All posts by Joe Duffy

Trump Resignation Increasingly Likely; Kamala Harris or Cory Booker Wins in 2020

Donald Trump resigning during his first term is now increasingly more likely according to Bovada offshore sportsbook. “Yes” he will quit is not exactly a significant longshot at +200, with no being -300. All odds are based on $100 per bet. Hence +1000 would be the same as 10-1. In spite of this, Trump remains the prohibitive favorite for re-election at less than 2-1 with a convoy of Democrats starting at 19-1.

Odds to be the Democratic candidate in the 2020 Presidential Election. 

Winner

  • Kamala Harris+450
  • Beto O’Rourke+500
  • Bernie Sanders+600
  • Joe Biden+600
  • Elizabeth Warren+900
  • Cory Booker+1200
  • Kirsten Gillibrand+1400
  • Hillary Clinton+1500
  • Oprah Winfrey+1800
  • Tulsi Gabbard+2000
  • Tom Steyer+2600
  • Amy Klobuchar+2600
  • Andrew Cuomo+2600
  • Joe Kennedy III+2600
  • Julian Castro+2600
  • Tom Wolf+2600
  • Michelle Obama+4000

Fact is, the Democratic Party is obsessed with identity politics, frankly ignored by the oddsmakers. A white, heterosexual, cisgender, Christian, male is not going to get the nomination. Scratch O’Rourke, Sanders, and Biden off the list. Simply put, it’s not happening. Harris is articulate, looks good on TV, and is not burdened by race or gender. Frankly, it’s a two-horse race between Harris and Booker.

The pick: Kamala Harris +450 at Bovada

Odds to win 2020 Presidential Election

  • Donald Trump+150
  • Beto O’Rourke+1000
  • Kamala Harris+1000
  • Bernie Sanders+1200
  • Joe Biden+1400
  • Cory Booker+2000
  • Elizabeth Warren+2000
  • Mike Pence+2000
  • Hillary Clinton+3000
  • Kirsten Gillibrand+3000
  • Oprah Winfrey+3000
  • Michelle Obama+3300
  • Dwayne ‘The Rock’ Johnson+4000
  • Michael Avenatti+4000
  • Andrew Cuomo+5000
  • John Kasich+5000
  • Michael Bloomberg+5000
  • Mitch Landrieu+5000
  • Nikki Haley+5000
  • Paul Ryan+5500
  • Bob Iger+6000
  • Amy Klobuchar+3000
  • Chris Murphy+6000
  • Eric Garcetti +6000
  • Howard Schultz+6000
  • Julian Castro+6000
  • Sherrod Brown+4000
  • Tom Steyer+6000
  • Ben Shapiro+6600
  • Joe Kennedy III+6600
  • John Hickenlooper+6600
  • Marco Rubio+6600
  • Mark Zuckerberg+6600
  • Mitt Romney+6600
  • Tom Wolf+6600
  • Tulsi Gabbard+6600
  • Mark Cuban+7000
  • Orrin Hatch+7500
  • Rahm Emanuel+7500
  • George Clooney+8000
  • Rand Paul+8000
  • Ted Cruz+8000
  • Terry McAuliffe+8000
  • Tim Kaine+8000
  • Bill Gates+10000
  • Jeb Bush+10000
  • Leonardo DiCaprio+10000
  • Martin O’Malley+10000
  • Tammy Duckworth+10000
  • Trey Gowdy+10000
  • Chelsea Clinton+15000
  • Ivanka Trump+15000
  • Kanye West+15000
  • Joe Rogan+20000
  • Tom Brady+20000
  • Will Smith+20000

Even if Trump survives impeachment and does not resign, he isn’t going to win re-election. Granted, he’s defied the odds already but is damaged goods. Yeah, I am going to hedge the other of the two likely Dems.

The pick: Booker +2000 at Bovada

Contact the author, OffshoreInsiders.com CEO Joe Duffy here

 

Sports Betting: NFL, College Football Bowls, NBA, CBB Sharp Report

Sharp action for Saturday, December 22, 2018 NFL, college football bowls, NBA, and college basketball odds. Big day on the MasterLockLine! Service out the Hampton Roads has increased their lead as #1 all sports combined since 2010 and #1 all sports for 2018! Though every play wins at a remarkable rate, their highest rated are 10-Dime Plays. 10 Dime NFL Game of the Year 8:20 on Baltimore vs. LA Chargers

Sports service out of the Midwest has spent most of the time since 2010 as the No. 1 college football service, always regaining the spot with consistent winners. Known for Executive Plays. First Exec Play of bowls

The No. 1 all-time college football handicapper and No. 1 NFL and college combined goes back to the scorephone days. The real Duke has worked all sides of the ledger: pro gambler, handicapper, big-time corner bookie, and offshore oddsmaker. Highest rated bet on a pre-Christmas bowl game ever, 1.5 Billion stars on Houston vs. Army side. Get a free sports service bet, which also has the full menu, then Get the picks now

NFL (includes Sunday games)

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Dallas, Chicago

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Kansas City, Kansas City OVER, Houston OVER, Tampa OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Detroit

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Atlanta opened +3.5 now -3 (Cam Newton out), Cleveland -6.5 to -10 at at Bet Now, Philadelphia +1.5 to -1.5 

CFB

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Army

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Army, LA Tech OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Troy

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Troy opened -3 now pick at Bovada

NBA

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: none

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Philadelphia, Golden State UNDER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Utah

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none

CBB

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Nebraska

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Ohio State, Virginia, Nebraska, Drexel UNDER, West Virginia UNDER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Western Kentucky UNDER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none

Joe Duffy’s Picks: Saturday is huge. Three NFL winners, three college football led by two Wise Guys! We are 8-2 recently in the NBA. Five NBA led by Wise Guy. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are in near unanimity considered the strongest bet in sports wagering by bookmakers, pro gamblers, oddsmakers, and fellow handicappers alike.  Get the picks now

Sunday, we make your holiday very merry with eight NFL. As long as you have a package that includes Sunday, you can access all week’s picks.

 

 

 

 

Dec. 21 Sharp Betting Lines, Sportsbook Percentages, Betting Info

Joe Duffy has been winning for more than 30 years publicly but lately the big story is 6-0 NBA! Friday, NBA Eastern Conference Interdivisional Game of the Year among four NBA Make it a perfect 10 in a row winners in the NBA. Get the picks now

NBA sharp intel for December 21, 2018:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: none

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Toronto, Chicago UNDER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Sacramento, Minnesota, Atlanta OVER, Chicago UNDER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Sacramento opened +1 now -2

College basketball betting info:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Bowling Green; Morehead State UNDER

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: LaSalle, Mississippi, Bowling Green; Texas UNDER, Alabama UNDER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: LaSalle, Middle Tennessee State UNDER, Troy OVER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Xavier -17 now -19.5

Bet Now has ability to deposit, withdraw, and bet from any mobile device. Also get up to a 100 percent initial and reload bonus. All at Bet Now There will be $5,000 Given Away per week until the end of the regular NBA Season at Bet Now.

 

 

Gasparilla Bowl Betting Info, Sharp Moves in Basketball Odds

Marshall takes on South Florida in the Gasparilla Bowl. Marshall is currently laying from -4 at BetOnline, home of the opening line to -4.5 at GTBets. The total is 51 across the board, though 50.5 in Vegas as some shops. Marshall has 65 percent of bets and 61 percent of the money, while 54 percent of bets and 67 percent of funds are on the under. That is rare as the public generally prefers betting overs. Winds may be a minor factor at 12 mph at kickoff but increasing to 16 mph as the game goes on. There is a 49 percent chance of rain at the opening, but any storms are expected to taper.

Marshall is 11-3 SU in bowls including six straight wins, 5-0 under mentor Doc Holliday with a double-digit margin of cover. Some may question South Florida’s motivation as they were an early frontrunner with rival Central Florida to be the top fly-in-the-ointment top non-power five team before the wheels fell off. 

Joe Duffy continues to make your Christmas merrier and is helping you pay of Hanukah bills! We do both in the Duffy family. We go 5-2 last night, including 4-0 NBA. Thursday, college football side and two NBA winners. One of the essential secrets of our success in dominating bowls is knowing big myths. Let’s say that helps us won tonight. Get the picks now

NBA sharp moves

The most significant public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Houston OVER

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and most significant sportsbook liabilities: none

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: LA Clippers UNDER

The most significant line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none

College basketball sharp moves

The most significant public consensus in term of percentage of bets: none

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and most significant sportsbook liabilities: none

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: James Madison UNDER, Purdue UNDER

The most significant line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Ball State opened at -20, now -15.5 includes added rotation games you can wager on at Bet Now

 

 

Week 16 NFL Odds Plus Sunday Night Football Handicapper Preview Chiefs-Seahawks

The Kansas City Chiefs take on the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday Night Football in week 16. Kansas City is a 2.5-point road favorite almost exclusively across the board including at MYBookie. There are some shops where -2 can be bet. The total is also 53.5 at most Vegas and offshore outlets including Bovada.

Fifty-seven percent of bets and 70 percent of money bet is on the Chiefs. The public is notorious for betting favorites, especially road favorites, so the fact only a slight majority of bets are on the chalk is a mild surprise reports Cy McCormick of MasterLockLine of OffshoreInsiders.com. The opening line was KC -2 and 54.

Kansas City is 8-5-1 against the spread with a margin of cover (called sweat barometer by some) of 4.1, which is fifth best in the NFL. Keep in mind, after starting as a cover machine, the Chiefs are 0-4-1 their last five, but still going over four straight. However, Seattle is even more impressive at 8-4-2 with a cover margin of 5.3, second in the league to the Saints 6.8. 

Kansas City remains the biggest over team in the league, exceeding the total at a 9-4-1 rate by a stunning 9.5 points per game. Seattle is an even 7-7 over-under, going over by an average of 1.1. However, they have exceeded the total 4-of-5.

Kansas leads the NFL in yards per play on offense, getting a stunning 6.8. The also get a jaw-dropping 8.5 yards per pass attempt teams usually allowing just 6.8.

Top expert picks this weekend is from Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com. Saturday is huge. Three NFL winners, three college football led by two Wise Guys! Sunday, we make your holiday very merry with eight NFL.  Get the picks now from Joe Duffy’s Picks. Joe Duffy is the NFL Specialist and top postseason college football handicapper, a fact disputed by nobody!

Kansas City is very vulnerable on defense allowing 5.1 yards per rush to teams that get an average of 4.5 and 6.2 yards per play to 5.9. Advanced analytics suggest Seattle is not as good on defense as their reputation allowing teams to exceed their average yards per rush by .3, yards per pass attempt by .3, and yards per play also by .3.

Alert! Alert! Alert! MyBookie is now offering a 100% bonus up to $1000. Yes, hurry for a limited time! Deposit $1,000 and have $2,000 to bet now at MyBookie! This bonus is the single biggest bonus ever offered from a thoroughly vetted sportsbook.

Against the spread trends: Kansas City is 16-3 on the road outside division versus an opponent with a worse record. However, Seattle is 15-1 in non-divisional games against an opponent with more wins the previous season when following a game as a favorite. The ‘Hawks are 23-10 in December.

Over-under trends: Kansas City has gone over 14-4 on the road.

Joe Duffy’s advanced analytics tells us the better defense as a home underdog under specific circumstances that apply tonight are 149-122 against the spread, though admittedly much better when the team we are fading is off a win, which is not the case tonight. 

Advanced weather says there is an 85 percent chance of precipitation. Kansas City starting OG Cameron Erving is expected to return after missing last week’s loss but starting OT Mitchell Schwartz is questionable. RB Spencer Ware is questionable to probable. He has 246 yards rushing on 51 attempts. WR Sammy Watkins, who has 40 catches for 519 yards and 3 TDs is questionable to doubtful.

Seattle WR Doug Baldwin is also questionable. He has 41 receptions for 465 yards and 4 TDs. RB Rashaad Penny is in danger of missing his second straight game. Penny has 413 yards rushing on 81 carries.

Complete Week 16 NFL odds from Bet Now among the elite and approved sportsbooks now offering a 100 percent sign-up bonus, with easy deposits and easy cash out. Visit JoeDuffy.Net for free picks on added rotation games. These are the same metrics that make Duffy the Industry Standard for regular rotation games at OffshoreInsiders.com.

NFL WEEK 16 – (Full Limits Available On Game Day)
4:35 PM
107 Redskins +10 (-105) 37 (-105) 416
108 Titans -10 (-115) 37 (-115) -550
8:25 PM
123 Ravens +4 (-115) 44 (-105) 180
124 Chargers -4 (-105) 44 (-115) -215
Sunday SP/RL TOTAL ML
NFL WEEK 16 – (Full Limits Available On Game Day)
1:05 PM
101 Buccaneers +7 (-105) 47 (-113) 267
102 Cowboys -7 (-115) 47 (-107) -330
1:05 PM
103 Bills +13 (-105) 44½ (-110) 588
104 Patriots -13 (-115) 44½ (-110) -850
1:05 PM
105 Falcons -3½ (-115) 44 (-105)
106 Panthers +3½ (-105) 44 (-115)
1:05 PM
109 Jaguars +4 (-115) 38 (-117) 176
110 Dolphins -4 (-105) 38 (-103) -210
1:05 PM
111 Giants +9 (-115) 46½ (-115) 351
112 Colts -9 (-105) 46½ (-105) -450
1:05 PM
113 Texans +2½ (-110) 45½ (-116) 120
114 Eagles -2½ (-110) 45½ (-104) -140
1:05 PM
115 Vikings -5 (-115) 42½ (-110) -245
116 Lions +5 (-105) 42½ (-110) 203
1:05 PM
117 Packers -3 (-104) 46½ (-110)
118 Jets +3 (-116) 46½ (-110)
1:05 PM
119 Bengals +9 (-115) 44½ (-105) 344
120 Browns -9 (-105) 44½ (-115) -440
4:10 PM
121 Rams -14 (-105) 44 (-115) -850
122 Cardinals +14 (-115) 44 (-105) 588
4:10 PM
125 Bears -4 (-105) 43 (-110) -205
126 49ers +4 (-115) 43 (-110) 172
4:30 PM
127 Steelers +6 (-115) 53 (-110) 218
128 Saints -6 (-105) 53 (-110) -265
8:25 PM
129 Chiefs -2 (-105) 53½ (-112) -130
130 Seahawks +2 (-115) 53½ (-108) 110
Monday SP/RL TOTAL ML
NFL WEEK 16 – (Full Limits Available On Game Day)
8:20 PM
131 Broncos -2½ (-115) 44 (-105) -150
132 Raiders +2½ (-105) 44 (-115) 130

 

Free NFL Pick, Free College Football Bowl Pick, Breaking Sharp Betting News

Wednesday is the Minor Bowl Side and Total of the Year. Yes, Wise Guys on San Diego State-Ohio side and total. The biggest side and total of bowl season…so far. Five basketball winners led by an NBA Wise Guy.  Get the picks now

Thursday, college football side. Friday college football total. Saturday is huge. Three NFL winners, three college football led by two Wise Guys! Sunday, we make your holiday very merry with eight NFL. As long as you have a package that includes Monday you can access all week’s picks. So get Bet it Trinity or Joe Duffy’s Picks seven-day pick pack or longer.   

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Ohio State; Texas OVER

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Ohio State, Iowa State, Syracuse; Texas OVER, LSU OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Arkansas State, South Florida, Purdue, Troy, Syracuse; West Virginia UNDER, USF UNDER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: West Virginia opened -6.5 now -1.5 (Will Greer skipping)

Free pick:

Home teams in bowls under specific circumstances that apply today are 20-10. Rested home teams (including regular season) in games they are not large favorites under specific circumstances that apply today are 231-163

HAWAII P Louisiana Tech

NFL

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Chicago

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Cleveland, Cleveland UNDER, Tampa Bay OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Seattle

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Philadelphia +1.5 now -2.5, Green Bay -3 now pick, Cleveland -6.5 now -8.5

Free pick:

Regression to the mean angle that crosses all sports that is interconference specific is 97-41 for 70.3. Go against the better rushing team late in season is 81-49. Anti-splits angle that says fade great road team against terrible home team is 145-107.

ARIZONA +13.5 Rams

 

 

Which AFC Teams Are Most Likely to Make Playoffs? BetDSI Has Answer

BetDSI is offering odds on the chances of six AFC teams qualifying for the NFL Playoffs.

Despite Baltimore currently holding down the AFC’s final playoff spot, the odds suggest that the Titans (+115) will finish ahead of the Ravens (+120). Tennessee will be favored in its final two games (barring injury to Marcus Mariota) while Baltimore is a 4.5-point underdog this week at L.A.

BetDSI did not generate odds for the Patriots and Texans due to the probabilities even though both have not clinched a playoff berth.

NFC playoff odds will be released tomorrow.

Will Pittsburgh Steelers qualify for 2018-19 NFL Playoffs?

Yes -400

No +275

Will Baltimore Ravens qualify for 2018-19 NFL Playoffs?

Yes +120

No -160

Will Indianapolis Colts qualify for 2018-19 NFL Playoffs?

Yes +175

No -240

Will Tennessee Titans qualify for 2018-19 NFL Playoffs?

Yes +115

No -155

Will Miami Dolphins qualify for 2018-19 NFL Playoffs?

Yes +1000

No -4500

Will Cleveland Browns qualify for 2018-19 NFL Playoffs?

Yes +1250

No -8000

Critical Monday Night Football Saints-Panthers Info, NBA, College Basketball

Winning info for Monday Night Football. It includes ATS trends info, betting free pick, public betting percentages and much more!

Solid Sunday. We will take 60 percent as the Grandmaster goes 6-4 led by only Wise Guy on Philadelphia. MNF side and now total are up. Three NBA winners up as well. That’s 5-0 from the Grandmaster. Get the picks now http://offshoreinsiders.com