Critical Betting College Football Notes for December 5

Saturday, MAC East Game of the Year and Fox Saturday Night Game of the Year as we are 30-11 with named plays. 13 winners led by six Wise Guys. Then Sunday, it’s the NFL. NFL Totals Twosome of the Year among 10 winners. Three are Wise Guys. All at    

  • The turbo-charged version of short road underdogs that you have heard about on VSIN points this weekend to Bowling Green, UCLA, Ball State, Florida Atlantic, Nebraska, Memphis, Western Kentucky
  • Michigan OVER 10-0-1 coming off a home game where they scored less than 27 points
  • Texas RB Keaontay Ingram is transferring
    • Gave depth with 250 rushing yards
  • Purdue QB Aidan O’Connell is done for year
    •  64.7 percent of his pass attempts for 921 yards, 11 TDs, 2 INT
    • Jack Plummer takes over as QB
  • LSU will start T.J. Finley at QB
  • Biggest consensus bets in terms of percent of bets: Alabama 93, Florida 91
    • Far and away the two biggest public plays
  • Biggest line moves: Hawaii opened -6.5 now +2 to San Jose State, Oklahoma opened -13.5 now -21.5 to Oklahoma, Wisconsin -10 to -14 to Indiana, Colorado -3.5 to -7.5 to Arizona
  • Best teams based on margin of cover AKA sweat barometer. ATS record followed by ATS margin: Coastal Carolina 7-1-1 +16.2, BYU 6-2-1 +12, Indiana 6-0 +11.6
  • Best teams to bet against based on margin of cover AKA sweat barometer. ATS record followed by ATS margin: Kansas 0-8 -13.4, Penn State 1-5 -12.3, Michigan 1-5 -11.5, Florida State 2-6 -11.1
  • Another angle from Joe Duffy’s database. Big away favorites in triple revenge are 63-25. Favors Colorado, Texas A&M, Tulsa 

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