College Football Free Pick Week 3 Army-Cincinnati

Joe Duffy already has a big portfolio up for the weekend. Thursday Night College Football Total of the Year, NFL Thursday, four Saturday football and a lot more coming at

ARMY +14 Cincinnati

Angle that has to do with big underdogs in games not expected to be high scoring is 276-178-20. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found Army covering 67 percent of the time, losing by just six points. Another simulator has Army covering 58.3-40 with rest falling on 14, projected as 11 points better. Another has power line at Cincinnati -6.5.

Army with good speed at RB with Buchanan, Robinson, McCoy. This is Army’s toughest opponent of season, so they can put all their focus on this game. Dogs of 10.5 or more off consecutive 20 point or more wins are 85-61-1 if not playing at home. Favors Army.

I bet at NFL live lines, latest odds

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