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Sharp Moves, Public Bets, NFL and College Entering Thursday Night Football

Entering TNF, here are the biggest public and sharp bets and the biggest line moves. Huge weekend of winners from Joe Duffy up at OffshoreInsiders.com   

CFB

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Baylor, LSU, Oregon, Old Dominion

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Old Dominion, Baylor, Ohio State, Ole Miss

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Ohio, Air Force, Ole Miss, Indiana

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds (preseason): Wisconsin +5.5 to -3.5, Central Florida -2.5 to -11.5, Oregon -1.5 to -10.5, Florida State P to -6.5 at MyBookie

NFL

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets (not blindly road favorites): LA Rams, New England, Dallas, Seattle, 

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Dallas, LA Rams, Houston

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Washington, Baltimore (v. KC), New Orleans (no Brees), Denver

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds (based on preseason lines): New England -10 to -22.5, Dallas -15 to -22.5, Arizona +3.5 to -2.5 (Newton) at Bovada live NFL lines

Week 3 NFL ATS Picks, Parlay, Moneyline, Totals Locks

Professional gamblers are licking their chops about week 3 NFL picks and betting tips. MyBookie NFL odds are posted and here are some super sharp tips and betting advice. Follow the Twitter sports bettingfeed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel 

Some betting trends of note:

  • New England is 41-15 ATS at home
  • San Francisco is 1-13-2 ATS as home favorites 
  • Baltimore is 9-1 to the number as road underdogs
  • Pittsburgh has gone under 28-9 on the road
  • Denver has gone under 11 straight games
  • The Chiefs have gone under 49-19-5 at home

To moneyline and straight up betting. Win your office pool and also make a fortune gambling. Make sure you check at JoeDuffy.net Saturday and Sunday morning to check the updated super sharp report for both college Saturday and NFL Sunday.

On the other side, Patrick Mahomes has picked up where he left off last season, so this one should be a thriller. There are a couple of reasons to like the Chiefs here, starting with the fact that they have won 8 of their last 10 at home. They are also 9-2 SU in their last 11 games versus conference foes.
NFL Week 3 Betting Trends
Ravens are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
Ravens are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games played in September
Chiefs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
Chiefs are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games against an opponent in the AFC conference

See link below for all the details

Joe Duffy has Sunday, 10 NFL plus Monday Night Football winners Get the picks now    

Now let’s focus on beating the NFL lines for week 3 totals betting.

Every team in the NFL goes out of their way to ensure that their key personnel make it out of preseason with getting hurt. Some teams even go as far as making their starting QB sit out the 4 games played in preseason. Whether that’s a good idea or not is always up for debate, but the reality is that you cannot protect players once the real action begins. Just ask the Pittsburgh Steelers, who have now lost QB Ben Roethlisberger for the season with an elbow injury that will require surgery.

Full article below

Of course the most popular is betting against the point spread and we definitely have that.

You couldn’t have two teams any further apart after just two weeks of the season. The have lost their opening 2 games, surrendering a total of 102 points in the process. On the flipside, you have the Cowboys are coming into Week 3 after winning their first two games. Their offense is clicking and averaging 33 PPG to this point.
The Dolphins have now failed to cover the spread in 5 straight games, while the Cowboys are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12. It looks to me like the Dolphins are onto another thumping this coming Sunday.

Full bettor’s report below

Parlay betting has the highest return and here is a peak at your best parlay wagers.

Could be that top running back James Conner is out for a while too. He was to undergo tests to determine the severity of his injured knee Monday. Conner went down late in Sunday’s loss to Seattle but not before contributing 45 yards (33 rushing, 12 receiving) and a touchdown on 13 touches. Jaylen Samuels would take his place.
The 49ers improved to 2-0 with a win in Cincinnati on Sunday. Jimmy Garoppolo completed 17-of-25 passes for 297 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. Matt Breida rushed 12 times for 121 yards in the win. With Tevin Coleman out, Breida started and was the featured back.

Spread betting preview below

Top ATS trends for this week:


Opening NFL Lines Week 3 Already Posted

Betonline, home of the opening linehas already released opening odds for week 3 NFL betting. Many sharps believe because of public overreaction, the best powerlines are made before the previous week’s games, then adjusted for injuries. OffshoreInsiders.com 


301 Tennessee Titans -2½ -110 41
302 Jacksonville Jaguars +2½ -110 41

Sunday
461 Denver Broncos +6½ -105 44
462 Green Bay Packers -6½ -115 44

463 Detroit Lions 7 -115 49½
464 Philadelphia Eagles -7 -105 49½

465 Baltimore Ravens +5½ -115 52
466 Kansas City Chiefs -5½ -105 52

467 Cincinnati Bengals 4 -115 41
468 Buffalo Bills -4 -105 41

469 Atlanta Falcons 2 -110 48
470 Indianapolis Colts -2 -110 48

471 Oakland Raiders 7 102 42½
472 Minnesota Vikings -7 -122 42½

473 New York Jets 16 -110
474 New England Patriots -16 -110

475 Miami Dolphins +16½ -110 47
476 Dallas Cowboys -16½ -110 47

477 New York Giants +4½ -110
478 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4½ -110

479 Carolina Panthers -3½ -110
480 Arizona Cardinals +3½ -110

481 New Orleans Saints pk -115
482 Seattle Seahawks pk -105

483 Houston Texans 4 -118
484 Los Angeles Chargers -4 -102

485 Pittsburgh Steelers pk -115 47
486 San Francisco 49ers pk -105 47

487 Los Angeles Rams -2½ -115 50½
488 Cleveland Browns +2½ -105 50½

Monday
489 Chicago Bears -4 -110 42½
490 Washington Redskins 4 -110 42½

NFL Sunday Morning Sharp Moves, Critical Injury Update, Contrarian Betting

As of Sunday morning, here are the sharp, square, contrarian, big line moves and top expert picks gamblers must know. Yes, the normal road favorites lead the way, but there are some exceptions.

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Dallas, Cleveland, Kansas City

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Cleveland, Dallas, Jacksonville, Pittsburgh, Kansas City OVER, Houston UNDER, Arizona OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Oakland, NY Giants, Houston UNDER, Chicago OVER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: NY Giants opened -2.5 now +2.5, New England -14.5 to -18.5, Cleveland -3 to -6.5

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Stevie’s Vincent’s pro football regular season perfection is on the line tonight. Universal Gambling Bulletin! A Perfect Play is when a 100 percent angle involving at least 12 games applies to one side or total. A Double Perfect Play is when there is a Perfect Play on each side supporting the same winner. First three Perfect Plays of football season, led by Double Perfect Play Game of the Year. Bet 4-7 times your normal amount on this gift.  Get the picks now

Key injuries:

Niners DE Nick Bosa, probable

Dallas pass rusher Taco Charlton inactive

Bengals RB Joe Mixon game-time decision

Packers star LT David Bakhtiari probable

Chiefs starting OLT Eric Fisher doubtful

Breaking News: Saturday College Football Sharp Betting

Here is your Saturday sharp report. We have no question about the hottest football service. One on the MasterLockLine is off to one of the great starts in years. See below. Please note that the line moves are based on world openers. Some consider opening line when all bookies have one, AKA “widely available” opening line. Many love world opener for power lines and other purposes.

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Oklahoma, Louisville, Oklahoma State, Charlotte, Ohio State, UCF, Virginia

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Louisville, Charlotte, Oklahoma, Michigan State

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Georgia State, Middle Tennessee State at MyBookie

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Central Florida +2.5 to -9, Oklahoma -12 to -23, Clemson -17 to -27.5, Michigan State -7.5 to -15.5.

Free pick preview

Top expert pick on today’s card is from MasterLockLine. #1 college football handicapper this season based on winning percentage, plus ranked top 10 college football all-time as well as last 14 years and last seven years, a handicapper out of Tampa does well with all teams and conferences but has many beat writer and broadcaster contacts with Florida based teams. Non-Conference Parlay of the Year Stanford vs. UCF 

Without debate hottest service on earth is #1 college football service this season is 18-4-2 including Kansas and OVER last night in college football. Three sides, two totals Saturday. One side agrees with above side on Biggest Play. Get a free sports service bet, which also has the full menu, then Get the picks now

Texas vs. Rice Betting Picks Preview with @JeffNadu

Texas plays Rice in a neutral site game and Jeff Nadu and Joe Duffy preview the contest. Texas is -32 at Bovada with a total of 56.5 after opening at -30.5 and 57.5 Betonline, home of the opening line.

Eighty-two percent of tickets written are on Texas as well as 89 percent of the money. Though 55 percent of bets are on the under, 52 percent of money is on the over. It is early, so check Twitter sports betting for updates later in the week.

Joe Duffy already has Thursday NFL and Friday college football winners at the top sports betting website.

Texas 2-8-1 after allowing less than 275 total yards in previous game. Texas has gone under 25-11.

NFL Free Pick Week 1

Joe Duffy’s Picks 11-2 NFL! Sunday, NFL three Wise Guys. This is very rare for week 1, but the portfolio is that strong (two side, one total) and Major.  Get the picks now

Free NFL pick:

WASHINGTON +10 Philadelphia

Several week 1 overreaction angles based on previous year’s records apply here. Among them one that is 67-33 ATS, including Packers on Thursday night. In fact, it is even better divisional at 30-9-3. 

$250 NFL welcome bonus from betted bookie! All this and more at Bovada 

Week 2 College Football Sharp Bets, Line Moves, Public Consensus, Sportsbook Liabilities

It is week 2 of college football and time for the super popular sharp report in college football.

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Central Florida, Penn State, Appalachian State, Texas Tech

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Illinois, Texas Tech, Central Florida

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: San Jose State

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Penn State opened -24 now -30.5, Maryland from +2.5 now -1.5, LSU -2.5 now -6.5 at MyBookie

Weather:

Game

Wind Speed

Minnesota at Fresno State

16 mph

Oregon State at Hawaii

19 mph

Akron at Central Michigan

18 mph

Idaho at Wyoming

15 mph

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. He is 13-7 in football. Shorter-term he is 11-2 in NFL since preseason. Saturday, nine Wise Guys, three Majors led by Non-Power 5 Interconference Total of the Year and Non-Conference Underdog of the Year. Sunday get NFL three Wise Guys. This is very rare for week 1, but the portfolio is that strong (two side, one total) and Major. Get the picks now   

 

Redskins vs. Eagles NFL Bets Predictions

NFC East rivals clash on opening week NFL betting. GTBets has the odds at Philadelphia -10 but shop around because some books like Bovada have the line at -9.5. It is a must to shop around. The total is 45.5 across the board. Philadelphia opened at just -7.5 and 46. Sixty-three percent of bets and 60 percent of money is on the Eagles.

Seventy-seven percent of bets and a stunning 99 percent of money is on the UNDER.

The UNDER has hit in 8 of the last 12 Eagles games and given that the Redskins might struggle on the offensive side of the football, that may be a good pick again in this one. The Eagles have won their last 4 meetings with Washington by an average of more than 15 points, so a straightforward pick here.

Get the projected final score and more in the link below.

Big week already up from the Grandmaster! Here. We. Go. NFL, we enter the regular season off another great preseason. Yep 10-2 NFL. We are 12-6 overall in football. First Wise Guys of college football and big time. Thursday NFL side. Friday, Wise Guy and Major. Saturday, eight Wise Guys, three Majors led by Non-Power 5 Interconference Total of the Year. Oh, I am not done. Sunday, NFL Wise Guy and Major. College could be done, but more NFL likely from Joe Duffy at OffshoreInsiders.com.

Washington is 1-5 in week 1. The Eagles enter the season on a five-game spread winning streak. The favorite covered seven straight in the series. Eagles have gone under 10-3 at home.

Thursday Night Football Packers vs. Bears Winning Picks

2019 NFL regular season betting kicks off–literally on Thursday Night Football. It’s the Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears. Chicago is -3 -115 at GTBets with a total of 46.5. It opened at -4 and 45.5 at Betonline, home of the opening line.

Though 57 percent of bets are on Green Bay, 56 percent of cash is on da Bears. Likewise, a slight discrepancy on the total as 52 percent of tickets are on the over, but 56 percent of money on the under.

QB Mitchell Trubisky didn’t throw a single pass in the preseason, so fans will get their first chance to weigh in on the quarterback’s progress Thursday night. Trubisky has tended to perform at his best against Green Bay. In his fifth professional start, Trubisky had one of the best games of his rookie season, completing 21 of 35 passes for 297 yards and a touchdown. He has yet to throw an interception against the Packers.

Full preview below!

Green Bay is 2-7-1 ATS in road games, while the Bears have covered an incredible seven straight to the NFC North. They are 16-5 at home and 9-2 overall. However, the Packers are 16-5 ATS in Chicago and 12-5 overall in the series.

Big week already up from the Grandmaster! Here. We. Go. NFL, we enter the regular season off another great preseason. Yep 10-2 NFL. We are 12-6 overall in football. First Wise Guys of college football and big time. Thursday NFL side. Friday, Wise Guy and Major. Saturday, eight Wise Guys, three Majors led by Non-Power 5 Interconference Total of the Year. Oh, I am not done. Sunday, NFL Wise Guy and Major. College could be done, but more NFL likely from Joe Duffy at OffshoreInsiders.com.