All posts by Joe Duffy

Pro Gamblers News and Notes For NBA Betting Friday Night

Joe Duffy off a perfect 3-0 sweep of Wise Guys, get five winners for Friday, four NBA and a college basketball winner.  Get the picks now

Washington-Charlotte

  • Two under .500 teams playing with at least seven days combined rest over 52-24-2
  • Bismark Biyombo game-time decision for Hornets
    • 4.8 rebounds and 1.1 blocks

New Orleans-Indiana

  • Darius Miller doubtful for Pels
    • 8 points per game, 1.8 assists, 1.8 rebounds
  • Indiana starting center Myles Turner is game-time decision
    • 13.5 points per game, 7 rebounds
    • Check on status throughout day
    • Tea leaves say he will play but line will drop if not
  • Pels Anthony Davis expected to play about 25 minutes 

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Chicago-Orlando

  • Two under .500 teams playing with at least seven days combined rest over 52-24-2

San Antonio-Toronto

  • Two cumulative over teams are a decent under play
    • When teams have combined to go over by 355 cumulative or more points on season, a 54.2 percent UNDER play
  • Toronto: home favorites six or more in same season revenge of 8 point or more loss 728-604-34
  • Spurs should get Derrick White back
    • 19 games in 2019 White has averaged 14.6 points on 57.5 percent shooting, 4.3 rebounds, 3.8 assists and 1.0 steal across 30.4 minutes
  • LaMarcus Aldridge probable with illness, but could be slowed down

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Minnesota-New York

  • Two under .500 teams playing with at least seven days combined rest over 52-24-2
  • Gorgui Dieng out for Minnesota
    • 5.6 points per game, 4.1 rebounds
  • Wolves Tyus Jones expected to return
    • Very good defensive player has not played since Jan. 15
    • Total may drop a point if he’s able to play
  • Wolves defensive specialist Robert Covington is likely out
  • Knicks biggest sharp move as of 12:11 ET
  • Knicks also biggest line move, opening at +6 down to +4.5

Detroit-Atlanta

  • Two under .500 teams playing with at least seven days combined rest over 52-24-2
  • Kevin Huerter doubtful
    • Great outside thread averaging 9.3 points per game

LA Clippers-Memphis

  • Grizzlies Joakim Noah probable with heel injury
    • 5.3 points per game, 4.7 boards
  • Key because  Jonas Valanciunas is likely out for Grizz
    • 13.1 points per game, 7.3 rebounds
  • Grizzlies Kyle Anderson is out
    • 8 points per game, 5.8 rebounds, 3 assists for the forward
  • Clippers Wilson Chandler remains out
    • 6.7 points per game, 4.7 rebounds

Denver-Dallas

  • Denver’s Trey Lyles out
    • 9.2 points per game, 4.1 rebounds is 18.6 minutes
  • Denver a strong sharp move
  • Denver biggest sportsbook liability

Utah-Oklahoma City

  • OKC’s Markieff Morris likely to make his debut
    • Averages 11.5 points per game and 5.1 rebounds per game
  • Thunder’s Dennis Schroder expected to return after missing two games before break
    • 15.7 points per game, 4.1 assists
  • OKC biggest public consensus bet

Odds on Next San Francisco Giants Manager Set

Following the news that Bruce Bochy will retire at the end of the 2019 season, BetDSI (Twitter: @BetDSI) has posted odds on who will replace him as manager of the San Francisco Giants.

Matt Williams and Eric Chavez are the two favorites while Mike Matheny, Omar Vizquel and Ron Wotus all carry 5/1 odds or less. Jose Canseco and Pete Rose have the longest odds at 100/1. 

You can find the full list below.

San Francisco Giants Manager on Opening Day 2020

Matt Williams +200

Eric Chavez +250

Mike Matheny +350

Omar Vizquel +500

Ron Wotus +500

Sandy Alomar +750

Carlos Beltran +800

Dusty Baker +1000

Will Clark +1000

Joe Girardi +1500

Buck Showalter +1500

Barry Bonds +2000

Gary Pettis +2000

Lloyd McClendon +2000

Dave Stewart +2000

Chili Davis +2000

Eric Byrnes +5000

Randy Johnson +5000

Mark McGwire +7500

Rickey Henderson +10000

Buster Posey (player-manager) +10000

Tony La Russa +20000

Brian Kenny +20000

Mike Krukow +20000

Duane Kuiper +20000

Jon Miller +50000

Jose Canseco +100000

Pete Rose +100000

 

Free Wise Guy (Strongest Bet on Industry) College Basketball Winner

Joe Duffy’s Picks steam added in the morning, a Wise Guy in fact! And yet more winning tonight on a nice 23-14 run lately. Seven winning picks in college basketball as morning steam is a Wise Guy play.  Get the picks now

All premium picks are from regular rotation, but now a free pick Wise Guy from an added rotation game! 

CBB

Wise Guy

STETSON +14 njit at Bet Now

Underdogs in a stretch of very low scoring games are 571-461. But when it’s a horrific road team playing on the road, the angle skyrockets to 60.3 percent winners.

Which NBA Will Make and Miss Playoffs? Offshore Odds Have IT

With two days remaining in the NBA All-Star break, BetDSI (Twitter: @BetDSI) has posted a host of props and odds surrounding what will transpire for the remainder of the regular season.

Will Russell Westbrook average a triple-double for the third straight year? How long will James Harden’s streak stretch? Will the Lakers make the playoffs? Will Carmelo Anthony play again this season? Will another head coach be fired? Those are just a few of the interesting props you can find below. 

Current odds:

Will Russell Westbrook average a triple-double for the 2018-19 regular season?

Yes -900

No +550

Nikola Jokic assists average for the 2018-19 regular season

Over 7.8 (-115)

Under 7.8 (-115)

(Nikola Jokic is averaging 7.7 assists this season, the most for a center since Wilt Chamberlain, who averaged 7.8 assists in 1966-67 and 8.6 in 1967-68)

Will Carmelo Anthony play in the NBA again during 2018-19 regular season?

Yes +130

No -165

When will James Harden’s streak of consecutive 30-point games end?

Over 39.5 games (+120)

Under 39.5 games (-150)

James Harden scoring average for the 2018-19 regular season

Over 37.1 (+150)

Under 37.1 (-180)

(Michael Jordan’s highest PPG average was 37.09 during the 1986-87 regular season)

Will James Harden win the NBA MVP award?

Yes -250

No +190

NBA MVP Odds

James Harden -250

Giannis Antetokounmpo +350

Stephen Curry +1200

Joel Embiid +1400

LeBron James +1400

Kawhi Leonard +1600

Paul George +1800

Anthony Davis +2000

Kevin Durant +2000

Nikola Jokic +4000

Russell Westbrook +4000

Next head coach fired during 2018-19 season

Igor Kokoskov +150

Scott Brooks +200

Jim Boylen +300

Luke Walton +400

J.B. Bickerstaff +1000

Alvin Gentry +1500

Larry Drew +2000

Ryan Saunders +2500

David Fizdale +3000

Dave Joerger +3000

Steve Clifford +3000

Lloyd Pierce +3000

Kenny Atkinson +3000

James Borrego +3500

Terry Stotts +4000

Michael Malone +4000

Mike D’Antoni +4000

Dwane Casey +4000

Brett Brown +5000

Doc Rivers +5000

Nate McMillan +5000

Brad Stevens +7000

Quin Snyder +8000

Billy Donovan +8000

Erik Spoelstra +9000

Nick Nurse +10000

Mike Budenholzer +10000

Rick Carlisle +10000

Steve Kerr +30000

Gregg Popovich +30000

Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes +240

No -390

Will the Brooklyn Nets make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes -760

No +380

Will the Charlotte Hornets make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes -140

No +100

Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes -285

No +185

Will the Miami Heat make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes +185

No -285

Will the Orlando Magic make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes -120

No -120

Will the Washington Wizards make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes +475

No -1100

Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes -190

No +130

Will the Sacramento Kings make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes +820

No -5400

Will the San Antonio Spurs make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes -1900

No +600

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the 2018-19 NBA Playoffs?

Yes +730

No -3300

Will any NBA team record 60 or more victories during 2018-19 regular season?

Yes -250

No +200

(The last time at least one NBA failed to reach 60 was the 2000-01 regular season)

2018-19 NBA Finals Odds

Golden State Warriors -250

Field (Any other team) +190

2018-19 NBA Finals Odds

Golden State Warriors -250

Toronto Raptors +900

Milwaukee Bucks +900

Boston Celtics +1000

Philadelphia 76ers +1000

Houston Rockets +1200

Los Angeles Lakers +2500

Oklahoma City Thunder +2500

Denver Nuggets +2800

San Antonio Spurs +5500

Utah Jazz +6000

Portland Trailblazers +7400

Charlotte Hornets +9000

Minnesota Timberwolves +10000

Detroit Pistons +10000

Los Angeles Clippers +12400

Indiana Pacers +12500

Brooklyn Nets +12500

New Orleans Pelicans +15000

Washington Wizards +15000

Dallas Mavericks +15000

Sacramento Kings +15000

Miami Heat +15000

Orlando Magic +20000

Memphis Grizzlies +30000

Atlanta Hawks +200000

Phoenix Suns +300000

Cleveland Cavaliers +400000

New York Knicks +400000

Chicago Bulls +400000

 

Super Bowl LIV Betting Odds: Patriots Are Co-Favorites With Another AFC Team

Stop me if you’ve heard this one before. The New England Patriots are the favorites to win the Super Bowl. More accurately, Super Bowl 54 odds have them as co-favorites with the Kansas City Chiefs at +650 or 13-2. The LA Rams are next at 10-1 or +1000 at Bet Now, one of the top sportsbooks in the world. All the 2019 Super Bowl odds and the favorites to win the NFC and AFC are below. OffshoreInsiders.com remains the go-to shop for all sports winners. 

ODDS TO WIN SUPER BOWL LIV
7:00 PM  @ Sun Life Stadium – Miami, FL
10001 Arizona Cardinals 15000
10002 Atlanta Falcons 2000
10003 Baltimore Ravens 2000
10004 Buffalo Bills 15000
10005 Carolina Panthers 3500
10006 Chicago Bears 1500
10007 Cincinnati Bengals 12500
10008 Cleveland Browns 2000
10009 Dallas Cowboys 2000
10010 Denver Broncos 8000
10011 Detroit Lions 8000
10012 Green Bay Packers 1500
10013 Houston Texans 2800
10014 Indianapolis Colts 1200
10015 Jacksonville Jaguars 4000
10016 Kansas City Chiefs 650
10017 Los Angeles Chargers 1200
10018 Los Angeles Rams 1000
10019 Miami Dolphins 20000
10020 Minnesota Vikings 2000
10021 New England Patriots 650
10022 New Orleans Saints 900
10023 New York Giants 6000
10024 New York Jets 10000
10025 Oakland Raiders 12500
10026 Philadelphia Eagles 1500
10027 Pittsburgh Steelers 1500
10028 San Francisco 49ers 5000
10029 Seattle Seahawks 3000
10030 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8000
10031 Tennessee Titans 5000
10032 Washington Redskins 12500
ODDS TO WIN AFC CHAMPIONSHIP
7:00 PM
10101 Baltimore Ravens 1000
10102 Buffalo Bills 5000
10103 Cincinnati Bengals 6000
10104 Cleveland Browns 600
10105 Denver Broncos 1800
10106 Houston Texans 1500
10107 Indianapolis Colts 800
10108 Jacksonville Jaguars 2000
10109 Kansas City Chiefs 300
10110 Los Angeles Chargers 800
10111 Miami Dolphins 10000
10112 New England Patriots 300
10113 New York Jets 2500
10114 Oakland Raiders 5000
10115 Pittsburgh Steelers 800
10116 Tennessee Titans 3000
ODDS TO WIN NFC CHAMPIONSHIP
7:00 PM
10121 Arizona Cardinals 5000
10122 Atlanta Falcons 1000
10123 Carolina Panthers 2500
10124 Chicago Bears 500
10125 Dallas Cowboys 800
10126 Detroit Lions 5000
10127 Green Bay Packers 550
10128 Los Angeles Rams 400
10129 Minnesota Vikings 800
10130 New Orleans Saints 400
10131 New York Giants 2000
10132 Philadelphia Eagles 800
10133 San Francisco 49ers 2500
10134 Seattle Seahawks 1500
10135 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1800
10136 Washington Redskins 500

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2019 Dayton 500 Odds: Individual Matchups

2019 Dayton 500 odds. Joe Duffy has the winner at OffshoreInsiders.com

 

  Sunday, 17th February 2019 ML
DAYTONA 500
2:40 PM  @ Daytona International Speedway – Daytona Beach, FL
7501 Brad Keselowski -110
7502 Joey Logano -120
2:40 PM
7503 Joey Logano -140
7504 Clint Bowyer 110
2:40 PM
7505 Clint Bowyer EV
7506 Kevin Harvick -130
2:40 PM
7507 Kevin Harvick
7508 Denny Hamlin
2:40 PM
7509 Denny Hamlin -135
7510 Chase Elliott 105
2:40 PM
7511 Chase Elliott -130
7512 Aric Almirola EV
2:40 PM
7513 Aric Almirola -130
7514 Ricky Stenhouse Jr EV
2:40 PM
7515 Ricky Stenhouse Jr
7516 Ryan Blaney
2:40 PM
7517 Ryan Blaney
7518 Kyle Busch
2:40 PM
7519 Kyle Busch -120
7520 Martin Truex Jr -110
2:40 PM
7521 Martin Truex Jr -110
7522 Kurt Busch -120
2:40 PM
7523 Kurt Busch
7524 Daniel Suarez
2:40 PM
7525 Daniel Suarez -115
7526 Erik Jones -115
2:40 PM
7527 Erik Jones -115
7528 Jimmie Johnson -115
2:40 PM
7529 Jimmie Johnson -120
7530 Alex Bowman -110
2:40 PM
7531 Alex Bowman
7532 Kyle Larson
2:40 PM
7533 Kyle Larson -105
7534 Austin Dillon -125
2:40 PM
7535 Austin Dillon
7536 Paul Menard
2:40 PM
7537 Paul Menard -165
7538 Bubba Wallace 135
2:40 PM
7539 Bubba Wallace 115
7540 Ryan Newman -145
2:40 PM
7541 Ryan Newman
7542 Daniel Hemric
2:40 PM
7543 Daniel Hemric -160
7544 Ryan Preece 130
2:40 PM
7545 Brad Keselowski -135
7546 Clint Bowyer 105
2:40 PM
7547 Joey Logano -125
7548 Kevin Harvick -105
2:40 PM
7549 Clint Bowyer
7550 Denny Hamlin

 

 

2019 World Series Favorites Posted at Top Online Sportsbook

Once Bryce Harper and Manny Machado’s destinations are determined, odds to win the 2019 World Series will shift. Currently, there is a three-way tie for favorites among Boston Red Sox, Houston Astros, and New York Yankees are each 6-1, with the LA Dodgers next at 7-1. All odds based on $100 per bet. Hence +1000 would be the same as 10-1 and come from Bovada.

There is literally no dispute that the top MLB handicapper is Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com

  • Boston Red Sox+600
  • Houston Astros+600
  • New York Yankees+600
  • Los Angeles Dodgers+700
  • Chicago Cubs+1100
  • Milwaukee Brewers+1200
  • Philadelphia Phillies+1200
  • Atlanta Braves+1400
  • Cleveland Indians+1400
  • Louis Cardinals+1400
  • Washington Nationals+1600
  • Colorado Rockies+1800
  • New York Mets+2200
  • Oakland Athletics+2500
  • Tampa Bay Rays+3500
  • Arizona Diamondbacks+5000
  • Chicago White Sox+5000
  • Los Angeles Angels+5000
  • Minnesota Twins+6000
  • Seattle Mariners+6000
  • Cincinnati Reds+7000
  • Pittsburgh Pirates+7000
  • Toronto Blue Jays+9000
  • San Diego Padres+10000
  • San Francisco Giants+10000
  • Texas Rangers+20000
  • Detroit Tigers+25000
  • Kansas City Royals+25000
  • Miami Marlins+35000
  • Baltimore Orioles+60000

 

Kentucky Derby 2019 Odds: Game Winner, Improbable, Hidden Scroll, Instagrand Lead Way

2019 Kentucky Derby odds are posted at Bovada sportsbook. Game Winner, which has won all four races including the Breeders Cup Juvenile, is the favorite at +700 or 7-1. Improbable, with three first place finishes in as many starts, is next at 10-1. Kentucky bred Hidden Scroll follows at 12-1. OffshoreInsiders.com Joe Duffy is famed for his outsourced plays, complementing his industry standard advanced analytics winning in sports.

Bovada also has a $3,000 casino welcome bonus. Complete odds below. All odds based on $100 per bet. Hence +1000 would be the same as 10-1. All bets are action.

Winner

  • Game Winner +700
  • Improbable +1000
  • Hidden Scroll +1200
  • Instagrand +1600
  • Global Campaign +2000
  • Rowayton +2000
  • Signalman +2000
  • War Of Will +2000
  • Win Win Win +2000
  • Complexity +2500
  • Maximus Mischief +2500
  • Mucho Gusto +2500
  • Nolo Contesto +2500
  • Roadster +2500
  • Vekoma +2500
  • Frosted Ice +3300
  • Gunmetal Gray +3300
  • King For A Day +3300
  • Mucho +3300
  • US Navy Cross +3300
  • Cairo Cat +4000
  • Call Paul +4000
  • Code Of Honor +4000
  • Mihos +4000
  • Network Effect +4000
  • Royal Marine +4000
  • Standard Deviation +4000
  • Coliseum +5000
  • Knicks Go +6600
  • Walking Thunder +6600

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Luka Doncic Already Won NBA Rookie Of the Year; MyBookie Already Taking Bets on Zion Williamson at 3-1

With Luka Doncic a lock to win the 2019 Rookie of the Year, MYBookie saw no reason to make people wait until the end of the season to receive their winnings, so we are paying out $150,000 in winning tickets for those who bet Doncic during the season.

For the unlucky ones who did not, should Luka not win the 2019 Rookie of the Year, we will double the payout on the player who does. 

BUT WAIT, THERE’S MORE.

Now you can bet on Zion Williamson to be the 2020 NBA Rookie of the Year at 3/1 odds. If Zion does not take home the title, we’ll refund all of the bets.

No risk. All win. Bet Now.

Promo runs from Thursday Night until Monday Night, February 18 at MYBookie.

Gambling Secret Revealed: Zig, While Others Zag

The capacity and willingness to think outside the box—counter-intuitive logic—is imperative in sports betting. Zig while the other gamblers zag. It is distinct from contrarian betting, which acknowledges the masses are asses, applying betting data to fade the public.

The intuitive approach is to bet on the hotter and better team. Said method is in part why the public adores risking on favorites. Again, one of the most underlying precepts of sports betting: the line is not a prediction on the outcome of the game. It’s a spread or over-under set based on getting equal action on each side. Thus, bookies inflate numbers when rolling the dice with quality teams playing well.  

Winning gamblers recognize there is a substantial opportunity in wagering with undervalued struggling or bottom rung squads. Here is an example for demonstrative purposes:

Team A is playing at home and is in a streak that is at least nine games better than the road team. The means any combo of team A consecutive wins (six for example) and Team B losses (three to demonstrate) is at least nine. Furthermore, A’s season winning percentage is at least .200 points better.

There is no debate that most gamblers would much more eagerly bet Team A. I added that the inferior team is not a road favorite to weed out outliers like injury, expected to rest key players, etc. As of this writing, the inferior, and the much colder road team is 352-291-8 for a solid 54.7 percent. When odds sharks add other factors, such as rest, margins, etc. many sub-systems are well into the upper 50 and 60 percentile or above.

The stock market adage of sell when others are buying and buy when others are selling is true in betting. The demand bettors make is investing in superior and hotter squads. Such action causes serious rising prices. Bookmakers take advantage of conventional thinkers because that’s what most gamblers are.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=abkzAPVYoTU

I assert it regularly. One of the fundamental principles of gambling is never, ever make a bet based on what is most natural to root for. While JoeyBagadonuts is always going to hit 47-49 percent betting on superior teams and overs, sharps thank him for creating distorted lines and ample windows of opportunity.

The author, Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has been a full-time gambler and handicapper since 1988. He is CEO and anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com, the top sports handicapper site on earth.