percent of the time, it is the home team. However, when the road team is more rested, it nullifies the normal home court advantage and creates an off line to the tune of 459-347.  Away favorites or small road dogs on a massive scoring streak is 459-347. 

Both of our contrarian indexes, one worldwide sportsbooks, the other has to do with super-square outlaw money, has this as a very strong corroborated contrarian bet worldwide. Public dogs generally die and the Spurs are a big public dog. 

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