All posts by Joe Duffy

Sharp Moves, Vegas Line Moves, Public Consensus NBA, College Basketball For Monday

Who are the sharps betting on for Monday NBA and college basketball? Let’s start out in the NBA.

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Milwaukee, Washington OVER at Bet Now

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Milwaukee, Indiana, Denver, Detroit, Denver UNDER, Washington OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Dallas, Charlotte at Bovada

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Detroit -3.5 now -5.5

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. Don’t be foolish and take a lull in between Super Bowl and March Madness. JDP is rolling along at a nice 21-14 despite some excruciating OT dogs, half, and one-point losses. NBA Total of the Week is a Wise Guy among three winners. Oh, my lawd, I definitely must mention, the Wise Guy angle has been slightly enhanced to eliminate when it conflicted with another top angle. It is 1626-1303 overall and a draw-dropping 85-34. Okay, I will even hint: it does so well this year due to inflated totals because of the public’s fear of unders. No more hints, just winners.  Get the picks now

Now to college basketball:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Baylor

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Baylor

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: UNC UNDER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none

 

Woods, Spieth, Johnson, Rose, McIlroy Top Masters 2019 Odds Leaderboard

Tiger Woods is among the favorites in which oddsmakers expect will be a closely contested 2019 Masters golf tournament. Jordan Spieth is the mild favorite at 10-1 or +1000, with Woods a notch behind at 11-1. Odds are from Bovada. All odds based on $100 per bet. Hence +1000 would be the same as 10-1. OffshoreInsiders.com has had strong success with Joe Duffy’s outsourced picks throughout the years. 

US Masters 2019

  • Jordan Spieth +1000
  • Tiger Woods +1100
  • Dustin Johnson +1200
  • Justin Rose +1200
  • Rory McIlroy +1200
  • Brooks Koepka +1400
  • Justin Thomas +1400
  • Bryson Dechambeau +1600
  • Jon Rahm +1600
  • Rickie Fowler +1600
  • Bubba Watson +2500
  • Jason Day +2500
  • Tony Finau +2800
  • Adam Scott +3300
  • Hideki Matsuyama +3300
  • Patrick Reed +3300
  • Tommy Fleetwood +3300
  • Xander Schauffele +3300
  • Cameron Champ +4000
  • Francesco Molinari +4000
  • Phil Mickelson +4000
  • Sergio Garcia +4000
  • Marc Leishman +4500
  • Paul Casey +4500
  • Gary Woodland +5000
  • Henrik Stenson +5000
  • Matt Kuchar +5000
  • Louis Oosthuizen +6600
  • Patrick Cantlay +6600
  • Billy Horschel +7000
  • Cameron Smith +7000
  • Hao Tong Li +7000
  • Webb Simpson +7000
  • Alexander Noren +8000
  • Danny Willett +8000
  • Thomas Pieters +8000
  • Shane Lowry +9000
  • Adam Hadwin +10000
  • Brandt Snedeker +10000
  • Charley Hoffman +10000
  • Daniel Berger +10000
  • Emiliano Grillo +10000
  • Ian Poulter +10000
  • Lee Westwood +10000
  • Matt Wallace +10000
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick +10000
  • Thorbjorn Olesen +10000
  • Tyrrell Hatton +10000
  • Zach Johnson +10000
  • Aaron Wise +12500
  • Branden Grace +12500
  • Charl Schwartzel +12500
  • Charles Howell III +12500
  • Eddie Pepperell +12500
  • Keegan Bradley +12500
  • Kevin Kisner +12500
  • Rafael Cabrera Bello +12500
  • Abraham Ancer +15000
  • Beau Hossler +15000
  • Brian Harman +15000
  • Jimmy Walker +15000
  • Kevin Chappell +15000
  • Kiradech Aphibarnrat +15000
  • Martin Kaymer +15000
  • Russell Henley +15000
  • Ryan Moore +15000
  • Si Woo Kim +15000
  • Julian Suri +20000
  • Kyle Stanley +20000
  • Lucas Bjerregaard +20000
  • Pat Perez +20000
  • Patton Kizzire +20000
  • Andrew Landry +25000
  • Dylan Frittelli +25000
  • Jamie Lovemark +25000
  • Paul Dunne +25000
  • Ross Fisher +25000
  • Stewart Cink +25000
  • Shubhankar Sharma +30000
  • Aaron Rai +40000
  • Bernhard Langer +50000
  • Fred Couples +50000
  • Vijay Singh +50000
  • Angel Cabrera +75000
  • Trevor Immelman +100000
  • Mark O’Meara +150000
  • Mike Weir +150000
  • Jose Maria Olazabal +200000
  • Sandy Lyle +200000
  • Ian Woosnam +250000
  • Larry Mize +250000

Get a $3,000 casino welcome bonus now at Bovada.

Trade Deadline Odds Moves: Sixers Rise in NBA Championship Odds

Following the close of the NBA trade deadline, BetDSI has adjusted its odds to win the Finals this summer.

The 76ers’ odds moved from +1500 to +1200 following the acquisition of Tobias Harris.

Toronto saw its odds drop from +900 to +800 while the Lakers’ odds jumped from +1800 to +3000.

Golden State’s odds at the beginning of the week were -240, and they remain unchanged.  

2018-19 NBA Finals Odds

Golden State Warriors -240

Toronto Raptors +800

Boston Celtics +1200

Philadelphia 76ers +1200

Houston Rockets +1400

Milwaukee Bucks +1400

Oklahoma City Thunder +2500

Denver Nuggets +2800

Los Angeles Lakers +3000

Utah Jazz +5000

San Antonio Spurs +5500

Portland Trailblazers +6000

Charlotte Hornets +9000

Minnesota Timberwolves +10000

Indiana Pacers +10000

Detroit Pistons +10000

Miami Heat +10000

Los Angeles Clippers +12500

Brooklyn Nets +12500

New Orleans Pelicans +15000

Washington Wizards +15000

Dallas Mavericks +15000

Sacramento Kings +15000

Orlando Magic +20000

Memphis Grizzlies +30000

Atlanta Hawks +200000

Phoenix Suns +300000

Cleveland Cavaliers +400000

New York Knicks +400000

Chicago Bulls +400000

A 100% welcome bonus up to $500 each, yes each on sports and casino at BetDSI

Joe Duffy’s Picks, Another Smooth 7-2 Night

Advanced analytics is flawless. It eliminated biases and computer software ensures I never miss a great situation. You went 7-2 last night. If not, don’t focus in the money you’ve blown by being on the outside looking in. Focus on how much you will make for years to come. Begin the rest of your gambling life today with Joe Duffy’s Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com

Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.

CBB

Major

MARYLAND +2 Nebraska

High volume based on advanced metrics from last game including rebounds, field goal percentage is 1693-1351-78.

CONNECTICUT +3.5 Temple

High volume based on advanced metrics from last game including rebounds, field goal percentage is 1693-1351-78.

COLORADO +6 ucla

High volume based on advanced metrics from last game including rebounds, field goal percentage is 1693-1351-78.

GA SOUTHERN +0 UL Lafayette

High volume based on advanced metrics from last game including rebounds, field goal percentage is 1693-1351-78.

NBA

Major

Houston-Sacramento OVER 233.5

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 1078-802-58.

Golden State-San Antonio OVER 232.5

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 1078-802-58.

NEW ORLEANS -1 Chicago

Road teams playing a bad team and in a bad stretch of defensive efforts are undervalued 102-52-0.

HOUSTON -2.5 Sacramento

Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak are 546-422-14. Fade home underdogs off consecutive win as an underdog.

BROOKLYN -3.5 Denver

Home favorite or small underdog despite significantly inferior record is 302-212-5.

Major Sports Betting Secret: Counterintuitive Reason Makes Pro Bettors a Fortune

How to sharp gamblers beat the bookies? Joe Duffy reveals. Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com

https://www.betnow.eu Hey guys, I’ve got a great promo to run by you from BetNow. If you’re looking for a new sportsbook to try out, they’ve got just the promotion for you. Right now, they’ll give you a 50% bonus on your initial deposit to help you get rolling right out of the gate. Naturally you’ll probably want to bet on some basketball action, given the current sports betting landscape. So, to help you out they’ve got an eye-catching $5,000 Weekly NBA contest for you to drool over. On top of that, they’ve got another $500,000 Bracket Madness promotion for you to take advantage of once March Madness hits!

Major Sports Betting Secret: Counterintuitive Reason Makes Pro Bettors a Fortune

How to sharp gamblers beat the bookies? Joe Duffy reveals. Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com

https://www.betnow.eu Hey guys, I’ve got a great promo to run by you from BetNow. If you’re looking for a new sportsbook to try out, they’ve got just the promotion for you. Right now, they’ll give you a 50% bonus on your initial deposit to help you get rolling right out of the gate. Naturally you’ll probably want to bet on some basketball action, given the current sports betting landscape. So, to help you out they’ve got an eye-catching $5,000 Weekly NBA contest for you to drool over. On top of that, they’ve got another $500,000 Bracket Madness promotion for you to take advantage of once March Madness hits!

Free College Basketball Picks For Tonight

Free added rotation winners from Joe Duffy’s Picks. Duffy has sensational portfolio of nine winners, five NBA, four college basketball. Yes, our famed “high volume” angle comes in big time tonight in college and winning NBA angles that go back to our scorephone days just keep clicking tonight. Thank you so much to those who have locked in with our long-term packages. Your faith will again be rewarded.  Get the picks now

CBB

NEW ORLEANS -3.5 Northwestern State at Betonline

High volume based on advanced metrics from last game including rebounds, field goal percentage is 1693-1351-78. When a team is off consecutive home wins and opponent off a game in which they were in a high scoring game offensively and defensively is 922-751-31. When both apply, it is 59.4 percent.

ABILENE CHRISTIAN -0 Lamar at Bet Now

High volume based on advanced metrics from last game including rebounds, field goal percentage is 1693-1351-78. When a team is off consecutive home wins and opponent off a game in which they were in a high scoring game offensively and defensively is 922-751-31. When both apply, it is 59.4 percent.

2 Free Sports Picks for Tonight

Http://offshoreinsiders.com has free added rotation winners from Joe Duffy’s Picks. Duffy has sensational portfolio of nine winners, five NBA, four college basketball. Yes, our famed “high volume” angle comes in big time tonight in college and winning NBA angles that go back to our scorephone days just keep clicking tonight. Thank you so much to those who have locked in with our long-term packages. Your faith will again be rewarded.  

2 Free Sports Picks for Tonight

Http://offshoreinsiders.com has free added rotation winners from Joe Duffy’s Picks. Duffy has sensational portfolio of nine winners, five NBA, four college basketball. Yes, our famed “high volume” angle comes in big time tonight in college and winning NBA angles that go back to our scorephone days just keep clicking tonight. Thank you so much to those who have locked in with our long-term packages. Your faith will again be rewarded.  

Cross Sports Super Bowl Wagers, NBA Futures Props Lakers and More

Cross-Sport Super Bowl Prop from BetDSI

NBA

Which will be higher?

James Harden streak of games with 30 or more points +140

Yardage of longest touchdown in Super Bowl LIII -180

https://youtu.be/DytXEDEpovE

Which will be higher?

LeBron James total games missed (starting 12/25/18) -115

Super Bowl LIII highest scoring quarter total points -115

Which will be higher on 2/3/19?

Russell Westbrook total points, rebounds, assists +100

Rob Gronkowski receiving yards -130

Which will be higher on 2/3/19?

Kyrie Irving total points -115

Jared Goff pass completions -115

Which will be higher on 2/3/19?

Paul George made 3-point field goals -120

Rob Gronkowski receptions -110

Which will be higher on 2/3/19?

Thunder total points vs. Celtics -150

Todd Gurley rushing + receiving yards +120

Which will be higher on 2/3/19?

Celtics total points vs. Thunder -220

Brandin Cooks receiving yards +160

Which will be higher on 2/3/19?

Thunder and Celtics combined points +110

B. Cooks, R. Woods, J. Edelman combined receiving yards -140

Which will be higher on 2/3/19?

Kawhi Leonard points -130

James White rushing yards +100

College Basketball

Which will be higher?

Zion Williamson total points and rebounds on 2/2/19 -140

Total Brady pass completions on 2/3/19 +110

Which will be higher?

Zion Williamson, RJ Barrett, Cam Reddish total points on 2/2/19 -115

Rams and Patriots total points on 2/3/19 -115

Will Anthony Davis be traded before the February 7 trade deadline (2019)

Yes +120

No -150

If Anthony Davis is not traded by deadline, will he play for Pelicans again during 2018-19 regular season?

Yes -300

No +240

If New York Knicks win No. 1 pick in the NBA lottery, will they trade it before the 2019 Draft?

Yes -150

No +120

Will Lonzo Ball be on Lakers’ roster on October 1, 2019?

Yes +200

No -260

Will Kyle Kuzma be on Lakers’ roster on October 1, 2019?

Yes +240

No -300

Will Brandon Ingram be on Lakers’ roster on October 1, 2019?

Yes +150

No -200

Will Josh Hart be on Lakers’ roster on October 1, 2019?

Yes +120

No -150