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November 7, 2012

Center of Handicapping Universe off 5-0 Sweep

Filed under: Sports Betting News | — Mike Godsey @ 11:43 PM

We can’t deny that night’s like this have not been as frequent recently as they have been for a quarter century, but history indicates it is the start of something big.  Led by the author of sports betting eBook  the bookies do not want you to read, Joe Dufy CEO of GodsTips goes a perfect 5-0.

Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. We always urge line shopping to compliment the sharpest plays in the world and release plays as early as possible to ensure more success. Often our plays are released before most sportsbooks have lines up. If we released plays later in the day, it would allow us to shop for better lines than we are able to post. But we are more concerned about YOU being able to shop for better lines.

Be aware that in many cases better lines will be available than the ones we post. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.


Wise Guy…


Ohio has become a dichotomous spread team. This means a team is either covering a large percentage of games they lose outright or failing to cover a significant percentage of games they win straight up. Despite an 8-1 straight up mark, they have lost 4-of-5 to the number.

After a tough start that included being competitive at Florida and losing at Lane Stadium Bowling Green is playing well giving up three points combined their last two games and holding five straight foes to less than 100 yards rushing.

BG’s defense leads the league in points allowed at 15.2 points per game and total defense, allowing just 290 yards per game. The Falcons are No. 1 in both run defense (104.2 ypg) and pass defense (185.8 ypg).

All of this in a league where offenses proliferate. Yet since league play began in earnest, Oct. 6 against Akron, the Falcons have allowed 10, 12, 0 and 3 points.


Wise Guy…

TORONTO +6.5 Dallas

The Raptors have one of the league’s biggest unknowns in rookie Jonas Valanciunas, the 7-foot Lithuanian who was drafted two summers ago. They have a solid backcourt with former Houston Rocket Kyle Lowry averaging 23.7 points, seven assists and 7.3 rebounds.

The durable Shawn Marion, who has missed only 12 games over the past three seasons, is the Mavs’ best defender. With the Mavs also without forward Dirk Nowitzki (knee surgery), this puts an even greater strain on a Mavs’ frontline that has been getting hammered on the boards.

Sorry, no way in heck Dallas can maintain the short-term..and I repeat short-term success they have had without their best offensive player. The Mavericks have been on fire the past two games. They shot 61.3 percent from the field Saturday against Charlotte and 61.5 percent Monday against Portland. That’s the first time in team history that the Mavericks have shot at least 60 percent from the field in consecutive games. Dallas is 26 of 45 from 3-point range the past two games.

Without two key cogs, we will eagerly bet them to regress to their mean.

DENVER +2.5 Houston

Of all the challenges that come with James Harden’s new role as the focal point of the Rockets’ offense, the upcoming tests could be the most inevitable and challenging.

He will go against two of the NBA’s best perimeter defenders in the next two games, facing Denver’s Andre Iguodala tonight and Memphis’ Tony Allen on Friday. Yes, Houston is much more rested with three full days off hosting Denver playing back-to-back. That would be a big checkmark for Houston in a month and two months, but early in the season teams need to get in a groove, especially considering the Nugs are off their best game of the year.

UTAH -3 LA Lakers

The Lakers winless preseason has been substantiated by a horrible start to the regular season at 1-3 SU, despite 3-of-4 games at home. Meanwhile, the home team is 4-1 SU and ATS in the Jazz contests.

Remember one of our Golden Rules: one cannot manufacture emotion, it has to be there legitimately. A lot of Jazz fans had Nov. 7 circled on their calendars not because it meant the end of those obnoxious election ads, but because the Los Angeles Lakers would be making their one and only appearance of the season in Utah. So we expect a bigger than usual early November home court edge.

LA has struggled to adjust to the Princeton style offense. One player who hadn’t adjusted yet is newcomer Steve Nash, who won’t play tonight and could be out anywhere from one to four weeks with a leg injury. The former MVP was only averaging 4.5 points and 4.0 assists before suffering a leg injury in the second game.


MINNESOTA -6 Orlando

This is a sharp versus square, which is when our Vegas, offshore, and outlaw contacts tell us the majority of sharp money is betting one team, the square money the other. We go with the smart money as contrarian betting is used by many professional gamblers.

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