Week 1 of the college football season is almost in the books and we already have new betting favorites for both the College Football Playoff (CFP) Championship and the Heisman Trophy at BetOnLine college football
Texas fell to Ohio State yesterday, and Arch Manning didn’t exactly set the world ablaze in his much-anticipated start. The ripple effects are already hitting the futures boards.
Key Takeaways
CFP Championship
Ohio State is now the favorite, moving past Texas, Georgia, and Penn State.
Texas slips to fourth at 15/2.
Alabama and Clemson saw their odds lengthen from 17/2 to 16/1 after losses.
Heisman Trophy
John Mateer rockets from 22/1 to the favorite at 7/1.
Arch Manning drops from favorite status to tied for 7th at 16/1.
Thomas Castellanos makes a huge move from 100/1 to 25/1.
2025 CFP Championship Odds
Team
Odds
American Odds
Ohio State
25/4
+625
Georgia
13/2
+650
Penn State
13/2
+650
Texas
15/2
+750
LSU
9/1
+900
Notre Dame
9/1
+900
Alabama
16/1
+1600
Clemson
16/1
+1600
Oregon
16/1
+1600
Miami (FL)
20/1
+2000
Oklahoma
28/1
+2800
Florida
33/1
+3300
Michigan
33/1
+3300
Texas A&M
33/1
+3300
Auburn
35/1
+3500
Ole Miss
35/1
+3500
USC
50/1
+5000
Florida State
66/1
+6600
South Carolina
66/1
+6600
Georgia Tech
75/1
+7500
Tennessee
75/1
+7500
Louisville
80/1
+8000
SMU
100/1
+10000
Utah
100/1
+10000
Arizona State
125/1
+12500
Indiana
125/1
+12500
Texas Tech
125/1
+12500
Illinois
150/1
+15000
Missouri
150/1
+15000
TCU
175/1
+17500
Iowa
200/1
+20000
Iowa State
200/1
+20000
Washington
200/1
+20000
Nebraska
250/1
+25000
Baylor
300/1
+30000
Minnesota
300/1
+30000
Kansas
400/1
+40000
Arkansas
500/1
+50000
Michigan State
500/1
+50000
Pittsburgh
500/1
+50000
Tulane
500/1
+50000
Colorado
750/1
+75000
Duke
750/1
+75000
Kansas State
750/1
+75000
Field (All Other Teams)
1000/1
+100000
(Full board available — many programs sit at 1000/1 at BetOnline.)
2025 Heisman Trophy Odds
Player
Odds
American Odds
John Mateer
7/1
+700
Garrett Nussmeier
15/2
+750
Gunner Stockton
12/1
+1200
LaNorris Sellers
12/1
+1200
Cade Klubnik
14/1
+1400
Jeremiah Smith
14/1
+1400
Arch Manning
16/1
+1600
Dante Moore
16/1
+1600
Jeremiyah Love
16/1
+1600
Carson Beck
18/1
+1800
Drew Allar
18/1
+1800
Jackson Arnold
18/1
+1800
Sam Leavitt
20/1
+2000
Devon Dampier
22/1
+2200
DJ Lagway
22/1
+2200
Thomas Castellanos
25/1
+2500
Austin Simmons
33/1
+3300
Bryce Underwood
33/1
+3300
Julian Sayin
33/1
+3300
Marcel Reed
33/1
+3300
Ty Simpson
33/1
+3300
Kevin Jennings
35/1
+3500
CJ Carr
40/1
+4000
Beau Pribula
50/1
+5000
Haynes King
50/1
+5000
Jalon Daniels
50/1
+5000
Ryan Williams
50/1
+5000
Miller Moss
55/1
+5500
Avery Johnson
66/1
+6600
Demond Williams Jr
66/1
+6600
Fernando Mendoza
66/1
+6600
Jayden Maiava
66/1
+6600
Josh Hoover
66/1
+6600
Dylan Raiola
100/1
+10000
Sawyer Robertson
100/1
+10000
Eli Holstein
150/1
+15000
Kyron Drones
150/1
+15000
Nico Iamaleava
150/1
+15000
Steve Angeli
150/1
+15000
Final Thoughts
The first weekend of the 2025 season already shows how quickly the futures markets can shift. Ohio State is firmly in the driver’s seat for the CFP crown, while John Mateer is now the frontrunner for the Heisman. Arch Manning, meanwhile, faces an uphill climb after his shaky debut.
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Week 1 underdogs or small favorites in non-conference games under specific situations that apply in this game. Also, ActionNetwork has this line at just .8. MasseyRatings has Colorado winning by 4.
Of course, I crush the first Wise Guy and named play of the year, the Thursday Night Non-Divisional Total of the Year. Get used to it. Friday: Another CFB Wise Guyadded for Friday on top of powerful college footballside and total are up to keep the momentum rolling. Plus, 3 MLB led by Wise Guyat at OffshoreInsiders.com
The wait is over. Week 1 of the 2025 college football season brings us the kind of matchup fans and bettors dream about: the Texas Longhorns vs. the Ohio State Buckeyes. It’s SEC vs. Big Ten. Power vs. power. No. 1 against No. 2 in one poll (No. 1 vs. No. 3 in the AP). And you don’t even need to wait until Saturday night—the game kicks off at 12 p.m. ET.
But that’s not the only marquee non-conference clash. The schedule is stacked with LSU vs. Clemson, Notre Dame vs. Miami, and Alabama vs. Florida State. For sports bettors, Week 1 offers everything: line movement, public perception angles, and sharp betting value.
Oddsmakers at SportsBetting.ag released Week 1 numbers in May, and we’ve seen some significant shifts since then:
Biggest Spread: Penn State (-44) vs. Nevada
Tightest Line: Oregon State (-1.5) vs. California
Largest Road Favorite: Alabama (-13.5) at Florida State
Favorite Flips: Temple, TCU, and Georgia Southern all switched to the chalk side since open.
Biggest Movers:
Hawaii/Arizona moved 7 points toward Arizona (-18).
TCU/UNC flipped 5.5 points from UNC -2 to TCU -3.5.
Ohio/Rutgers jumped 5 points in Rutgers’ direction (-15.5).
Temple/UMass flipped 4 points to Temple.
Tracking line movement is vital for bettors—but interpreting it correctly is even more critical. Public money pushes numbers in one direction, while sharp action forces a different adjustment. Knowing which is which? That’s what separates casual bettors from pros.
Spotlight: Texas vs. Ohio State (Saturday, Noon ET)
Ohio State opened as a 3-point favorite. The market has nudged it slightly to -2.5, showing respect for Texas’ depth and balance.
Texas Strengths: Elite quarterback play, an experienced offensive line, and SEC speed that matches up well with anyone.
Ohio State Strengths: Arguably the best WR room in the nation and a defense loaded with NFL-level talent.
Betting Factors: Neutral-site feel? No—this is in Columbus. Expect a true home-field advantage.
This is the type of game where casual bettors lean one way (usually toward the bigger brand or public darling), but sharp bettors find their edge by analyzing matchups, pace, and weather conditions.
And yes—we’ve already locked in a premium play on this game at Joe Duffy’s Picks.
Other Notable Non-Conference Matchups
LSU vs. Clemson (-3.5)
Early money leaned slightly toward Clemson at home. LSU’s defensive front will test Clemson’s rebuilt offensive line.
Alabama (-13.5) at Florida State
This line hasn’t budged. Bettors respect Nick Saban, but Florida State isn’t the pushover they were a few years ago.
Notre Dame (-2.5) at Miami
Unchanged from open—clear indication oddsmakers feel this is a true coin-flip rivalry matchup.
Betting Angles That Matter
Line Moves – Don’t assume movement = smart money. Sometimes it’s just volume from the public.
Public Bias – Teams like Ohio State and Alabama attract square money every week. Value often exists on the other side.
Weather & Neutral Sites – Games in Atlanta or Arrowhead can feel neutral, but travel and crowd mix matter.
Spot Value – Week 1 is tricky; overreactions to last season’s results create soft numbers.
For those who want to turn theory into profit, this is where OffshoreInsiders.com shines. Decades of systems, contrarian betting strategies, and AI-driven models go into every selection.
Why Choose Joe Duffy’s Picks?
Decades of Proven Winning: Since the scorephone era, Joe Duffy has been the go-to for serious bettors.
Data + Experience: Proprietary power ratings, contrarian intel, and simulation models converge into elite picks.
Guaranteed Profits: Every premium package at OffshoreInsiders.com comes with a profit guarantee.
Whether you’re a beginner learning about line moves or an experienced bettor hunting for Wise Guy plays, OffshoreInsiders has the right package.
Ready to Profit on Week 1?
Week 1 is the perfect time to get in. Oddsmakers are adjusting to new rosters, transfers, and coaching changes—and mistakes happen. This is when sharp bettors feast.
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Final Word
This week isn’t just about Texas vs. Ohio State—it’s about opportunity. With so many line moves, neutral-site games, and powerhouse matchups, the edge is out there. The only question is: will you have it?
The stage is set for one of the biggest football weekends of the year, and Joe Duffy’s Picks has you covered. Decades of experience, advanced data, and battle-tested systems are all pointing to another profitable run.
Thursday: The first Named Play of the season—Non-Divisional Thursday Night OU of the Year—backed by a jaw-dropping system that’s 57-15-1.
Friday: A powerful side and total to keep the momentum rolling.
Saturday: The action explodes with the highly anticipated Texas–Ohio State side, plus 3 Wise Guys led by the Non-Divisional Saturday Night OU of the Year—part of 8 winners in all.
When Joe Duffy’s Picks posts a Named Play, it’s the closest thing to a lock you’ll find in sports betting.
Access is simple: As long as your package covers Monday, you get the entire week’s card. Choose a 7-Day Pick Packor longer—or go with the Football-Only Weekly Package.
Joe Duffy’s Picks—where data, decades of expertise, and proven systems make every weekend a winning one at OffshoreInsiders.com
Free Pick from Joe Duffy: South Florida +5.5 vs. Boise State Week 1 non-conference home underdogs or small favorites in qualifying situations are an outstanding 80-50-1.
Get ready for the opening weekend of the 2025–26 college football season. Below are the full betting lines from MyBookie Sportsbook. For expert picks and analysis, check out OffshoreInsiders.com.
📅 August 28
South Florida Bulls vs Boise State Broncos – 3:30 PM
Spread: USF +6 (-110) | Boise -6 (-110)
Moneyline: USF +184 | Boise -232
Total: O/U 63.5 (-110)
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Ohio Bobcats – 4:00 PM
Spread: Rutgers -14 (-110) | Ohio +14 (-110)
Moneyline: Rutgers -725 | Ohio +480
Total: O/U 46 (-110)
UCF Knights vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks – 5:00 PM
Spread: UCF -18.5 (-110) | Jax State +18.5 (-110)
Moneyline: UCF -1000 | Jax State +600
Total: O/U 52.5 (-110)
NC State Wolfpack vs East Carolina Pirates – 5:00 PM
Spread: NC State -11.5 (-110) | ECU +11.5 (-110)
Moneyline: NC State -441 | ECU +320
Total: O/U 60.5 (-110)
Akron Zips vs Wyoming Cowboys – 5:00 PM
Spread: Akron +7 (-110) | Wyoming -7 (-110)
Moneyline: Akron +216 | Wyoming -275
Total: O/U 50.5 (-110)
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Buffalo Bulls – 6:00 PM
Spread: Minnesota -18 (-110) | Buffalo +18 (-110)
Moneyline: Minnesota -1299 | Buffalo +710
Total: O/U 44.5 (-110)
Cincinnati Bearcats vs Nebraska Cornhuskers – 7:00 PM
NFC Conference Winner Odds: Breaking Down the 2025 Futures Market
The NFC race is shaping up to be one of the most competitive in recent years, with several legitimate contenders and a few dark horses worth watching. Below are the current odds to win the NFC, along with some analysis of the top favorites and potential sleepers.
If you’re ready to place a wager, you can check out the latest odds and bet at MyBookie, one of the most trusted sportsbooks online. For expert picks and betting strategy, visit OffshoreInsiders.com, where Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy shares decades of winning insight.
NFC Conference Winner Odds
Philadelphia Eagles +330
Detroit Lions +490
San Francisco 49ers +810
Washington Commanders +910
Green Bay Packers +980
Los Angeles Rams +990
Minnesota Vikings +1350
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1400
Chicago Bears +1750
Dallas Cowboys +2200
Arizona Cardinals +2500
Atlanta Falcons +3000
Seattle Seahawks +3000
Carolina Panthers +5200
New York Giants +10000
New Orleans Saints +12000
Favorites: The Big Three
Philadelphia Eagles (+330) The Eagles are once again the betting favorite to take the NFC crown. With an elite roster on both sides of the ball, they’re viewed as the most complete team in the conference. The biggest factor is whether their offensive line and defensive front can stay healthy throughout the season.
Detroit Lions (+490) Detroit has gone from a lovable underdog to a legitimate contender. Dan Campbell’s team has a strong offensive identity, and the Lions’ secondary upgrades make them a well-rounded threat. At +490, oddsmakers believe they’re no longer a “cute pick” but a serious Super Bowl challenger.
San Francisco 49ers (+810) The Niners come in as the third choice, which could present value. With Kyle Shanahan’s scheme and a stacked defense, San Francisco is always in the mix. Health at quarterback and along the offensive line is the key variable.
Contenders With Value
Washington Commanders (+910) Perhaps the most surprising team near the top. Washington has improved in the trenches, and oddsmakers clearly like their potential. Bettors should keep an eye on whether they can truly keep pace with NFC heavyweights.
Green Bay Packers (+980) The Jordan Love era showed plenty of promise. At just under 10-to-1, the Packers offer sneaky value if their young roster continues to develop and take steps forward.
Los Angeles Rams (+990) The Rams surprised many last season by reloading faster than expected. As long as Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp are healthy, plus Aaron Donald anchoring the defense, they’re always dangerous.
Mid-Tier Sleepers
Minnesota Vikings (+1350) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1400) both offer potential upside for bettors willing to gamble on less obvious paths. Each has talent on offense, but their defenses will determine whether they can hang with the top NFC powers.
Chicago Bears (+1750) are perhaps the biggest wild card. If their quarterback development takes the leap many expect, Chicago could smash expectations.
Long Shots Worth a Look
Dallas Cowboys (+2200): Rarely this far down the board, but questions around their depth push them to “value” territory.
Atlanta Falcons (+3000): A new offensive system and emerging young talent make them a live underdog.
Seattle Seahawks (+3000): A team with a strong home-field edge and plenty of upside at skill positions.
True Dark Horses
Carolina Panthers (+5200) are rebuilding but have intriguing long-term potential.
New York Giants (+10000) and New Orleans Saints (+12000) are extreme long shots, needing nearly perfect seasons to sniff the NFC title game.
Final Thoughts
The NFC futures market offers a blend of heavy favorites, dangerous contenders, and intriguing long shots. The Eaglesand Lions are rightly at the top, but value bettors may gravitate toward teams like the 49ers at +810 or the Packers at +980.
If you’re looking for true upside plays, the Falcons and Seahawks at 30-to-1 could be worth a sprinkle.
Joe Duffy’s Picks is off a winning day, including 2-1 NFL, a powerhouse Saturday is here—2 college football sides, backed by the proven systems we’ve been cashing together for years. Add in 7 NFL winners, and this card is stacked for profit. When the Grandmaster loads up, you don’t want to miss it! OffshoreInsiders.com
Free pick:
Hawaii-Stanford UNDER 50.5
We have an angle that says when winds are above 13 mph, games go under at a 706-527-37 rate. Wind speed is definitely the single most important factor when it comes to handicapping weather. Follow us on all socials at @OffshoreInsider as I will have early week weather reports as well as before gametime.
Also check out our new Economy Line to make the best handicapper on earth accessible to even smaller players. Check out real-time odds, breaking injury news, and line alerts
With around two weeks left before the 2025 college football season is fully underway, there are plenty of position competitions still ongoing.
Of course, the most important position is typically at quarterback, so let’s take a look at the six major, ongoing QB battles and who is favored to win each.
From Betonline, here is your fantasy football primer, with projected stats for every clearly established NFL starting QB,
These teams don’t have any QB stats yet:
Cleveland Browns
Indianapolis Colts
New Orleans Saints
New York Giants
Quarterback
Passing Yds
TD Passes
Interceptions
Rushing Yds
Rushing TDs
Aaron Rodgers
3250.5
23.5
9.5
Baker Mayfield
3800.5
30.5
13.5
Bo Nix
3500.5
24.5
10.5
Brock Purdy
3850.5
24.5
11.5
Bryce Young
3150.5
18.5
11.5
Caleb Williams
3550.5
22.5
9.5
Cam Ward
3200.5
19.5
12.5
CJ Stroud
3800.5
21.5
10.5
Dak Prescott
3850.5
26.5
11.5
Drake Maye
3250.5
20.5
12.5
Geno Smith
3600.5
20.5
10.5
Jalen Hurts
3200.5
20.5
9.5
600.5
12.5
Jared Goff
3900.5
28.5
11.5
Jayden Daniels
3500.5
24.5
9.5
700.5
5.5
J.J. McCarthy
3650.5
24.5
13.5
Joe Burrow
4250.5
33.5
10.5
Jordan Love
3600.5
25.5
11.5
Josh Allen
3750.5
27.5
9.5
500.5
10.5
Justin Fields
2650.5
15.5
10.5
725.5
5.5
Justin Herbert
3700.5
22.5
8.5
Kyler Murray
3400.5
20.5
10.5
475.5
4.5
Lamar Jackson
3500.5
28.5
7.5
775.5
4.5
Matthew Stafford
3750.5
23.5
9.5
Michael Penix
3350.5
18.5
12.5
Patrick Mahomes
4000.5
27.5
10.5
Sam Darnold
3450.5
20.5
13.5
Trevor Lawrence
3700.5
22.5
12.5
Tua Tagovailoa
3500.5
23.5
11.5
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