All posts by Joe Duffy

Sharp Bets, Free Sports Handicapper Pick, Pros vs. Joes, Contrarian Bets, College Football Line Moves

College football super sharp intel. This is what bettors must know for Saturday. Here is contrarian betting intel, pros vs. Joes, pros vs. shmoes, biggest Vegas line moves, sharp bets, free pick from #1 handicapper, and more.

Top service pick: Joe Duffy’s picks is 61-28 in football and 768-606 overall! Saturday, it is 10 college football winners led by seven Wise Guys! Angles proven, most cross to other sports! Sorry, if you have not been making a fortune for the last 30 years, especially the last 14 months, don’t come bitching to me. Your financial fortune is in front of your damn eyes. Oh, three NBA added.  Get the picks now

NFL Game of the Week among eight winners for all those who have a pick pack that includes Sunday.

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Texas A&M, Tulsa; Louisiana Tech OVER, Clemson OVER, Indiana OVER

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Houston, Tulsa, Fresno State, Texas A&M, Colorado, Middle Tennessee State; WKU UNDER, Akron UNDER, Texas State UNDER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Georgia State, North Texas, California, Kansas; Pittsburgh UNDER, Stanford UNDER, SMU UNDER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: UNLV from -3.5 to +3, Fresno State -21.5 to -25.5, Arkansas -2.5 to +1, Michigan State -2.5 to +1.

MTSU-Old Dominion

Wind gusts up to 17 mph, light rain

UMass-UConn

Wind 15 mph, rain, temps near 40

Free pick from Joe Duffy’s Picks and his magical computer database!

Wake Forest-Louisville OVER 67

When key offensive and defensive numbers imply total should be lower, use oddsmakers knowledge against them as it goes over 881-683.

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Pros vs. Joes, Biggest Line Moves, Top Sports Service Bets NBA, College Football Oct. 26

NBA sharp moves, which you can bet at Bovada

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Golden State, Washington, New Orleans, Golden State OVER

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Golden State, Houston, Toronto, Toronto UNDER, Chicago OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Minnesota, Brooklyn, Toronto UNDER, New Orleans UNDER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Houston opened -2.5, now -4

Biggest service bets: 4 at 8 ET or later. Same old story. Joe Duffy’s Picks has a brutal loss where a game goes over with a last-second TD on a fourth-down conversion but has a winning day anyway. JDP improves to 10-0 with primetime NFL games this season. We are 765-603 overall and 60-26 in football. How is betting on your own working out?

Friday, it is three totals in college football. We have added three NBA winners. All we’ve done in the NBA has been to hit 6-of-8.  Get the picks now

College football sharp moves, which you can bet at Betonline 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Louisiana Tech, Louisiana Tech OVER, Indiana OVER

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Indiana OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Wyoming

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Miami opened at -2, now -4.

 

 

Dolphins vs. Texans, Baylor vs. West Virginia, Ball State vs. Ohio Betting Info and More

Dolphins vs. Texans, Baylor vs. West Virginia, Ball State vs. Ohio, Toledo vs. Western Michigan, App St. vs. GA Southern, Georgia Tech vs. VA Tech gambling intel is up.

We sweep the entire week in the NFL last week. I am 57-24 with all football picks. I am 9-0 since opening night with all prime-time NFL picks. Thursday NFL side to stay undefeated with a perfect 10 in primetime games. Three college football winners, two totals and a side for Thursday.  Get the picks now

***Friday, it is three totals. Saturday, it is 10 college football winners led by seven Wise Guys! As long as you have a package that includes Monday you can access all week’s picks.  Get Bet it Trinity (most popular package) or Joe Duffy’s five day including football only to access now. 

Dolphins vs. Texans

  • Two average offenses and median total has gone under 99-69

Baylor vs. West Virginia

  • WVU QB Will Grier off a loss 4-0 SU and against the spread with 17 TDs and 2 INT
  • WVU HC Dana Holgorson 13-19 against the spread off loss and 5-15 with at least 10 days rest
    • Combine the two, a horrid 0-8 against the spread with margin of cover -8.9
  • 79 percent of public money on OVER

Ball State vs. Ohio

  • Ohio 20-11 in primetime home games under HC Frank Solich
  • Advanced metrics suggest Ball State’s defense getting worse each week and Ohio’s offense trending up
  • Ohio has 75 percent of bets

Toledo vs. Western Michigan

  • WMU baptism by fire? Six straight wins off opening with losses to Syracuse and Michigan
  • Toledo third game in 12 days and fourth in 19
  • Western Michigan 74 percent of bets, 77 percent of money
  • Among biggest line moves as WMU opened -3, not -6.5

Appalachian State vs. Georgia Southern

  • Favorites with 29 points per game or better margin are a go-against of 167-129

in game number 5 or later (favors GA Southern)

GA Tech vs. Virginia Tech

  • Rare case of majority of bets (59 percent) on under, though 55 percent of money on over

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Official Gambling Notes Troy-South Alabama, College Football Betting

It is Troy vs. South Alabama in Tuesday night betting. Superstar Stevie Vincent has a Level 5 pro basketball bombshell for Tuesday. TGO is 4-2 recently and has collegiate football side and OU on Troy vs. South Alabama. 

Troy-South Alabama

  • Troy opened at -10.5, now -12.5 at Bet Now
  • Troy has 72 percent of bets and 78 percent of money bet
  • 53 percent of bets are on the under, yet 97 percent of money on the over
  • South Alabama has gone over 6-1 by an average of 8 points per game
  • Though Troy over 5-2 by only 1.5 points per game
  • New rivalry is tied at 3-3 SU with two points separating them
  • For those who love big dogs in rivalries this is an underrated rivalry
  • Underdog a stunning 5-1 against the spread including USA winning by 7 last year getting 18
  • USA is expected to get back leading tackler Nigel Lawrence, who missed the last two games
  • Troy 7-1 against the spread road
  • Troy 15-7 after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game
  • South Alabama 11-25 fieldturf
  • USA 8-23 conference
  • USA 5-17 off SU win
  • South Alabama over 6-1

 

Top Offshore Sportsbook: Josh McDaniels Likely 2019 Dallas Cowboys Coach; Jason Garrett 4th Most Likely

On Monday, BetDSI  posted a huge list of names and their respective chances of becoming the next head coach of the Dallas Cowboys.

Atop the list is New England offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, who was offered the Colts’ head coach position last offseason. Sean Payton comes in as an interesting second choice at BetDSI but given the stage of Drew Brees’ career and Payton’s history in Dallas, it’s not unthinkable.

Garrett has the fourth-lowest odds on the list while a few marquee names in the college football world are assigned with less than “longshot” odds.

Below are the opening prop odds for the Cowboys head man in 2019, and you can access the full list of current odds via the link above. Thanks for reading, and please respond to this email with any questions.

Dallas Cowboys head coach in Week 1 of 2019 regular season

Josh McDaniels +250

Sean Payton +300

John DeFilippo +500

Jason Garrett +600

George Edwards +1000

Dave Toub +1500

Jim Harbaugh +2000

Ken Norton Jr. +2000

Kris Richard +2000

Jeff Brohm +2000

Dan Campbell +2000

Matt LaFleur +2000

Jim Bob Cooter +2000

Chris Petersen +2500

David Shaw +2500

Lincoln Riley +2500

Pete Carmichael +2500

Tom Herman +3000

Urban Meyer +3000

Mike Munchak +3000

Bruce Arians +3000

Jim Schwartz +3000

Leslie Frazier +3000

Gus Bradley +3000

James Bettcher +3000

Gus Malzahn +4000

Dabo Swinney +4000

Todd Haley +4000

Nick Saban +5000

Les Miles +5000

Brian Kelly +5000

Chip Kelly +5000

Lane Kiffin +5000

Jimbo Fisher +5000

Mike Leach +5000

Matt Rhule +7500

Mike Gundy +7500

James Franklin +7500

Kliff Kingsbury +10000

Gary Patterson +10000

Bob Stoops +20000

Bobby Petrino +20000

Tony Romo +25000

Bill Cowher +25000

Jimmie Johnson +50000
Barry Switzer +50000

Ron James +50000

Jerry Jones +50000

Field (Any Other Coach) +150

Week 9 College Football Opening Odds, Plus Advance Line on Alabama-LSU Stunning Line

Week 9 college football odds, plus advanced line for the Alabama-LSU game in two weeks. Fourth-ranked LSU is a stunning 13.5-point home underdog. But first this week’s upcoming games from Betonline, the home of the opening line. Winners are on sizzling top betting sitefor winning picks.

Tuesday, Oct 23, 2018 – NCAA Football Game
08:00 PM 101 Troy -11 -110
102 South Alabama 11 -110
Thursday, Oct 25, 2018 – NCAA Football Game
07:00 PM 105 Toledo 5 -110
106 Western Michigan -5 -110
07:00 PM 107 Ball State +10½ -115
108 Ohio -10½ -105
07:00 PM 113 Baylor +14½ -120
114 West Virginia -14½ 100
07:30 PM 109 Appalachian State -8 -105
110 Georgia Southern 8 -115
07:30 PM 111 Georgia Tech +3½ -110
112 Virginia Tech -3½ -110
Friday, Oct 26, 2018 – NCAA Football Game
06:30 PM 131 Louisiana Tech +3½ -110
132 Florida Atlantic -3½ -110
07:00 PM 115 Miami Florida -3 -120
116 Boston College 3 100
10:00 PM 121 Wyoming +2½ -105
122 Colorado State -2½ -115
10:30 PM 119 Utah -10 -110
120 UCLA 10 -110
Saturday, Oct 27, 2018 – NCAA Football Game
12:00 PM 129 Central Michigan +6½ -115
130 Akron -6½ -105
12:00 PM 137 Wake Forest +1½ -110
138 Louisville -1½ -110
12:00 PM 139 Wisconsin -5½ -110
140 Northwestern +5½ -110
12:00 PM 187 Purdue 2 -110
188 Michigan State -2 -110
12:00 PM 193 Vanderbilt +2½ -120
194 Arkansas -2½ 100
12:00 PM 201 Texas Tech 5 -115
202 Iowa State -5 -105
12:00 PM 205 Clemson -14 -105
206 Florida State 14 -115
12:20 PM 127 North Carolina +9½ -110
128 Virginia -9½ -110
02:00 PM 143 Southern Miss -7 -115
144 Charlotte 7 -105
02:30 PM 195 Kansas State 23 -105
196 Oklahoma -23 -115
03:00 PM 145 TCU -15 -110
146 Kansas 15 -110
03:00 PM 153 Oregon State 24 -110
154 Colorado -24 -110
03:30 PM 123 Middle Tennessee State -4½ 100
124 Old Dominion +4½ -120
03:30 PM 133 Duke -2½ -115
134 Pittsburgh +2½ -105
03:30 PM 135 Illinois 17 -110
136 Maryland -17 -110
03:30 PM 157 Northern Illinois 7 100
158 BYU -7 -120
03:30 PM 167 Georgia -6½ -115
168 Florida +6½ -105
03:30 PM 183 South Florida 8 -115
184 Houston -8 -105
03:30 PM 185 Iowa +4½ -105
186 Penn State -4½ -115
03:30 PM 191 Cincinnati -8½ -110
192 SMU +8½ -110
04:00 PM 151 New Mexico 22 -110
152 Utah State -22 -110
04:00 PM 175 Kentucky +6½ 100
176 Missouri -6½ -120
04:00 PM 181 Rice +28½ -115
182 North Texas -28½ -105
06:30 PM 165 Washington -10½ -110
166 California +10½ -110
06:30 PM 169 UNLV -2 100
170 San Jose State 2 -120
07:00 PM 125 NC State 1 -110
126 Syracuse -1 -110
07:00 PM 161 Washington State +3½ -110
162 Stanford -3½ -110
07:00 PM 171 Tulane 3 -110
172 Tulsa -3 -110
07:00 PM 173 Texas A&M 3 -115
174 Mississippi State -3 -105
07:00 PM 197 Arkansas State -3½ 100
198 UL Lafayette +3½ -120
07:00 PM 199 New Mexico State +2½ -110
200 Texas State -2½ -110
07:00 PM 203 Boise State -10 -115
204 Air Force 10 -105
07:30 PM 155 UAB -17½ -110
156 UTEP +17½ -110
07:30 PM 189 Florida International -3½ -110
190 Western Kentucky +3½ -110
08:00 PM 179 Texas -3 -110
180 Oklahoma State 3 -110
08:00 PM 207 Navy +21½ -115
208 Notre Dame -21½ -105
10:30 PM 159 San Diego State -2½ -110
160 Nevada +2½ -110
10:30 PM 211 Hawaii +23½ -110
212 Fresno State -23½ -110
Saturday, Nov 03, 2018 – NCAA Football Game
12:00 PM 7777 Alabama -13½ -110
7778 LSU +13½ -110