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NFL and CFB Free Picks For Weekend

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Joe Duffy has 11 football winners up for the weekend including Thursday Night College Football Total of the Year, CBS SportsNetwork Bet of the Year, NFL Interconference Total of Year.As long as you have a package that includes Monday you can access all week’s picks. Get at OffshoreInsiders.com  

49ers (-9.5, 43) at Cardinals 

  • Favorites dominate short weeks at 102-54 (49ers)
  • Short week momentum angle is 34-14-2 (49ers)
  • Go with much worse ats team is 292-208-8 (Arizona)
  • Less rested defense in terms of plays during season is 146-105-3 (Arizona)
  • 83 percent of bets, 90 percent of money on Niners
  • Murray sacked 26 times, third most in league
    • Niners 4th in NFL with 27
  • Big dogs in low-scoring games 58.2 percent

The pick: SAN FRANCISCO -9.5

Texans (-1.5, 46.5) at Jags 

  • London calling
  • Jacksonville thinned at WR with Marquise Lee and Dede Westbrook both questionable 
    • Lee No. 1 option when healthy, Westbrook 32 receptions for 383 yards
  • Jags QB Gardner Minshew one of last 2 chances to win starting job
  • Jags won both games since trading Jalen Ramsey 
    • Point of diminishing return
  • Texans JJ Watt out for year, first game without him
  • However Texans LT Laremy Tunsill expected back after leaving last week’s game

HOUSTON -1.5

Redskins at Bills (-9.5, 37)

  • Teams hitting the road off horrific back-to-back offensive efforts are 25-5-1 (Washington)
  • Betting on ice-cold teams 164-108-2 (Washington)
    • Despite being 83-191 SU
      • 30 percent SU, 60 percent ats
  • Bills 3-0 SU road, 2-2 home but laying -10 home despite road team 5-2 SU in their games
    • Big home favorites despite splits saying they are better road is 99-67-3
  • Haskins or Keenum for Washington 
    • Keenum if healthy 
    • Keenum better short-term QB
  • Teams with winning percentage of .700 or above off LHF are 72-57-7 (Buffalo)

The pick: Buffalo -9.5

SMU at Memphis

  • Short away dogs is 649-483-30
    • Moved +3 to +5.5
  • Undefeated underdogs of 2.5 or more in game 6 or later is 128-95-6
  • Surprising offenses (SMU) based on delta points scored, go under 1065-894-48
  • SMU WR Reggie Roberson is questionable
    • 43 receptions for 803 yards and 6 TDs
  • Fact it’s primetime and at night will affect atmosphere and be big for memphis

The pick: SMU +5.5

Oregon at USC

  • Angle about fading a team off a win, but two straight horrible defenses efforts is 114-68-3 (USC)
    • Oregon allowed 66 points last two games
  • Since 1980 only 37 times has a team given up at least 62 points over their last two games combined, but still allow less than 16 ppg on the season. Said teams are 11-24-2 (favors USC)
  • USC has battled a ton of injuries 
  • Cornerback Chris Steele and defensive end Christian Rector are on track for a return to the field.
  • Freshman Kedon Slovas very talented for USC
    • Played well with game in line to Colorado leading to two fourth quarter touchdowns 
  • Top two sack teams 

The pick: USC +5

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Week 10 Football Picks Free Oregon-USC with @JeffNadu

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Sensational betting expert Jeff Nadu and Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com break down Oregon vs. USC. The Ducks are laying -4.5 at Bovada with a total of 62.5. It opened -4.5 and 58. 

Though 61 percent of the bets are on Oregon, 60 percent of cash is on Southern Cal. Many gamblers believe this implies a sharp side on the home underdogs. Seventy-nine percent of wagers and 60 percent of the the money is on the over. 

The closest thing to a sure thing in gambling is a Joe Duffy Game/Total of the Year. The latest was Miami as Monday Night GOY, Philadelphia as Interconference Dog of the Year winning in a rout. College Football Total of Year Utah State-Air Force UNDER.Added Rotation Game of the Year Richmond over Yale, TNF Game of the Year Kansas City over Denver, TNF Total of Year Jacksonville-Tennessee UNDER, College Football Friday Night Game of the Year Miami over Virginia. Named plays are hitting at about an 80 percent rate.

11 football winners up for the weekend including Thursday Night College Football Total of the Year, CBS SportsNetwork Bet of the Year, NFL Interconference Total of Year.As long as you have a package that includes Monday you can access all week’s picks. Get at OffshoreInsiders.com  

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LSU-Alabama, Penn State-Minnesota Opening Lines Revealed

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The early line for the November 9 showdown between the country’s ​top-ranked teams has Alabama pegged as ​more than a touchdown favorite against LSU. ​​

The AP Poll has LSU and Alabama listed at No. 1 and 2, respectively, but in the latest CFP odds from SportsBetting has LSU has the fourth-best odds to take home the national championship behind Bama, Clemson and Ohio State. 

​On October 10, the Tigers were +9.5 on a neutral field against Alabama in a potential CFP matchup so they have certainly climbed in the oddsmakers’ power ratings​ the last few weeks​.​ However, the unknown status of Tua​ Tagovailoa​ has the book being cautious ​with the spread.

“We kind of middled the line not knowing if Tua is going to be out there or not,” said Adam Burns, oddsmaker at SportsBetting “If he plays, the spread will get to or around -10. If he doesn’t, look for it to settle around -7. He’s worth 3-4 points to the number.”

​In the other battle of unbeatens on Nov. 9 that are idle this week, Penn State​ is listed as a 6.5-point favorite against the surprising Gophers. 

Oklahoma took a hit across all futures markets following its loss to Kansas State. The Sooners’ CFP odds went from 6/1 to 20/1, and their chances of qualifying to the four-team playoff went from -200 that they would​ advance​ to +250 currently. 

Also, these latest title odds for the Crimson Tide (+275) mark the first time all season that they have been the sole favorite. Alabama and Clemson have been co-favorites a few times this year, but this is the first time Bama has had the outright best odds. 

View Yes/No odds to make CFP (14 teams): 

College Football Playoff

 

Alabama

11/4

Clemson

3/1

Ohio State

3/1

LSU

9/2

Georgia

12/1

Oklahoma

20/1

Oregon

20/1

Penn State

20/1

Florida

50/1

Utah

50/1

Baylor

80/1

Iowa

100/1

Minnesota

100/1

SMU

150/1

Texas A&M

250/1

Appalachian State

500/1

Cincinnati

500/1

 

Finally, fresh Heisman Trophy numbers don’t reveal many changes, but it is worth noting that Joe Burrow is now the odds-on favorite after being +125 last week. 

Oklahoma’s setback didn’t hurt Jalen Hurts’ Heisman chances too much as he is still second at +225 after being +200 last week. 

Tagovailoa’s odds are the highest they’ve been all season. He has been as low as +150 and was listed at +300 just a week ago. 

Heisman odds

 

Joe Burrow

-125

Jalen Hurts

+225

Tua Tagovailoa

+500

Justin Fields

+600

Chase Young

+2500

The biggest service plays on LSU-Alabama will be at OffshoreInsiders.com

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NBA and MNF Sharp Information, Line Moves

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NBA sharp report for October 28. Bet these games at MyBookie live NBA lines

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Denver, Milwaukee 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Houston, Milwaukee, Denver, Phoenix UNDER, Toronto UNDER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Houston, LA Clippers, Phoenix UNDER, Toronto UNDER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: San Antonio went from -4 to -6

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. The closest thing to a sure thing in gambling is a Joe Duffy Game/Total of the Year. The latest was Philadelphia as Interconference Dog of the Year winning in a rout. As easy as TNF Game of the Year and Total of Year both simple as can be. College Football Friday Night Game of the Year. Named plays are hitting at about an 80 percent rate. Nobody has dominated any sport the way Joe Duffy has the NFL for decades. Since preseason, I am 56-39.  MNF Game of the Year Miami-Pittsburgh plus eight NBA led by two Wise Guy. An incredible anti-splits angle that crosses all sports is included. Get the picks now 

Now to the NFL:

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Alabama, Clemson, Ohio St. Essentially Co-Favorites in Updated Championship Odds

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A more wide-open college football national championship race is expected this year. Alabama is technically the favorite at +275. However, Betonline has Clemson and Ohio State as virtual co-favorites at +300 or 3-1, with LSU not far behind. 

All odds based on $100 per bet. Hence +1000 would be the same as 10-1. OffshoreInsiders.com continues to be the place for week by week winning picks. 

50002Alabama275
50001Clemson300
50003Ohio State300
50014LSU450
50004Georgia1200
50006Oklahoma2000
50012Oregon2000
50018Penn State2000
50010Florida5000
50020Utah5000
50034Baylor8000
50023Iowa10000
50060Minnesota10000
50037SMU15000
50019Texas A&M25000
50065Appalachian State50000
50066Cincinnati50000
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Critical Sharp Betting NFL Intel: Injuries, Weather, Sharp Betting Info

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Sunday NFL betting intel is up. Not quite as many as yesterday, but a few weather conditions of note. The public loves road favorites, but with fewer to choose from this week, the consensus report is not dominated by such. The Monday Night Football game offers a shocking change from the normal betting patterns with both percentage of picks and money on the big underdog. 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: LA Rams Seattle, Indianapolis

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: LA Rams, Miami, Indianapolis

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Atlanta, Miami at top books such as NFL live lines from MyBookie

Critical NFL injuries:

  • Chargers WR Keenan Allen game-time decision 
    • 44 catches and 3 TDs already
  • Packers Davante Adams is very unlikely to play
    • 25 catches and 378 yards this season
  • Arizona RB David Johnson is out
    • 77 rushes for 300 yards with 315 receiving yards and 5 TDs total
  • Saints RB Alvin Kamara is downgraded to doubtful
    • 86 carries for 373 yards, 276 receiving yards
  • Jags WR Dede Westbrook is probable
    • 32 catches for 383 yards
  • Falcons franchise QB Matt Ryan is out
  • Raiders WR Tryrell Williams is probable
    • 17 receptions for 216 yards and 4 TDs
  • Saints QB Drew Brees returns and will start
    • Saints 5-0 SU without him

High Precipitation

GameRain chance
Cleveland Browns @ New England Patriots89%

Strong Winds

GameWind Speed
Philadelphia Eagles @ Buffalo Bills22 mph
Carolina Panthers @ San Francisco 49ers19 mph

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. Utah State-Air Force under was as easy as it gets as College Football Game of the Year. As easy as TNF Game of the Year and Total of Year both simple as can be. College Football Friday Night Game of the Year. Named plays are hitting at about an 80 percent rate. Nobody has dominated any sport the way Joe Duffy has the NFL for decades. Since preseason, I am 52-35. Get 10 NFL winners are up, three Wise Guys led by Interconference Underdog of the Year. We use the oddsmakers’ knowledge against them. That’s a hint. Three sides and six of our stunning totals backed by a winning angle that crosses sports. Very strong NBA side based on one of the great systems.  Get the picks now

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Critical Football Weather Updates: Rain, Wind, Plus College Football Sharp Moves

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To say the least, sharps are rolling in the dimes with pro gamblers’ chief advisor Joe Duffy winning in every sport. Duffy has one of the biggest bets of the year going tomorrow, with details below and at OffshoreInsiders.com. The public is again loving road favorites, but the big story this week is rain and winds will play a substantial factor in sports handicapping. 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Appalachian State, Florida Atlanta, Arizona State, Texass

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Eastern Michigan, Kent, Florida Atlantic, Stanford 

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Kent, New Mexico, Clemson

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. College Football Total of the Year among eight CFB, two Wise Guys continues historic run. Though we only care about winners, not marquee games, the Wisconsin-Ohio State side is included.  Get the picks now

High chance of precip 

GamePrecipitation chance
Illinois at Purdue80%
Wisconsin at Ohio State80%
Ohio at Ball State85%
Miami Ohio at Kent81%
Akron at Northern Illinois55%
Eastern Michigan at Toledo85%
Virginia at Louisville69%
Missouri at Kentucky56%
Notre Dame at Michigan89%

Strong Winds

GameWind Speed
Appalachian St at South Alabama16 mph
Illinois at Purdue15 mph
Ohio at Ball State18 mph
Nevada at Wyoming18 mph
New Mexico State at Georgia Southern16 mph
Eastern Michigan at Toledo16 mph
Florida Intl at Middle Tenn St20 mph
Missouri at Kentucky16 mph
Notre Dame at Michigan17 mph

Bet on NBA basketball and get a 50% welcome bonus up to $250 at Bovada 

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College Football Winning Picks Week 9

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College football week 9 betting picks are up. Yes the world is talking about Joe Duffy’s College Football Total of the Year, but it’s not the only place to win.

These bets were made at superbook MyBookie

USC is tied for first in the Pac-12 South at 3-1 with Utah, while Colorado sits last in the division at 1-3 but obviously could play spoiler with an upset. The Trojans come off a 41-14 win over Arizona, which had been a co-leader in the division.
USC’s Kenan Christon, a true freshman who hadn’t seen a snap at the collegiate level before Saturday, had the first 100-yard rushing performance of his career, bursting free for touchdowns of 55 and 30 yards. He finished with 103 yards on just eight carries.
The Trojans began the night without their top three cornerbacks and defensive end Christian Rector due to injury, and they lost top safety Talanoa Hufanga to a shoulder injury in the first half and star freshman defensive end Drake Jackson to an ankle injury in the second half. Running backs Stephen Carr (hamstring) and Markese Stepp (ankle) also picked up injuries during the game.

More winning details below

Now for some killer straight up action from college football betting. Ready to beat the moneyline with some underdogs? Some favorites to parlay as well are posted.

This one has to go down as taking a bit of a chance, as the bookies have these two teams separated by just a single point in the spread. I suggest that this one is a bit of chance because the Cardinal have just 1 win in their last 6 visits to Stanford. They are also just 2-8 SU overall in their last 10 games versus the Cardinal.
The Wildcats are also coming into this one on the heels of back to back losses and are going against a Stanford team that has won 14 of their last 18 home games. Despite all of that, I am still going with the Wildcats to win.

More winning info below.

Now to spread betting tips. Time to win big.

The surprises continued in Week 8 of the college football season, with the Wisconsin badgers being the latest top 10 team to fall. While the Alabama Crimson Tide won again, albeit in a scrappy affair against Tennessee, they lost QB Tua Tagovailoa to an ankle injury. There is, as of yet, no timetable for his return, which means that Alabama may be forced to roll with a back-up for a few weeks, with the toughest games in their schedule still to come.
We are not looking that far ahead just yet, though, as our focus here is on the Week 9 schedule. With that in mind, let’s see which ATS NCAAF Betting picks jump off the board this coming weekend.

Complete winning intel below

Totals betting from an over-under guru.

The Big 12 Conference is always the place to go if you are looking for games with a ton of offense. It’s fun for the casual observer who wants to watch a shootout, but it can be tough for bettors given that the point totals can often be set rather high.
Oklahoma is averaging a touch over 50 PPG this season, so we don’t really need to see much of an offensive showing from Kansas in this one for the OVER to hit. The Sooners have seen the OVER hit in 10 of their last 14 games against conference opponents. The last 5 games between these two in Kansas have also gone OVER

All details below

College Football Total of the Year continues historic run. We have NFL Wise Guy as well from the Grandmaster Joe Duffy.  Get the picks now

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NFL Week 8 Betting Preview, Free Picks, Best Handicappers

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NFL week 8 free betting picks using the lines and vetted and approved sportsbook MyBookie. We start out with straight up picks for moneyline winners.

This is a game that both teams really need to win if they are to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Buccaneers are sitting at 2-4 on the season, with the Tennessee Titans not faring much better at 3-4 on the year. The Titans did show some signs of life this past weekend, though, starting Ryan Tannehill at QB instead of Marcus Mariota. The end result was a 23-20 win over the LA Chargers at home.

Complete preview below!

The most popular way to bet and often to win is ATS picks. Here are the best bets against the offshore and Vegas spread this weekend.

Joe Duffy has College Football Total of the Year continues historic run. We have NFL Wise Guy as well. Get the picks now

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NBA Sharp Betting Report, Consensus Bets, Sportsbook Liabilities

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Wednesday NBA sharp betting report. Who is the public liking and who are the sharps going with? OffshoreInsiders.comgives you all the details. 

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. Sweeeeeeeeeep! Sweeeeeeeeep! Of course the Grandmaster sweeps the board with Clippers, plus Nats OVER. I have two more NBA sides.  It is using the metrics that are unbeatable in the first 2-3 games of the season. Get the picks now

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Chicago, Orlando 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Minnesota OVER 

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Washington, Phoenix 

The college football and NFL sharp reports are coming tomorrow, so do not miss at JoeDuffy.net