Market Report NFL Week 8; Who Is the Public Betting?

4:25 Minnesota Gophers in a rout the latest in a splendid life that goes back to scorephone days of last century. Late Info 6-1 recently. NBA this week? 4:25 ET high profile game total on Rams vs. 49ers total at OffshoreInsiders.com

🏈Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Las Vegas, Washington

🏈Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: San Francisco, Arizona; NY Jets UNDER, Buffalo UNDER

🏈Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: NY Jets UNDER

🏈Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Atlanta -6.5 to -4, Tennessee -3.5 to -1

There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

MyBookieDouble deposit up to $1,000 +$100K
BovadaGreat online casino with 3K welcome bonus!
GT Bets100% bonus on initial deposit, 50% on 2nd
Bet Now100% sign up bonus
BetOnlineHome of the opening line, has a $1,000 welcome bonus
Sports Betting #1 rated sportsbook for live betting. 1K signup bonus
 

Leave a Reply