From Joe Duffy, get eight winning Wise Guy bets among 11 winners. This includes a mind-boggling system that is 751 units on the plus side. This is literally the greatest betting system known to mankind based on units won. Get the picks now
Tampa-Boston UNDER 9 (Snell-Godley)
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 2890-2277-271.
Ronald Acuna is questionable for Braves. The superstar is having an okay season for Atlanta hitting .258 with 4 HR and 9 RBI
Milwaukee’s Ryan Braun is back from injury
3B Yoan Moncada will not start. He is hitting .278 with 3 HR and 7 RBI
Detroit’s Austin Romine not in starting lineup. C is averaging .308 with 2 HR and 9 RBI
JaCoby Jones is not in lineup for Detroit with 5 HR and 12 RBI
Cleveland winds blowing in at 11 mph
Houston wind blowing to centerfield at 11 mph
Pacers G Victor Oladipo is questionable for Pacers. He averages 14.4 points per game, 3.8 rebounds, 2.8 assists
Pacers forward T.J. Warren, who has become bubble star is 19.8 points per game, 4.2 rebounds
OKC’s Dennis Schroder 18.9 points per game, 3.7 rebounds, and 4.0 assists
OKC’s Danilo Gallinari is expected to return. He averages 19.1 points per game, 5.3 rebounds
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Alert: night Wise Guy MLB added at 10:12 AM. We win again yesterday led by only Wise Guy on Phillies UNDER. 3:37 ET MLB winner and two night MLB led by a west coast Wise Guy! Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has both NBA sides, both totals for Thursday. Get the picks now
Free winning pick:
San Francisco-Colorado UNDER 9.5 (Holland-Freeland) at Bovada
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 2629-2111. Also, day games off a high-scoring night game go under 1779-1531-140. When both apply, it goes under 218-162-18.
We win again last night. I am 32-22 in the NBA playoff and went 3-2 in MLB last night Best in the biz, Joe Duffy has NBA side Wednesday. It is the strongest day of the season for our rage-of-the-industry baseball totals system. Eight MLB winners caps off a sensational day. Get the picks now
NY YANKEES (TANAKA -105) Arizona (Kelly) at Bovada
Road teams on a nice series run under specific circumstances that apply today +86.04 units for a solid 5.4 ROI.
NBA sharp money today and all future games: Toronto
OffshoreInsiders.com handicapper and CEO Joe Duffy has substantial tangible reason to assert 2016 will be the best baseball betting season ever for sharp players: a massive influx of statistically significant systems.
Joe Duffy’s Picks, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com has more than doubled its cache of winning MLB systems that are at least 150 units on the plus side measured by total net units won, based one unit per bet.
“Joe Duffy’s Picks invested a substantial amount of time and money in trading and cultivating new computer systems and angles,” bragged Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy.
In many cases the angles serve as a notification when time-proven theories apply to ensure no established systems are overlooked. Duffy explains, “Not all (systems) are new in the sense that I’ve won with these theories for years.” He continued, “But I used to have to go over each game report meticulously to methodically track and isolate these treasures.” This now outdated method allowed for human error in overlooking when each doctrine applied.
A common theme manifests itself in the newest data acquisition: counterintuitive reasoning. Most bettors strongly prefer betting the starting pitcher who is widely accepted as superior as well as much hotter entering a game. To the contrary, so many angles with the best p-value mandate to invest with a much colder pitcher as a large underdog.
Because the public is the polar opposite and treasures superior and hotter starting pitching, this creates line value unprecedented in any other form of wagering. Succinctly, bookmakers must account for the public’s predilection towards betting favorites.
For sharp gamblers, baseball has always had the highest ROI, but the cliché of “no guts, no glory” is a prerequisite. In more straightforward terms, the bettor must be willing to take a significant percentage of underdogs, very much including large ones.
“Our newest inpouring of delineations proves that,” Duffy concludes. The fruits of this research is illuminated daily during baseball season with Joe Duffy’s Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com.
This is the latest in a series of a Godgepodge of sports betting strategy and other sports handicapping and gaming issues.
Granddaddy of Them All Still Worthwhile Despite Long Nap
Over the years, we’ve reviewed some of our favorite information sites.Computer Sports World and I go back a long time.Before this fancy thing called the Internet, I was subscribing to them in the dinosaur days of dial-up BBS.
If you remember Procomm DOS software, you like me are probably middle aged or older.
Baseball is the last remaining sport I use CSW, only because I think their baseball match-ups, the “516” file as we old timers know it, is very succinct. The file focuses on the primary information we use to weed out games before digging deeper with other sources.
The one thing that baffles me is why they persist on not updating the current year’s data until 7-10 games into the year. They instead insist on just posting the static data from last year.Earth to Computer Sports World, last year’s data will not change.
I did make the mistake of calling and asking and was simply told the in house writers asked for them to not update until there is more data. One could argue limited year to date statistics has limited value.But again, considering last year’s stats could be put into a permanent file for the writers, the customer could then not have the decision made for him that the first week’s worth of games has no handicapping value, but somehow what happened the previous season does.
Buyer beware that CSW is essentially worthless until a week or so into the season.
All in all, even now a good source, but the relative Johnny-come-lately sites have diminished Computer Sports World’s value even after once they get around to acknowledging a new year has started.
Score One for ESPN
One of the most commonly asked questions on the posting boards is “what is your favorite site for scores?”Though sometimes there are some technical glitches, ESPN’s “Real Time Scoreboard” (part of ESPN Insider) is unbelievable.Just to give you an idea, sometimes I will be listening to the game on my satellite radio and the slight radio delay is behind “watching” the play-by-play on my computer.
Sadly ESPN must kowtow to the hypocrisy that exists in America about gambling. Otherwise it would be nice in college sports to have a scoreboard that is close to real time without having to sift through worthless games that are not in the offshore rotation.
Dynamics Change in the Postseason
I know there is one handicapper out there who most of his handicapping is based on the home/road variances.That’s been a part of our handicapping for years.But the key for a quality handicapper is one who knows when and how to make proper adjustments.
One of the great examples is how the considerations must be adjusted for the NBA playoffs when it comes to weighing home and road performance. On one hand, the fair to middling teams often will have much larger attendance and for all teams generally more enthusiastic home crowds.
However during the regular season, the travel schedule disproportionately benefits the home team. Teams playing their fifth game in five nights or third in four nights are usually the road team. Depth isn’t as much of an issue as teams shorten their bench during the postseason.
Of course this would apply to both home and road games, but a deep bench paid dividends the most was during the regular season was in the midst of long road trips, a situation that does not apply to the playoffs.
Don’t get me wrong, home and road records are still huge in our analysis during the postseason, but we balance with total awareness that tweaks must be made on a team-to-team basis.
Check out Joe Duffy’s new and notes for the sports gambler, compiled from hometown newspapers at JoeDuffy.net.Also check out the Handicapper’s Sampler, which is the daily rundown of top sports service plays.
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