Week 3 NFL betting market report.
🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Cincinnati, Baltimore, San Francisco. The normal away favorites infatuation. Buffalo OVER
🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Atlanta, Cincinnati; Detroit OVER, LA Chargers UNDER
🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Denver -2.5 to +1, Cincinnati -4 to -6, NY Giants -3 to -1
🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Jacksonville, Carolina, Houston; Washington UNDER
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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale.
The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets.
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NFL Betting Picks Intel:
Jacksonville-Philadelphia 62% chance of rain
Buffalo-Baltimore 51% chance of rain
Saints both Jameis Winston and Alvin Kamara will play
Chargers QB Justin Herbert game time decision, will likely take pain killers
Broncos Jerry Jeudy, Patrick Surtain II probable
Colts All-Pro LB Shaquille Leonards is out
Ravens get back J.K. Dobbins, plus Marlon Humphrey, Marcus Peters are probable
Cardinals RB James Cooper questionable to probable
Packers WR Randall “Tex” Cobb is probable
Bucs WR Julio Jones doubtful