All posts by Joe Duffy

Jaw Dropping Betting Info on Monday Night Football New England vs. Buffalo Odds

Three free days of MasterLockLine now at OffshoreInsiders.com! New #1 football service for 2018 is a sports service out of the Twin Ports, which is also the No. 1 all sports since 2009 and best known for Pinnacle Plays. This long-time proven winner has Pinnacle Play MNF Game of the Year on New England vs. Buffalo

Handicapper has specialized in national TV games for years and is arguably the best handicapper of high profile games especially in college basketball and football. 53.7 percent in college football and 60.2 in NFL this season, ESPN NFL Total of the Year on Pats vs. Bills 

The top ranked handicapper in all sports since 2006 is out of Las Vegas. His Four-Weight plays are probably as big of a bet as there is, averaging one or two a week during busy betting season and one or two a month in the summer months. First Four-Weight of NBA this season is on a total! Get a free sports service bet, which also has the full menu, then Get the picks now

Patriots (-14, 44.5) vs. Bills

  • Just 25th time a team has been getting 2 TDs at home
    • No clear-cut angle as road favorites are 13-10 in such
    • But home underdogs 3-1 last 4
    • First since 2012
    • Even with low total, no real angle
  • However, all underdogs of 12.5 or more with total of 46 or less are 177-144 55.1 percent
  • 69 percent of bets on Pats, 78 percent of money
  • 75 percent of bets on over, but only 60 percent of money
  • Big road favorites despite splits are 128-82 (Pats)
    • Pats 1-2 SU on road, Bills 1-1 at home
  • Very unbalanced schedule as Bills playing just third home game
    • No real edge when said teams are playing at home
  • Fading non-elite prime time underdogs or small favorites is 119-82 (go with Pats)
  • Big underdogs off blowout loss are 79-48 (Bills)
  • Large home underdogs under specific circumstances that apply today are 65-34 when opponent is off a win (Bills)
  • Pats TE Rob Gronkowski will play
  • Bills RB LeSean McCoy is probable
  • Derek Anderson starts at QB for Bills as rookie Josh Allen is out
    • Abysmal Nathan Peterman is backup
  • New England rookie RB Sony Michel is out

Opening NFL Odds Week 9

Betonline, home of the opening line opening spreads are up for week 9 NFL. OffshoreInsiders.com will have all the winners.

Thursday, Nov 01, 2018 – NFL Football Game
08:20 PM 307 Oakland Raiders +3½ -110
308 San Francisco 49ers -3½ -110
Sunday, Nov 04, 2018 – NFL Football Game
01:00 PM 451 Detroit Lions 6 -110
452 Minnesota Vikings -6 -110
01:00 PM 453 Kansas City Chiefs -8½ -110
454 Cleveland Browns +8½ -110
01:00 PM 455 Pittsburgh Steelers 3 -115
456 Baltimore Ravens -3 -105
01:00 PM 457 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5½ -110
458 Carolina Panthers -5½ -110
01:00 PM 461 Atlanta Falcons +2½ -110
462 Washington Redskins -2½ -110
04:05 PM 465 Houston Texans 1 -110
466 Denver Broncos -1 -110
04:05 PM 467 Los Angeles Chargers +2½ -110
468 Seattle Seahawks -2½ -110
04:25 PM 469 Los Angeles Rams -1 -120
470 New Orleans Saints 1 100
08:20 PM 471 Green Bay Packers 6 -105
472 New England Patriots -6 -115
Monday, Nov 05, 2018 – NFL Football Game
08:15 PM 473 Tennessee Titans 4 -105
474 Dallas Cowboys -4 -115

 

Opening Odds College Football: Tuesday, Wednesday Action Included

Non-stop football with action Tuesday and Wednesday, in addition to the normal Thursday through Monday action. Odds are from Betonline, home of the opening line. Winners will be at OffshoreInsiders.com

Rot. Team Spread
Tuesday, Oct 30, 2018 – NCAA Football Game
08:00 PM 301 Miami Ohio +7½ -105
302 Buffalo -7½ -115
08:00 PM 303 Kent State -2 -115
304 Bowling Green 2 -105
Wednesday, Oct 31, 2018 – NCAA Football Game
07:30 PM 305 Ball State 14 -110
306 Toledo -14 -110
Thursday, Nov 01, 2018 – NCAA Football Game
07:00 PM 309 Ohio pk -110
310 Western Michigan pk -110
07:00 PM 311 Northern Illinois -5½ -105
312 Akron +5½ -115
Friday, Nov 02, 2018 – NCAA Football Game
07:30 PM 315 Pittsburgh +8½ -105
316 Virginia -8½ -115
08:00 PM 317 Western Kentucky 13 -105
318 Middle Tennessee State -13 -115
10:30 PM 319 Colorado +2½ 105
320 Arizona -2½ -125
Saturday, Nov 03, 2018 – NCAA Football Game
12:00 PM 327 Syracuse -4½ -110
328 Wake Forest +4½ -110
12:00 PM 329 Georgia -12 -105
330 Kentucky 12 -115
12:00 PM 333 Nebraska +22½ -115
334 Ohio State -22½ -105
12:00 PM 337 Missouri +6½ -115
338 Florida -6½ -105
12:00 PM 343 Memphis -14½ 100
344 East Carolina +14½ -120
12:00 PM 349 Oklahoma -11½ -110
350 Texas Tech +11½ -110
12:00 PM 351 West Virginia +1½ -105
352 Texas -1½ -115
12:00 PM 355 Notre Dame -7½ -115
356 Northwestern +7½ -105
12:00 PM 357 Minnesota -10 -105
358 Illinois 10 -115
12:00 PM 359 Central Michigan +13½ -105
360 Eastern Michigan -13½ -115
12:00 PM 361 Air Force +7½ -105
362 Army -7½ -115
12:00 PM 403 Louisville 37 -110
404 Clemson -37 -110
12:00 PM 407 South Carolina +2½ -105
408 Mississippi -2½ -115
12:00 PM 419 Alabama -14½ -110
420 LSU +14½ -110
02:00 PM 325 Texas State +6½ -110
326 Georgia State -6½ -110
02:00 PM 371 San Jose State 14 -115
372 Wyoming -14 -105
03:00 PM 373 California +11½ -115
374 Washington State -11½ -105
03:00 PM 377 Georgia Southern -9½ -110
378 UL Monroe +9½ -110
03:00 PM 379 Utah -7 -105
380 Arizona State 7 -115
03:00 PM 381 UCLA +10½ -120
382 Oregon -10½ 100
03:00 PM 385 Stanford +7½ -115
386 Washington -7½ -105
03:00 PM 413 South Alabama 15 -105
414 Arkansas State -15 -115
03:30 PM 323 Iowa +2½ 100
324 Purdue -2½ -120
03:30 PM 331 Navy +12½ -105
332 Cincinnati -12½ -115
03:30 PM 363 Tulane 9 -110
364 South Florida -9 -110
03:30 PM 387 Iowa State -14 -110
388 Kansas 14 -110
03:30 PM 389 Texas A&M +4½ -115
390 Auburn -4½ -105
03:30 PM 397 Liberty 2 -110
398 Massachusetts -2 -110
03:30 PM 399 Kansas State +7½ -115
400 TCU -7½ -105
03:30 PM 409 UTEP pk -105
410 Rice pk -115
03:30 PM 411 UL Lafayette +10½ -105
412 Troy -10½ -115
03:45 PM 345 Boston College -2 -110
346 Virginia Tech 2 -110
03:45 PM 405 Penn State 11 -115
406 Michigan -11 -105
04:00 PM 391 Charlotte +21½ -115
392 Tennessee -21½ -105
07:00 PM 321 Houston -14 -105
322 SMU 14 -115
07:00 PM 339 Duke 7 -120
340 Miami Florida -7 100
07:00 PM 401 Connecticut +15½ -115
402 Tulsa -15½ -105
07:30 PM 393 Louisiana Tech +21½ -105
394 Mississippi State -21½ -115
07:30 PM 415 UTSA 20 -110
416 UAB -20 -110
07:30 PM 417 Florida Atlantic 3 100
418 Florida International -3 -120
10:15 PM 367 BYU 14 -115
368 Boise State -14 -105
10:15 PM 369 San Diego State -10 -105
370 New Mexico 10 -115
10:30 PM 421 Fresno State -26½ -110
422 UNLV +26½ -110
Sunday, Nov 04, 2018 – NCAA Football Game
11:59 PM 423 Utah State -18 -110
424 Hawaii 18 -110

 

Week 8 NFL Free Pick! Line Moves, Pros vs. Joes

Free week 8 NFL pick. Line moves, betting intel from sportsbooks, contrarian, pros vs. Joes, sharp bets in both NFL and NBA for Sunday. Top service bet is: All Wise Guys are 1 ET or later. We are 26-10 NFL and that is fresh of spectacular preseason again! Seven NFL at 1 ET or later led by two Wise Guys including NFL Game of the Week. All Wise Guys are 1 ET or later. Nobody has dominated any sport the way Joe Duffy has the NFL for decades. 774-615 all, 65-34 football.  

I am 10-0 in primetime football. SNF included. Get the picks now

NFL:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Washington, New England, Indianapolis, San Francisco (not usual public love of road favorites), Cincinnati; New Orleans OVER, Green Bay OVER

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Green Bay, Houston, San Francisco, Pittsburgh; New Orleans OVER, Green Bay OVER, Indianapolis OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Buffalo, Green Bay; Indianapolis OVER, Green Bay OVER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Minnesota opened -2.5 to +2, Chicago -6 to -9, Carolina P to +2.5, Cincinnati -4 to -6. This is probably as many moves of at least two points that you will see in the NFL.

NBA:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Golden State; Golden State OVER

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Golden State, Washington; Golden State OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Washington; Golden State OVER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none

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Free pick NFL from Joe Duffy’s Picks:

NY JETS +8 Chicago

Regression to the mean angle based on turnovers, winning percentage and other factors is 512-384.